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Protests have broken out in at least 17 of Iran's 31 provinces, presenting the largest challenge to the country's clerical establishment since 2022, a BBC Verify and BBC Persian analysis has found.

The BBC's analysis of protests includes only those for which we have verified video footage - the true number is almost certainly far higher. There are reports of protests in a further 11 provinces.

The wave of protests has spread rapidly across Iran since 28 December, when anger initially broke out in the capital Tehran following a fresh and sharp devaluation of the country's currency against the dollar and other major foreign currencies.

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Iran anti-government protests spread to majority of provi...

Videos show that unrest has spread to more than 50 towns and cities, including pro-government heartlands.

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We'll see. How many times have we been Charlie Brown'd into thinking there could be a legitimate threat to the Islamic Republic only for the revolt to crash and burn?

9 minutes ago, Saint Austin said:

We'll see. How many times have we been Charlie Brown'd into thinking there could be a legitimate threat to the Islamic Republic only for the revolt to crash and burn?

People have nothing left to lose. Currency has cratered, people can’t afford food, joblessness. This is different is the word from family and friends in Iran. Khamenei never seriously considered fleeing the country until now.

Edited by Macklemore

1 hour ago, InkaUtexas said:

Protests have broken out in at least 17 of Iran's 31 provinces, presenting the largest challenge to the country's clerical establishment since 2022, a BBC Verify and BBC Persian analysis has found.

The BBC's analysis of protests includes only those for which we have verified video footage - the true number is almost certainly far higher. There are reports of protests in a further 11 provinces.

The wave of protests has spread rapidly across Iran since 28 December, when anger initially broke out in the capital Tehran following a fresh and sharp devaluation of the country's currency against the dollar and other major foreign currencies.

No image preview

Iran anti-government protests spread to majority of provi...

Videos show that unrest has spread to more than 50 towns and cities, including pro-government heartlands.

I read 27 of 31.

We should drop some bombs. That’ll fix it

5 hours ago, Macklemore said:

People have nothing left to lose. Currency has cratered, people can’t afford food, joblessness.

Our IRGC's heads are falling off

37 minutes ago, 'stache said:

We should drop some bombs. That’ll fix it

All we need is to threaten them to help unify or make things worse.

With so many police supposedly defecting, that is what is giving me some hope.

On 1/1/2026 at 6:17 PM, 956 Worldwide said:

Inshallah the mullahs get the Ceausescu treatment in 2026. What a beautiful country and brilliant civilization that deserves so much better. Would also completely upend militant Islamism, which is running out of steam worldwide anyway.

Just in time for America to fill the void with militant Christianity.

I'm not all that familiar with this stuff but I assume the new regime would also be a theocracy? Let them have what they want and stay the fuck out of it, we got Greenland to worry about first.

20 minutes ago, KYHorn said:

I'm getting flashbacks to this guy...

Ahmed Chalabi obituary | Iraq | The Guardian

"The Iraqi people will welcome US troops."

1 hour ago, LCHorn said:

I'm getting flashbacks to this guy...

Ahmed Chalabi obituary | Iraq | The Guardian

"The Iraqi people will welcome US troops."

No one was chanting for the return of Ahmed Chalabi in Iraq like they’re doing for their Shahanshah in Iran.

1 hour ago, 'stache said:

I'm not all that familiar with this stuff but I assume the new regime would also be a theocracy? Let them have what they want and stay the fuck out of it, we got Greenland to worry about first.

Are you an idiot? Why the fuck would the new regime be another theocracy. These protests are driven by a love of the homeland, rejection of Islam and love of monarchy.

17 minutes ago, Macklemore said:

Are you an idiot? Why the fuck would the new regime be another theocracy. These protests are driven by a love of the homeland, rejection of Islam and love of monarchy.

I honestly can't tell if this is sarcasm. I suspect that Islam will still be widely practiced in the region, the question is if it will be state religion to the exclusions of others with requirements that laws comply with religion, i.e., theocracy, because that to me is a massive problem, not just in the ME, but everywhere, including the US where we are being pushed daily in that direction.

