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hookem2010

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by hookem2010

  1. This is what I keep telling my friends who are starting to panic. Nothing has changed, at least that's what my good buddy Js1 says. Pitchforks are coming out if you're wrong though. But you're not... right?!?
  2. Even with the slowdown, 15k a day eclipses the 500k point next week
  3. 400k/500k for D + expected Indys 356k/390k for straight D over R advantage
  4. That seems dumb, because the margin would change depending on number of returned ballots. 30% of a million is a much closer margin than 30% of 1.5 million.
  5. That would be just about the most stressful win imaginable.
  6. I guess I misunderstood the Indy split. I thought he had said Dems were expected to win 70-30, which would be 77-33ish, or a 44k edge. But I'm more than happy to be wrong on that.
  7. PA dem edge up to 356k, almost exactly 400k if you count them winning Indys 70-30. I don't have Twitter so can't see any further analysis.
  8. The good thing about that loss is I'm not awaiting Saturdays as eagerly, which has made the time to election day move slightly more quickly.
  9. Nah, too far away. I need numbers NOW!!! Accuracy be damned
  10. 10 minutes at the WilCo Jester Annex. Didn't realize the Austin CC didn't have party affiliation so had to leave those blank. Whoops.
  11. I'm jealous of all of you who get to complain about your in-laws and not the stupidity of your own parents.
  12. So early signs look bad for Nevada, good for PA, and possibly promising for GA? Or am I misreading things? And I'm guessing if one state is to look bad, Nevada would be the ideal choice (outside of # EVs) because it's probably least indicative of how other swing states are going?
  13. Time for the Js1 Legit Polls Only aggregate.
  14. I'm just not entertaining those thoughts anymore, regardless of probability, until election day.
  15. Don't they not show party affiliation for school board? I know WilCo democrats endorsed Zarate, Ross and Wei.
  16. Sign report from 78665 in WilCo. 4 new Trump signs sprang up seemingly overnight. Current count is 6 to 3 for Harris, and 1 RFK true believer holdout. I've only been here for about 20 months, but my precinct went fairly easily to Biden in 2020. Overall, not a ton of sign activity in my particular neighborhood.
  17. I put our old dog down a little over a year ago. Google photos just put together one of those random albums with him as the subject, which ended with the last photo I took of him, eating McDonald's in the trunk of my car, on the way to the vet for his final visit. What. The. Fuck.
  18. I don't know how things are going to look in a decade with realignment and NIL, but this has been an incredibly enjoyable season, even without Texas' success. The fact that ISU, Indiana, Army/Navy, Boise are all in the hunt for a playoff game is awesome. Watching OU collapse is great. Seeing Vandy knock out Bama, fantastic. Ohio state losing another big game, predictable but highly entertaining. Honestly, I hope some of these power 2 conference teams keep taking losses for maximum playoff chaos.
  19. I always think of him as the corvette and paystub guy. Is that right?
  20. Up to 257k on the PA firewall. Already 2/3 of the way there. If it does stretch out to the desired 390k, how much of a sure thing is PA at that point? Can I buy champagne yet, instead of whiskey?
  21. I had to leave a shift at Gregory to make the Mizzou game a bit after it started. Even at the pool I remember thinking "Holy shit, it's loud tonight".
  22. hookem2010

    $120,000

    Redo floors, upstairs bath and do some landscaping projects in the back yard. Plan a family trip to Europe, and ditch the kids and take the wife to South Korea. The boring answer is pay down loans, but I'm going to assume that will arouse suspicion, so going with the fun stuff.
  23. The 2 year-old rocketed a pacifier at the baby's face yesterday, then slapped me when I told him he needs to be careful around the baby. So that's where we are at.
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