What cracked me up over that episode was that the players were already returning to the field and almost out of the tunnel when Buford T. Justice flexed on them.
I don't buy it. I'm not saying it should be 45%, because (a) it was UGA ball and (b) we were down, but 25% just doesn't pass the sniff test. Regardless:
I'm not arguing that point whatsoever.
I haven't spoken to Kirby about this (lol) but I'm pretty sure he was trying to draw us offsides, and it worked. I suspect he would have punted had Simmons not done his typical neutral zone bullshit.
What? Your odds metric says we reached a 25% chance to win presumably the moment we tightened the score to 14-10 in the 3rd quarter. Does down 4 in the 3rd quarter seem like a 25% chance of pulling ahead by the end of the game? It's not a forward looking calculation, it doesn't know about the onside kick, etc. You're reading it wrong.
I don't understand why our odds of winning were 25% after getting the score to 14-10, but I'm sure my brain is broken. That looks like a very flawed metric to me, especially given the fact that anyone watching the second half acknowledged that Texas was shaking off the first half yips and starting to play to potential.
Care to explain that 25% number? Perhaps without being an insulting ass?