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College Football 2022


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1 hour ago, joeycovers said:

Everybody that DM me and sent me 9.95 got my real pick. That was just for the poors 

Sat Picks free of charge one week only. Call me on a recorded line for my stone cold lead pipe lock this week  

Domers over 59 

Arkansas -6.5

BYU -11

Kent St +22

Kent St +23

S Carolina -12.5 


My bad on the duplicate pick with different number 🤦🏽‍♂️🤣

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Spread was -1 for UNC

Scored a fucking touchdown on the onside kick up by 1 !!!!!!!!!

2 hours ago, BigOrange1 said:

i'm 0-3 thus far, but have over 56.5 in the unc/app state games.  its 21-21 with 4 minutes left in the first half.  if i lose this one i might break something.

Good call on the over there. I didn't realize both defensive units kind of suck and both offenses are kinda awesome.

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On 8/30/2022 at 8:39 AM, 40acredropout said:

I'm sure I talk myself into adding more but what I have so far for Week 1:

  • U60.5 La Tech at Mizzou
  • O51 WVU at Pitt
  • O52.5 NMSU at Minnesota
  • U51.5 Temple at Duke
  • Houston -4.5 at UTSA
  • BYU -11.5 at USF
  • Utah -3 at Floridathis 
  • Kentucky -16.5 vs Miami (OH)
  • Boise State +3 at Oregon State

this guy fucks

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4 hours ago, Wulaw Horn said:

8-1. Only loss OSU. We have two bets so far this week- a parley that’s +150 on Allen and Stafford both over 1.5 TD’s (each) and IH on the money line at +150. Both bets moved to +125 since we made them. Will post what I’m looking at and what we decide to do later 

What is IH?

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Solid weeks for y'all, keep those picks coming.

Went 8-9-1 this week.  At 11-10-2 on the year (logging my picks below).

Hot takes after quick look at Week 2 opening lines:

  • Notre Dame -20 vs Marshall.  I jumped on this one already... I have a feeling it moves up.  Was in Columbus to see ND's defense look pretty damn good and I doubt Marshall shuts down their O.
  • WVU -13 vs Kansas.  That's all?  I know Kansas has a lot of players coming back.  But are they really sticking within 2 TD's in Morgantown against a WVU team that just hung tough on the road at Pitt?  Doubtful.  Were there a bunch of injuries I missed?
  • Boise State -16.5 @ UNM.  BSU did not play well last week on road at Oregon State.  I think they are getting dinged a little hard for that here.  UNM was a bottom 10 team last season and are gonna rank 100th+ in returning production depending on whose metric you use.  SP+ had Boise at 35th coming into season (now down to 58th) and UNM has gone from 125th to 108th after beating up 6-5 FCS Maine.  
Spoiler

Week 1 (8-9-1):

  • U60.5 LaTech @ Mizzou LOSS
  • O51 WVU @ Pitt WIN
  • Purdue +3.5 v Penn State LOSS
  • O52.5 NMSU @ Minnesota LOSS
  • U51.5 Temple @ Duke WIN
  • Houston -4.5 @ UTSA LOSS
  • BYU -11.5 @ USF WIN
  • U57.5 Troy @ Ole Miss WIN
  • Utah -3 @ Florida LOSS
  • O54 Army @ Coastal WIN
  • Kentucky -16.5 v Miami (OH) WIN
  • Georgia State +12.5 @ South Carolina LOSS
  • Boise State +3 @ Oregon State LOSS
  • Colorado State +31 @ Michigan LOSS
  • UTEP +31 @ OU LOSS
  • UNC ML +125 @ App State WIN
  • U51 Clemson @ GT PUSH
  • Clemson -21 @ GT WIN

Week 0 (3-1-1):

  • Nebraska -13 v Northwestern LOSS
  • Vanderbilt -8 @ Hawaii WIN
  • U44 Wyoming v Illinois PUSH
  • U50.5 Nevada @ NMSU WIN
  • UNT PK @ UTEP WIN

 

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This is what I'm looking at this week.  The process is that we bet games we both agree on- thus why I have 2 posts- my initial reactions and then will post what we actually bet later on after our conversation: Our bets are 1 unit $25.00, 1 parley unit $10.00. If I have $50.00 it means it's a play I feel strongly about.  All bets I mostly look at are games that will be on TV that I might watch, or games that involve teams I'm otherwise interested in.

