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Guadaloopy

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Everything posted by Guadaloopy

  1. You are mixing up different value calculations in your comparison. You use the contract value for the Astros offer and present value for the Boston contract. Gotta pick one and stick with it for comparison.
  2. He doesn't need a $50M deal. He needs a series of short term deals that avg out to 15-20M AAV. No one wants to give 34 yo Alex Bregman 50M, but maybe they'll give him 22M for a year. And then the next team gives him 18M for a year. And then he gets $12M.
  3. Yep... he should have at least 3 more decent earning years after this contract and will easily surpass what the Astros were offering. He'll probably end up making 15-20M more than what the Astros put on the table.
  4. Possibly... but on projections alone, we still come out ahead on the math. For whatever that's worth.
  5. Their projections for Bregman: 24 HR, 87 RBI, 3.6 WAR. Tucker's projected WAR for 2025 is 4.7. With Walker's projection and the removal of the -1.6 WAR we had at 1B last season, Tucker's production is theoretically replaced. It ain't flashy, but we will be fine.
  6. Alexthony Bregdon.
  7. Can’t be mad at him when someone is willing to put that kind of money on the table. Hope he runs up great numbers while the Red Sox lose.
  8. Who knew math could be so triggering?
  9. Greg Maddux talks about this phenomenon in this clip. Cliff’s notes: Maddux gave up a meaningless HR to Bagwell in July because he knew that Bags would remember that pitch when they met in the playoffs. Sure enough, Bagwell was looking for that pitch and whiffed on three straight change-ups. Maddux’s exact quote - “hitters remember success.”
  10. The AWD Model Y is 4.8 seconds. V-8 Camaro would beat it, V-6 would not... but the fact that we are splitting these hairs proves my point.
  11. Model S has a better 0-60 than everything on the list except the Corvette. Model S Plaid would make the 'vette look silly. Model Y beats everything but the Corvette and 911.
  12. It's like I'm sitting here playing cards with my brother's kids... There are three main categories of vehicles on that list... shitboxes, rollovers, and performance vehicles. Higher performance vehicles lead to higher instances of fatal crashes. Teslas fit in with the performance vehicles on that list.
  13. No agenda with the Rolling Stone article at all... Here is the full list of of the 23 vehicles that iseecars.com deemed "the most dangerous cars on the road." From the iseecars.com article that Rolling Stone based its article on: "A vehicle’s size, weight, and height certainly play a part in its ability to protect passengers in a crash,” said Brauer. “But the biggest contributor to occupant safety is avoiding a crash, and the biggest factor in crash avoidance is driver behavior. A focused, alert driver, traveling at a legal or prudent speed, without being under the influence of drugs or alcohol, is the most likely to arrive safely regardless of the vehicle they’re driving.” We've already established in various threads that many Tesla drivers drive like assholes. Mix that in with the vehicle's acceleration and some drivers' unfamiliarity with regenerative braking, and operator error leads to a higher rate of accidents for these vehicles.
  14. That's the planned track. You are familiar with the concept of relative motion, right?
  15. I have a lot of experience with the system. What I see in the video is driver overreaction to very minor preparatory maneuver by the vehicle. It can be unsettling if you don't have experience with the system or the vehicle. When it comes to "what do the data say", I can only point out what they don't say. There is not an epidemic of Tesla FSD accidents or fatalities that indicate significant safety risks to the public. Show me those data, and I will change my stance accordingly. We have had plenty of time for those data to surface, but they have not. It didn't do that. your confirmation bias is showing.
  16. I'll point you to this independently maintained list of Tesla fatalities data: https://www.tesladeaths.com/
  17. 2 confirmed fatalities in 2 billion+ miles driven. In 2023 (most recent data available), the US had an average automobile fatality rate of 1.26 per 100 million miles driven.
  18. We can share anecdotes all day long, even anecdotes that have nothing to do with FSD. The vast majority of people in this thread have made up their minds about FSD without a full picture and will not be swayed by actual data. That's fine. It doesn't make for a very good discussion of an interesting and important topic... but internet points!!!
  19. I've seen FSD Teslas do the exact same thing.
  20. The article and the data don't address FSD at all.
  21. There is an option to send a voice report every time the user disengages FSD. It's a single button push on the steering wheel to start the voice report and single button push to send.
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