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Posted (edited)
2 hours ago, atomheartbevo said:

Yep, he cares a lot more about looking  powerful than about anybody dying or any nation’s borders.  I’m kind of surprised that Putin didn’t toss him a bone.  

Trump's ego and "Legacy" (in quotations as this legacy is whatever Trump believes/thinks it will be) are always the first factors in determining any statements or actions he will make. I really don't think the people of Ukraine or Russia for that matter factor into the equation other than how he perceives it will alter his ego or "legacy". 

In case anyone is curious, power and money followed after a massive gap then women (because a bad ass needs arm candy) is the rest of Trump's "moral compass". He follows the Scarface book of "How to win friends and influence people". 

Edited by BurntEyes
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Posted
13 hours ago, Orange&White said:

Two explosions at the exact same time in two different countries in facilities that both process Russian oil?? Who could it have been? I guess the mystery will never be solved??

I thought the KGB was supposed to be good?

That's some "Hogan's Heroes" shit.  Except Hogan would have made time to have a nice dinner and nail a Fraulein. 

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Posted
52 minutes ago, atomheartbevo said:


The Ryazan one is burning pretty nicely.

Also, "Ukraine put together a kinetic sanctions package"

Spit Take Lol GIF by Justin

 

The Ryazan Oil Refinery (RNPK, part of Rosneft) was attacked last night. This is was the #3/4 largest refinery in Russia, with a stated capacity of ~340,000 BPD, and had been operating at ~250,000 the past year.

The fire broke out near the catalytic cracking or hydrotreating unit...

Actual processing in recent years has been around 12-13 million tons per year. In August, following drone strikes, the plant temporarily reduced production capacity (temporarily operating with one large unit—approximately half its capacity). Today, it may have been finished off!

This marks at least the third Ukrainian strike on the Ryazan refinery since August. On Aug. 2, the plant reportedly shut down two of its three primary refining units after an attack, and on Sept. 5, one more unit was taken offline, according to Reuters sources.

 

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Posted
1 hour ago, PTINS said:

The Ryazan Oil Refinery (RNPK, part of Rosneft) was attacked last night. This is was the #3/4 largest refinery in Russia, with a stated capacity of ~340,000 BPD, and had been operating at ~250,000 the past year.

The fire broke out near the catalytic cracking or hydrotreating unit...

Actual processing in recent years has been around 12-13 million tons per year. In August, following drone strikes, the plant temporarily reduced production capacity (temporarily operating with one large unit—approximately half its capacity). Today, it may have been finished off!

This marks at least the third Ukrainian strike on the Ryazan refinery since August. On Aug. 2, the plant reportedly shut down two of its three primary refining units after an attack, and on Sept. 5, one more unit was taken offline, according to Reuters sources.

 


And Putin is having a tantrum about the new sanctions, through Medvedev stating that it is an act of war against Russia

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Posted
17 minutes ago, Bevo said:


And Putin is having a tantrum about the new sanctions, through Medvedev stating that it is an act of war against Russia

The next Julia Davis drop on Russian Media Monitor is gonna be lit.   We should all agree to take a shot of vodka every time a nuclear attack on the west is threatened

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Posted
49 minutes ago, Bevo said:

And Putin is having a tantrum about the new sanctions, through Medvedev stating that it is an act of war against Russia

Aimed slowly at making Trump squirm, because the reality is that Moscow is fast approaching a point where they can't export anything oil & gas related, maybe not even crude oil to be refined and re-imported. 

Hell, that refinery they hit last night, if it's completely down, means Rosneft won't even be selling much fuel internally.

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Posted
1 hour ago, atomheartbevo said:

Aimed slowly at making Trump squirm, because the reality is that Moscow is fast approaching a point where they can't export anything oil & gas related, maybe not even crude oil to be refined and re-imported. 

I'm having a hard time buying the below mattering - there are a myriad of ways they can get that cheap oil, and Beijing isn't going to give it up - Iran could serve as a proxy. Also, this says "seaborne" and nothing about pipelines, of which I'd guess China has a lot of.

If China reduces purchases in a huge way (not just "seaborne" but pipelines), then I'd feel like it means they know shit is going down and either they want to contribute to the post-Putin chaos, or they feel like they can wait and get a better deal when the dust dies down.

 

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Posted
39 minutes ago, atomheartbevo said:

I'm having a hard time buying the below mattering - there are a myriad of ways they can get that cheap oil, and Beijing isn't going to give it up - Iran could serve as a proxy. Also, this says "seaborne" and nothing about pipelines, of which I'd guess China has a lot of.

If China reduces purchases in a huge way (not just "seaborne" but pipelines), then I'd feel like it means they know shit is going down and either they want to contribute to the post-Putin chaos, or they feel like they can wait and get a better deal when the dust dies down.

 

If Ukraine could only hit those pipelines. 

