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CHIEF

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by CHIEF

  1. No way I would step foot in a river hole with no incoming or outgoing flow. The Paluxy, up here in Glen Rose is a lot like the Hill Country rivers, where it just gets pockets of stagnate water. Two kids have gotten amoebas, in the last few years, both ended up dying. We lived on the Brazos, when I was a kid, my Old Man would tear my ass up if he caught me in stagnant water. He told me he had known people that died after swimming in it. There wasn't any internet, he didn't know what caused it, but it had to be amoebas. CHIEF
  2. It's been 25 years, but Hoover's used to have a decent CFS. It ain't no Mary's, but would do in a pinch. CHIEF
  3. If someone knocks on our door, there is a 100% chance that you are going to be greeted by CHIEF Jr. with nothing on, except boxers. Like my neighbors have found out, it is better to call first. CHIEF
  4. At 16, he would have smoked it. At 24: https://images.app.goo.gl/hkHy2HCK969RdPEMA CHIEF
  5. CHIEF Jr. ordered the large CFS at Mary's the last time we went: the small is about 12oz., I got the medium which is about 18oz. The large is easily as big as two mediums, if not more. That tiny looking baked potato is easily a pound. CHIEF
  6. Igor Girkin saying the Russians have gotten themselves in a bit of a pickle? CHIEF
  7. I'm all for people buying more EVs. I encouraged my mother to look into it yesterday. She hasn't driven over 150 miles in a day for years. It makes since for 100% of everyone to own an EV, but will still need an IC or hybrid for long road trips, or hauling travel trailers for now. My main point is there will be certain segments in our society where EV will never be feasible in the near future, with existing technology. CHIEF
  8. Amen. Get them started in philanthropy early on. CHIEF Jr.'s cause is Cast for Kids. Our Tri-toon has a gate large enough to get a wheelchair through, he loads up the 5-6 kids that are in a wheelchair, and takes them fishing once or twice per year. One of our best friends has a son with severe autism, his son and mine have been friends since they started tailgating with us when the boys were about 12. We are on a hunting lease together, CHIEF Jr. watches over him like a hawk, takes care of him, interacts with him. It kinda gives his Dad a break. My mother has a 401c that all of the proceeds go to printing Bibles in African languages that are spoken by too few for the Gideons to print. We both put work in for that. We all contribute to James Robison's ministry that drills water wells in Africa. It is important to let your kid know they have it better than most, and not to be a selfish asshole, and contribute to make society better. CHIEF
  9. That minority, farmers and ranchers, is vital to our nation's food supply. EV (tractors and haul trucks) will not work for their needs. Being forced to buy EV $1.2mm tractors and $250k haul trucks isn't going to happen. We are still going to need cheap fossil fuels. CHIEF
  10. What do you think the range would be on a F-350 EV pulling 24000 lbs. of a trailer full of cattle will be? 50 miles to the sale barn, and a return trip, reload, and make another run? Do you have to stop for 8 hours in the middle of the job to recharge? CHIEF
  11. I would say the cause during the 1970s to the present was increases in vehicles fuel mileage and efficiency offset the increase in demand. After the fuel shortage of 1973, 6 mpg muscle cars were traded in for Pintos, Chevettes, Cavaliers, and Golfs. Small cars started getting upwards of 25-30 mpg in the 70s and 80s. Large vehicles started getting that in the 90s-2000s with fuel injection. Also, OPEC had the chokes wide open and kept the market flooded with cheap oil. Read post #5095, I'm not sure domestic demand has risen that much, but global demand is at its highest level. Even the middle class of Third World countries can now afford a clunker. A Global Economy affects us all, the good and the bad. CHIEF
  12. If I were a candidate running for a national political office. My energy stance would be to offer guaranteed interest free loans to refiners to update refineries to refine WTI, comply with CAA and GSPS standards, and to offer the same loans for any regulations that get issued at a further date. Open up the bottleneck. As domestic demand goes down, export refined products to our neighbors, Third World countries aren't going to be buying Teslas. It's a National Security issue at this point. CHIEF
