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Posted (edited)

Looking at the final 3 weeks of SEC action there are tons of scenarios that can play out and as of Today only Alabama and Georgia control their own destiny. 

Remaining Schedule with favorites highlighted

image.png.7666b9d2753bf9e3c462b1f598a56c92.png

If all the favorites win their remaining games Alabama plays Georgia in the SECCG. 

 

Spoiler

image.png.8638609eb56685640ae54fd538e6dd87.png

 

If Texas and all other favorites win out. Texas loses the tiebreaker but gets into the playoffs around the 5-6 seed IMO. 

Spoiler

image.png.dc105a0639293e0da410f18bcb7d07b6.png

For Texas to get in with the 4 way Tiebreaker they need to win out and have Vandy to win out against Kentucky and Tennessee. 

 

Spoiler

image.thumb.png.735cd6a88321c480b2f4d41c331bd8c4.png

 

If Texas wins out and Oklahoma beats Alabama this weekend Texas finishes 1st in the standings then faces Bama in the SECCG. 

 

Spoiler

image.thumb.png.6753e91a5ce279732f4c6a22cccacd33.png

 

The only way Texas gets in with a Bama loss to Auburn in the Iron bowl, Florida would have to beat Ole Miss this weekend. In this scenario Texas gets in regardless of Florida/Tennessee next weekend 

Spoiler

image.png.aaa749ab6858feaddf1697d2ac5aa248.png

 

Reference: https://bball.notnothing.net/sec.php?sport=fb

Edited by Sir Ulrich
Posted
14 minutes ago, Sir Ulrich said:

Looking at the final 3 weeks of SEC action there are tons of scenarios that can play out and as of Today only Alabama and Georgia control their own destiny. 

Remaining Schedule with favorites highlighted

image.png.7666b9d2753bf9e3c462b1f598a56c92.png

If all the favorites win their remaining games Alabama plays Georgia in the SECCG. 

 

  Reveal hidden contents

image.png.8638609eb56685640ae54fd538e6dd87.png

 

If Texas and all other favorites win out. Texas loses the tiebreaker but gets into the playoffs around the 5-6 seed IMO. 

  Reveal hidden contents

image.png.dc105a0639293e0da410f18bcb7d07b6.png

For Texas to get in with the 4 way Tiebreaker they need to win out and have Vandy to win out against Kentucky and Tennessee. 

 

  Reveal hidden contents

image.thumb.png.735cd6a88321c480b2f4d41c331bd8c4.png

 

If Texas wins out and Oklahoma beats Alabama this weekend Texas finishes 1st in the standings then faces Bama in the SECCG. 

 

  Reveal hidden contents

image.thumb.png.6753e91a5ce279732f4c6a22cccacd33.png

 

The only way Texas gets in with a Bama loss to Auburn in the Iron bowl, Florida would have to beat Ole Miss this weekend. In this scenario Texas gets in regardless of Florida/Tennessee next weekend 

  Reveal hidden contents

image.png.aaa749ab6858feaddf1697d2ac5aa248.png

 

Reference: https://bball.notnothing.net/sec.php?sport=fb

how does aggy not control their own destiny? 

  • Hook 'Em 1
Posted
10 minutes ago, Horndog said:

So if I'm understanding this correctly, if aggie loses to us they have almost no chance of getting to the SEC championship game?

If Texas wins out and LSU beats Oklahoma in the final week it will come down to scoring margin. 

image.thumb.png.a083f1bbaf854c2128b49eed5ddf7279.png

Posted
2 minutes ago, Bill Brasky said:

how does aggy not control their own destiny? 

Their SEC opponent win percentage is hovering around 30% in all scenarios. 

Here are 7 of their 8 opponents projected final standings. 

image.png.d0c0a5eb65f8ebd832e28acbca647104.png

  • Haha 1
Posted

so wait, A&M is having their best year in nearly 100 years and Texas can still keep them out of the SECX3 championship game?  I get they are in the playoffs but I could see them getting bounced by the second round easily if not the first.

that would be FUCKING amazing.

  • Hook 'Em 1
Posted
5 minutes ago, Sir Ulrich said:

Their SEC opponent win percentage is hovering around 30% in all scenarios. 

Here are 7 of their 8 opponents projected final standings. 

image.png.d0c0a5eb65f8ebd832e28acbca647104.png

so a potential 12-0 aggy does not make the SEC title game?  does not compute 

Posted (edited)
30 minutes ago, Sir Ulrich said:

The only way Texas gets in with a Bama loss to Auburn in the Iron bowl, Florida would have to beat Ole Miss this weekend. In this scenario Texas gets in regardless of Florida/Tennessee next weekend 

  Reveal hidden contents

image.png.aaa749ab6858feaddf1697d2ac5aa248.png

 

Reference: https://bball.notnothing.net/sec.php?sport=fb

Nope. This and a few variations of this would still work.

image.png.4cbd4ca02888b894436544fdfee6a045.png

Edited by Bevo14
Posted
21 minutes ago, Bill Brasky said:

so a potential 12-0 aggy does not make the SEC title game?  does not compute 

 

10 minutes ago, Parliament said:

Aggy wins out and goes 8-0 in the SEC.  How does 7-1 UGA pass them?

his assumptions include a Texas win over A&M. knowing they will shit the bed against us, no they don't control their own destiny.

Posted
15 minutes ago, Sir Ulrich said:

My original post was assuming all favorites win out. 

 

That’s not what “controlling your own destiny” means though, especially since in some of those important games being a favorite is  slightly better than a coin flip (like UGA vs Tex). And could change based on things like key injuries. 

  • Hook 'Em 2
Posted

Just thought I’d point out there are chaos scenarios where we beat UGA and A&M but lose to Arky….and A&M and ou end up in the sec championship *shudder*
(Florida or Miss St beat Ole Miss; bama loses to ou and Auburn)

Posted

I think a trend will start to emerge whereby you want to make the playoffs without going to a conference championship game .... One less game for injuries (Carson Beck) and fatigue.... yes, maybe you punch your ticket to first round bye, but seems like that didn't help too much last year.

Posted
7 minutes ago, t_eight said:

I think a trend will start to emerge whereby you want to make the playoffs without going to a conference championship game .... One less game for injuries (Carson Beck) and fatigue.... yes, maybe you punch your ticket to first round bye, but seems like that didn't help too much last year.

I am willing to bet coaches and players want to win a conference title and not backdoor their way in. 

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