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Posted

Texas is really a committee problem if there are no major upsets and Texas beats A&M and finishes fifth in the league.  Vandy and OU are head to head behind Texas but higher in the CFP rankings. You’ve also got the question of diversity of conference representation. There’s no way 6 are getting in, heck 5 is a stretch. Currently Texas is the 7th highest SEC team in the CFP rankings and 5th in the standings.  Shit the SEC only got 3 last year. 5, 6 or even 7? Pretty hard to see it. Not sure the “committee” is ready to call it that way. Maybe they should. 

Posted
13 hours ago, Hagbard Celine said:

you're alive!

i wondered how long it would take for you to surface

i have a question for you......

ensign peak advisors currently has 293 billion under management.....

has there been any talk of the first presidency going all in on nil?

Not sure where you get your info, funds under management are pure speculation. Let's say it is 200B+. You ever heard of the Parable of the Talents? We are good stewards of the resources entrusted to us. Deal with it. 

The current president of the church was formerly the president of BYU and supports BYU, but BYU athletics are self-funded and supported by generous donors. No church funds are used for athletics. We run our athletics in the black, unlike many in the Big 10 and elsewhere. We have a number of billionaires (mostly quiet about it) and lots of multiple-hundreds-of-millions millionaires that generously give and support.

You sound annoyed that BYU is ranked higher in both football and basketball than UT. 

Posted
13 hours ago, The_Great_Hornsby said:

Proving that you dont belong in the field because you literally cant beat one of the weaker CFP teams in Tech, meanwhile Texas will be 2-2 against CFP teams with the only losses coming to the #1 and #2 teams in the country on the road. 

Tech barely lost to a very good ASU team and Tech was w/o their starting QB. They are at full strength now and have a nasty defense. They will be trouble in the CFP. 

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Posted (edited)

Texas just needs too much shit to happen in front of it - assuming we beat aggy.

#1-4 are in regardless of what happens this weekend. It's hard to see Tech missing so use them for the B12 placeholder.

ACC and G5 get another 2 in. Notre Dame is going to pile-drive Stanford so put them in. 

Would Texas jump Oregon or Ole Miss if those teams lost? Seems like too many spots to make up and we'd be down in the loss column still. 

That leaves 2 spots for #8-16 - not including ND. (I don't think anyone below Texas has a chance for an at-large unless some really wild shit happens).

That's 2 spots for EIGHT teams. I don't see tOSU losing this season so cross Michigan off. 

Let's assume Texas jumps Utah (as we fucking should). Scratch them off.

I'm not sure Texas jumps Miami if the Canes get a road win against ranked Pitt. I do think that Texas would jump both OU and Alabama if either of those teams lost. Texas obviously jumps Vandy if Tenn wins and Tenn wouldn't jump Texas. 

So say Vandy and Miami both lose (which is very possible). Texas would STILL need two of three of Bama, OU and BYU to drop a game. 

I don't know what the odds are on that parlay but it is fucking slim. That said - IF that happens (it's not going to) it's hard to see Texas not getting the last spot.

Beat aggy and then start cleaning shit up in the offseason. At the end of the day the Florida loss fucked us and that's fair. You want to make the field, you have to win games like that. 

Edited by ztejas
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Posted

So on Friday...  best case CFP scenario for HORNS 🤘

  • UGA blowout win 
  • UTAH loss
  • TEXAS solid win
Quote

Tried to grab info on all games that might influence CFP

Friday, November 28, 2025

  • 7MISS     @  MSST      11:00 AM
  • 13UTAH   @  KU          11:00 AM
  • 4UGA      @  23GT       2:30 PM
  • TEM        @  UNT         2:30 PM
  • 2 IU         @  PUR         6:30 PM
  • 3TA&M    @  16TEX     6:30 PM

Saturday, November 29, 2025

  • 1OSU      @  15MICH         11:00 AM
  • 5TTU      @  WVU             11:00 AM
  • 12MIA     @  22PITT         11:00 AM
  • UCF        @  11BYU           12:00 PM
  • 6ORE      @  WASH            2:30 PM
  • LSU        @  8OU               2:30 PM
  • 14VAN    @  19TENN         2:30 PM
  • JMU       @  CCU               2:45 PM
  • VT          @  18UVA            6:00 PM
  • 10ALA     @  AUB               6:30 PM
  • CLT         @  24TULN        6:30 PM
  • UCLA      @  17USC           6:30 PM
  • 21SMU    @  CAL               7:00 PM
  • 9ND        @  STAN             9:30 PM

 

Posted
1 hour ago, ztejas said:

Texas just needs too much shit to happen in front of it - assuming we beat aggy.

