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Everything posted by Serak The Preparer
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Every State's least favorite State
Serak The Preparer replied to Bash Riprock's topic in Daily Texan
"Every state's favorite other state' - Minnesota likes Canada Shit, did I miss something in quarantine? Does this mean no tariffs on maple syrup or Canadian Bacon? Is defunding the police really about transitioning to Mounties? -
While I assume you are throwing that 0.0001% number out there as your baseline, I don't think it is absurd to say you are several orders of magnitude too low on that. I think it is way closer to 1%. Still not likely, to be sure. But that is enough for me to at least suggest we should think about this contingency.
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i think the idea of secret service arresting trump is super low. But that is not the only concern. Also, what does option 1 even mean? I think we will have a substantial shift in use of mail-in ballots. In your writing, it seems that this necessitates opportunity for substantive foreign interference. I do not think that foreign interference is likely, so how would option 1 even be assessed? Just to be complete, I would say option 1 is likely (assuming as you did that mail-in ballots necessarily facilitate opportunities for foreign interference. I think option 2 is unlikely. How would you rate the likelihood of the following additional items? 1B - Substantial shift to the use of mail in ballots during pandemic leads to Trump / Barr / Other national Republicans claiming interference without evidence? 2B - Trump uses this claim to prepare some kind of legal challenge to election, leading to some level of chaos / confusion as to next president?
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Surprised by your post @Bama Chick, especially calling Faith a bitch. I sweater god, not trying to mansplain (I am a white dude, full disclosure), but despite @washparkhorn's declaration, Karen is not a gender-neutral insult. Yes, you can call a man a Karen, just like you can call a man a pussy, a bitch, a cunt, etc., but the point of calling a man these things is to further emphasize that women are inferior to men in some way. This is far from gender neutral. The behavior that many white women display is absolutely terrible and is certainly a result of weaponizing the privilege they have, but I am not sure that we as a culture really need another pejorative term aimed at women. Doing so gives cover to the behavior / comments that Faith noticed, about further emphasizing the gender / looks / quality of the targets using even more misogynistic language.
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COVID-19 2nd wave - Texas only - Stats and such
Serak The Preparer replied to justhookit's topic in Daily Texan
What's the situation like in Texas? I live in California now, and here there were significant shortages of blood. At least locally, they started offering free COVID-19 antibody test with donation and all of a sudden it's a 3-week waiting list to donate. Is that being done in your area? -
I am biased but T-Mac over Bradley will always be my favorite, especially for being in the playoffs.
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Man, it is just so odd that those right-wing twitter accounts that you follow are really tracking the Bubba Watson story but aren't alerting you to the cops-faking-illness story. I guess it will forever be a mystery about why you are only getting select news stories.
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These ideas are good on paper, and are certainly in use in many places, but the goal (not to impact low income residents too much) is not always met. For instance, let's say a household can use X gallons for low cost. If there are two people there, they each get X/2 low-cost gallons. Now let's say that due to job loss, kids / siblings / friends move in. The amount of low-cost gallons doesn't change, but more people are using those gallons. This means they will move to higher tiers much sooner, paying more per gallon. These people, who live together to save cost, are more negatively impacted by tiered pricing than middle-class or better households.
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COVID-19 2nd wave - Texas only - Stats and such
Serak The Preparer replied to justhookit's topic in Daily Texan
As @bschoolprof pointed out, exponential and logarithmic growth are inversely related. That means if you have logarithmic growth, but show the data with the y-axis using exponential growth, they "cancel" each out out and you have a straight line. Similarly, with exponential growth, if you plot using a logarithmic scale, it looks linear (or flatter). It is easy to get growth vs scale mixed in the message. -
Umm, I'm -pretty darn sure the first image is from protests in 2015. Note the signs specific to Freddy Gray, and the sign mentioning spines that break (Freddy Gray had a spinal injury). Also there is not a single mask present, which should be the biggest clue that maybe that image is not from present day. So unless you are trying to prove that protesters were morons for not recognizing the risk of COVID-19 in 2015, not sure the relevance? What right-wing news site or twitter feed did you see that on? For the bottom image, is that supposed to disprove Brisket's point? I haven't counted faces but I think I see two uncovered mouths? Maybe I missed one but it sure looks relatively close to 95% to me.
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Ha, I forgot how it started, just remember the fence. Akita something, right? And then it led to a hilariously awkward party at his house involving suspicious-looking sausage?
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Thanks for posting this, hasn't been discussed. You should cross post this in the football forum, I bet it will lead to some healthy and productive conversations.
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OK, fess up. Is this a bit or are you really this dense? I will again quote the passage (that you typed or pasted): "We disrupt the Western-prescribed nuclear family structure requirement by supporting each other as extended families and “villages” that collectively care for one another, especially our children, to the degree that mothers, parents, and children are comfortable." I bolded a word for you, one that you keep skipping for some weird totally-not-prejudiced reason. To be super super duper clear, they are not stating they want to disrupt the nuclear family. They are trying to disrupt the requirement for a nuclear family. As certain posters love to post, the amount of kids raised in non-nuclear (e.g. two parent) households is lower in black families relative to rest of population. As such, they want to increase awareness / acceptance / opportunity for other parts of society to help. Is this now clear to you or are you clinging to the notion that BLM wants to "destroy" the nuclear family?
