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Posted
5 minutes ago, Stunns38 said:


This is scary how likely this scenario may be. He may not even need Pennsylvania.

Huh? He would lose in that scenario.

Posted
I feel really good about the Blue Wall and GA. What are y'all thinking on NC, AZ and NV?
Seems to me North Carolina is the most likely of the 3, followed by NV and AZ. 
I would have had that AZ, NV, NC a week ago. 
 

She takes all of them.

I’m in Maricopa they is very little Trump signs. These are McCain Republicans.

People really need to think about how many voted Nikki Haley in the GOP primaries.
Posted (edited)

RFK Jr dominating Rush County, Indiana so far.

Is that...a mistake? Trump with 1% of the vote with 36% of the vote in.

Is this another Pat Buchanan situation?

Edit: Ok reporting fuckup. Knew it was too funny to be true.

Edited by Valmy77
Posted
Huh? He would lose in that scenario.

Not if he wins Michigan and Wisconsin in addition to those 3(without Penn). He loses Georgia, I think he loses the entire race.
Posted
20 minutes ago, Hugo Stiglitz said:

Republicans need the richest man in the world, RFK, Jill Stein, and Russia to maybe get their candidate to win the electoral college tonight. Really sad time for the conservative movement. 

Conservative?

I thought this was about hating brown people…..

/MAGA 

Posted
26 minutes ago, Rex Kramer said:

I think he’ll win GA. He has no shot in MI. He has a slight shot in WI but I see that going Harris’ way. I also see him winning NC. This race will come down to PA. 

The guy on MSNBC with the Harris sign in the back just said whomever wins NC, wins the Presidency. 

Posted
1 minute ago, Vegas64 said:

The guy on MSNBC with the Harris sign in the back just said whomever wins NC, wins the Presidency. 

Well that's dumb.

Posted
41 minutes ago, Hugo Stiglitz said:

Really sad time for the conservative movement. 

Sad? Why?

Hell, they already own the Supreme Court for decades. They got Roe overturned, a Reagan era dream. Bush's "faith based" policies are now all MAGA.

Another Trump win and they get to implement their Christian 2025 Gilead wet dream. And don't forget the tax cuts for billionaires.  (as they crash the economy).

Looks like a lot of Reagan era to me. 

 

Posted
12 hours ago, choripan said:

Harris 538 - Trump 0

Let's fucking go.

Well fuck, these projections are making it look like my prediction might be off.

  • Haha 1
Posted
25 minutes ago, choripan said:

Well fuck, these projections are making it look like my prediction might be off.

If we lived in a reasonable, sane world your prediction would be spot on.  Alas, there are a lot of room temperature IQs and awful, awful people around.

Posted
11 hours ago, aggie08 said:

Absolutely. 

But you know damn well that he isn't winning the popular vote. So there's no reality where people who like what Trump is selling--or just hate the Democratic agenda enough to vote for him--is the majority in this country.

Welp, something tells me I'll be reminded of this post a few times tomorrow. Deservedly so. I thought the EC would be close, but never for a second thought that the popular vote was in any doubt. Wow.

Posted

Ohio, Michigan, North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona, Nevada go Trump. Sorry folks, I’ve been on this ride before and for whatever reason we seem to never learn our lesson - WW will break 55%+ Trump and Latinos won’t be far behind. Hope I’m wrong though.

did not think I’d have to add Wisconsin to this. Fuck.
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Posted (edited)
16 hours ago, babysdaddy said:

What happens if Trump wins by a huge margin?  Would that make you rethink your information diet? 

Definitely going to have to now. 

I think--even with how many of us actually ARE former reliable R voters--we all recognize that this is a bubble. And being educated and not having to live paycheck to paycheck is another bubble. The talks of a Kamala blowout were always hopium, but I felt the pollsters essentially predicting a coin flip were right on. I would have had to consume something to the right of Fox News to think that this reality was even a slight possibility.

I'd wager that over 75% of my closest friends, family, and co-workers probably voted for Trump yesterday. Most educated and well-off themselves. So I'm not totally insular, and I obviously know Trump voters who aren't dumb, conspiracy-theorist nutjobs.

While it would be easy to say, "Oh, it's just because, at the end of the day, people vote with their wallets no matter who that person is." But I feel like there's more to it than that to get this many non-traditional MAGA votes aligned on the side of someone who sounds absolutely batshit crazy every time he opens his mouth. So I am now out of touch with the majority of the electorate. 

Anecdotally, the transgender stuff probably made a bigger impact than expected. Yes, on the extremes, the GOP went to full-on transphobia and told hateful lies about surgeries in schools, litter boxes, and literally and girl who looked too masculine. But I know many parents with more reasonable concerns--unfounded or otherwise--and the Dems certainly didn't do much to reach out to quell those fears in a rapidly changing world.

Edited by aggie08
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Posted
Fuck this country.  I'm done.  
Gonna finish out my career and, hopefully, move to as remote a mountain cabin as I can find and leave the U.S. to spiral into a complete Russian-style oligarchy. 
 

LOL. Send pics!
  • Haha 1
Posted
14 hours ago, Hugo Stiglitz said:

Republicans need the richest man in the world, RFK, Jill Stein, and Russia to maybe get their candidate to win the electoral college tonight. Really sad time for the conservative movement. 

Yeah.  Very sad.  

  • Haha 2
Posted
12 hours ago, Surly Bevo said:

So MJ at 55% and Abortion at 57% in Florida (both will not pass since they need 60%) but Trump rolled there.....so fucking stupid.  

Makes sense to me.  They are and should have always been state law issues.  

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Posted
On 10/22/2024 at 3:05 PM, Helobious said:

I didn’t even notice that. I still think Kamala wins the popular vote but electoral map looks like this. Virginia should be a shade darker blue, clicked one two many times I guess

IMG_4847.thumb.jpeg.140a5754bee1d0056da0d28ef3e30e3b.jpeg

This map and @SimonBolivar's were the only ones that ended up being close.

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