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Posted

The past 3 seasons, I've put up this post about picking the big outcomes for the season and the threads were fun for a few of us, so why not this season as well? Last year, I don't think anyone picked more than 6 out 12 playoff contenders correctly. The Big 12 screwed everyone, and not in a good way. Who had SMU making it in? Not many. Bama staying home? Okay then. 

Anyway, this year, there are 12 seeds again, with 5 conference winners. Seeding is changed to just that of the 4 highest seeds getting the byes and then the next 4 hosting the first round. 

SEC Title Game: Texas versus Bama. Texas wins. Georgia has come back to the pack in talent, Mike Bobo is a buffoon, and their culture is rotting. Stockton is not Stetson Bennett 2.0. Bama is well-coached with a ton of talent at key positions. Simpson doesn't have to be a hero, he can let his WR corps do that for him. I'm a Texas homer and I think Texas has the best roster in college football right now.

Big 10 Title Game: Penn State versus Ohio State. Ohio State wins. Penn State and Big Games James Franklin are choking charlatans and this season will bear that out as usual. They have to win 1 of 2 games on their schedule in order to make the title game, home against Oregon after a bye and 3 non-con patsies that would make Bill Snyder blush. They'll spend all camp and the first 5 weeks of play focusing on beating and scheming for Oregon. They'll lay an egg at Ohio State on November 1 and still make the title game. They'll lay another egg against Ohio State in that game. 

Big 12 Title Game: Arizona State versus Baylor. Baylor wins. ASU returns everyone but Skattebo. Folks not picking ASU to compete in or win the Big 12 are vastly overrating the impact of losing one gritty RB from a roster. Baylor has elite, NFL talent at QB, WR, and RB. They return 4 OL starters and the other starter transfers in from starting at Ohio. They're going to be well-coached on defense. Frankly, that Baylor isn't a top 15 ranked team to start the year is surprising to me. I expect them to beat Auburn at home this Friday and then to beat SMU in a few weeks in Dallas. Both could be great games. They miss ISU, Tech, BYU and Kansas in the Big 12.

ACC Title Game: Clemson versus Georgia Tech. Clemson wins. Clemson is being wildly overrated by the national media right now. "They have All Americans and NFL talent all over the field!" People suddenly love the front 4 that Texas beat like a borrowed mule 9 months ago because Tom Allen is apparently a wizard. Can't keep a job to save his life, but he's a wizard. They don't have an answer at RB and their OL is annually pedestrian. Klubnik is a Heisman finalist lock, also, apparently. Whatever. The ACC fucking blows as always. I refuse to pick SMU or bet on Cristobal. I like the guy running things at Ga Tech and King and the RB are tough guys behind a well-coached OL. Fuck it, I'm taking GT to get to the finals.

Texas, OSU, Baylor, and Clemson are your automatic entries.

Your other eight entries:

Big 10 - Oregon, PSU - both of these are byproducts of playing no one in the non-con and the Big 10 fucking sucks below the yearly top 2-3 teams.

SEC - Bama, Georgia - LSU is a paper tiger and they're about to get laughed at again after failing this Saturday for like the 6th straight opener. It's hard to take anyone else seriously in another top heavy overrated conference. 

Big 12 - Arizona State - "the Big 12 gets a second seed!?!?" Yes. I think ASU is pretty loaded and could easily see an 11-2 team getting preferred to mediocrities in the Big 10 and SEC.

ACC - Miami - For whatever reason, the media feels compelled to not call the ACC the sack of shit that it is. Therefore, someone will get the benefit of the doubt, undeservedly, and then shit themselves in the playoffs. I assume Miami finds some way to do it again where they don't make the title game but have a great record. 

Notre Dame - It's not really ND's fault that USC or Stanford sucks or that Arkansas blows. ND has to win 3 of 4 against Navy, Miami, Boise State and ATM. That could put them at 11-1 and in. I can see it. 

Toledo - Holy Toledo! - Why does no one from the MAC ever contend to be the G6 team that gets in? Toledo returns a bunch of guys and Candle is a good coach. Their schedule is a cakewalk. Big matchups include pummeling a shitty Kentucky team to open and later heading to Pullman for Wazzou. If those are your tough match-ups, your schedule is stinky butthole. 

