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  • I think that it’s now safe to say that we Texans now live in a failed state.  30 years of GOP rule, setting our own standard, living the “Texas Dream,” which they’ve bragged about relentlessly…and let’s see where we are:

    A majority of the state in complete failure, unable to deliver the most BASIC of services (things that are called “utilities,” not “luxuries,” for a reason).  No power.  No water.  No means of clearing roads (that one, I can’t fault the state so much….but it wouldn’t be as big a crisis if people weren’t stuck in their homes with no power and water).  So citizens are stuck in their homes, some of them dying there. 

    Water resource planning?  After pretending for decades that a drought would never happen again, and not doing ANYTHING to develop resources in the state water plan (a document actually developed using science and mathematical projections), we had several locations, including actual cities, down to a few days of water supply.  We’ve finally gotten on our horse a bit, but it may be too late if the next drought comes anytime soon.  

    State rank in key categories:

    Education – 34

    Health Care - 37

    Infrastructure - 33

    Opportunity - 39

    Environment - 44

    Infrastructure - 33 

    In overall quality of life ranking by US News, we are now #38, down from #36 just two years ago.  At that rate, we’ll be in the bottom 3 within ten years.

    We are SUPER independent, and FUCK the feds….but we have requested federal disaster assistance more than any other state in the past decade or so.

    But hey, our economy is ranked #15!

    That’s right, we have a “roaring economy” and the “Texas Miracle!”  But we can’t deliver the basics for our citizens.  The economy is VERY efficient at funneling bazillions to the very few…..with little of it “trickling down” to most Texans.  Yeah, the people on this board generally do fine, but face the facts – we’re the top 10% or so.  We are educated, older, and fortunate.

    Our federal system allows for state-by-state experiments.  Texas is the poster child for near anarcho-capitalism and zero regulation or oversight.  We have tested that approach, for over a generation now (30 years of Republican rule).  That approach is a failure.  The evidence is undeniable, and overwhelming.  It doesn’t matter how many River Oaks millionaires you produce if the rest of your people are dying in their homes.  Shit, some of those River Oaks millionaires might be freezing to death today, too.

    The kids of a middle class family can hardly afford to go to a good state school.  Their prospects for employment are mediocre.  Their prospects of suffering crippling medical debt at some point are significant.  Their chances of not having basic utilities needed for life safety at some point – all but certain.  Their chances of becoming ill or dying from a pollution-caused illness are material.

    What’s the result?  Our leaders have sold Texas as a paradise – move here!  Bring your business here!  And some businesses have done so, adding opportunity…..but providing little to no tax support for the infrastructure we all depend on.  To the contrary, over the past few years, I know more and more people – educated people, people who can do their jobs elsewhere, who are looking to bail on this state.  It’s people with young kids, who want them to grow up in a better place.  It’s people in their working years, who simply want a better path.  It’s retirees, who want a safe and secure place to live.

    We have consumed our seed stock.  We have burned through our reserves.  We are now consuming ourselves.  The ability to pitch Texas as the land of opportunity is done.  Seeing what we have become, the tentative thought/plan my wife and I had of wrapping up our careers here and then getting the hell out of Dodge is becoming much more concrete.  My children are already unlikely to make their future in this state.  Now we are, too.

    But the response from the Republican leadership and their sycophants – “how are you gonna pay for it?  Taxes?  That’s socialism!  You want that stuff, you have to pay for it!”

    Fuck yes I do, and I’m okay with that.  I want groceries…so I have to pay HEB.  I want a car…so I have to pay Ford.  I want clothes…..so I have to pay Dillards.  I want my population educated….so I have to pay the school district.  I want electricity, with enough capacity to keep us running when we need it…..so I have to pay my bill, maybe with a capacity surcharge.  I want water to come out of the taps….so I have to pay for development of resources and maintenance of infrastructure.  I want roads….so I pay taxes to build and maintain them.  YES, I have to pay for all of those things, and “nothing is free” – no fucking shit.  So, let’s pay for it.  We have the #15 economy….we HAVE the funds in this state.  An economy with the flow of funds that ours has can produce and maintain all of those results.  But we have chosen a different path; funnel all the dollars to the top, and spend next to nothing for the public good.  We have privatized profit….we have socialized the costs.  And we are dying because of it.

