Jump to content

Israel-Hamas war thread


Brisketexan

Recommended Posts

26 minutes ago, 956 Worldwide said:

Big investigation by the NYT reveals systematic sexual violence by Hamas on October 7.  You can get a free gift link below.  Be forewarned that it is extraordinarily gruesome. 
 

 

sickening. Thats why Israel won't stop until Hamas is wiped out. I hope they hunt down and kill every single participant and every single leader. 

  • Hook 'Em 5
Link to comment
Share on other sites

47 minutes ago, FartingMonk said:

The war is about to get bigger.  Iran has officially enters this Donnybrook

I don’t think they have the balls to fuck around in the Mediterranean like some of their leaders have mentioned. Western allies maybe bickering over the Red Sea and wanting to prioritize defending vessels flagged to the allies’ home ports (although Maersk and others are coming back) but the Med is a good way to get Article 5 invoked.  The US alone has over 500 cruise missiles parked down the Red Sea and over towards the Persian Gulf.  Brits and French have quite a few as well, out into the Indian Ocean,

More for the other thread, but things do feel slightly weird, like a lot of chess pieces are being moved around the board.  The announcement a few days ago that Iran and Russia would start trading in local currencies instead of the American dollar made me wonder if Iran is planning something that could impact their markets.

  • Hook 'Em 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

8 minutes ago, atomheartbevo said:

I don’t think they have the balls to fuck around in the Mediterranean like some of their leaders have mentioned. Western allies maybe bickering over the Red Sea and wanting to prioritize defending vessels flagged to the allies’ home ports (although Maersk and others are coming back) but the Med is a good way to get Article 5 invoked.  The US alone has over 500 cruise missiles parked down the Red Sea and over towards the Persian Gulf.  Brits and French have quite a few as well, out into the Indian Ocean,

More for the other thread, but things do feel slightly weird, like a lot of chess pieces are being moved around the board.  The announcement a few days ago that Iran and Russia would start trading in local currencies instead of the American dollar made me wonder if Iran is planning something that could impact their markets.

More likely just straight sanctions evasion, it’s a game of cat and mouse to get around them and it’s much easier for us to intervene in dollar denominated transactions. 
 

The question will be what then happens, Iran doesn’t want to be holding Russian rubles so how do they convert them into something they can use? 

  • Hook 'Em 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 hours ago, FartingMonk said:

https://m.jpost.com/breaking-news/article-780016

Nah Israel took the war to them.

Israel does an air strike on the main international airport out of Syria’s Capitol, kills at least 11 important Iranians. And Syria does nothing in response, nor does Russian air defenses or aircraft get involved.

Should almost have Assad in the deadpool.  

  • Hook 'Em 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

NSFW  

Spoiler

 


 

An explosion hit southern Beirut on Tuesday, destroying several cars and killing official Saleh al-Arouri, according to multiple reports in Lebanese and Israeli media.

This is a significant development. Israeli intelligence has been trying to kill al-Arouri for years and the United States has had a 5 million dollar bounty on him.

Hamas confirms was assassinated alongside 2 leaders in the Hamas military wing.

Hezbollah’s leader had warned that any assassination of a senior figure (regardless nationality or affiliation) on Lebanese soil would have consequences.

This escalation is deliberate Al-Arouri is a deputy political leader for Hamas and one of the founders of al-Qassam Brigades, the so-called military wing of Hamas.

This is an extremely serious escalation. Bombing Beirut or its suburbs had long been declared a red line by Hezbollah that would necessitate significant retaliation.

The area [of the explosion] is Beirut's southern suburb, the area of Mouawad, and it's, of course, known to be an area where Hezbollah is active, also the Palestinian groups are active;

 

  • Hook 'Em 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

As pissed off as it makes the terrorists (and...tough shit, fuck those guys), this is EXACTLY the kind of action Israel should be taking, as opposed to its blunt instrument approach in Gaza.  Find the leaders of Hamas.  Kill them wherever they are, with as much precision as practicable.  That gets the people they're supposed to get, with much reduced civilian casualties.

