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2020 House election thread

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2 minutes ago, Voldemort86 said:

Why’s that?

General population isn’t hungry for war. Another Republican ME quagmire ain’t going to make them want to vote GOP 

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23 minutes ago, Voldemort86 said:

Why’s that?

Republicans want to spend their time winning races and talking about themselves, not defending Trump.  Population doesn't want a war with Iran.

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This has been occurring in Ohio. Running against Republican party members in Ohio is an uphill battle, but per usual, Rs don't care how they win, just that they win:

 

 

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That’s a whole lot of fear on the part of Ohio Republicans.  Must be some other things (poll numbers) feeding into that.   

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I know things look bleak for house democrats if Bernie is at the top of the ticket, but hopefully it’s a net positive in California at least. Good news has been scarce for democrats in February, but I have some here. 
 

Quote

Democrats are gaining ground or actually building a sizable lead in the number of registered voters in the all important Orange County / competitive CA seats. 
 

Republicans hopefully will struggle to win anything at all in California while trump is on the ballot.

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2 hours ago, Voldemort86 said:

I know things look bleak for house democrats if Bernie is at the top of the ticket, but hopefully it’s a net positive in California at least. Good news has been scarce for democrats in February, but I have some here. 
 

Democrats are gaining ground or actually building a sizable lead in the number of registered voters in the all important Orange County / competitive CA seats. 
 

Republicans hopefully will struggle to win anything at all in California while trump is on the ballot.

Bernie will increase turnout which will help Democrats chances of gaining seats in the house.

Trust the polling not the corporate media pundits on this.

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30 minutes ago, RayDog said:

Bernie will increase turnout which will help Democrats chances of gaining seats in the house.

Trust the polling not the corporate media pundits on this.

You don’t think that moderate Dems could stay home and all independents would vote for trump?

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12 minutes ago, Voldemort86 said:

You don’t think that moderate Dems could stay home and all independents would vote for trump?

The polling says independents prefer Bernie, as do the under 45 and minorities. A lot more potential voters will stay home if the nomination is taken from Bernie, assuming he has a plurality.

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2 hours ago, Voldemort86 said:

You don’t think that moderate Dems could stay home and all independents would vote for trump?

Regardless of who the Democratic nominee is, I just want to emphasize that there is zero, zero indication that Trump is going to get anything out of independents except his ass handed to him.

Edited by gmr548

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She is running in Georgia, District 7 in a crowded field of both Democrats and Republicans. The incumbent (R) is not seeking reelection:

 

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On 2/18/2020 at 5:51 PM, Voldemort86 said:

You don’t think that moderate Dems could stay home and all independents would vote for trump?

My bigger concern with Bernie on the ballot is that non-Trumpist Republicans won't stay home, but will show up to vote against a "socialist."  That being said, I don't think Bernie hurts the ticket any more than any other candidate right now.  Social justice dems won't show up for Bloomberg.  Biden engenders no enthusiasm.  Pete does poorly with blacks and would turn-out the "Christian" vote who shudder at the thought of a gay President. Klob and Warren are women, and we still kind of suck as a society, as evidenced by the Trump presidency.  Polling shows Bernie does well against Trump - is on par with Biden and Bloomberg- and his organization/enthusiasm is much better than Biden or Bloomberg's base. 

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Kinda wild... I've been following Gin and Tacos for pithy snippets on Facebook/Twitter for quite a while now. I never bothered reading any of his actual blog posts, though, until today, when I saw this thing on "worst yard sign ever" and it was from Chapel Hill. I've been following somebody who lives in the same town I do for I don't know how long, and I just now found out about it.

Anyway, NC-04 is uncompetitive. I voted for the Dem challenger, who is hoping to break into double digits on Tuesday, mostly for funzies, but also because he's a Bernie Bro. The incumbent is likely to win the General by almost as much as he's going to win the Primary -- they call this district "The Zoo" for a reason.

And, yeah, the Shaikh sign does kinda suck.

shaikh.jpg

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If you're in Sheila Jackson Lee's district, vote for Marc Flores in the Dem primary.  Seems like a good guy that isn't above going door to door. His main message is that he nicely says that SJL sucked at her job for long enough and needs to go.

https://www.marcfloresforcongress.com/

Edited by Nice Guy Eddie

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48 minutes ago, Walden Ponderer said:

Kinda wild... I've been following Gin and Tacos for pithy snippets on Facebook/Twitter for quite a while now. I never bothered reading any of his actual blog posts, though, until today, when I saw this thing on "worst yard sign ever" and it was from Chapel Hill. I've been following somebody who lives in the same town I do for I don't know how long, and I just now found out about it.

Anyway, NC-04 is uncompetitive. I voted for the Dem challenger, who is hoping to break into double digits on Tuesday, mostly for funzies, but also because he's a Bernie Bro. The incumbent is likely to win the General by almost as much as he's going to win the Primary -- they call this district "The Zoo" for a reason.