    My fellow Texans are dying in their homes….and there’s nothing I can do about it today.  And I am enraged.

    I love Texas.  I am 6th generation here.  My ancestors have Texas historical markers on their graves.  We helped make this state, and this state helped make us.  It educated us (back when college was affordable).  But it’s time to face the fact – this state is a failure, and on its current path, with its current leadership and philosophy, it will only get worse.  This state has a terrible future, unless we dramatically change our path.   Chances of that happening?  0.0% -- because we’ll continue to vote for the guys who make our leadership priorities bathroom bills, and transgender sports, and requiring the national anthem be played at certain events.  Any bill that has been proposed to improve emergency preparedness of gov’t entities has been crushed by the Republicans controlling the lege….but we will definitely stick with those guys.  No taxes.  No government functionality.

    What we are seeing happening right now is our system working EXACTLY AS IT WAS DESIGNED AND INTENDED TO WORK.  And we will, I guarantee it, collectively decide to stick with that.  This state is in free-fall, and anyone with eyes can see it.  And anyone with a brain is starting to think of ways to make their life elsewhere.  It breaks my goddamned heart to see us commit collective suicide, but here we are.

     

     


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    bolverk

    Posted

    18 minutes ago, Bozo_Casanova said:

    I think this is likely

    I completely disagree. Both were well underway and visible in the data, but the Democratic Party wasn’t paying attention to the data and instead was busy huffing out-of-state consultant bullshit about “The Hispanic Vote” and “centering marginalized communities,” but not the marginalized communities that actually power the Democratic voting coalition in the state of Texas. 

     

    The data and surveys I've seen showed that in-migration to Texas, before the pandemic, was pretty much a 50/50 ideological wash among likely Republicans and Democrats. However, that balance tilted more Republican during the pandemic, but I haven't seen data on those trends for the past couple of years.

    I imagine that in-migration is likely still somewhat balanced with a bit of tilt, but out-migration data are probably showing that a lot more Democrat-leaning voters are leaving than before. So, the net migration figures probably favor the Republicans.

    Macanudo

    Posted

    The Cornyn ads are funny as hell.  There's clearly an edit where Trump says something about "the great Texas Senators John Cornyn and..." where he's gonna say Ted Cruz next.

    Great is not a word use to describe these two rodeo clowns.

    Bozo_Casanova

    Posted

    18 minutes ago, bolverk said:

    The data and surveys I've seen showed that in-migration to Texas, before the pandemic, was pretty much a 50/50 ideological wash among likely Republicans and Democrats. However, that balance tilted more Republican during the pandemic, but I haven't seen data on those trends for the past couple of years.

    Surveys are horseshit. Demography and social sorting has been screaming it for a decade, backed up by precinct level voting data.  
    And Hispanic erosion in Texas goes back to 2008, but was masked in 2016 by the Clinton’s unique strength with the coin operated political machines in South Texas. And frankly, good riddance to all that. 

    Fudge Nuggets

    Posted

    40 minutes ago, LCHorn said:

    Also, best exotic dancing north of Atlanta.  

    I thought that was Montreal.

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    Bozo_Casanova

    Posted

    Just now, Macanudo said:

    The Cornyn ads are funny as hell.  There's clearly an edit where Trump says something about "the great Texas Senators John Cornyn and..." where he's gonna say Ted Cruz next.

    Great is not a word use to describe these two rodeo clowns.

    Have y’all seen these Wesley Hunt ads, where he’s not campaigning for any particular thing? They are prepping him to step in when/if Cornyn drops out.

    Wesley Hunt would 100% beat Paxton and win the general. Really hoping Cornyn stays in. 

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    Macanudo

    Posted

    You think Texas MAGATs will for for, ahem, Hunt?

    Bozo_Casanova

    Posted

    14 minutes ago, Macanudo said:

    You think Texas MAGATs will for for, ahem, Hunt?

