It’s also not helpful. All that chart could possibly demonstrate is the relative Bayesian probability that a given individual will commit a mass shooting, based on a single measure. And even the highest probably (0.7 out of 1 million, or 0.00007%) is so fucking low that it’s essentially 0%. It literally gives you no actionable information. At most, it says “The chance that any individual regardless of demographic category will commit a mass shooting is vanishingly small, although it’s slightly less vanishingly small for Category X.”
You may retort that this chart tells us where to focus our efforts to prevent mass shootings. Maybe you think based on this chart that locking up the trans population (or worse) would be an effective strategy to prevent mass shootings.
Well, if that’s what you are thinking, you’re incredibly wrong. Set aside the injustice of punishing over a million innocent people for every one potential criminal. Trans people account for only a tiny amount of all mass shootings (analyses range from 0.1% to 1.3%). So any policy targeting trans people would have almost zero impact on the overall number of deaths due to mass shootings.
I hesitate to ask this on the DT board, but anyone care to guess which demographic group is responsible for more than 95% of mass shootings?