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gyroprotagonist

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by gyroprotagonist

  1. i screwed up the math i think in the above post. it should be even easier. there is another way to look at with a Gamm Dist and calculate the % probability of something happening to a certain conf. level. I found an online calc and for a 95% probability of success an 80% shooter would need ~30 tries 20% shooter would need 30,000,000 (not 97MM) and a 50% shooter would need ~3100 trials to have a 95% probability of hitting 10 in a row
  2. I think 10 in a row is doable given a year to do it with unlimited retries. go corner NBA three and keep at it. i think i could do it in a week if that was all that was on my plate. not humble brag but more csb, during my time on the 40 acres i remember hitting 27 in a row from (then) college range before they moved it back when just screwing around in Belmont gym. Another guy was counting and passing the ball back out. getting to fine-tune your shot from an exact spot on the floor and then repeating the process until you made 10 in a row would happen at some point certainly given a year to do it. but i was a bball junkie that would just see how many 3s I could make out of 200 for fun instead of studying. even wasting enough time to teach myself to shoot with my offhand at a decent clip. total babe-magnet, i know... as to the math side of it, if one had a great shot, say hitting 80% of unguarded 3s in practice, then the probability is ~10% of hitting 10 in a row. E(X)=np --> n(0.1)=10 --> n=100 you could knock out 100 10-shot trials in a day if your make chance was 50% n= 10,300 tries. 103K shots (well less than that assuming you quit your 10-shot trial after a miss and immediately started a new one). 500 shots a day (50 trials) should give you plenty of time to get it done within a year. never mind that even a novice would start to master the same shot at the same distance if shooting it over and over again for 2/3 of a year and raise their make % as time went on. make chance = 20% then n= 97,656,250 and you are probably going to be there a while as you would need to put up just shy of 12K shots per hour and not sleep for a year. But as stated in the 50% example, if you could raise your make % from 20% to 50% before 150 days had passed then it should be possible to still do it. I think the 50% example was ~200 days at 500 shots per day. humans are pretty good at getting better at a repetitive task given enough time. just look at how badly OU sucks and how stupid aggy is after all these years
  3. if some dildo cussed out my wife for trying to park in the handicapped space and using a wheelchair, at a minimum their car would be fucked up and then i would probably get in some sort of altercation with douchebag. i am not even an internet tough guy so 50/50 on me getting stomped.
  4. i think one also has to be able to strum a few chords on an acoustic to lock down the position with no background check.
  5. yes, that's the plan at least for how i look at it. i generally don't invest speculate on BTC or ETH, but rather the alt coins that will/should swing more drastically. Again, i am just a lemming to people that claim to follow this more closely, but in general, when whales take out loans and put fiat into the market to buy or poised to buy, it's a very bullish signal. when loans are returned and/or BTC is put out their to sell, then bearish. Alt coins tend to run up after a cycle of BTC rising then stabilizing and chopping up and down for a bit.
  6. probably the first firm that would work with no money down.
  7. nice try fascistGPT. i'm not getting backtraced
  8. that 'sliced it clean off' poster's commissioned piece? BigWillie or something like that was his handle either on shaggy or Hornfans
  9. they will make the play in game, lead for 3 qtrs and wilt in the 4th and lose to put a cherry on top of this crap season.
  10. I was one of them. i did not dislike the show, but other shiny things caught my eye. On another topic, Does Paramount+ come free with Amazon Prime? I wanted to try out the new Kiefer S. show Rabbit Hole and was lamenting the need to subscribe to yet another service. but saw that Paramount+ was active on my Amazon streaming UX. Watched the first episode and it was pretty good. It's basically a mash up of 24 and Person of Interest. I loved both of those shows. i dont remember even getting a free trial for P+
  11. yeah, as others have said, I would lay into Costco to get hit deets since they obviously gave him yours.