Edited by 'stache

4 hours ago, Macklemore said:

These protests are driven by a love of the homeland, rejection of Islam and love of monarchy.

Love of homeland? I'm sure most Iranians have a baseline love of their country. But these didn't erupt because "we love Iran, but the mullahs don't." It arose for the reasons almost all such movements arise: economic failure/collapse, water supply collapse, exhaustion with same, etc.

Rejection of Islam? I see no evidence that's anything but you wishcasting. Now, is there likely a broader social desire for less THEOCRATIC Islam? Probably. But this isn't a movement that is looking to denounce Islam, turn into a Baha'i or Christian movement, etc. Rejection of the mullahs and repressive Islam as a form of government is far from a "rejection of Islam."

Love of monarchy? Yeah, that is DEFINITELY you wishcasting. No polling I've seen shows any overwhelming or even majority support for a return to a monarchy. Almost all of the positions boil down to "something else, and definitely not this shit we've been dealing with for decades."

I hope that the Iranian people find some degree of freedom, peace, and prosperity. I know that it wouldn't be what I would choose, because guess what, I'm not Iranian, I'm not muslim, etc. Trying to impose our individual beliefs/desires onto an entire population is just lying to ourselves.

39 minutes ago, Brisketexan said:

Love of homeland? I'm sure most Iranians have a baseline love of their country. But these didn't erupt because "we love Iran, but the mullahs don't." It arose for the reasons almost all such movements arise: economic failure/collapse, water supply collapse, exhaustion with same, etc.

Rejection of Islam? I see no evidence that's anything but you wishcasting. Now, is there likely a broader social desire for less THEOCRATIC Islam? Probably. But this isn't a movement that is looking to denounce Islam, turn into a Baha'i or Christian movement, etc. Rejection of the mullahs and repressive Islam as a form of government is far from a "rejection of Islam."

Love of monarchy? Yeah, that is DEFINITELY you wishcasting. No polling I've seen shows any overwhelming or even majority support for a return to a monarchy. Almost all of the positions boil down to "something else, and definitely not this shit we've been dealing with for decades."

I hope that the Iranian people find some degree of freedom, peace, and prosperity. I know that it wouldn't be what I would choose, because guess what, I'm not Iranian, I'm not muslim, etc. Trying to impose our individual beliefs/desires onto an entire population is just lying to ourselves.

shhh, let him go back under the impression that unapologetic Christians who like to dabble in narcotics and gay sex will be welcome

The fact this is now being mentioned at all in the Russian media gives me hope.

On 1/6/2026 at 1:14 PM, Saint Austin said:

We'll see. How many times have we been Charlie Brown'd into thinking there could be a legitimate threat to the Islamic Republic only for the revolt to crash and burn?

It is interesting. Certainly 2022 was disappointing but how long can this regime keep weathering these kinds of things?

9 minutes ago, Laxtonto said:

The fact this is now being mentioned at all in the Russian media gives me hope.

Hey look Macklemore was right. Or might be right.

8 minutes ago, Laxtonto said:

The fact this is now being mentioned at all in the Russian media gives me hope.

If towns are falling and we are seeing officials being openly assassinated, and seeing police joining protestors, and protests are happening during the day, I have no doubt that shit is edging closer to a tipping point.

It's helped that this is being driven by economics, which is a far better motivator than somebody being told to wear a headscarf.

1 minute ago, atomheartbevo said:

If towns are falling and we are seeing officials being openly assassinated, and seeing police joining protestors, and protests are happening during the day, I have no doubt that shit is edging closer to a tipping point.

It's helped that this is being driven by economics, which is a far better motivator than somebody being told to wear a headscarf.

Also evironmental factors as well right? I heard Tehran has a pretty serious water issue.