#1-4 are in regardless of what happens this weekend. It's hard to see Tech missing so use them for the B12 placeholder.

ACC and G5 get another 2 in. Notre Dame is going to pile-drive Stanford so put them in. 

Would Texas jump Oregon or Ole Miss if those teams lost? Seems like too many spots to make up and we'd be down in the loss column still. 

That leaves 2 spots for #8-16 - not including ND. (I don't think anyone below Texas has a chance for an at-large unless some really wild shit happens).

That's 2 spots for EIGHT teams. I don't see tOSU losing this season so cross Michigan off. 

Let's assume Texas jumps Utah (as we fucking should). Scratch them off.

I'm not sure Texas jumps Miami if the Canes get a road win against ranked Pitt. I do think that Texas would jump both OU and Alabama if either of those teams lost. Texas obviously jumps Vandy if Tenn wins and Tenn wouldn't jump Texas. 

So say Vandy and Miami both lose (which is very possible). Texas would STILL need two of three of Bama, OU and BYU to drop a game. 

I don't know what the odds are on that parlay but it is fucking slim. That said - IF that happens (it's not going to) it's hard to see Texas not getting the last spot.

Beat aggy and then start cleaning shit up in the offseason. At the end of the day the Florida loss fucked us and that's fair. You want to make the field, you have to win games like that. 

This is my assessment for the Ohio state loss keeps us out people. I don't think the scenario is that much different. Mid season wtf loss and late blowout against top opponent is appropriately ranked 16

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Posted
9 hours ago, Crockett said:

Tech barely lost to a very good ASU team and Tech was w/o their starting QB. They are at full strength now and have a nasty defense. They will be trouble in the CFP. 

The championship will be won by one of 3 teams. OSU, UGA, or Bama. 

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Posted
33 minutes ago, cmontexas said:

I think if we win tonight, wins by Ohio St and Auburn (good luck with that) are what we need to get us in

I think a loss for OU is needed if Bama wins. Also need Vandy to lose to Tenn (I dont have faith they will put us in front of them). The conversation needs to be between a 3 loss Texas and 1 loss BYU that loses to Tech again in the Big 12 title game. Both Bama and OU losing would put us in without the need for any beauty pageant.

Posted
On 11/27/2025 at 6:05 PM, The_Great_Hornsby said:

You will get nor argument from me on ND. A 3 loss Texas should be ahead of those clowns. In fact, I dont think ND should even get a spot until they join a conference. 

What about a 4 loss Texas?

Posted (edited)

Games that might affect CFP... 

Saturday, November 29, 2025

  • 1OSU      @  15MICH         11:00 AM
  • 5TTU      @  WVU             11:00 AM
  • 12MIA     @  22PITT         11:00 AM
  • UCF        @  11BYU           12:00 PM
  • 6ORE      @  WASH            2:30 PM
  • LSU        @  8OU               2:30 PM
  • 14VAN    @  19TENN         2:30 PM
  • JMU       @  CCU               2:45 PM
  • VT          @  18UVA            6:00 PM
  • 10ALA     @  AUB               6:30 PM
  • CLT         @  24TULN        6:30 PM
  • UCLA      @  17USC           6:30 PM
  • 21SMU    @  CAL               7:00 PM
  • 9ND        @  STAN             9:30 PM
  •  
Quote

CFP Top 25

IMG_20251128_224036.thumb.jpg.b491eb556f68bdef90b41ae37dcf6f68.jpg

 

Edited by LTtxfan
Posted (edited)
1 hour ago, LTtxfan said:

 

I listened to him on the radio on the way home form the game. He unequivocally said we CHOSE to play OSU and we 100% should not be penalized for playing the best teams and the resume comparisons shouldnt just look at the losses but the entire resume. He went on to say we beat 3 top 10 teams and played 5 total with the two losses coming on the road to top 5 competition. He then said "I know everyone is going to wave their arms and say BUT what about the Florida loss. Well, if we hadnt scheduled Ohio State we would have two losses and this wouldnt even be a discussion. So I find that argument to be disingenuous." 