And, yeah, the Shaikh sign does kinda suck.

 

Well, in the sign's defense, the Dr. sucks more.  

From his twitter feed:

Quote
 
gTnW9ZAA_x96.jpg
 
Points I Ponder While I Wander in the Leftist's Yonder
 
Earth globe americas
It's a valid? 4 past 5 yrs Ive been able 2 reach millions of Conservatives everyday defending
 
Flag of United States
& her Judeo-Christian values Pro-Life 1A & 2A Defending DJT since June 16th, 2015 CanU reach those people?

 

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On 12/18/2019 at 11:46 AM, Nice Guy Eddie said:

I'm interested to see how Pierce Bush performs in the Texas 22nd race next year. He faces a large GOP primary field but you also have to assume that he will be flush with as much money as he wants.

https://www.texastribune.org/2019/12/08/pierce-bush-houston-congressional-seat/

https://ballotpedia.org/Texas'_22nd_Congressional_District

https://time.com/5746685/pierce-bush-congress-texas/

It's always tough to run for a district where you have no ties and don't live there. Basically your message is that you belong in Congress and you're allowing the good people of the 22nd district the honor of having you as their rep.  Add in the fact that his qualification is his last name.

My hot take is that he makes the GOP run-off but loses.  

I'm pretty relieved Pierce Bush did poorly. 

I hung out with him a few times probably 7-8 years ago through a mutual friend. And I know some people that have worked with him. 

He's a nice guy. I guess no one was completely surprised that he'd run for office at some point, but people were disappointed in his pro-Trump rhetoric in ads and such. He doesn't believe in the Trumpian bullshit at all, but I guess that shows you how much Dotard owns the GOP now. 

I hope he continues to work in non-profit and lives the rest of his life outside of politics. I don't think he's cut out for it. 

 

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Posted (edited)
4 minutes ago, Hank Kingsley said:

I'm pretty relieved Pierce Bush did poorly. 

I hung out with him a few times probably 7-8 years ago through a mutual friend. And I know some people that have worked with him. 

He's a nice guy. I guess no one was completely surprised that he'd run for office at some point, but people were disappointed in his pro-Trump rhetoric in ads and such. He doesn't believe in the Trumpian bullshit at all, but I guess that shows you how much Dotard owns the GOP now. 

I hope he continues to work in non-profit and lives the rest of his life outside of politics. I don't think he's cut out for it. 

 

I wish texans would send George P Bush packing as well.

 

i don’t like political families and I wish we had term limits.

Edited by Voldemort86

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From the article 

In his 2018 run for an immigrant-heavy, suburban Houston House seat, Sri Preston Kulkarni drew attention for his unorthodox effort to diversify his campaign staff. His volunteers and staff could reach voters in 15 languages; he hopes to double that to 30 languages this time. Primary turnout in the district grew from about 29,000 to over 65,000 , a 110 percent increase.

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10 minutes ago, Message Board User said:

Some good news for progressives...

 

Hopefully that’s a solid blue district.

 

progressives don’t do well in swing districts. We’ve seen it all over the map with Biden vs. Bernie.

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On 3/15/2020 at 5:13 PM, cactusflinthead said:

From the article 

In his 2018 run for an immigrant-heavy, suburban Houston House seat, Sri Preston Kulkarni drew attention for his unorthodox effort to diversify his campaign staff. His volunteers and staff could reach voters in 15 languages; he hopes to double that to 30 languages this time. Primary turnout in the district grew from about 29,000 to over 65,000 , a 110 percent increase.

Full disclosure: this race is in my district... but it's a great target for the Surly PAC. Not only is Sri a strong candidate, but he'll be going up against either Troy Nehls or Kathaleen Wall.

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13 hours ago, Message Board User said:

 

 

13 hours ago, Voldemort86 said:

Hopefully that’s a solid blue district.

 

progressives don’t do well in swing districts. We’ve seen it all over the map with Biden vs. Bernie.

IL-3 is D+6. This is also the district in which an unrepentant white supremacist (forgot his name already) was the 2018 Republican nominee because no one else filed to run. 

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11 hours ago, berlinerbaer said:

Full disclosure: this race is in my district... but it's a great target for the Surly PAC. Not only is Sri a strong candidate, but he'll be going up against either Troy Nehls or Kathaleen Wall.

It always helps that he’s not facing an incumbent. 

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2 hours ago, GopherRock said:

 

IL-3 is D+6. This is also the district in which an unrepentant white supremacist (forgot his name already) was the 2018 Republican nominee because no one else filed to run. 

Those Chicago suburban districts are weird AF.  They still have legitimately white immigrant districts.  IL-3 is overwhelmingly Polish, I believe.

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17 hours ago, Voldemort86 said:

Hopefully that’s a solid blue district.

 

progressives don’t do well in swing districts. We’ve seen it all over the map with Biden vs. Bernie.

It is 

 

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