Surly:
Caserio:
Longterm deals that pay players in the top 3 or 5 at their position generally don’t age well, with exceptions like Pat Mahomes and a handful of LTs. Caserio seems like the type who will overspend to the point of paying a player 5-10% above their projected value, but tells free agents goodbye and good luck when other teams back up the Brinks truck. People want Saquan or Henry at RB for the studs they were out of college and early in their careers. There’s a better than average chance some third round rookie will have a better season than one or both of those guys. The Patriots sustained success by pairing a HOF QB with an excellent HC and mostly undervalued supporting players. Outside of KC/Mahomes, every team struggles to remain perennial contenders because their star players eat up a high % of the cap and when inevitably gets injured or starts to suck, the team has a rough season and has to retool. I don’t know who’s going to fill all these positions for Houston, but I feel like the dodged a bullet by not handing out $27M/yr to a second tier DT, or a big contract to a RB that may be cut in a year.