Edited by The_Great_Hornsby
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Posted (edited)
9 hours ago, LTtxfan said:

 

Is he talking into a mirror?  

1. someone had absolute control over Texas wins/ losses.  Steve Sarkisian.

2.  Flipside of that and better argument is Texas' record against the top teams in the SEC, as well as teams in CFP consideration.  The eye test says they belong, but the losses matter too.  

 

I won't be pissed if they're in.  I won't be pissed if they're out.

Edited by Iceman
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Posted (edited)

(Brad Crawford) Bowl projections: Miami shines as bubble team in focus, Texas joins College Football Playoff discussion

Quote

For one final time during the regular season, we've updated our bowl game and College Football Playoff projections coming out of rivalry weekend ahead of the selection committee's penultimate top 25 rankings on Tuesday. This will be a telling poll from the committee for teams on the bubble, including BYU, Miami, Vanderbilt and Texas, among others. Miami won its fourth straight game in convincing fashion at Pittsburgh to end with season and leave the committee with something to think about during deliberations. And for Texas, no team during rivalry weekend managed a more emphatic victory after the Longhorns squashed Texas A&M's unbeaten season.

The way we see it, the following teams are playoff locks entering conference championship weekend: Ohio State, Indiana, Georgia, Texas Tech, Oregon and Ole Miss. Two other seeds are going to the ACC and Group of Five winners, which leaves four at-large spots that are up for debate entering Tuesday night. Oklahoma, Notre Dame and Alabama were ranked in the Nos. 8, 9 and 10 spots last week, while BYU and Miami were essentially placeholders at Nos. 11 and 12. Those seeds will go to the final two conference champions, leaving the No. 10 seed to receive the final, coveted at-large selection.

The great Texas debate

The win over Texas A&M gave the Longhorns three victories this season over opponents ranked inside the current top 15 of the playoff rankings, but the other side to that equation? The losses. While the committee could justify putting Texas as the first three-loss, at-large team to ever make the field, who the Longhorns would replace as a result is the bigger dilemma. Then, there's the game control metric. The Longhorns suffered a 25-point loss at Georgia this month and lost to a 3-9 Florida team in October whose only win since came against Mississippi State, a team Texas beat after falling behind by 17 points in the fourth quarter. Kentucky took the Longhorns to overtime, while Arkansas piled up 512 yards of total offense and 37 points against Texas last week. The Razorbacks finished 2-10 and winless in SEC play this season.

And what will be particularly difficult to swallow for the Longhorns is the fact there's potentially four programs from the state of Texas that will make the field without one of them being college football's preseason No. 1. Elsewhere, more than a dozen teams with five wins entering Saturday needed a victory to reach bowl eligibility, and only seven managed to do so: Penn State, Kansas State, Army, Texas State, Arkansas State, Louisiana, Georgia Southern and Washington State. We're expecting Missouri State (7-5) and Delaware (6-6) to fill the final two spots after transitioning from FCS this season. Here's a glance at how we see the final 12-team CFP bracket unfolding next month coming out of rivalry weekend:

College Football Playoff 

Quarterfinals 

Date Game / Location Projection

Jan. 1 

Rose Bowl
Pasadena, Calif.

(1) Ohio State vs. (8/9) Winner

Jan. 1 

Sugar Bowl
New Orleans, La.

(2) Georgia vs. (7/10) Winner

Jan. 1 

Orange Bowl
Miami, Fla.

(3) Indiana vs. (6/11) Winner

Dec. 31 

Cotton Bowl
Arlington, Texas

(4) Texas Tech vs. (5/12) Winner

First round

Date  Location Projection Winner faces

Dec. 19 or 20

Oklahoma Memorial Stadium
Norman, Okla.

(8) Oklahoma vs. (9) Notre Dame (1) Ohio State

Dec. 19 or 20

Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Oxford, Miss.

(7) Ole Miss vs. (10) Alabama (2) Georgia

Dec. 19 or 20

Autzen Stadium
Eugene, Ore.

(6) Oregon vs. (11) Virginia (3) Indiana

Dec. 19 or 20

Kyle Field
College Station, Texas

(5) Texas A&M vs. (12) North Texas (4) Texas Tech

 

Edited by satyanash

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