Give me Texas versus Clemson in the finals, Texas winning the whole fuckin' thing. 

Thoughts on some other teams that I don't see making it:

ATM - I have a whole thread on these imbeciles where we discuss why they'll be lucky to be Texas 8&4 this season.

OU - Same as ATM except I don't see how they get to 8 wins. 

Michigan - Underwood is a true freshman. He's bound to cost them some games. 

Nebraska - I like where they are at and their schedule. They are my darkhorse to make it in. Maybe I am overrating Rhule and Raiola. I think people are more down on Raiola than they should be.

USC - LOL. Soft as Charmin. 

Ole Miss - Southern James Franklin can't get over the hump and a rebuild year won't be the time to debunk that notion. 

Tennessee - I actually expect them to struggle to get to 7 wins. 

South Carolina - Having one great player on each side of the ball will not be enough. They don't reload in SCar, they have to rebuild. 

BYU, Utah, ISU, KSU, Tech - These guys will beat each other up. 

ACC - the whole conference can get fucked for its weakness. UNC doesn't make a bowl. 

Liberty - the worst schedule in FBS, manipulated for the CFP, and that will lead to their dismissal. 

Boise State - Jeanty was a generational talent in a conference that rarely faces that. Back to earth BSU falls. 

Link to last year's thread:

Thoughts and picks are welcome. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Posted (edited)

I didn't read yours yet (will) b/c I didn't want to be swayed by any of your picks). 

Give me AQ- Texas, Penn State, ASU, Clemson & Boise State

Notre Dame

Bama, Georgia, Ole Miss 

Ohio State, Michigan, Illinois.  A very undeserving Illinois replaces a very undeserving Indiana. 

Texas winning it all.  I tried to pick the seeds and brackets last year and it was a fools errand. 

Edited by Wulaw Horn
Posted
7 minutes ago, Wulaw Horn said:

I didn't read yours yet (will) b/c I didn't want to be swayed by any of your picks). 

Give me AQ- Texas, Penn State, ASU, Clemson & Boise State

Notre Dame

Bama, Georgia, Ole Miss 

Ohio State, Michigan, Illinois.  A very undeserving Illinois replaces a very undeserving Indiana. 

Texas winning it all.  I tried to pick the seeds and brackets last year and it was a fools errand. 

Why Ole Miss?

Posted
5 minutes ago, Sal said:

Why Ole Miss?

Because it would be funny.  And I think they can go 10-2 or 9-3 against that schedule as they get all their tough games at home (except Georgia) and I think Florida has too tough a schedule to go better than 8-4 against. I think the SEC gets 4 teams and I hate them slightly less than everyone else to get to 9/10. Somebody has to be that 4th team (I know that didn't happen last year but I think it's almost a guarantee it does this year with how everything is playing out. 

Posted

Well week 2 should be fun considering Texas, Bama, Clemson and ND all lost.

At least one loss doesn’t kill your chances anymore. But those were teams most people had as playoff bound 

Posted
4 minutes ago, DFW Horn said:

IMO, the only way a 9-3 SEC team gets in is if they lose the SEC Championship game.

It’s impossible to lose the SEC Championship Game and be 9-3

Posted

i didn't see this last week, but have little bit of proof i am not doing this with week 1 results facotred in here: 

 

SEC: Texas over Bama (obviously i'd change Bama out for someone else knowing what I know now)

BIG: Ohio State over Penn State

ACC: Clemson over Miami

Big 12: Arizona State over Kansas State (another I would change with a couple of not so great data points already in their column)

 

 

SEC Playoff Teams: Texas, Bama, Georgia, LSU

BIG Playoff Teams: Ohio State, Penn State, Oregon

ACC Playoff Teams: Clemson, Miami

Big 12 Playoff Team: Arizona State

Independent: Notre Dame

Group of 5: Haven't thought much about it, give me Tulane.

If I could do it over after week 1, I would remove Alabama.  Everyone else I still feel very good about.

Posted
10 hours ago, Underdog said:

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TBH, shitty Kentucky team still rings true. 

The only thing we learned, or clarified for those who already knew, is that I am an imbecile for thinking Toledo was worth a shit. It’s going to be a long season for Kentucky. 

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