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BigOrange1

NCAA Week 1

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I'm so happy this thread is back. I love you all.

A lot of interesting first week road tests out there. Wondering if there is some value in any of these, they would scare me to death if I was a fan. I don't see Wisconsin or Ok State losing that first game, but Nevada/Wyoming could make for interesting ML fliers.

Wisconsin -13 at South Florida
Purdue -10.5 at Nevada
Missouri -17.5 at Wyoming
Ok State -14.5 at Oregon State

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I'm going to miss Urban's 80%-ish ATS clip with a week+ to prepare for a team.  I'll offer up Fuente going 7-0 ats in true road openers. His teams have covered those seven by an average of 19.5 points.

And if you geek out on this stuff overall another good read from David Purdhum w/ ESPN Chalk.  The guy does solid work.

https://www.espn.com/chalk/story/_/id/27435784/betting-september-bookmakers-most-profitable-football-month

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I like Utah -5.5 a lot. Lots of people think they will win the PAC 12. I know it’s an in-state rivalry, but Utah will win by a touchdown.

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5 hours ago, TornACL said:

I'm so happy this thread is back. I love you all.

A lot of interesting first week road tests out there. Wondering if there is some value in any of these, they would scare me to death if I was a fan. I don't see Wisconsin or Ok State losing that first game, but Nevada/Wyoming could make for interesting ML fliers.

Wisconsin -13 at South Florida
Purdue -10.5 at Nevada
Missouri -17.5 at Wyoming
Ok State -14.5 at Oregon State

+rep for typing out both teams instead of "Wisc -13 ; OKSt -14.5" etc.  

Can we all be proper gents and do that? 

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Yeah, Charlie's still there, I wouldn't tail that pick even if it was $1M.  My blood pressure is already high enough. 

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alright, it's time for me to participate in this thread this year. i've been alternating good and bad weeks, and last week was a bad one, so this is perfect timing. let's get it on!

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Here's my thursday night parlay:

UCLA (+115)

Clemson -36 (-110)

Utah (-210)

Kent St/ASU U60.5 (-110)

Aggie -33.5 (-110)

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I like UCLA and Utah to cover but isn’t GT gonna try to limit Clemson’s possessions?

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17 minutes ago, SDG said:

I like UCLA and Utah to cover but isn’t GT gonna try to limit Clemson’s possessions?

I'm sure they will try. I have a feeling there will be some defensive scores in this game for Clemson. And when they have it on offense, some quick strikes. No more triple option for GT

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Posted (edited)
4 hours ago, SDG said:

isn’t GT gonna try to limit Clemson’s possessions?

Yeah, and I'm gonna try to bang Sofia Vergara this Thursday night, too.

Odds are about the same.

Edited by TexArcher

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I’m on

Georgia -20.5 over Vandy

Bama -34.5 over Duke

aggy -33.5 over Texas state

Utah -5.5 over BYU

 

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17 hours ago, taybo20 said:

Here's my thursday night parlay:

UCLA (+115)

Clemson -36 (-110)

Utah (-210)

Kent St/ASU U60.5 (-110)

Aggie -33.5 (-110)

My Thursday/Fri Parlay:

Clemson 1H -23.5

aggy 1H -20.5

Utah 1H -3.5

Army 1H -12 

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23 hours ago, chitwood said:

Wow. Betting on Strong. I couldn’t do it. 

USF has a new offensive coordinator...  Kerwin Bell.   Known for explosive offense, we will see if his scheme works in FBS... it's worked really well everywhere else.   So some unknowns in the opener.

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Bama 1H is usually a good bet. The Tide are breaking in two freshman ILBs and have to deal with 4 suspended players, though.

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11 hours ago, Trey3216 said:

My Thursday/Fri Parlay:

Clemson 1H -23.5

aggy 1H -20.5

Utah 1H -3.5

Army 1H -12 

The clemson game i'm iffy on for the first half. Actually thinking of going under since GT puts in a new offensive system and debo doesn't seem to run it up much. Then again it's clemson so they might jump out like Alabama did last year in 1H and cover most of the year.

Kent state v arizona state 1H  - Kent State 1H cover (+14) ; but that total points under looks interesting for the game. Kent state has loads of upperclassman on D but they sucked last year. Kent state has loads of upperclassman on Offense and they were moderately better. AZ State starts a true freshman at QB.

Aggy game total over (56.5). Think Aggy comes out shooting to ride the roller coaster.

not touching UTAH cause rivalry reasons.

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for today i'm on:

UCLA ml, aggy -33, Clemson 1h -23.5, Utah -5.5, az st -25  and may add tulane

also - indians, twins & a's parlay for some degenerate day game action

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23 hours ago, Machinator said:

Bama 1H is usually a good bet. The Tide are breaking in two freshman ILBs and have to deal with 4 suspended players, though.

True but it is duke. The suspended guys are back for the second half so I’m guessing they won’t let up like they did last year. 

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This thread sure is chalky.

I have talked myself into Ole Miss +5.5. Memphis has to replace those NFL running backs, the games at Memphis but Ole Miss will have tons of fans in the house. I think Ole Miss and dickhead RichRod will have enough to win a shootout.

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4 hours ago, Wally Pryor said:

A&M Over 56.5  Spavital will create some points and Fisher will run these games up where he can. 

Played both of these tonight as well. 

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5 hours ago, Wally Pryor said:

A&M Over 56.5  Spavital will create some points and Fisher will run these games up where he can. 

I took Texas State team total over 12.5, may have to also add the game total.

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So far I'm on .5U for Clemson 1H -23.5. Get me started off on the right foot, Dabo!

I'll wait on some others until Saturday morning.

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Also on A&M Over 56.5 tonight. 

I’ve decided to tail all of Stanford Steve’s picks this year as he killed it last year. 

Wake Forest -3.5

Wake/Utah St over 59.5

Ohio St/FAU Over 63.5

Northwestern +6.5 

Kentucky/Toledo Under 61.5

Boston College +5

 

Good luck this year boys! 

 

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Funny, I was looking at that Utah state. The utah Oline is young w/o experience, the receivers are new but seem good and the qb Is a bad ass. Anderson's second go around so... dunno. The Utah defense looks ok, while WF DEFENSE is all freshman on the dline interior. So looks like both teams strength play against each other, and their weak parts do as well. I’m expecting low scoring. 

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Like the over aggy/TxState 57.  Agree Spav should be able to put up a few points and Jimbo gotta try to run it up.

Wiscy/USF line down to 10 now.  I'm betting against Charlie every game this year.

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Tonights bets: UCLA win, GT +36, Utah -6.5, ASU KS u61.5, aggy O57.5.  

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2 hours ago, LonghornGoodfella said:

Kentucky/Toledo Under 61.5

 

Hmmm that pick is as tasty as your avatar.

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Hopefully I’m getting my bad streak over with tonight or it’s gonna be a long weekend.  

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Should’ve put more thought into Aggy. They aren’t going to show a lot this week with Clemson next week. 

On the other hand they suck. 

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i hit clemson 1h but lost ucla over; a wash for me tonight. i've got the lsu vs ga southern u52.5 and the ou vs houston o79.5. still considering what else i'm gonna play. 

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Lost my parlay because Utah missed an XP in the first half.   I did hedge it though since I had already won aggy/Clemson 1h’s 

 

Now Taking:

Army 1H -12 

Ok St 1H -7

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23 minutes ago, taybo20 said:

I’m off UCLA for the season 

They have any other QBs on that roster? They might look like a totally different team if they bench that slapdick.

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