    Oh yeah. For two reasons

    1) Trump will endorse Hunt if he gets in and Cornyn drops out and 

    2) Even MAGA understands that Ken Paxton could possibly lose in a mid-term senate race. 

    Brisketexan

    Posted

    4 minutes ago, Bozo_Casanova said:

    Even MAGA understands that Ken Paxton could possibly lose in a mid-term senate race. 

    Oh my god, you're ADORABLE.  

    Paxton's venality, criminality, dishonesty, and corruption are POSITIVES to the Texas voter pool.  When are you going to accept the truth that Texan voters are really awful people who actually like really awful things?

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    LCHorn

    Posted

    13 minutes ago, Bozo_Casanova said:

    2) Even MAGA understands that Ken Paxton could possibly lose in a mid-term senate race. 

     

    7 minutes ago, Brisketexan said:

    Paxton's venality, criminality, dishonesty, and corruption are POSITIVES to the Texas voter pool. 

    Yeah, I don’t think Hunt is any more of a challenger than Cornyn.  Even Abbott appears scared of Paxton.  

    Brisketexan

    Posted

    7 minutes ago, LCHorn said:

    Even Abbott appears scared of Paxton.  

    Ain't no "appears" about it.  He's scared of Paxton, and rightly so.  Paxton is the most powerful statewide official Texas has seen since Pa Ferguson.

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    A-Tex Devil

    Posted

    2 hours ago, Bullneck said:

    image.thumb.png.b3c21ff57a6a7b57fd0792da8d7f11ae.png

    I helped elect Donna Howard to do exactly what she is doing right now.  Get fucked speaking for me, Ken.

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    bluto

    Posted

    3 hours ago, bolverk said:

     

    The data and surveys I've seen showed that in-migration to Texas, before the pandemic, was pretty much a 50/50 ideological wash among likely Republicans and Democrats. However, that balance tilted more Republican during the pandemic, but I haven't seen data on those trends for the past couple of years.

    I imagine that in-migration is likely still somewhat balanced with a bit of tilt, but out-migration data are probably showing that a lot more Democrat-leaning voters are leaving than before. So, the net migration figures probably favor the Republicans.

    The in migration over the last few years is heavy maga, I have zero doubt that. 

    HOOKEM4

    Posted

    These are fascinating times. Watching the self immolation is breathtaking.

    Bozo_Casanova

    Posted

    3 hours ago, Brisketexan said:

    Oh my god, you're ADORABLE.  

    Paxton's venality, criminality, dishonesty, and corruption are POSITIVES to the Texas voter pool.  When are you going to accept the truth that Texan voters are really awful people who actually like really awful things?

    Why do you think that Hunt is less terrible than Paxton?

    Brisketexan

    Posted

    12 minutes ago, Bozo_Casanova said:

    Why do you think that Hunt is less terrible than Paxton?

    Well, I mean....he doesn't yet have the well-known multi-year track record of crimes and corruption like Ken, but I'm sure he can catch up.  What I'm really saying is that Paxton trounces him in a primary too.  Paxton is unstoppable.  Because Texas Republican voters are not turned OFF by a shameless lying crook....voting for a shameless lying crook gives them a fucking boner that the Viagra folks would study for years.

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    Sbbruin

    Posted

    4 hours ago, Brisketexan said:

    Oh my god, you're ADORABLE.  

    Paxton's venality, criminality, dishonesty, and corruption are POSITIVES to the Texas voter pool.  When are you going to accept the truth that Texan voters are really awful people who actually like really awful things?

    If only Bugs could saw off Texas like he did Florida.  But he would need one big ass jigsaw to make all the necessary cuts.

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    Bozo_Casanova

    Posted

    41 minutes ago, Brisketexan said:

    Well, I mean....he doesn't yet have the well-known multi-year track record of crimes and corruption like Ken, but I'm sure he can catch up.  What I'm really saying is that Paxton trounces him in a primary too.  Paxton is unstoppable.  Because Texas Republican voters are not turned OFF by a shameless lying crook....voting for a shameless lying crook gives them a fucking boner that the Viagra folks would study for years.

