I really don't know why you try to shake the Trump thing so hard when you've pretty consistently toed the line but whatever you say man. Coping some questions from the other thread:
Broad extension of the TCJA? Permanent or extending out to 2029 or something?
This is kind of vague. Are you saying we should expect a pretty standard GOP deregulation agenda of just generally shifting the sliding scale toward business interest? Or do you expect a more significant gutting of the federal government along the lines of major headcount reduction, agency elimination, partisan purge, etc?
Illegal border crossings are already relatively low - below 2019 figures, actually. Are you saying you expect exec action to reduce them further? If so, how? Is family separation back on the table? Do they pass the bill from earlier this year? What about deportations? RE: wall - Define this. Are we talking an actual wall from San Diego to Brownsville? Portions that have been authorized or started to date?
Obviously a big law - high level, what should we stays/goes from the IRA?
Fair to say you don't think tariffs will be broad enough and/or big enough to have an inflationary impact at a macro level?
Well, the Trump campaign has mentioned wanting to repeal (admittedly I believe this to simply be a tactic to rile up the base with no intention of real action). So the burden is on them and the GOP to tell us what they're talking about. They haven't. That's why I'm asking what to expect. There's plenty to go after - preexisting conditions, out of pocket max, eliminated annual lifetime maxes, covered essential services, employer mandate, premium subsidies, cost sharing, expanded Medicaid, etc etc.
I think it would be a pretty big surprise if Democrats won the House at this point. The House probably ends up within a couple seats in either direction of where it is now; which is to say slim, unruly GOP majority. I'd define an abortion ban as any law imposing a more restrictive limit than existed under Roe v Wade. I don't think such a thing would get through Congress but the Trump campaign and GOP have talked out of both sides of their mouth on the issue, similar to the ACA, so I'm asking what to expect. Do they go after abortion rights? Do they go after any other civil liberties - contraception/birth control, same sex marriage, etc?
What would it take for you to consider a hypothetical ceasefire/peace agreement in Ukraine to be a sweetheart deal for Putin? What's a reasonable expectation of a peace agreement? Do you think we should expect US involvement in Ukrainian reconstruction efforts?
What about the Israel-Gaza conflict? Will there be any notable difference between Trump and Biden with regard to that? What if Israel makes a larger offensive push into Lebanon?