  12. yeah, i think specifically they have a colab with a trans blogger/activist?? not sure, as i scrolled through a tweet yesterday so may be completely wrong on her profession.
  13. skimmed and did not see it mentioned, but we hit up Ken Rathbun's Curbside BBQ on the Katy Trail about a month ago. They did not have their liquor license yet and were serving free beer/hard seltzer (limit 2 lol). Tried the ribs and brisket and both were really good (ribs especially were tender with a nice light bark). did not snap any pics, sorry. https://www.dallasobserver.com/restaurants/kent-rathbun-opens-a-barbecue-trailer-on-the-katy-trail-16154906 here is the observer article. There is a small parking lot and street parking close by. or park at the trail head and walk down KT to it. It's all outdoor seating (just a trailer prepping food) and doggo friendly.
  14. i have a soft spot in my heart for Matts as i had been a frequest customer for ~20 years. The ones in Dallas were built by Matt's son iirc. Their queso is better than 90% of the texmex places out there and they have one of the better chile rellenos imo. Also loved their Cowboy CFS (chicken fried steak with chile con carne, onions and cheese on top). if there is a passable substitute anywhere, let me know. Their beef fajitas were not that great. Mico took their location in the Lakewood shopping center and 90% of their former customers never migrated to the new location. Their frozen margs were a step below Mico and Glorias and that might have been their death knell as they started missing on the hausfrau crowd that wanted mambo taxis. I think Matt's changed their marg formula a year or so ago and it was better.
  15. when someone tells you who they are, believe them. not saying any of that nonsense was justified, but philly guy started walking up the car towards that guy after he told him he would whup his ass.
  16. went on Saturday. whole fam enjoyed. not as many easter eggs as i thought there might be but there was a nice h/t to the old cartoon (see my post in this thread from late July) that was funny. not many people in the 1pm showing but it looks like it's doing better than expected for the box office take.
  17. Was at Matt's in lakewood today and the bartender told me they are closing. Dude gave me 2 free margs to go and said what are the going to do, for me? I think tomorrow is last day.
  18. they are waiting on those chips for the backup camera and seat warmers like the rest of us
  19. we did the same trip over thanksgiving last year. 4 days in each city with teens. i posted a little trip report here in the London thread: no idea what it cost 'cause the wife planned it all, but the airfare (biz class) and hotels were pretty damn expensive (but incredibly nice and convenient).
  20. just booked a 3y rate of 10.6 cents (in Dallas) with value power. my old term is up starting next month. just searched on powertochoose.org. i tend to just go with the longest/cheapest term i can find. cheapest 12 month i could find was 10.2 cents. I don't think i have ever come out of a longer term deal and the current prices are below what i was paying.
  21. we are going on Sat. about the only movies we go see in the theater are the Marvel/super hero movies so this seems to be in the same wheelhouse. took no arm twisting to get the wife on board. tween daughter may be a different story, but she doesn't know yet
  22. so just google ingredients for bread. it's some variation on flour, salt, sugar, yeast, water and something like egg or oil. lipids soften up the bread and not really essential. So even this gets into 'what oil to use?' now the ingredients for a loaf of Natures Own bread Whole Wheat Flour, Water, Yeast, Brown Sugar, Wheat Gluten, Contains 2% or Less of Each of the Following: Salt, Monoglycerides [shelf life], Enzymes, Ascorbic Acid [ aka Vit C helps dough rise], Soybean Oil [lipid of choice], Vinegar, Cultured Wheat Flour, Monocalcium Phosphate [baking powder], Soy Lecithin [emulsifier] so nothing too crazy in there. maybe you would consider soybean oil bad. again i am not sure what is considered good/bad. the few ing. lists i googled seem to use soybean oil. found this as well RE: gluten (source: the interwebz) The majority of American wheat grown is hard red wheat, which is high in protein and thus gluten. In Europe, the majority of wheat grown in Europe is soft wheat, which is lower in gluten. so that could explain the gluten difference across the pond.
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