UCF- -6.5 + under 61.5- $10.00

Boise- -16.5 + Over- 44- $10.00

North  Carolina v Georgia State- Over 68- $50.00

Texas- to win- +750- $10.00

Texas v Alabama- Over 64.5- $25.00

Texas- +20- $25.00

Air force- 17 v Colorado- $25.00

Appalachian State- +18 and Over 52.5- $10.00

Tenn- -6.5- $50.00

Iowa- -3.5 $25.00

Kansas- +12 v WVU plus O60- $10.00

Kent State- +4 v National Guard- $1,000

Or Kent State 31 v OU- $25.00

Syracuse- 22.5 over UConn- $25.00

Ok State- -10.5 and Over 57.5- $10.00

USC- -8.5- $50.00

BYU- 3.5 v Baylor and under 53.5- $10.00

MSU- -11 v Arizona- $50.00

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I'm liking Wake Forest -8 and O59.5 at Vanderbilt.

Wake brings back 4 O-lineman, their QB, and a good chunk of skill guys from an offense that ranked Top 10 in the country in most overall stats.

Vandy made a little noise beating the shit out of Hawaii but I think we now see how awful and depleted that team really is.  Re- Hawaii, They got their asses handed to them this week by WKU and Vegas has Michigan as 51(!) point favorites over them this week. 

Back to Vandy- while returning a lot, they had one of the worst pass defenses in the country last season.  I suspect they'll be a little improved but they still let FCS Elon put up 31 points, including 333 yards through the air on 19/32 passing.  This Wake Forest offense should absolutely torch that defense if I had to guess.

 

EDIT 2-  wow, my nose was on the right scent.  I was referencing the lines I'd pulled this morning from ESPN.  Since then, It's gone from -8 to -12.5 and O59.5 to 66:

image.png.a3f2532cd9f226505b634aca9d2c577d.png
 

I'm indifferent on this one now probably.

Edited by 40acredropout
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Ok so here’s what we decided on to bet for sure. 
 

UH- +150 money line over tech - 1 unit

Over 1.5 TD passes each, Stafford and Allen- +150- 1 unit

USC minus 8.5- 2 units -110

kansas state- teased down to -6.5 with the under teased up to 58- +220- 1 unit 

we are monitoring BYU to see if that line moves from 3.5 to under 3  we are monitoring a Florida v Kentucky to see if that line moves any as well (at 5.5  

Basically I want to bet the board because I’m a dumb action junky and my partner is a tight ass that wants to bet $2.00 a week on 1 game he feels absolutely certain about  

we are up 5.25 units for the year right now  

Those bets are all booked and monitored  

 

 

 

 

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9 minutes ago, BigOrange1 said:

thinking about doing a friday night tease where i tease both of the favorites down.  feels like a winner to me.

I like both the favorites on those lines. What’s the payout on just the likes as are on a 2 teamer? 
if you teased it how much would you tease and what would your new payout be? 

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1 hour ago, Wulaw Horn said:

I love O68 on North Carolina v Ga State. Can’t get him to pull the trigger. I want to go 3 units on that. 
I like UCF and the under. I’d put a unit on that for sure. 

Are you in a gambling collective or something? 

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1 minute ago, Zeus said:

Are you in a gambling collective or something? 

No- just with a buddy. I can’t be trusted to run my own account or I would bet 29 games a week till I lost all my money. Also- I have had success in the past doing it this way. We pitch bets and only book the ones we both like. 
So far so good in week 1. 

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I really really really like gambling. I don’t have a problem losing large amounts of money as I’m very strict about what I’m willing to put at risk, but I will keep going until it’s gone. 
It’s not like a gamblers anonymous thing in the making it’s more- I really like the score keeping and action involved in having something bet when watching games (or playing cards). 

Edited by Wulaw Horn
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1 hour ago, Wulaw Horn said:

I like both the favorites on those lines. What’s the payout on just the likes as are on a 2 teamer? 
if you teased it how much would you tease and what would your new payout be? 

typically they pay out at -120 and last i checked i'd get it at ucf -.5 and boise -10.5.

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Aight, telling myself this is my final card:

  • Boise State -16.5 @ New Mexico 
  • Wake Forest-13 @ Vanderbilt
  • U56.5 Mizzou @ Kansas State
  • WVU -13 vs Kansas
  • U49 Wash St @ Wisconsin
  • O67 Tennessee @ Pit
  • U56.5 MTSU @ CS
  • U56 Akron @ Michigan State
  • Notre Dame -20 vs Marshall
  • U64 FIU @ Texas State
  • U46 BC @ VA Tech
  • BYU -3.5 vs Baylor

 

Edited by 40acredropout
added TXST/FIU and KSTATE/MIZZOU unders
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