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gmr548

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Everything posted by gmr548

  1. To? He will. Trump wants a rabid attack dog with undying loyalty. That's Gaetz. Trump will expect the GOP Senate to rubber stamp and try to bully them into compliance if they don't. He's not going to withdraw a nominee because Susan Collins is "concerned," he doesn't give a fuck. Through? Tossup at this juncture. Murkowski and the new Utah guy are more likely than not to be no's but Collins probably folds. GOP may or may not be down a vote with an empty seat from Vance. Lot of moving parts.
  2. Perhaps we'll see but I'm not sure. Matt Gaetz is a phenomenally stupid human being and there's a non zero chance he will be the Charlie Strong of political retribution.
  3. @Frank Drebin never answered me because he's just on a rage-filled shitposting binge (love that for you daddy) but Trump went ahead and answered for me in a couple days. lmao fade me
  4. This is the right answer in general. Texas-OU is the only weekend that's iffy for me, and that really only applies if the couple and social circle are UT alums/invested in the game. You should probably know better with that one. But if someone unaffiliated with UT or uninterested in UT football has a wedding then, I'm not going to get all butthurt about it; I may not go if it's not a close relationship, but I don't think that's a big deal either way.
  5. I'm a younger guy and way less into the whole "I hate my wife" bit that older generations, so I get where you're coming from and admire your perspective; but, I mean, this is a two way street. It's not a crazy ask of you to want to watch the Texas-A&M game without unneeded, somewhat frivolous interruption. Honestly the whole fall wedding backlash is overblown and only a handful of Texas games are appointment TV in a given season. This is one of them though. If this were Kentucky or Vanderbilt or ULM or some shit then who cares, but it isn't. And we're talking about a shower, not an actual wedding. Uber is the obvious solution here.
  6. Honestly I think this is spot on.
  7. Most of these are just showing that MAGA is still really bad at comedy but I'll give you the Don Lemon urinal one. The Matt Gaetz one is funny in an unintentional, laughing at him sort of way given he's had more work done than most Hollywood actresses.
  8. Net migration between the US and Mexico is basically zero over the past 15-20 years.
  9. To be fair, this is a two-way phenomenon, though it's always been notably stronger on the Republican side. Just really dumb.
  10. @PRONG HORN maybe the Power Lesbians, whatever that is, are coming for you next. Maybe you should flee the country and never post on Surly again. You know, for your safety.
  11. I don't think I've gotten these (didn't give money to the presidential campaign) but I do keep getting emails from Bob Casey's campaign (didn't give there either) asking for money. Bro. You're down 30k votes. You've been down 30k votes for a week. Every time the numbers change, you're down 30k votes. Your opponent has been invited to Senate freshman orientation. I don't know why the race isn't called. Fuck off.
  12. You are right, I should have included Ohio for one specific reason: Sherrod Brown has a good shot at getting back into the Senate in a special election for Vance's seat in 2026. If he's up for it, Democrats would be monumentally stupid to run anyone else.
  13. Democrats control the election infrastructure in most swing states and at least have enough power to stop any un-lower case "d" democratic legislation in all of them but Georgia. Democrats are going to have strong midterms in 2026. Elections are going to happen. The country may or may not be irreparably broken by 2028 but there will be an election.
  14. Yep. And the Democrat that gets elected in 2028 is going to inherit an ungovernable situation and motivated red state resistance. This country is officially an actively failing state.
  15. Polis is high on the names to watch for 2028 for me.
  16. Yeah I don't know what I thought you were referring to, but it wasn't the vitamin lol. So I've heard, though.
  17. I honest to god thought this would be the pick.
  18. Appreciate it. SIL/BIL lived here already so it's nice to have our people to show us the ropes. Ain't paying no $80/day in rent or whatever it is to hang out inside like I still live in Houston, that's for sure. Summer was great and fall's been surprisingly lovely, actually. A little worried about the dead of winter in Jan-March when fall color and holidays are over, football winds down, and it's been dark for a couple months with plenty more to go, but cross that bridge when we get there. D3? Educate my rube Texpat mind.
  19. This is funny because "enjoying myself and laughing at you losers" is basically by reaction to the Gaetz AG pick and the TV host SecDef guy whose name I don't even remember. Why are you excited? These are big unforced errors for important roles, whose Senate confirmations are legitimately in doubt and even if confirmed lack the competence to execute the plans you have such a weird little chub over. Trump and team are setting back their own agenda before they even arrive. A week in and it sure seems to me Trump is just in this to pardon himself, play golf on the public dime, and continue to grift people like you while not really giving a fuck. I don't know what they told you at fish camp but aggy is not in this club.
  20. Wife's had some bouts of homesickness after relocating out of TX earlier this year. On election night, in the window where it was pretty clear Harris was going to come up short in the Sun Belt but there was some hope to hold out for the Blue Wall, I remarked on the returns in Texas and Florida (Trump +9 in TX and +13 in FL at the time). "We are never fucking moving back." It was a really sad moment. I'm more or less with you. No interest in riding out a second Trump term in TX. WA is a state that's grown a lot over the last 10-20 years and is only going to be more attractive to those looking to get out of red states - to say nothing of climate change - in the coming years. I feel like the most productive thing I can do is lean into building community here and trying to contribute to making things better at the local/state level. And Canada's only a couple hours away.
  21. Would that be for all marriage/the default option, or would that just allow nutjobs to enter into a more stringent arrangement if they both consent? I mean, I know it's a slippery slope either way but there is a distinction.
  22. I don't even know the "Trump dance" bit and there's decent odds that this is just a couple white boys that can't dance, but if it's indeed a thing... Shouldn't your reaction be ShUt Up AnD dRiBbLe!1!1!1
  23. This is the caliber of troll I aspire to be. Darren Woods out here with the greatest IRL shitpost of all time.
  24. I have to admit I didn't think I could be surprised by a Trump cabinet pick but lmao Trump is really nominating a FOX News host for SecDef. This is the dumbest apocalypse.
  25. When you're down a couple of scores in the fourth quarter, as one could argue this situation represents? Reuben Gallego could be a name to watch.
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