Posted
Just now, atomheartbevo said:

Ukraine might not want to fuck with pipelines feeding China.  Let China figure out on their own what to do.

Nah, blow that fucker up. End it. So they only have seaborne. 

Posted
2 hours ago, InkaUtexas said:

If Ukraine could only hit those pipelines. 

 

1 hour ago, atomheartbevo said:

Ukraine might not want to fuck with pipelines feeding China.  Let China figure out on their own what to do.

 

1 hour ago, InkaUtexas said:

Nah, blow that fucker up. End it. So they only have seaborne. 

I'll risk it.  Burn, Motherfucker, burn.

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Posted

"I have responsibility to my animals" In September, American journalist @ZarinaZabrisky interviewed 84-year-old Lora in Antonivka, Kherson. Lora explained why she stayed despite daily Russian drone attacks: she had over 20 goats and felt responsible for them. Her house was destroyed by shelling, but she refused to leave.

"All the cattle herders who herded cows in the village have already been killed by Russian attacks," Lora said then.

On Monday, a Russian FPV drone struck Lora while she was walking with two of her goats. She was killed instantly—her legs blown off. Both goats died with her.

"One of the hardest deaths to look at in my three-and-a-half years of reporting on this war," Zabrisky said about the aftermath.

Lora is part of what Kherson residents call "human safari"—Russia's systematic targeting of civilians with drones. Nearly 150 civilians were killed in the initial summer 2024 assault, with hundreds more injured.

Zabrisky's documentary "Kherson: Human Safari" captures this unprecedented form of warfare, available free at http://khersonhumansafari.com to raise global awareness.

Tap the link below to find out how Russia transformed a Ukrainian city into a hunting ground for drones https://euromaidanpress.com/2025/08/22/the-film-showing-how-russias-killer-drones-turned-ukraine-into-a-human-safari/

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Posted

G38in4lWsAAlUES?format=jpg&name=large

Would like to see Ukraine cut off more bulges and get their lines straighter, reducing the amount of territory they are having to cover.  Won't matter as much if the Russians start running low on fuel.

Meanwhile

 

Frontline report: Russia's military cracks - Shootings, shortages, and World War Two ammunition - Euromaidan Press

Quote

Today, there are important updates from the Russian Federation.

Here, for many Russian conscripts, the illusion of patriotic duty has collapsed, resulting in the latest mass shootings, as it was replaced by fear, despair, and an overwhelming urge to escape at any cost, any possibility of being involved in the war. 

Its grim reality is hardly confined to the frontlines, as it is tearing through Russian society, the army barracks and the minds of the soldiers that can be sent to fight it.

In the latest incident symbolizing this internal breakdown, a Russian conscript opened fire on his fellow soldiers at a military unit in Moscow region, killing two and wounding another before turning the gun on himself. The shooting occurred in the training center of an anti-aircraft brigade for newly drafted soldiers.

While the Russian army claims motive remains unclear, such cases are no longer rare. Shootings, self-killings, and mental breakdowns among newly drafted troops are increasingly common, reflecting a force that is psychologically cracking under the weight of the war. 

Russian authorities blame isolated stress incidents yet reports from soldiers and relatives tell a different story of bullying, deprivation, and hopelessness. 

Despite symbolic claims and censorship, the young conscripts are not blind. They see footage from the front, learn from returning soldiers, and know what awaits them in Ukraine. Many try to flee, but harsh new laws criminalize even online searches for information deemed extremist, a label that conveniently includes criticism of the war.

....

The shortages go far beyond personal gear, as a video released by Ukraine's 225th Assault Regiment shows German detonators from the World War Two-era found in a captured Russian ammunition depot. 

These relics of the Molotov-Ribbentrop pact between the Soviet Union and Germany, marked with typical German insignia of that time, are a bitter irony for a regime that claims to be fighting fascism in Ukraine. 

They also expose the staggering depletion of Russian munitions reserves, as Russia is scraping century old stockpiles to keep the war machine running.

 

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Posted
1 hour ago, atomheartbevo said:

G38in4lWsAAlUES?format=jpg&name=large

Would like to see Ukraine cut off more bulges and get their lines straighter, reducing the amount of territory they are having to cover.  Won't matter as much if the Russians start running low on fuel.

Meanwhile

 

Frontline report: Russia's military cracks - Shootings, shortages, and World War Two ammunition - Euromaidan Press

 

If the wealthy in Moscow start hording fuel and long term consumables, it's going to filter down panic buying in the "middle class". 

That's when you will know any real plan to overthrow or execute Putin is coming down the pipe within months if not weeks. 

