Jump to content

LCHorn

Full Members
  • Posts

    2750
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by LCHorn

  1. I always wonder about that, too. Tipping a bartender 15% for opening a bottle of wine seems excessive if that’s the same expected tip for waitstaff hustling back and forth from your table repeatedly.
  2. Marvel’s issue is needing Ant-Man to do better than $500m to make a profit. I agree with @atomheartbevo, they’ve got to find a way to lower the stakes from Endgame and still have a compelling cross-film background narrative.
  3. The issue, for which you likely agree, isn’t specific to just Talarico. It’s that any state rep from the minority party is a bad candidate to win a campaign against Ted Cruz. Plus, I’m picking on you Talarico partisans a bit-ya’ll are a little like Westlake parents thinking every one of your football players should be recruited by UT. Gina Hinojosa and Vikki Goodwin, just to name two local reps, have more appeal, in my opinion, than Talarico and no one is promoting them as formidable in a hypothetical race against Cruz.
  4. Are you the guy on the board that is constantly pimping Talarico? He’s going to need to actually accomplish something first besides giving the diminished number of white male Democrats a candidate who looks like them. At least run for mayor or something. NYT just ran a conversation with Frank Bruni, Nate Silver and someone else with whom I’m unfamiliar and one of the three commented that they thought Allred is a better candidate than Beto was in 2018. I disagree, I think that campaign represents the top end of what a Dem could have done in that race but I am interested to see if Allred’s pending loss shows us something new about the electorate.
  5. I have a suspicion that the entire industry is built on a canard that falls apart quickly if providers actually have to document services performed besides entering in a billing code.
  6. I just can’t envision a scenario in which any of the rumored or actual third party candidates hinder Biden more than Trump.
  7. Off topic but why cast a total fox like Paula Patton and then omit her from your print ads? Was this a one sheet only for Des Moines?
  8. That update is completely devoid of new information. No news means it's Espada? Brown would certainly understand that his role in the organization is strengthened if the manager appears beholden to him for support. It just doesn't appear that Crane wants him to have that kind of authority.
  9. I'll join you there--I've seen nothing so far that's encouraging about his tenure.
  10. I was going to write a rebuttal to this but @Js1 got there before me. I think there's this perception that the Democrats nationally are total boobs when it comes to running campaigns, messaging, how to allocate limited resources, etc., and it's unsupported by the lots of evidence to the contrary. We (in Texas) are probably a little more sensitive to it just because our state party apparatus has been starving to death for 20 years in both money and talent.
  11. Well put.
  12. I’m going to sound a little like Bozo on this but I think the nature of the disparate coalitions comprising the Dems make this impossible (or, just really, really hard) compared to the GOP. I’m sure there’s a plan, in fact there’s probably 50 different plans but nothing that unites the 2020 Biden voters. Let’s be honest, that one was a surprise and I doubt most of us were predicting it after Iowa. It took the campaign to build that coalition and I think a lot of voters, I among them, ended up casting a vote against Trump/what he represents as much as in support of Biden. Those same dynamics will exist in ‘24. This is where I differ from Axelrod, too-you just don’t retire when you have the power of incumbency, and I don’t see a Senator Obama standing on the periphery who seems broadly appealing if only there wasn’t an incumbent he’d have to run against.
  13. Who is “they”? You write as if there’s a group of elites higher than the sitting President who have leverage if they could coalesce around an alternative. I would posit that the swing electorate is still quite capable of being re-engaged and will do as as the campaigns start spending money more freely.
  14. I bet Dusty could have been talked out of retirement for $8m.
  15. This is where I miss 538 picking apart the poll or putting it in context.
  16. It’s interesting to consider the body politic on here versus the Austin Reddit group-they, by comparison, are very pro-bike lanes.
  17. He has the yips and needs a slump buster.
  18. It hadn’t occurred to me before, but now that you mention it women play fully fleshed our roles in Tai-Pan and Noble House, too. When I first the books I just presumed it was in keeping with a late 60’s/early 70’s motif of heros and heroines possessing almost supernatural talents (think Fleming’s Bond novels), but I think you’re right, I think Clavelle wants to recognize that you cannot tell those stories well purely from the worldview of the central character.
  19. He’s also such perfect casting for Toranaga. I tried to watch the Richard Chamberlain miniseries a few months back and got through the first hour-it’s a pretty straight adaptation (and well done if dated). I’m excited to see an update that places the women in more central roles. I hadn’t considered that until seeing the trailer-it looks like there’s more perspective given to Mariko’s story.
  20. Congrats, I guess? Everyone looks thrilled to be there in picture 2.
  21. That's not what today's bond market reaction is telling us.
  22. So I wanted to chime in last night when I was reading @StassneyHorn and @Wulaw Horn before it kind of devolved into a debate on whether we're in a recession and then I passed out after getting the kids down to bed. I do think, in terms of Wu hearing consistently from his borrowers various economic concerns, there's a political part to this (this is a little unavoidably CR)--his part of North Houston/Kingwood is culturally aligned to the GOP (I would say MAGA but most of those folks don't have any money). We've seen from surveys that the right's sense of their economic well being is very much in thrall to whichever party is in charge in the federal government (I'm sure this is somewhat true on the left but I'll leave any speculation on the reason for CR). TLDR: Wu's borrowers perceive themselves off as worse off than they really are. Either way, it's a barrier to making a large purchase.
  23. Interesting that Brown refers to players by name. I would have expected someone analytically minded to say something like “we’ve got potentially 150 relief innings we need to replace..”
  24. I'm putting my money on the 5/24; Habib will write that his predictions for May 2023 was actually for May 2024.
  25. I thought you guys were bros? Hasn’t he helped you on the NIL stuff?
×
×
  • Create New...