  13. https://cwilliamsmallinglaw.com/global_pictures/Bill_Smalling_Will_Refining_survive_the_CAA.pdf Since the CAA costs as a percent of total annual refinery sales would be just over one percent, the refining industry would survive the CAA. However, the increasing CAA requirements such as GHG regulation through the CAA, the proposed ozone NAAQS and the E15 mandate and the RFS, together with downward U.S. gasoline consumption and refining capacity will increase the business pressures on the refining industry. All of the costs to comply with the Clean Air Act are front loaded, in an industry that is falling out of favor with government sentiment. The juice isn't worth the squeeze. The total capacity closed since 2010 is around 1,280,000 BBL/D, most of which is located on the U.S. East Coast. The article was written in 2011 when there wasn't a shortage of refined products, but a surplus. We are now in a shortage of refined products, but eliminated the capacity to keep up. CHIEF
  14. Correct on the government discouraging loans. The EPA is to blame for having no new refineries since the 70’s. If we could just get all our refineries up and running, modernize and increase the capacity of our existing ones, and keep from selling and dismantling existing refineries, these prices would probably go away. The concept of going full electric is not a 5-10 year plan. GM and any car manufacturer that says they will no longer produce IC vehicles or hybrids after 2035 is signing their death certificate. The concept, at best, is a 50 year plan, but more like a 75 year plan. The dumbasses that think it could be done in 5-10 years have never set foot in places like Guthrie, TX. or Vaughn, NM. Building $2mm recharging stations in towns that see maybe 20-25 fill-ups per day is ludicrous. There are vast swaths of the nation that are rural and desolate. CHIEF
  15. It’s not the producers, it is refining capacity. Refiners need assurance from the government that there will be a demand for their product long term. Offer government incentives that will allow for increasing capacity. If not, these gas prices are here to stay. Do whatever it takes to get refineries that have gone off line back up and running, and whatever it takes to modernize existing refineries. It is now a matter of national security. CHIEF
  16. Not shut in, just choke back, especially if buyer's storage is full. CHIEF
  17. Cheapest place to store it is in the ground. CHIEF
  18. When did zero cost refinancing begin? It seems that is where the disconnect with people in their 60's and 70's lies, or at least the ones in rural areas. Quite a few are land rich, but money poor. They never really looked into refinancing, that seems like an untapped market. A lot of them have a "note" at the land bank, or with Farmer's Credit. They never really looked into mortgage companies. CHIEF
  19. True. I was just using that analogy to show a worst case scenario. But that was exactly what my in-laws did. I know quite a few rural people that bought property around 2000, with interest rates above 6%, that have never moved. They were comfortable with their payment then, and can't be bothered by going through the trouble of refinancing. These folk's daily browsing of the internet is probably about 30 minutes, and refinancing is the last thing on their mind.
  20. Just dehydrate the water, make it into tiny pills. Drive the pills to the drought location throw out a few pills and a few drops of water on them, and "poof" you've made enough water to fill up every lake between Buchanan and Lady Bird. Easy, peasy. CHIEF
  21. On a $350k home at 2.5%, monthly payment is $1382.92, total interest paid, $147,852.33. The same home at 7%, monthly payment is $2328.56, total interest paid, $488,281.14. That is payment only, 30 year fixed with no additional payments. So you basically pay a little under 2.5X the original price of the house. CHIEF
  22. I'm hoping so, but I ran a mortgage amortization on a $350k home last night, and the difference, in payments between a 3.5% loan, and 7% was right at $1k/month. It went from around $1350ish to over $2300, before taxes, PMI, and other escrowed items. I'm not sure we are going to see home prices drop 50%, but who knows. CHIEF
  23. Depends on your market. Ours will slow down, but will probably go from 85% cash buyers to 100%. The 50 year olds will buy the houses of the 70 year olds that are downsizing to the homes owned by the 80 year old folks, that are moving into Assisted Living, or in with their 50 year old children. CHIEF
  24. Here is the old thread you were unable to find, tons of great recommendations and advice. CHIEF
  25. Sundays are fucked. Come back on 281 from Wichita Falls on the way back and hit Herd's in Jacksboro, early, during the week. It's worth altering plans. CHIEF
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