  • Hook 'Em 7
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Except this is actually a huge escalation. The Hezbollah leader has canceled his planned speech tomorrow.  These types of strikes were understood to be off the table inside of Lebanon, kind of a tacit understanding. There’s a risk that Hezbollah joins for real now. 
 

@Brisketexan, it can’t be emphasized enough that Hamas and its allies would BY FAR rather see Israel kill every Palestenian in Gaza than strike leadership of Hamas hiding abroad. 

  • Hook 'Em 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted (edited)
3 minutes ago, 956 Worldwide said:

Except this is actually a huge escalation. The Hezbollah leader has canceled his planned speech tomorrow.  These types of strikes were understood to be off the table inside of Lebanon, kind of a tacit understanding. There’s a risk that Hezbollah joins for real now. 
 

@Brisketexan, it can’t be emphasized enough that Hamas and its allies would BY FAR rather see Israel kill every Palestenian in Gaza than strike leadership of Hamas hiding abroad. 

The bolded - I know, which is why I like this move.  When playing chess, you most often don't want to make the move your opponent wants you to make.  You want to make the move they DON'T want you to make.  Escalation schmescalation.  This is how you fight an organization like Hamas.  You cut heads off of snakes.  You don't indiscriminately bomb the entire ranch hoping you hit a snake or two when the place is obliterated.

And also, Israel thinks (not entirely wrongly) that this is an all-in fight against enemies like Hezbollah that have only been arming and getting stronger every day.  Better to have the fight now, when you're already at war, than later (when Hezbollah is even better armed).

Iran is a pan-regional problem.  And that problem is only getting worse.

Edited by Brisketexan
  • Hook 'Em 3
  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 minutes ago, ABSR said:

Bibi is trying to have the war last long enough for him to be seen more as the tough leader who defeated Hamas instead of the want-to-be dictator who ignored security and let the Hamas terrorist massacre/debacle happen.

And also the whole "as long as I stay as PM, they probably can't try me and toss me in prison."  Don't forget that -- the PM seat is literally his "get out of jail" card, and he won't give it up easily.

  • Hook 'Em 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, ABSR said:

Bibi is trying to have the war last long enough for him to be seen more as the tough leader who defeated Hamas instead of the want-to-be dictator who ignored security and let the Hamas terrorist massacre/debacle happen.

There was an interview he had last year right after election.  He talked about his dead brother and it had a very Putin feeling to it.  He wants a lasting legacy of the savior of Israel.  Like he wanted it to happen

  • Hook 'Em 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 hours ago, Brisketexan said:

As pissed off as it makes the terrorists (and...tough shit, fuck those guys), this is EXACTLY the kind of action Israel should be taking, as opposed to its blunt instrument approach in Gaza.  Find the leaders of Hamas.  Kill them wherever they are, with as much precision as practicable.  That gets the people they're supposed to get, with much reduced civilian casualties.

Yeah, but I'm not sure how much of a difference it will make. Yasser Arrafat made billions in grift. Then, he was gone and some more radical dudes made billions. So, once those guys are killed, I don't think the next progression is peace in the middle east and hugs and kisses between Israel and the Arab world. Someone will make billions.

  • Hook 'Em 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, Bevo said:

Yeah, but I'm not sure how much of a difference it will make. Yasser Arrafat made billions in grift. Then, he was gone and some more radical dudes made billions. So, once those guys are killed, I don't think the next progression is peace in the middle east and hugs and kisses between Israel and the Arab world. Someone will make billions.

Oh, undoubtedly.  There's no path forward that doesn't involve "and it continues to get worse."  Each "side" in this conflict is fucked by the fact that they are being driven by a genocidal plurality that has outsize control over policy/military actions.  And that is never, ever, ever going away.  So, neither is the bloodshed.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

And now this...https://lite.cnn.com/2024/01/02/politics/us-qatar-agreement-largest-base-middle-east/index.html


US quietly reaches agreement with Qatar to keep operating largest military base in Middle East

By Alex Marquardt and Natasha Bertrand, CNN

Updated: 4:42 PM EST, Tue January 2, 2024

Source: CNN

The United States has quietly reached an agreement that extends its military presence at a sprawling base in Qatar for another 10 years, three US defense officials and another official familiar with the agreement told CNN.