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First, start reading a full sentence. This is a critical step. Once you do that, you can see that they want to disrupt the nuclear family requirement, not the actual family. They are saying the want to augment structure where the traditional nuclear family is not there, by offering further support as a village.
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[Serious] question: do you think anyone reading this thinks otherwise? Is anyone thinking "holy shit, this is WW 3!". We all know it's a skirmish, India and China have had this skirmishes for literally decades. Yes any incident is interesting to read about, and I talk to colleagues in India about their perceptions, but even for a discussion board your comments are essentially fluffy air with no weight. Hell, a post that just says "wow" is less insufferable than a post making obvious declarative statements with a voice of insight that offers no insight at all. COVID-19 is making me cranky.
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So it won't be bad. But there is a danger it's bad. This is some top-notch analysis.
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Hispanic Houston man found hanging from a tree
Serak The Preparer replied to Pancho's topic in Daily Texan
Guys, don't worry, I'm sure if anyone were to go back to the Minneapolis is burning thread, I'm sure that you would find 16 negs from @Johnny Sack, @StruggleBus, @John Lawrence, and@Enchubben for all of the false reports about bricks being left out by Antifa, reports by Andy Ngo that are blatantly false, etc. These guys are paragons of virtue and would NEVER preferential neg false posts by Pancho over other, say, differently complexioned posters. -
That's great if yourself and AoC are trying to be conservatives without being Trump conservatives. I am not being sarcastic - that really is great. The problem is that this literally does not exist at the national level. There are essentially no conservatives that hold any national office that is not obedient to Trump (sort of exceptions with maybe Amash and Romney, but they have not provided significant resistance to any Trump initiative that I am aware of). And while you and AoC may not think the Trump admin is inherently racist (or maybe you do, not trying to pin you to anything), most of the people on this board do. So there are the two inherent associations: Trump = Racist and Conservative = Trump. I suspect that bridging either of those gaps is going to be impossible.
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I think we are certainly going to end up agreeing to disagree, but I will simply say that for myself, I am trying really hard lately to not assume that was is a really normal and easy response for me is also a really normal and easy response for others.
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Twicehorn already responded to part of your post, but I think you are being very myopic with your view of liberal intolerance. Who are the tolerant conservative voices? Who is there to react to? In the views of many, the conservative Congress and Senate essentially punished any tolerance from a policy-viewpoint, from reaction to Medical reform, Merrick Garland, etc. If there is no voice of reason in power, how can there be reason in response? That trickles down to social discussion. Hell maybe liberals started it, I don't know, but it's not just a lack of tolerance from liberals online. In terms of JK Rowling specifically you are again coming at this from your point of view, which is totally understandable and expected, but then assuming that it is the RIGHT point of view. She most certainly didn't come at her blog post from a place of love. I don't know that it came from a place of hate, but it certainly didn't come from love. It is her honest viewpoint to be sure, but it is coming down to a community that already feel marginalized and hurt. I don't fully agree with this response, but I would urge you to check out this Instagram post. I know, Instagram, but it is an annotated response that rationally discusses why her post was so hurtful and led to much of the reaction. I came upon this through news aggregation, otherwise would never have seen this, but found it really interesting. It starts not from Rowling not acceding to group think, but rather supporting someone who explicitly denies that Trans women are women. You may agree with that, or may not agree but think it is not a big deal, but I think you could at least agree that it is a big deal to that community, and therefore stirs up a whole mess of response and emotion.
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I think you have a lot of redundancy there, and not all of it makes sense. I think (in your mind), escalating the dialogue, refusing to answer normal questions, and being a dick neighbor are all the same thing, right? She asked for information from a nominal neighbor, and he didn't provide it. Keep in mind one thing: he lived there, she didn't. She represented herself as being in the neighborhood and being a neighbor, but she wasn't. If she actually was a neighbor, and therefore if he actually recognized her as such, his reaction may have been completely different. In other words, you can't blame him for being a dick neighbor to someone who was not actually a neighbor! Also, is filming bad behavior? If I am a minority (and to be clear, I am not, I am lily-white) and two older white people come up to me asking questions, am I escalating by filming with my phone? I don't think so, do you think that is inherently bad? Finally, posting online and whining about victomhood. What in your mind is the appropriate response to strangers coming to me and accusing me of being a vandal? How much whining did he do? Was it a single post to illustrate the level of expectation that white people have for minorities to answer their questions? Did he suggest tracking her down and making her miserable? These last two questions are not rhetorical, as I don't know. If it was a single post, then holy crap I think you are overreacting. If it was multiple posts going on and on (like in this forum) then I would lean towards agreeing with you.
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