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Dbeasy

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by Dbeasy

  1. Trying to watch the horns on espn sec+ network. It looks like o can see it because I have Uverse. Once I connect my Uverse to espn, I see sec+ content. If o switch to YouTube tv, will I still have access to sec+, or will I need to subscribe to espn+ to get it?
  2. No one knows where rates are headed. No one. Yes, near term inflation looks good right now because the only number left high is shelter, which is a very lagging indicator. However, we are moving into a world that could be very different from the last 25 years. In addition we still have an inverted yield curve. At some point locking in 10-30 year rates needs to deliver financial value. If short term rates don’t drop as much as the bond market forecasts, 10-30 year rates may need to rise.
  3. Am I the only one that envisions a perfect Thujone addition to this?
  4. There are reasonable scenarios where a two loss Texas doesn’t make the playoff.
  5. Agree. No one knows where the rates are headed. You have pressure upward with exorbitant government deficit spending offset by a potential recession. What makes it impossible to predict is the election of Trump. One one hand, a full Republican Congress and presidency would normally be very good for long term interest rates as they narrow deficit spending. Unfortunately, the current iteration of the Republican party is more about just tax cuts and inflationary Trump ideas, than normal Republican local policy. We will need to see the next six months shake out before understanding the ultimate direction of interest rates, unless a recession hits in 1Q.
  6. Was watching my favorite movie Gladiator, and realized that in the first coliseum fight before anyone knew he was Maximus, one of the other prisoners called him Maximus. Dammit.
  7. Texas 31 Arkansas 21 WR yardage 298
  8. I spent three hours talking with the Hispanic owner of a Fiber installation company one day. He had fascinating stories about the difficulties of the different nationalities working together. The Mexicans were a pain in the ass to the central and south Americans for sure. He preferred hiring them over Mexicans.
  9. The chicken fried steak coating came out soggy not crispy. I’m perplexed. Flour egg wash flour.
  10. Top three teams likely have the strongest nil programs?
  11. There was a movie in the 1970’s, I think called Frogs, where people get overrun by Frogs. I had nightmares for awhile after that one.
  12. Yes. He continues to struggle with pocket poise a bit. Sometimes he gets rid of it too early. Sometimes it seems like he passes up an open receiver and then throws it too late after the internal clock should have gone off. Just a bit weird timing. When he’s not pressured, he’s pretty good at finding the open receiver, obviously.
  13. Simmons was a really high profile recruit, has played great as a freshman. But man he’s not very big. I don’t know how he will be able to handle bigger fast tackles.
  14. I’m down to my last rung of support for Ewers. update: reverse psychology worked perfectly.
  15. Even more evidence that the dumbest people selected our President.
  16. This is so so sweet, and perfect for this thread. Dumb boomers (and others) actually believed the Trump commercials that claimed Harris was going to cut Social Security while Trump would preserve it. One of the biggest lies of the entire campaign. Social security must be reformed, and we all know who will cut deeper in favor of more tax cuts for the ultra wealthy. What's awesome about this one is that it directly effects boomers who voted for Trump. Most boomers assumed he would screw only the rest of us who haven't reached social security age yet. It's nice to see them get torched right away. https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2024/11/08/republicans-block-bipartisan-bill-social-security/76127806007/
  17. Can we purchase there tomorrow am? I also need to figure out where to park.
  18. I presume a lot, if not most, Trump voters were focused on inflation. This thread will be epic, considering: 1. Trump caused the inflation in the first place with a massive stimulus bill with trillions of corporate direct giveaways of money. 2. Tariffs are one of the most anti-Republican ideas ever, and if he follows through, inflation will move up substantially. 3. He will ignore the national debt, which happens to be one of our most serious issues, which will of course cause inflation to move upward. That also goes against Republican ideals (eventhough they run up as bad or worse deficits than Democrats). 4. The Union people that voted for Trump will soon find out about Reagan-style union busting; If Boeing could have held out for a few months Trump would have figured out how to bust up that strike somehow. The Union people are probably the dumbest Trump voters, which is quite a badge of honor. 5. People complain about the cost of housing. A good part of that is the incredible concentration of wealth in the hands of the ultra-wealthy who are basically buying up real estate all over the country. Trump exacerbates that issue. He won't do anything about it. He also won't help young buyers, many of which were dumb enough to vote for him. 6. The Trump/Republican plans to stop pursuing anti-trust against the mega-cap tech companies will make inflation worse because they have unrestricted power to raise prices. In fact, the reduced regulation in general will increase inflation. But, you say, won't the improved corporate efficiency lead to lower prices? In a competitive market, yes. But we have too many companies with monopoly or oligopoly power. Just a few here for everyone to think about: cell phone bills, insurance, cloud services, etc. Now to be fair to any President, it's a tough problem to solve. Because you don't want to hamstring your US companies against global competitors. As a result, you need to have a coordinated strategy among countries to reign in monopolies and oligopolies. No one on the planet will work with Trump since they all believe he is a buffoon. So that isn't a strategy for them. 7. The deportations and stricter immigration limits will cause services costs to jump up substantially, further fueling inflation. Now, if he does a 180 degree turn and really cuts government spending, doesn't implement tariffs, doesn't restrict immigration too tightly, etc. then maybe the low inflation we have today will hold. And maybe even there could be some decent results overall. But he's driven by crowds liking him, not knowledge or ideals. And he's a complete moron who has full control over his entire party, so no one will be able to stop him from doing anything he wants. This is not a formula for success. There is a very good chance that in 4 years people are crushed by spiraling inflation, walking around in a daze wondering how it possibly could have gotten worse. Meanwhile wealth inequality will be even worse.
  19. Happened to listen to The Invasion a few days for significant portions of their show. Man, they just beat the Cowboys topic to death. It’s just endless boring Cowboys talk. Some is fine, but it’s endless. I hate that show now.
  20. So is there a tailgate tomorrow? Our Florida friends are in town but decided to not get tickets. Is the Surly tailgate an option for the four of us to tailgate and watch the game? I forget the cost.
  21. You left out corporatocracy.
  22. Do you have some sort of inside the program insight or just talking out of your ass? While he has dropped a few passes in games we haven’t seen enough of him on the field to indicate whether he’s improved his hands or not.
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