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Thetexashammer

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by Thetexashammer

  1. What do this have to do with being an abusive but hilarious trial lawyer?
  2. Thank you. I look forward to my victory lap LOL. I mostly live in Europe, I don't make it to Austin much. But I'm not sure your I trust your assessment that the Austin economy is in collapse. In any case, does nobody care about the overall value of your business? I would have thought that was top priority.
  3. I thought the topic was "Surly Horns State of Things". Am I in the wrong thread? Please move my posts to the correct thread. When you sober up, there is money on the table.
  4. Cool. You have the data. Who are the five posters who have handed the most negrep? I will give $100 the Burnt Ends and sign up for TreeFiddy is the top five most active negreppers are not TDS sufferers. Also if JimmyJazz is not on the list.
  5. Texags is a village of idiots. Blind loyalty, redass till death. That's their brand. The front door for this website is football. But the football forum is not even close to the busiest forum, not even during football season. Not even when we are winning bigly. The Shaggy/Surly brand, this may be shocking, used to be that you could find intelligent people from all perspectives engaged in rational discussion. And tits. The football brought people in, they stayed for rational and interesting discussion across a wide variety of topics. Now a small contingent of posters are engaged in spree negrepping across every forum. They are also the ones engaged in 95% of the name calling on the site. The site has become an intellectual ghetto in the same way that Texags is. Except our "brand" requires intelligent discussion. The site would grow a lot more if that was still around. But it isn't because of the rep system. Half of your potential customers prefer Trump over Biden. People don't necessarily mind conflict, but they will get banned as a result of spree repping. Like MJ said, "Republicans buy shoes too". I don't pay because I know I management does not want me here. Also because I go years without posting. I'd like to see a table of all posters in rank order of number of negreps. I guarantee that with numbers that exceed the median by 100x, the posters with the most negreps are all TDS sufferers. I would guess JimmyJazz has the highest number.
  6. I just wanted to point out they had a losing record. Cause fuck Deion and his fucking virtue signaling. “And when you pray, do not be like the hypocrites, for they love to pray standing in the synagogues and on the street corners to be seen by others. Truly I tell you, they have received their reward in full."
  7. The numbers of battle tanks was too small, surely. But so was the ability to support and fuel those tanks. It's not just "a tank" it's an entire sustainment system that needs to operate in support of that tank. I saw an assessment that the average life span of a tank engaged in active combat is two weeks. If that is even close to correct, tanks are not the key to winning the battle. I think in today's environment, meaning drones, tanks do not make the critical difference. If they are out in the open, they get killed pretty quick. A bigger problem is the minefields. Russia has mined the shit out of every farmers field across the entire length of the battlefield. Out of courtesy to the Ukranians, they left open certain roads. These roads are what Americans call "kill zones". They funnel the enemy into a narrow corridor for easy targeting. I don't think anyone has the demining equipment, or the balls to sit out there and get shelled while engaged in demining operations. Either way, I don't think a few more tanks or a few more artillery shells will win the war. And I am sure you don't think that either. As best I can tell, there is no summer offensive this year. There is no hope of a breakthrough anytime soon, and some risk of a Russian offensive success this summer. The risk of a complete Ukranian collapse is higher than that of Russia at this point. There is no Wisdom of Solomon that can win the moment. Escalation is the only choice. Shit or get off the pot.
  8. Almost two years ago, the guy I was sitting next to got tasked to go to DC to participate in the planning for Ukraine's summer offensive. That was our plan they executed last summer, and it didn't work. We provided them all a metric shitton of equipment, tanks, 155mm artillery, missiles, more than enough to engage in what we call, by doctrine, combined arms operations. We sent their people to our bases, where they were given training on our equipment. Lastly, we developed the war plan that they were expected to implement. We supplied all of their logistical needs. We provided everything you could need to win a battle. The result of their efforts was the Ukraine got beat. They were unable to retake any territory. We can look back in retrospect and talk about air supremacy and drones and whatnot, but Ukraine has nothing to show for everything that we gave them. They are not, by any measurable metric, winning the war. In the present scenario, there is exactly zero reason to believe they can win. Attrition is not in their favor. Most of what you posted above is hope, not reality. Improving their defense, Patriot missiles or otherwise, will not win the war, merely prolong it. They need a dramatic increase in the resources available to fight the war, and they need it soon. I asked the question and I will ask it again. Show me the tactical path to victory. How will a depleted, borderline elderly, and outmanned Ukrainian army engage in offensive operations and destroy the Russian army in its territory? BREAK BREAK What I am in favor of is cutting off Russia from SWIFT. I support much stronger sanctions on Russia and Russian companies. I am favor of giving Ukraine much more powerful missiles IOT destroy the Kerch Bridge permanently. We should end the ability of Russians to freely travel outside of their country. I am in favor of an international tribunal similar to Nuremburg at which we can convict as many Russians as possible for their crimes. What I'd like to see is Poland send its army into Ukraine, as well as the Baltics and France. A bigger key would be sending their support people. Meaning maintenance and logistics. Establish ano fly zone over Ukraine and kill everything that moves. Probably, that would help a little. But alone it would not win the war. More likely, the Polish, Baltics, French, and maybe the US will need to start actively killing Russians, if the standard is to expel the Russians from Ukraine, including Crimea, a goal which I support. Of course we need to send much better weapons to the Ukrainians, not just artillery shells and F-16s. AC-130s maybe? Under no conditions should Putin be allowed to win this, or to appear to have won, or in any way defeated the West.