    No, they aren’t turned off by it. But Hunt gives them everything they want without the baggage and a slam dunk. Plus, the normies will come back for Hunt.

    GOP primary voters in Texas are very focused on winning and are realistic about liabilities. 

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    Brisketexan

    Posted

    1 minute ago, Bozo_Casanova said:

    But Hunt gives them everything they want without the baggage and a slam dunk. Plus, the normies will come back for Hunt.

    Dude.  You missed a really huge problem Hunt has:

    VukFDv.gif

    The motivated nutbars are the entire GQP demo in the primary in Texas.  There are no fucking "normies" GTFO with that shit.  Anybody who started out as a normie and still votes GQP has drunk ALL the fucking kool-aid, and is now a fucking nutbar.

    Paxton wins whatever office in Texas he wants.  Easily.

     

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    tx ind

    Posted

    1 hour ago, Sbbruin said:

    If only Bugs could saw off Texas like he did Florida.  But he would need one big ass jigsaw to make all the necessary cuts.

    The suck from Oklahoma would keep us attached

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    berlinerbaer

    Posted

    On 8/4/2025 at 8:37 PM, berlinerbaer said:

    Most blue states have independent commissions. Most red states and many purple states do not. If the commissions went away, the Dems would net a bunch of seats.

    Everyone is talking about California, but I think eliminating the commission in CA requires a ballot measure because it was enacted by ballot measure and a change in the state constitution. It's not a given that the voters will repeal it, since it's the kind of thing only partisan Dems would vote for.

    The few Dem states that do gerrymander (NY, IL, MD) will need to go hard to the paint, as will the few more that have commissions set up by laws that can be repealed by the legislature. I don't think CA is the way.

    Looks like I'm wrong and CA voters would pass a mid-decade gerrymander according to a poll done by a TV station in Sacramento.

    screenshot-2025-08-03-at-8-44-34-pm-6891

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    bluto

    Posted (edited)

    4 hours ago, Bozo_Casanova said:

    No, they aren’t turned off by it. But Hunt gives them everything they want without the baggage and a slam dunk. Plus, the normies will come back for Hunt.

    GOP primary voters in Texas are very focused on winning and are realistic about liabilities. 

    GOP voters know that statewide voting is a fuckin lock in Tx. If they cared about quality of candidate they wouldn’t have allowed Abbott to steam roll the voucher challengers in house primaries. 

    Edited by bluto
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    Bozo_Casanova

    Posted

    8 hours ago, bluto said:

    GOP voters know that statewide voting is a fuckin lock in Tx.

    No. They don’t. That’s what separates them from Democrats. Texas GOP voters care more about winning races than anything else. That’s why they were able to break the Democrats hold on the state. GOP voters in Texas haven’t gotten lazy yet. 

    They know Paxton is the favorite and can win. They aren’t sure he will and they know if will be expensive to get him there.
    Hunt, on the other hand, assures them of taking the natural statewide 56-44 break, making the race much cheaper to win, and presents an opportunity to take some black voters from Democrats as well, which then means the GOP could be competitive in local races in urban districts where they otherwise would not be. 
     

     

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    WBT

    Posted

    42 minutes ago, Bozo_Casanova said:

    They know Paxton is the favorite and can win. They aren’t sure he will and they know if will be expensive to get him there.
    Hunt, on the other hand, assures them of taking the natural statewide 56-44 break, making the race much cheaper to win, and presents an opportunity to take some black voters from Democrats as well, which then means the GOP could be competitive in local races in urban districts where they otherwise would not be. 

    Yep.  Paxton and Cruz are the only statewide Rs who underperform the statewide judicial races that are as good a proxy as you can get for generic R vs generic D.

    Add in the natural midterm blowback and the environment is the same as the one that let Beto keep it close against Cruz in 2018.

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    bluto

    Posted

    Paxton just won a statewide midterm race by 10 pts. And that was during the tornado of shit flying around him regarding whistleblower suits and securities fraud. 

