They are running out of planes, jet fuel, and experienced pilots. Their air defenses have clearly been degraded, and Ukraine has tried to take out every air defense radar and missile site it can.
Russia moved their fighter bombers far away from Ukraine to avoid the drone swarms, but now that Ukraine can reach anywhere I’m not sure what their plan is to disperse aircraft. Ukraine is not stopping It’s hunt for radar and missile sites. Russia simply cannot replace those sophisticated systems under the current sanctions and economic enshittening.
As long as Ukrainian jets have altitude, manpads aren’t a problem. The glide bombs are launched by Russia outside of Ukrainian territory. I think it is rare for Russian aircraft to enter Ukrainian airspace. Could be wrong. I’m not specifically following the air war.
but I do look forward to the day that Ukrainian Jets can attack Russian jets as they try to launch bombs at Ukrainian citizens