The deal, which has not been announced publicly, highlights Washington’s reliance on the tiny Gulf country that has recently played a central role in mediating the release of Americans from captivity in Gaza and Venezuela.

The Al Udeid Air Base, located in the desert southwest of Doha, is the biggest US military installation in the Middle East and can house more than 10,000 American troops.

Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin visited Al Udeid last month where he thanked Qatar for their increased spending on the base.

But he made no mention of the renewal and the Biden administration has not publicized it – at a time when Qatar has come under growing scrutiny for hosting senior Hamas leaders. Qatari officials have countered that it was only after a US request during the Obama administration that Hamas was allowed to open a political office in Doha.

The base has been a pivotal hub for the US Central Command’s air operations in or around Afghanistan, Iran and across the Middle East. The Qatari and British Air Forces also operate from the base.

The extension comes as the US has bolstered its presence in the region amid escalating threats from Iran-backed militant groups in Iraq, Syria and Yemen.

After Hamas kidnapped some 240 hostages from Israel on October 7, Qatar has been the primary go-between with Hamas to broker the initial release of scores of the Israeli and international hostages. It continues to be central in the talks to try to revive hostage negotiations, coordinating with the CIA and Israel’s Mossad, as well as Egypt.

cont'd at link

  • Hook 'Em 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, 956 Worldwide said:

Wow. Iran has no shortage of enemies that might have done this. That said, it’s the sort of black swan event that could lead to a stumble into regional war regardless of who did it. 

Don’t think it was the US, not our style and accomplishes nothing militarily (especially since we were the ones who killed the guy years ago).  If it was Israel, it would be more precise and we’d already know the target - they aren’t potentially wasting assets to kill a bunch of random mourners for a guy who died years ago. India is pissed at a Iran, but whatever revenge they take over the drone attack will be focused on the drone attack and not mourners of some guy we killed years ago.  

Saudis and Iraqis have some solid motives, given who the guy was, but it doesn’t feel like something Iraq would do..

He was a powerful person within Iran, and attacking people who looked up to him could send a message from one Iranian faction to another Iranian faction.

I’d put it at 80% Iranians behind it, and 20% Saudis/somebody else.

  • Hook 'Em 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Netyanyahu lost his bid to overturn a law that makes it possible to kick him out of office. The Israel Supreme Court vote was 6 to 5 and some observers say this is the end of the line for Netanyahu's fascist revolution. Netanyahu argued a PM could be removed from office only due to physical or mental incapacity, and nothing else.

 

AP article -
https://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/israels-supreme-court-delays-activation-law-makes-harder-106075989

Quote

 

Israel's Supreme Court delays activation of law that makes it harder to remove Netanyahu from office

Israel’s Supreme Court has ruled that a law that could make it harder to remove Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu from office must go into effect only after the next elections

JERUSALEM -- A law that would make it harder to remove Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu from office must go into effect only after the next parliamentary elections, the country's Supreme Court ruled Wednesday, saying the law was clearly crafted for personal reasons.

Israeli legislators passed the law in March 2023 as part of the government's contentious legal overhaul plan. Critics said the law was designed to protect Netanyahu from being deemed unfit to rule over claims of a conflict of interest. He had been working to reshape the justice system while on trial for alleged corruption.

The court’s ruling in a 6-5 vote comes days after it overturned the first major piece of the overhaul in a blow to Netanyahu’s government. The next parliamentary elections are expected in 2026 but could be held before then.

Netanyahu is on trial for fraud, breach of trust and accepting bribes in three separate cases. He denies wrongdoing.

His involvement in the legal overhaul raised questions, including by the country's attorney general, over whether that constituted a conflict of interest while he was on trial.

 

 

Edited by Chopper
sp
  • Hook 'Em 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

39 minutes ago, atomheartbevo said:

Don’t think it was the US, not our style and accomplishes nothing militarily (especially since we were the ones who killed the guy years ago).  If it was Israel, it would be more precise and we’d already know the target - they aren’t potentially wasting assets to kill a bunch of random mourners for a guy who died years ago. India is pissed at a Iran, but whatever revenge they take over the drone attack will be focused on the drone attack and not mourners of some guy we killed years ago.  