Edit: Ok probably not a good sign when there is a wikipedia page about how bad your water situation is: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Water_scarcity_in_Iran

Edited by Valmy77

23 minutes ago, Valmy77 said:

Also evironmental factors as well right? I heard Tehran has a pretty serious water issue.

Was talking to one of my grad students about that this week. The drought (and infrastructure damage gifted to them by Israel) has made drinking water a much larger concern in Tehran. To the point that her parents don't even remember it being this bad. We are talking 50-60 year historic lows. Inflation is out of control and many in Tehran are moving toward north into Gilan. Her family left for Amol during the last Iran/Israel dust up and sounds like that is the plan now.

On 1/5/2026 at 5:58 PM, Brisketexan said:

1) The Iranian people should decide their path.

2) Imagine licking boots for 45 years, then begging to lick a different boot.

I'm an American, I believe in liberty, and I believe that monarchs are good for precisely one thing: wetting guillotine blades with their arterial blood. But I understand that many people cannot fight off their impulse to be bootlickers, so there we are.

Do butterflies even have arteries?

5 hours ago, Laxtonto said:

The fact this is now being mentioned at all in the Russian media gives me hope.

Is it being reported by anyone reputable or just random ass Twitter accounts?

3 minutes ago, Schulz2.0 said:

Is it being reported by anyone reputable or just random ass Twitter accounts?

That do seem sketchy, especially if it's taking the opinion that this is a pro-Shah uprising with no apparent link. I'm sure that there are some calling for the Shah's sun to return, but that's not what this is all about necessarily. Of course, with no ties over there, I don't have any sense of authentic public sentiment aside from that poll I posted a couple of days ago.

23 minutes ago, bolverk said:

That do seem sketchy, especially if it's taking the opinion that this is a pro-Shah uprising with no apparent link. I'm sure that there are some calling for the Shah's sun to return, but that's not what this is all about necessarily. Of course, with no ties over there, I don't have any sense of authentic public sentiment aside from that poll I posted a couple of days ago.

He’s probably the only “legitimate” opposition that’s out of reach or the current regime.

2 minutes ago, atomheartbevo said:

He’s probably the only “legitimate” opposition that’s out of reach or the current regime.

Oh, I get that public sentiment could've risen from the 21% favoring the Shah's son in that poll, but I've also read that most of his support actually comes from the Iranian diaspora, so I'm trying to bear in mind that there could be propaganda accounts from that community. Just trying to keep an even keel on this, since so many previous uprisings have eventually been crushed.

I certainly hope this is the one that brings down the mullahs, but I keep in mind that poll in which opinions on preferred types of government were split so that none of the choices had a strong plurality. So, sure, they might rally around him as a figurehead for the revolution, but that doesn't necessarily mean that support for his actual leadership as head of state would coalesce.

Understand? I know it's nitpicky, but there are so many fucking Xitter accounts posing as independent journos with hidden agendas that I'm eternally skeptical of most of them now. That applies especially to ones like this one that don't show a link to anything.

14 minutes ago, bolverk said:

I certainly hope this is the one that brings down the mullahs, but I keep in mind that poll in which opinions on preferred types of government were split so that none of the choices had a strong plurality. So, sure, they might rally around him as a figurehead for the revolution, but that doesn't necessarily mean that support for his actual leadership as head of state would coalesce.

So from what I've seen, there is no real opposition inside of Iran - it's like Russia, all the serious ones are dead/locked up.

He's somebody that I actually think support could coalesce around in the short term, simply because the people know they could easily replace him (and he knows it) and he seems responsive to the people (he's not going to have a powerbase/security apparatus that can protect him if shit goes sideways and the people get pissed).

I think there's a better than decent chance this may succeed - because the protests are so widespread and decentralized, there's no central/single pillar of opposition that the regime can target, especially when they lose whole towns. In the past, it was over headwear or other things where you could point to a single group that were driving the narrative, and if you take the wind out of their sails, most of the bandwagon protestors would go home. Now it's everybody suffering.

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