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Huckleberry

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by Huckleberry

  1. Well he doesn't say exit polls from where. Maybe it's BS, maybe it's San Francisco County.
  2. I'm trying to figure out what I think an appropriate sentence for intentional mass destruction of ballots is. 5 years minimum time served is the lowest I'll go. Absolutely have to miss a full election cycle. But part of me thinks 2-4 years per ballot destroyed is fair. Served consecutively because fuck that. But sure, parole eligibility in 5 years still I guess.
  3. He's talking about Ohio I think
  4. They almost certainly had more likely voters from Philadelphia in their national poll than TIPP had in their recent Pennsylvania poll.
  5. Your first sentence answers your last.
  6. Yes but you're supposed to use fewer.
  7. It's 1:15 tops to Portland from the closest county Trump won in 2020. 1:45 to the closest county he won with 70% of the vote. Those aren't far drives or long distances to those of us who don't wear Depends, dude.
  8. Why are you comparing EV 2024 to final electorate 2020? What does EV versus final electorate 2016 look like? Do white rural voters historically vote early in larger numbers (yes they do)? And why are you using EV electorate to date when it comes to age but using overall demographics when it comes to education? We know that those having college degrees are more consistent voters. To be clear I wouldn't bet a single cent that Cruz doesn't win by at least 5 points.
  9. Nobody knows shit about fuck. Pollsters are quite clearly modifying their findings so they don't undercount Trump voters. But are they going too far? Nobody knows. Meanwhile since Dobbs the polls have been seriously undercounting D votes but there is no industry move to account for that right now. And despite saying the independent voters are splitting evenly, the only poll we've seen that reported on people who have already voted showed that they're breaking hard for Harris so far in North Carolina (Marist poll 55-43 Harris in NC which said independents who haven't voted claim they're 53-45 for Trump, so you can interpret that different ways).
  10. Except Cruz. Nobody likes him.
  11. To be fair, at Huckleberry household game nights I do both.
  12. The issue with using 2020 is specifically regarding early voting trends. Pre-2020, Rs voted early and Ds voted on election day. I don't think you can draw conclusions either way. There's not really a good reason why we wouldn't expect to trend back that direction post-pandemic. It's just impossible to say how much until after the real final data comes in unfortunately.
  13. I agree that new old voters will not be as heavily R as historical old voters. However I think the down that they will still break in Trump's favor is valid. But my gut is they will be much closer to 50/50 than the ones who have spent decades being turned into party over country dummies.
  14. Not sure about that. I don't think he's as good as he looked at first. Now there's tape on him, I think he's still playing at a good level for him.
  15. People are correct that Ewers has not looked great the last few weeks. But I'm not sure why he's being singled out. The entire offense has looked like shit with the possible exception of Wisner, Helm, and the small amount of Blue this week. QB, OL, WR, coaching. It's all been ass.
  16. "Old people can be forgetful. Now go get me a beer whatever-your-name-is."
  17. Well if that's the case then good of them to adjust.
  18. High turnout? lol
  19. Dallas County came back strong today. In fact they had more votes today than any day so far.
  20. I don't know about murdered but Biden should absolutely order that anyone who tries something be arrested and imprisoned. He's old, he's on the way out, and SCOTUS says he has immunity for official actions. Protection of federal elections is absolutely an official action. Throw them in prison immediately and let SCOTUS sort it out.
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