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Dbeasy

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by Dbeasy

  1. This is why I like to checkin on surly. You hear interesting viewpoints on issues. This is an interesting idea. As a side note, I don’t understand why people line up so neatly on this issue to their already existing political affiliation. I would have thought this issue would have brought mixed viewpoints, given its complexity. But everyone is in their box.
  2. Because the yield curve has to uninvert, and short term rates (<1 yr)are still above 10 year rates. That, combined with a greater chance of inflation taking off again due to rate cuts has led the 10 year to waffle around. If the economy stays reasonably strong (2Q gdp was 3%), the Fed will NOT reach its projected terminal rate (well below 4%), and long term rates will potentially rise, not fall. 10 year rates will fall if the economy stumbles significantly.
  3. Thanks. I didn’t intend for my post to sound CR. I mentioned that Biden did not do enough to get it under control. The American Rescue plan had to also contribute. Massive government spending has caused it, and both parties are at fault. I just find it frustrating that hardly anyone points out the over stimulus by the previous admin.
  4. That actor makes me laugh every time he opens his mouth. He’s either a genius actor or a dumbass.
  5. Dbeasy

    RIP Pete Rose

    The other interesting item from that documentary was that the whole “hustle” thing wasn’t a bit. His brain was truly wired that way, right or wrong. It makes sense when you see that he was fundamentally an addict.
  6. Dbeasy

    RIP Pete Rose

    It was 1968 and I attended my first baseball game ever at Crosley field in Cincinnati. In the lineup that day were Bench, Rose, Perez and May. I was too young to remember much but it did instill a love of baseball throughout the 70’s for the Big Red Machine. Always rooted for Rose. Over time it became clear he was a bit of an ass and a gambling cheater. I don’t think he should be in the HOF. Mfr gambled on Reds games. The complaints about him being an over-rated hitter are ridiculous.
  7. So I just watched the game, obviously without the emotional element of real-time. Thoughts on the game: 1. Arch - holy shit. He was really really good. He missed a few things but several times hit the 2nd or third read. His passes were mostly on the money. His running was solid. Man, this dude is for real, as we all knew he is. He played better this game. 2. Formula for Upsets - despite not being able to see the game, by the texts I was getting you would have thought Texas was a complete disaster. But really, the opponent slowed the game down with a persistent running attack, Texas had key mistakes at inopportune times, the tackling and angles were off at times, and they had way too many penalties. That is the formula for getting upset. But Texas still looked good a lot on D and O. Just need to reduce the mistakes. I’m less worried than I was before I saw the game. 3. Wisner - solid. No surprise. 4. Broughton and Gbenda- have these two started to turn the corner? 5. Stickiness - I like our DB stickiness as compared to previous Sark teams. 6. Run Defense - I didn’t see guys getting blown off the ball, I saw more of LB’s in the wrong place. Lebby was the OC last year when they beat Texas. He knows how to draw up an offensive game plan against Texas that exploits its weaknesses. 7. Speed - man the speed at WR is amazing Overall, I feel ok going into OU. After seeing Georgia roar back, that game is going to be a lot tougher. Enjoy this ride. It should be a good one, and maybe a great one.
  8. Just sat down to watch the Miss St game because I missed it. The DVR didn’t record it for some reason. Anyone know how I can re-watch the whole game? YouTube stuff all seem like highlights only.
  9. Surly is quoting Miley Cyrus now? Really? That just breaks my achy breaky heart.
  10. Feel free to come to me for free advice about life, love, and football.
  11. I don’t know Auburn’s NIL situation, but it is a school with a fair amount of rich alumni.
  12. Once you start treatment of Type 2 diabetes, either thru diet control, or meds, it is very typical for A1c to drop dramatically for a long time, even several years. Keeping up with good eating habits delays more aggressive treatments. Weight loss is also dramatic. I lost 25 pounds and I wasn’t that overweight to begin with. I was only 10 pounds overweight. Doctors often won’t test for type1/2 if the diabetes develops later in life because the treatments are similar. I found out after 20 years that I was actually type 1/2, not type 2, after a doctor looked at my strange sugar charts and suspected something and ran blood tests. as per above there is now type 1/2 as well. I’ve seen huge positive impacts to meditation. Tried it myself dozens of time but couldn’t get hooked. The people that do have incredibly positive experiences dealing with stress. 10% Happier is an interesting book.
  13. I don’t want to bet dollars, but I’m pretty confident Bama passes Texas. And even winning out, including over Georgia, wouldn’t put Texas in front of an undefeated Bama, unless they smoke Georgia. Of course, given yesterday’s game, going undefeated sounds a lot tougher. But we might be seeing a Bama Texas SEC championship game.
  14. Well we all knew Ryan Williams was the real deal.
  15. Wow. Talk about squinting to make data match your preconceived beliefs. This post is incredible. No one, and I mean no one, is going to vote against a spending plan during Covid recommended by the administration, and the Republicans own the most over the top, outrageous spending plan in US history during Covid. A spending plan that was basically a massive cash giveaway. But then you top yourself by incorrectly looking at absolute spending instead of spending as a percentage of gdp. Your post is ridiculous.
  16. A question for the diverse folks on this thread. It seems very obvious to me that the Covid brrrr machine/cash giveaway initated by the Trump administration is heavily responsible for the inflation mess we’ve been dealing with. The Biden administration also did not initiate policies to deal with it more strongly. So given this, why aren’t economists and other experts placing blame on the Trump administration? Why aren’t they being fried for their inflationary policies? Trump supporters don’t acknowledge or realize this.
  17. It will be very interesting to see if Sims didn’t visit this weekend because of a “weekend visit” bag, what does that mean? Someone pays to not visit this particular weekend? If so, what an incredible waste of money. Might as well flush dollar bills down the toilet. Or is it to not visit Texas at all? Because if it is the latter, then why are the Ags unsure about a later visit?
  18. Dumbshit calls everyone else c***s because he doesn’t know how to write.
  19. I don’t think that at all. Wisner is very solid and will get carry’s next year and this year. He’s a worker.
  20. Victory+ keeps freezing up. I have to exit the stream and go back in over and over. Anyone else having this issue?
  21. This has probably already been discussed in this thread. And it may not be trivial. It may be more important than the potential for nuclear war. It is the use of the word “like” littered throughout the spoken word. Kids, particularly girls, sound like immature little humans. Adults using the world “like” as a space filler sound like sub-100 IQ individuals. The use of the word “like” as a space filler will destroy the world.
  22. I remember every one of these flips. What the hell have I done with my life?
  23. I will never understand a player who’s ticked off about playing time refusing to go into a game. It’s so obvious that to do that is to completely immediately torpedo your future with the program. So stupid.
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