Posted
7 hours ago, Gatorubet said:

The next Julia Davis drop on Russian Media Monitor is gonna be lit.   We should all agree to take a shot of vodka every time a nuclear attack on the west is threatened

IMG_5381.thumb.jpeg.d9395a632c54fcc10b0d9ef4af554cdc.jpegIMG_5382.thumb.jpeg.fb9e9de4be5f8d12fa2ad7a23b3bb4b5.jpegIMG_5383.thumb.jpeg.0020c5ad59bef9c70ce290aa5b5997a5.jpegIMG_5384.thumb.jpeg.f9d31f88aef69584d30a5d2e0d740017.jpegIMG_5385.thumb.jpeg.cbdfca362975acdf833e2019b961490a.jpegIMG_5386.thumb.jpeg.8ae353b51ec03b56e5c5ebd0d7d82b77.jpegIMG_5387.thumb.jpeg.4c06999e7ea169e842c2289898d4a387.jpegIMG_5388.thumb.jpeg.aae8f0042ebbf35f8c0706a820126668.jpeg

 

IMG_1315.gif.eee35604b1938e4cf50566a43c14a8d8.gif

Posted
2 hours ago, atomheartbevo said:

I'm having a hard time buying the below mattering - there are a myriad of ways they can get that cheap oil, and Beijing isn't going to give it up - Iran could serve as a proxy. Also, this says "seaborne" and nothing about pipelines, of which I'd guess China has a lot of.

If China reduces purchases in a huge way (not just "seaborne" but pipelines), then I'd feel like it means they know shit is going down and either they want to contribute to the post-Putin chaos, or they feel like they can wait and get a better deal when the dust dies down.

 

2 hours ago, InkaUtexas said:

If Ukraine could only hit those pipelines. 

58 minutes ago, atomheartbevo said:

Ukraine might not want to fuck with pipelines feeding China.  Let China figure out on their own what to do.

57 minutes ago, InkaUtexas said:

Nah, blow that fucker up. End it. So they only have seaborne. 

Relax, guys, I already took care of it for you.

image.png.65ad117bba042dc4b789b89cb79fd6af.png

The reality is, how many significant oil pipelines exist between Russia and China? 

"Doughnut, babe. Nothing. Zip. Zilch." - Hunt Stevenson (Michael Keaton) in Gung Ho

The waterborne crude oil exports from Russia to China is all there is.

TLDR

However, there is one major gas pipeline between the Bear and the Dragon, the Power of Siberia 1 Pipeline. This $55 Billion project, commissioned in 2021, included the 56" diameter, 1,860 mile pipeline from Kovykta Gas field in the Irkutsk Oblast (aren't you glad you played Risk?) to the China Border. I did check; there is a 9,500 ft mountain range they went around.

The Kovykta Gas Field is over 1,200 miles southeast of the Urengoy Gas Field in Siberia that supplies used to supply Eastern Europe, via a 2,800 mile pipeline. 

image.thumb.png.219d2a34936f196c2c095216ef587f02.png

The good news is the natural gas produced here is the really good stuff, that contains helium and is rich in Natural Gas Liquids.

A Gas Processing Plant requires a cryogenic plant operating at ~ -170 °F to separate the NGLs.. 

Helium processing is way out of my comfort zone...

"Helium extraction plant uses cryogenic distillation to reach temperatures as low as -269°C (-452°F), just a few degrees above absolute zero. These extreme temperatures are necessary to separate helium from the other gases found in natural gas because helium has the lowest boiling point of any element. "

The really bad news is the economies of scale you need to monetize the resource is mind boggling, and it is conveniently located literally in the middle of fucking nowhere, in an area with design conditions of -60 ℉, and a freeze depth of 13 ft. 

The Total "Power of Siberia Costs" included:

Gas Production Facilities        $  6.16    Billion
Gas Pipeline                             $15.07     Billion
Power Plant (160 MW)            $ 8.47?   Billion
Gas Plant                                  $13.70    Billion
Chemical Plant                         $11.60    Billion
                                                  $55.00    Billion

The overall projecticludes the entire vertical integration of natural gas processing; Natural gas Production to Pipelineto Gas Processing Plant to NGL fractionation Plant to Ethylene Plant (cracking ethane to make ethylene and cracking propane to make propylene) to Polyethylene/polyPropylene Plant (plastic pellets). Everything you need to get from raw natural gas to plastic pellets that become everything plastic that is "Made in China." 

For a processing guy, it doesn't get any better than this.  It is truly amazing that Russian can build something like this, yet they  invade Ukraine so they can take the toilets.

Some Russian Gas Processing Porn;

The first column of NGL/NRU unit Natural Gas Liquid/Nitrogen Rejection Unit) in the P1 section of Amur Gas Processing Plant was officially put into operation on May 1st, 2021.

image.thumb.png.e3ca2fb3e688e7f9c77cf11590ba4c9c.png

By far, the largest process vessel I have ever seen.

image.png.9f2b6ade314073764ac1f66ec5739183.png 

image.thumb.png.536c893ada212a8d8f01276986c838d1.png

 

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