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    Pasken

    Posted

    41 minutes ago, bluto said:

    Paxton just won a statewide midterm race by 10 pts. And that was during the tornado of shit flying around him regarding whistleblower suits and securities fraud. 

    I blame the regular program in Texas public schools. I took a few non-honors classes for shit I really wasn't good at and you don't learn anything. It's like busywork babysitting. 

    Bozo_Casanova

    Posted

    2 hours ago, bluto said:

    Paxton just won a statewide midterm race by 10 pts. And that was during the tornado of shit flying around him regarding whistleblower suits and securities fraud. 

     He underperformed his whole ticket in a midterm that was essentially a referendum on a Covid and inflation.

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    Brisketexan

    Posted

     He underperformed his whole ticket in a midterm that was essentially a referendum on a Covid and inflation.

    But he also has a hard and known floor. “Hey, if we run a psychotic, crooked criminal, how low will it go?” We know that. He wins. No matter what. He could buttfuck a puppy to death on live TV, and not go below that floor. AND…the MAGA base LOVES him…BECAUSE he’s the type of guy who would kill a puppy to own the libs.
    bluto

    Posted

    Kinda splitting hairs on underperforming the ticket…

    Abbott got 54.7% and won by 10.9%
    patrick got 53.7% and won by 10.3%
    paxton got 53.4% and won by 9.76%… and that needs context as Paxton actually outgained the other two comparing it to prior election. 

    pacman

    Posted (edited)

    This is absolutely crazy to me. Our mortgage is a dick hair over $1000. I can't imagine a car, but in the land of 70k trucks it makes sense.

    Screenshot_20250808-121659.png

    Edited by pacman
    bluto

    Posted

    ^not how you humble brag

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    CooterBrown

    Posted

    10 minutes ago, pacman said:

    This is absolutely crazy to me. Our mortgage is a dick hair over $1000. I can't imagine a car, but in the land of 70k trucks it makes sense.

    Screenshot_20250808-121659.png

    My wife said my sister just bought a pickup for like $85,000.  IIRC, they live in a doublewide, so this checks out.

     

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    Longhorn_Fan68

    Posted

    3 minutes ago, bluto said:

    ^not how you humble brag

    I was thinking the same thing. what a kinda weird thing to admit. lol

    LCHorn

    Posted

    53 minutes ago, pacman said:

    This is absolutely crazy to me. Our mortgage is a dick hair over $1000. I can't imagine a car, but in the land of 70k trucks it makes sense.

    Screenshot_20250808-121659.png

    Derek Thompson had Conor Sen (Bloomberg columnist) on his podcast a couple of weeks back and they think housing unaffordability is pushing crypto investing amongst younger generations--I wonder if this is an example of that, as well ("I can't afford a house, but I can afford this car..")

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    kevwun

    Posted

    That's a dumb way to spend money.  Cars don't go up in value.

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    Brisketexan

    Posted

    1 hour ago, kevwun said:

    That's a dumb way to spend money. 

    My good sir, "galactic stupidity" is our national ethos now.  Imagine the dumbest things you could think or do.  Then sit down and brace yourself, because everything our society is doing is 10X dumber than the dumbest shit you can imagine.

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    hookem2010

    Posted

    5 hours ago, Bozo_Casanova said:

     He underperformed his whole ticket in a midterm that was essentially a referendum on a Covid and inflation.

    Anecdotal, but in one of my now regular arguments with my parents since reestablishishing contact, my Dad did acknowledge that Paxton and Patrick specifically are clowns that he wouldn't vote for again. 

    How does he not see that the average R, especially in Texas, is 99% as bad? Not sure. Small victories, I guess...

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    Macanudo

    Posted

    1 hour ago, kevwun said:

    That's a dumb way to spend money.  Cars don't go up in value.

    Trump announced yesterday that the Administration supports private equity and crypto as investments in 401k plans.  The Great Fleecing is coming.

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    Nice Guy Eddie

    Posted

    My current vehicle carried a $700 payment over 4 years and that felt outrageous. Couldn’t imagine a 4 figure payment, most likely for 72 or 84 months.