  9. I already said I disagree with the position. I merely said it has merit. It has been clear from the beginning the Putin is evil, I need not expound on that. Please show me, in simple steps, how Ukraine can win the war. They are currently engaged in a war of attrition with a much larger, much more populous country. Attrition is a battle of resources, and Ukraine is at or near its limit, with its chief constraint being fighting men. Currently, the AVERAGE ago of a front line fighter is 43 years old. They've lost almost half their population since the war started. They have been losing territory for the last 18 months. Please show me your plan for Ukraine to defeat the much larger Russian war machine. I'd love to see it. And then please share it with the Pentagon, they seem to lack your highly attuned tactical military expertise.
  10. I wasn't making it about you. I would also like add, if you aren't getting shot at, you aren't in the fight.
  11. Economic conditions are well known. And they are not bad. Your loss of subscribers is due to something else.
  12. I disagree with the Republican stance, but the argument that "Ukraine can't win and extending the war is resulting in needless slaughter" is not without merit. However, some of you people have been listening the QAnon a little too much. Your conspiracy theories and both insane and posted to the wrong forum.
  13. I am not sure CU is at the level of "locking down" anything. Maybe just target a winning record first.
  14. 1. Israel recently opened two new ports of entry for humanitarian aid. Obviously there was no strategic decision to starve 2 million Gazans. Anyone claiming this is experiencing hallucinations. 2. If you live in southern Israel, you are required to have a bomb shelter in your building. When Hamas launches missiles (toward civilian populations), an alert is sounded and you have 30 seconds to get to you and your loved ones into the shelter. This has been going on for decades. Most people probably remember the scene is Zero Dark Thirty where the CIA is meeting with an informant at a base in Afghanistan. For five miles in every direction around the base, there is nothing but desert. This is called "standoff". It is a safety perimeter that secures the lives of the people living on the base. What Israel requires is a safety perimeter for its civilian population so that they are not constantly being bombarded with missiles. I see no reason anyone should be subject to a small but constant stream of missile attacks as a permanent condition of existing. Frankly this should never have been acceptable. This went on for decades prior to the war, so these missiles were mostly sourced in Iran and brought in via tunnels built from construction materials Israel allowed into Gaza. Gaza was an open air prison prior to the war. Given what Hamas did, I can't think it's going to be anything but far worse in Gaza than it was before. I don't think Israel will let in much more than some food and medicine, certainly not construction materials which will allow for the creation of tunnels and rearming of Hamas. As far as Israel continuing to provide electricity to the Strip, I am also skeptical. Possibly some water. Support for the Gazans from Israel will be extremely limited. The Gazans are going to live in conditions I wouldn't wish on anyone, with no prospect of ever having decent lives and the constant threat of being killed.
  15. I'm still angry they preempted my Rockets playoff game for the idiotic car chase. Total bullshit.
  16. Your concern for my prostate is touching.
  17. With Sabermetrics you could see that the traditional stats had underlying limitations, and Sabermetrics obviously improved on that. The stats above look like somebody went to a lot of effort. But I NEVER find that stuff convincing. I like the PFF grading but have no way to evaluate its accuracy. Still, CJ averaged 4.8 per carry, and Blue averaged 6.1 CJ averaged 6.5 per reception, Blue 9.6. So he looks like a slightly better runner and a better receiver than CJ. But who knows. Play them both. Ipso facto, res ispa loquitor, veni vidi vici, fortis fortuna adiuvat we're gonna kick ass.
  18. So most people here outside of Lenny understand that an individual data point is not information. I am interested in the signal not the noise. Efficient market theory says you can't time the market. Mostly true, but you can be a little smarter. You can see trends. So for example, I think this is four in a row that came in above expectations. Of course my thesis is that this is driven by money printing. Said money printing has started to move up at a rate that is totally out of control. We've reached the steep part of the curve. Jamie Dimon discussed this recently: Every asset class is going to be affected. We've mostly got over the idiots saying "it can't happen here", so it's a much more rational discussion. Almost certainly the disaster hits within five years, possibly sooner. It really depends on when we go into recession. Deficits >12% during economic expansion are unheard of in our history. The government is borrowing almost 50% of what it is spending NOW, before the recession. Financial repression is a thing, everyone will sell their bonds and get out of the dollar when they realize what we've done. What Raoul Pal said about "we are all debt slaves" was really powerful. Pal's Bitcoin argument has some holes, for example I am not seeing a flood of money into BTC today, but regardless, I am positioning the portfolio to benefit from the inevitable. It seems like the money printing is finally driving prices up. I mean, I was a decade early and all, but here we are. It's not an argument I wanted to win. I blame mostly the 535 ladies and gentlemen of Congress. I hope they all get uncurable leprosy.
  19. You're too dumb engage with but you are a unique kind of message board hemlock. At least you understand you are highly regarded, that's about all one can expect.
  20. I don't speak for others, but I reject nihilism. Can't say for sure that's what you are selling.
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