Saudis and Iraqis have some solid motives, given who the guy was, but it doesn’t feel like something Iraq would do..

He was a powerful person within Iran, and attacking people who looked up to him could send a message from one Iranian faction to another Iranian faction.

I’d put it at 80% Iranians behind it, and 20% Saudis/somebody else.

 I'm guessing The Brotherhood/al Queda

  • Hook 'Em 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

23 hours ago, 956 Worldwide said:

Wow. Iran has no shortage of enemies that might have done this. That said, it’s the sort of black swan event that could lead to a stumble into regional war regardless of who did it. 

Islamic State seems to be the current thought. Iran is reportedly increasing security on their borders with Pakistan and Afghanistan. 

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/jan/04/iran-kerman-attack-islamic-state-suspicion-border-afghanistan-pakistan

Edited by Schulz2.0
  • Hook 'Em 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Some more official sounding plans for post war Gaza

 

 

Wonder how much of that multinational task force is agreed to or if it's mostly just wish casting. Would the Arab nations be Jordan, Egypt, Saudi? Maybe UAE and/or Qatar? 

  • Hook 'Em 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

13 minutes ago, Viper said:

Wonder how much of that multinational task force is agreed to or if it's mostly just wish casting.

Betting on the bolded.

Do YOU want US troops on the ground in Gaza "keeping the peace?"  Fuck no.  No sane administration would do so.

  • Hook 'Em 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 minutes ago, InkaUtexas said:

I think there will be one, but very little US involvement. Canadians, Africans, Latin Americans. We will support and sustain.

This is probably a really stupid idea for multiple reasons, but what about the Irish, who are famously perceived as being generally sympathetic to Palestinians because of their own history vis-a-vis the UK? Might they be a) willing, b) capable, and c) seen as sufficiently neutral?

I dunno. Just spitballin'.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

12 minutes ago, bolverk said:

This is probably a really stupid idea for multiple reasons, but what about the Irish, who are famously perceived as being generally sympathetic to Palestinians because of their own history vis-a-vis the UK? Might they be a) willing, b) capable, and c) seen as sufficiently neutral?

I dunno. Just spitballin'.

They do participate but usually with their police vs. the army.

5 minutes ago, SquishMitten said:

Good luck telling a bunch of Irish soldiers they're going to be stationed in a place where alcohol is outlawed. 

Put them on the Israeli side.  And have never seen Peacekeeping forces not find booze.

  • Hook 'Em 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

11 minutes ago, SquishMitten said:

Good luck telling a bunch of Irish soldiers they're going to be stationed in a place where alcohol is outlawed. 

Even more reason to kick out Hamas. Your comment made me look it up, and, apparently, they have breweries in the West Bank -- one of which hosts an annual Oktoberfest-style celebration.

83QtfwKWdmSEo.webp

Link to comment
Share on other sites

24 minutes ago, bolverk said:

This is probably a really stupid idea for multiple reasons, but what about the Irish, who are famously perceived as being generally sympathetic to Palestinians because of their own history vis-a-vis the UK? Might they be a) willing, b) capable, and c) seen as sufficiently neutral?

I dunno. Just spitballin'.

Incapable and also likely unwilling. Ireland has something like 3 brigades and a small patrol force to protect fisheries.  About 8K active duty.  They can’t sustain any sort of deployment to be the framework nation for something like this. 
 

You can read about their deployments, they commit in the tens to various multinational missions. 
 

https://www.military.ie/en/overseas-deployments/current-missions/ 

  • Hook 'Em 1
  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

8 minutes ago, 956 Worldwide said:

Incapable and also likely unwilling. Ireland has something like 3 brigades and a small patrol force to protect fisheries.  About 8K active duty.  They can’t sustain any sort of deployment to be the framework nation for something like this. 
 

You can read about their deployments, they commit in the tens to various multinational missions. 
 

https://www.military.ie/en/overseas-deployments/current-missions/ 

From your link.

image.thumb.png.f6bb3c33e21a6f8e67fab4379a73f721.png

image.png.eb18d5789d7cead965dc8c03cf1b690c.png

  • Haha 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.



×
×
  • Create New...