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Gatorubet

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by Gatorubet

  1. I know even less shit than you do my friend, but I do think that a trade war with the world, including a 35% tariff on our supposed greatest friend and neighbor, Canada, is not going to help job creation along our northern border. We keep reloading the magazine and firing into our own dick. We grimace slightly and then reload the magazine again. I’m not sure when we will realize this is perhaps not the best thing to do. I worry that the traditional tactic for dealing with a stronger bully is for the weaker guys to all band together. If most of our trade partners just said “screw you Trump, we’re not doing this”, and his precious stock market craters even more, I think it will be YUGE taco/crawfish time. The only question is will that be too little too late if he reduces tariffs on everybody down to 10%. Hell, maybe other nations don’t have the balls to oppose us that strongly, but I don’t think there will be enough EU consensus for them all to agree to the 15%. (I think the EU vote to accept the tariff has to be unanimous, but I could be wrong and I would love to know what more informed people think) But I feel positive that by the end of the year the supply chain problems and tariff uncertainty will start showing up in a more profound way in both jobs and inflation reports.
  2. #teamstagflation But the 35% tariff on Canada should help those northern U.S. border states recover.
  3. 8:44 a.m. ET July Jobs Report Early Friday, the Labor Department said the U.S. economy added 73,000 jobs in July, missing Econoday estimates for an increase of 110,000. The jobless rate rose to 4.2%, meeting estimates. Meanwhile, May's jobs numbers were revised down by 125,000, from an increase of 144,000 to 19,000. And June's numbers were revised down by 133,000, from a gain of 147,000 to 14,000.
  4. This, of course, is wrong. The olds will get less money for the rest of their lives because each year’s calculation is based upon the prior year, so if they hire more people next year and get the amount right next year - that interest rate will be based upon the prior year, which is artificially low due to the firings this year. Preserving the system by taking away benefits! Promise’s kept!
  5. Watching the trade expert on Bloomberg right now explaining that Trump’s latest ‘everyone gets a tariff’ number is crazy bullshit that’s gonna do bad things to the economy, as the tariffs are too high, too short a time period to adjust the price increases, and more importantly, the amount assigned to different countries is flat crazy bullshit that doesn’t appear to be based upon anything other than whim and maybe a dartboard. I expect the market to go up tomorrow.
  6. You seem….not smart. Why not correct that view by contributing with some actual facts - or at least your observations on why what people have been posting is incorrect? Or why not quote a portion or two of his post and give a quick synopsis on why what was said is “absurd”?
  7. Trump lays off federal employees who do research determining the correct inflation rate to increase Social Security benefits. Increasing inflation is not found, so the olds get less money next year in their Social Security payments even though inflation is much greater than the cost-of-living increase. It’s just like Covid. If you don’t let the cruise ship dock, then the USA doesn’t have any reported cases of Covid. Brilliant! Fart of the deal!
  8. Two girls, one Taco?
  9. Man, you are on a my-way-or-the-highway the last couple days. I have no problem with your needles and fentanyl theory, but I want dead officers too, and putting it in the vodka would mean no matter the rank, the assholes are drinking it. Plus, there would be two bites at the apple at the F giggity - the voluntary ingestion and the involuntary one. Let’s not be selfish, let’s give them all an opportunity.
  10. Zero chance of them NOT ingesting the F-juice? But since you got me thinking - how about Ukrainian agents also delivering bunches of humanitarian water purification systems - that have hidden embedded GPS locators - so the drones and artillery have a better idea where to make it go boom?
  11. I was living in Kennewick, Washington when Saint Helens blew. Being east of the Cascades the weather is always sunny and clear there, and when I woke up that morning, deeply hung over, I walked out of my apartment to drive to get coffee at the convenience store and instantly saw the several inches of ash covering the ground and my car. Giant, dark rolling clouds filled the sky, and I instantly assumed there had been a nuclear war, that the ash was fallout, and I would go back inside and turn on the TV and figure out when I would die from radiation. It was quite the relief to realize it was only a volcano natural disaster. One thing nobody talks about now was that the ash fell in such fine particles that everyone’s radiators immediately became clogged and cars overheated, and had to stop. I was a court administrator for the Benton Franklin County Superior Court at the time, and trials were conducted in the town of Prosser about 20 miles away, as they were the county seat. It took many weeks before people could drive 20 miles and not have their cars overheat. This included most first responder vehicle vehicles as well. It was definitely a thing that impacted everyone in the state for a while if they were in the plume penumbra.
  12. Arne Saknussemm should’ve paid for the training package. Rookie mistake.
  13. If Ukrainian drones dropped bottles of vodka laced with fentanyl near Russian troop lines, would that be a war crime - or just a bunch of fun to watch?
  14. Yeah . When they say looking at the historic timeline that we are getting ready to experience an event, they were talking about 15 to 20% chance over the next 50 years during maybe a 500 year cycle or more. When it doesn’t happen within 20 years that does not mean they were ‘wrong’ about the ready to pop volcanoes or earthquakes, or that the warnings were false. It only means that Batchelor interpreted their statement as a promise the event was gonna happen right away. Which is entirely on Batchelor - and was never a position set forth by the scientists.
  15. Jesus. It’s like dousing people with gasoline is now a bad thing.
  16. The Yellowstone Caldera laughs at this cute little natural disaster.
  17. I admit it sucks that you have three pre-teen girls trying to raise themselves with a drunken alcoholic idiot mom in a country where they don’t speak the language - and no one gives a shit if they die in the gutter after being raped by every Ivan in Adidas sweatpants in the neighborhood. I’m sure the kids at school are treating them well - considering they are Americans - and the news says Trump is shitting all over Putin on the reg. As much as I give no shits whatsoever about the dad dying, I still feel terrible every time I think about those girls - and wish there’s some way Trump could insist they be returned. Leave the mom.
  18. Yeah, and they demand you wear a seatbelt. And if you’re wearing one and drive into the water-filled ditch you’ll drown because you can’t get out in time.
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