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StassneyHorn

Flipping the Texas State House 2020: 17<10

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Doubt they could get away with it.
I'm not sure what gives you this impression?

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Went to a PAC fundraiser for a group that supports Texas Democrats in local and statewide elections and I am now drinking all of the fucking kool aid. We’re going to flip the house for sure and then the senate and then Biden will win Texas and then Abbott and Patrick and Paxton and all their cronies will be run out of office and there is nothing they can do to stop it! 
 

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Polling from TX Data for Progress divided their results from 34 State House districts Targeted by Democrats and Republicans. Page 3 of link below.

In those districts Biden led Trump 49-42, but Cornyn led Hegar 43-41. When asked about the State House candidate, Democratic candidate beat Republican candidate 45-42.


https://filesforprogress.org/datasets/2020/9/dfp_tx_survey_key_findings_sept4.pdf

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Not sure if this is the best place, or voter suppression. That being said, I read up this morning on the redistricting potential. Can someone (Stassney, anyone) with more knowledge explain to me the process of redistricting? I know flipping the house is a big deal. But I also saw that the Governor has the power to veto, and if that happens, ballotpedia says the following:

Quote

In Texas, both congressional and state legislative district boundaries are drawn by the Texas State Legislature. These lines are subject to veto by the governor.[34]

If the state legislature is unable to approve a state legislative redistricting plan, a backup commission must draw the lines (the backup commission is not involved in congressional redistricting). This backup commission, established in 1948, comprises the following members:[34]

  1. Lieutenant governor
  2. Speaker of the Texas House of Representatives
  3. Attorney general
  4. State comptroller
  5. Commissioner of the General Land Office

The Texas Constitution requires that state legislative districts be contiguous and "that they preserve whole counties when population mandates permit."[34]

So, first, can someone explain to me the process that is supposed to work between the Texas house and Texas senate? Second, what stops Abbot from vetoing it no matter what and then basically having that clownshow of pieces of shit just draw an even more absurd set of districts than what we already have? Because every one of those motherfuckers are varying pieces of fucking shit, from the worst Dan Patrick all the way down to right wing bootlicker Prescott Bush, who seems to have no problems sucking any indiscriminate dick he needs to get along. 

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11 minutes ago, SydneyCarton said:

Not sure if this is the best place, or voter suppression. That being said, I read up this morning on the redistricting potential. Can someone (Stassney, anyone) with more knowledge explain to me the process of redistricting? I know flipping the house is a big deal. But I also saw that the Governor has the power to veto, and if that happens, ballotpedia says the following:

So, first, can someone explain to me the process that is supposed to work between the Texas house and Texas senate? Second, what stops Abbot from vetoing it no matter what and then basically having that clownshow of pieces of shit just draw an even more absurd set of districts than what we already have? Because every one of those motherfuckers are varying pieces of fucking shit, from the worst Dan Patrick all the way down to right wing bootlicker Prescott Bush, who seems to have no problems sucking any indiscriminate dick he needs to get along. 

Presumably, the Speaker would be a Democrat if the Democrats have a majority in the House.  So at least one of the five members of the commission would be a Democrat.

But it's all going to end up in court anyway.

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Just now, Ghost of LL said:

Presumably, the Speaker would be a Democrat if the Democrats have a majority in the House.  So at least one of the five members of the commission would be a Democrat.

But it's all going to end up in court anyway.

Well, I forgot that important part. Still 1 out of 5 isn't great.

What do you mean it's going to end up in court anyway?

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13 minutes ago, SydneyCarton said:

Well, I forgot that important part. Still 1 out of 5 isn't great.

What do you mean it's going to end up in court anyway?

I mean, there's going to be a Voting Rights Act violation in there, and it's going to go to court.

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Luckily the SCOTUS has the final say on redistricting and what could possibly go wrong with that. 

Edited by Hank Scorpio

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So HD-28 is the Fort Bend County race Beto got involved with for Eliz Markowitz after dropping out of his presidential run.Did a ton of block walking and the race was nationalized. Markowitz lost by a good margin but it had the highest participation rate for any special election Lege seat if I’m not mistaken. Best opportunity for pickup was always in the general for 2020, not the special.

Well the guy she lost to, perennial candidate slumlord Gary Gates, has evicted 104 people in 34 low income apartment complexes during the pandemic. To be fair, this pace is much slower than the year before and he claims to be offering a good bit of help. But that is a headline that can wreck a candidate if utilized.

Fort Bend Rep. Gary Gates evicted over 100 tenants during the pandemic

https://www.houstonchronicle.com/news/houston-texas/houston/article/Fort-Bend-Rep-Gary-Gates-evicted-over-100-15568074.php?utm_campaign=CMS Sharing Tools (Premium)&utm_source=t.co&utm_medium=referral

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House will flip, it’s got sustained attention from national groups this cycle

Democratic allies fighting to flip Texas House join forces for $1.1 million digital ad campaign

 

The campaign will benefit 11 candidates in some of the most pivotal races to take control of the lower chamber.

https://www.texastribune.org/2020/09/17/democrat-texas-legislature-campaign/

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mpu


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