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LCHorn

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Everything posted by LCHorn

  1. Tell me more about Merissa Hansen-hot and crazy is my wheelhouse.
  2. I like to make fun of him but looks like Habib called it yesterday in regards to today's CPI.
  3. Many years from now we’ll discover that MLB perpetrated a league wide conspiracy to steal signs but only at Minute Maid and only provided to the away teams.
  4. I think it’s 95% pledges, personally.
  5. You're misunderstanding the strategy--their objective in most cases isn't to poach from our roster, it's to increase OUR cost of retention. If I'm supporting @Wulaw Horn's argument, I'd say this works both ways--we need to be doing that to Aggie, too.
  6. I doubt Worthy is the only pure mercenary on our team and it behooves the Aggies to tempt whoever isn't a starter or just wants to get a better deal out of our NIL. This one doesn't require that much imagination, but let's say Dan Lanning comes in and wants to build his defense around Hicks. Hicks doesn't want to go, really, but Lanning has the institutional support to offer $250K in "NIL" money and that's a big bag. I'd presume we'll match but maybe we'd have only paid Hicks $100K otherwise. That $150K additional isn't there now for Bryce Anderson or whoever. If I was A&M I'm making very clear to the Texas players that the bank is open just to see who appears interested.
  7. I know we are all excited about poaching off the Aggie roster but here’s a little glass half empty rebuttal-the chaos of a coaching change always results in a bunch of transfers out and that’s before NIL and a feckless NCAA made it attractive to jump. If A&M does lose 40% of its roster, it’s going to be natural for boosters to hunt for replacements and our roster would be a good place to start. I doubt they pull anyone but it likely makes it more expensive to keep the roster intact and those dollars could otherwise be devoted to incoming transfers. I’m sure we’ll happily take a player or two if they come with low demands in an area we expect to lose starters to the NFL, but I doubt we are going to spend big if USC or someone else gets greedy.
  8. I think it’s telling that from all appearances, they made a decent movie. They just can’t sell tickets for it.
  9. I think it was @Brisketexan who touted his method of tipping $20 or more on the first drink. I guess that’s prudent if you’re the only one there but most of the time I’m getting a single cocktail before a dinner seating or it’s a bar where it’s so busy that keeping up with patrons would seem a low priority for a bartender.
  10. It’s not just that; quite a few realtors I talk to are half terrified of negotiating anything. They get overly concerned with the listing agent’s opinion of them. When I do new agent classes there’s always a few “wait, I can do that?” responses. I’m always like “hell yeah, that’s the fun part-why did you get in this business again?”
  11. I always wonder about that, too. Tipping a bartender 15% for opening a bottle of wine seems excessive if that’s the same expected tip for waitstaff hustling back and forth from your table repeatedly.
  12. Marvel’s issue is needing Ant-Man to do better than $500m to make a profit. I agree with @atomheartbevo, they’ve got to find a way to lower the stakes from Endgame and still have a compelling cross-film background narrative.
  13. The issue, for which you likely agree, isn’t specific to just Talarico. It’s that any state rep from the minority party is a bad candidate to win a campaign against Ted Cruz. Plus, I’m picking on you Talarico partisans a bit-ya’ll are a little like Westlake parents thinking every one of your football players should be recruited by UT. Gina Hinojosa and Vikki Goodwin, just to name two local reps, have more appeal, in my opinion, than Talarico and no one is promoting them as formidable in a hypothetical race against Cruz.
  14. Are you the guy on the board that is constantly pimping Talarico? He’s going to need to actually accomplish something first besides giving the diminished number of white male Democrats a candidate who looks like them. At least run for mayor or something. NYT just ran a conversation with Frank Bruni, Nate Silver and someone else with whom I’m unfamiliar and one of the three commented that they thought Allred is a better candidate than Beto was in 2018. I disagree, I think that campaign represents the top end of what a Dem could have done in that race but I am interested to see if Allred’s pending loss shows us something new about the electorate.
  15. I have a suspicion that the entire industry is built on a canard that falls apart quickly if providers actually have to document services performed besides entering in a billing code.
  16. I just can’t envision a scenario in which any of the rumored or actual third party candidates hinder Biden more than Trump.
  17. Off topic but why cast a total fox like Paula Patton and then omit her from your print ads? Was this a one sheet only for Des Moines?
  18. That update is completely devoid of new information. No news means it's Espada? Brown would certainly understand that his role in the organization is strengthened if the manager appears beholden to him for support. It just doesn't appear that Crane wants him to have that kind of authority.
  19. I'll join you there--I've seen nothing so far that's encouraging about his tenure.
  20. I was going to write a rebuttal to this but @Js1 got there before me. I think there's this perception that the Democrats nationally are total boobs when it comes to running campaigns, messaging, how to allocate limited resources, etc., and it's unsupported by the lots of evidence to the contrary. We (in Texas) are probably a little more sensitive to it just because our state party apparatus has been starving to death for 20 years in both money and talent.
  21. Well put.
  22. I’m going to sound a little like Bozo on this but I think the nature of the disparate coalitions comprising the Dems make this impossible (or, just really, really hard) compared to the GOP. I’m sure there’s a plan, in fact there’s probably 50 different plans but nothing that unites the 2020 Biden voters. Let’s be honest, that one was a surprise and I doubt most of us were predicting it after Iowa. It took the campaign to build that coalition and I think a lot of voters, I among them, ended up casting a vote against Trump/what he represents as much as in support of Biden. Those same dynamics will exist in ‘24. This is where I differ from Axelrod, too-you just don’t retire when you have the power of incumbency, and I don’t see a Senator Obama standing on the periphery who seems broadly appealing if only there wasn’t an incumbent he’d have to run against.
  23. Who is “they”? You write as if there’s a group of elites higher than the sitting President who have leverage if they could coalesce around an alternative. I would posit that the swing electorate is still quite capable of being re-engaged and will do as as the campaigns start spending money more freely.
  24. I bet Dusty could have been talked out of retirement for $8m.
  25. This is where I miss 538 picking apart the poll or putting it in context.
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