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    tx 3 putt

    Posted

    5 hours ago, pacman said:

    This is absolutely crazy to me. Our mortgage is a dick hair over $1000. I can't imagine a car, but in the land of 70k trucks it makes sense.

    Screenshot_20250808-121659.png

     

    jeep has a $123k Cherokee

     

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    Brisketexan

    Posted

    29 minutes ago, Macanudo said:

    Trump announced yesterday that the Administration supports private equity and crypto as investments in 401k plans.  The Great Fleecing is coming.

    Give it time.  A future step is "your 401k loses tax-exempt status if it is NOT invested at least 30% in an approved crypto*."

    * Approved crypto will include Trumpcoin, and/or any other crypto that directly enriches the Trump family or indirectly does so (the primary beneficiaries of said coin spend $10 million at MAL every year or some shit).

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    Brisketexan

    Posted

    2 minutes ago, tx 3 putt said:

     

    jeep has a $123k Cherokee

     

    That's insane.  I mean, when the SCOTUS voids the 13th amendment next year, you'll surely be able to pick up a Cherokee for half that price, just like back in the old days.

    cherokke_orig.jpeg

     

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    Macanudo

    Posted

    1 minute ago, Brisketexan said:

    Give it time.  A future step is "your 401k loses tax-exempt status if it is NOT invested at least 30% in an approved crypto*."

    * Approved crypto will include Trumpcoin, and/or any other crypto that directly enriches the Trump family or indirectly does so (the primary beneficiaries of said coin spend $10 million at MAL every year or some shit).

    It's funny because it's true. 

    Most people at my firm (wealth management and retirement plan consultating are very opposed to this.  But when you look at the articles and responses on LinkedIn, places like State Street are all for it.  The gridt angle is off the charts.  

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    Sbbruin

    Posted

    5 hours ago, pacman said:

    This is absolutely crazy to me. Our mortgage is a dick hair over $1000. I can't imagine a car, but in the land of 70k trucks it makes sense.

    Screenshot_20250808-121659.png

    And people will put almost nothing down, finance it over 84 months, and pay 9% interest.  Because fuck financial literacy, I need my truck.

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    Pato del Muerto

    Posted (edited)

    Surely those that willingly finance 100k of vehicle debt aren’t the same ones bitching about how expensive things are and they can’t afford to buy a house. 
     

    i would be sick to my stomach if I was dumb enough to do that and then a year later realized that I owe 95k on my now 75k car, when I decide I can’t afford it and need to sell it. 

    Edited by Pato del Muerto
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    Kyrie Eleison

    Posted

    y'all really need to take a drive behind the Pine Curtain. 

    mile after mile of mobile homes with a brand new $100K Ford F250 and $110K+ 21' Skeeter parked in front.

    priorities, my dudes...  

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    Pato del Muerto

    Posted

    6 minutes ago, Kyrie Eleison said:

    y'all really need to take a drive behind the Pine Curtain. 

    mile after mile of mobile homes with a brand new $100K Ford F250 and $110K+ 21' Skeeter parked in front.

    priorities, my dudes...  

    the boat is on a 15 year note probably so even worse

    • Haha 1
    Satchel

    Posted

    On another note, what the hell is the point of the Wesley Hunt commercials that are everywhere?

    LCHorn

    Posted

    1 hour ago, Kyrie Eleison said:

    y'all really need to take a drive behind the Pine Curtain. 

    mile after mile of mobile homes with a brand new $100K Ford F250 and $110K+ 21' Skeeter parked in front.

    priorities, my dudes...  

    yeah, but that’s same as it ever was-I remember going with my Dad, who was doing some appraisal work to make ends meet after the S&L’s went to shit in the early 80’s, in Crosby and Mont Belvieu and seeing clean Corvette’s parked in front of small houses that looked like goats lived there.  
     

    There’s another, more urban contingent who can’t make a $3k house payment but they can do $1k on a SUV, and delayed gratification is for pussies.  

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    Elvis

    Posted

    Other people’s car payments.  A failed state.  




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