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Posted (edited)

I always hold out hope for any scenarios that benefit us, if for no other reason than to give me more rooting interests each Saturday.

But while the SEC has a good chance to get five teams in as things stand, Texas getting the nod as that fifth team is very questionable with the blowout loss to UGA. 

Even if we got back to fifth in the SEC pecking order by winning out and OU and Vandy losing, we’d still have to contend with a single extra at-large bid from the ACC, B1G, or Big 12. Potential two-loss teams Miami, GT, USC/Oregon, Michigan, BYU/Tech, and even Utah would have an argument over 9-3 Texas.

 

At this point I just want A&M and OU to be eliminated in as agonizing fashion as possible.

Edited by LonghornSean
Posted

We didn't blow out any good teams.

Our 4th quarter defensive lapses were alarming in the big games and otherwise.

We didn't do anything that screams "we belong". We simply did "just enough" to squeak by and get a decent bowl game.

All we have left is to hope we don't enter a trap game vs. Arkansas.
And that we pull out a miracle against an A&M team with more confidence than talent. 

Because let me tell you - we lack edge & confidence this year. Partly because of poor game planning, I'd assume. And partly because of an unexpectedly poor start to the year.

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Posted
17 minutes ago, ATXbronco said:

We didn't do anything that screams "we belong".

Every time I see someone say something like this I think "you're talking about top 4 and top 12 is what matters".

Posted
7 hours ago, jimmyjazz said:

Every time I see someone say something like this I think "you're talking about top 4 and top 12 is what matters".

With the ACC champ and the G5 team getting in we’d likely need to be top 10. 

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Posted
14 hours ago, LonghornSean said:

At this point I just want A&M and OU to be eliminated in as agonizing fashion as possible.

aggy is in unless they get ass-raped by both us and their SEC Championship game opponent - Ole Miss or UGA.

Posted
39 minutes ago, DFW Horn said:

aggy is in unless they get ass-raped by both us and their SEC Championship game opponent - Ole Miss or UGA.

Why is Alabama out of secccg discussions? 

Posted
Just now, immamac said:

Why is Alabama out of secccg discussions? 

Because I mistakenly overlooked them? FWIW, I think both A&M and Ole Miss will be ranked higher at year's end.

Posted
9 minutes ago, DFW Horn said:

Because I mistakenly overlooked them? FWIW, I think both A&M and Ole Miss will be ranked higher at year's end.

Common opponent in georgia for win is better for bama. 

Posted (edited)

Bama, Georgia, and Ole Miss would all have the tiebreaker over aggy if all 4 finish 7-1. If Texas wins on Black Friday, aggy has to hope Bama and Ole Miss slip up as UGA already finished SEC play at 7-1. In other words, Texas beating aggy would almost assuredly keep aggy out of the SECCG. 

Edited by perfectchaos007
Posted
1 hour ago, Gandalfish said:

I believe Alabama is automatically in if they beat Auburn, and eliminated if they lose.

Correct, and I think Alabama could beat A&M. 

Posted (edited)
7 hours ago, DFW Horn said:

aggy is in unless they get ass-raped by both us and their SEC Championship game opponent - Ole Miss or UGA.

I just mean I hope they lose in the CFP in painful fashion. Blowing a lead, coaching fuckup, etc.

Edited by LonghornSean
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Posted
I just mean I hope they lose in the CFP in painful fashion. Blowing a lead, coaching fuckup, etc.

I hope they get boat raced. Largest losing margin in playoff history. 77-0 type game.
Posted
8 hours ago, DFW Horn said:

aggy is in unless they get ass-raped by both us and their SEC Championship game opponent - Ole Miss or UGA.

There’s delusion and then there’s thinking anm isn’t a lock for cfp. Good lord a reg season one loss sec team isn’t missing the cfp. 

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Posted

Texas' path to the 10th spot and playoff birth

Needs: 

  • Finish 9-3 with wins over Arky and Aggy
  • Move up 7 spots and get to the 10th seed to avoid ACC and G5 champs

Teams that can still drop enough for Texas to jump. 

#8 Oklahoma- Games vs Mizzou and LSU. Need 1 loss here

#9 Notre Dame- Syracuse is the only game left they could lose. 

#10 Alabama- A loss in the iron bowl to Auburn is always a possibility. A SECCG loss does nothing for us unless it is a major blowout.  

#11 BYU- Cincinnati is their final test this weekend. Would need this or a Tech blowout in the Big 12 championship. 

#12 Utah- Finishes with the Kansas schools who are both down this year. Need 1 of 2. 

#13 Miami- Pitt in the final week is the final hope. Likely out of the ACC championship so would be an at large competitor to ND if both finish 10-2

#14 Vandy- Tennessee in the final week looms large. A 10-2 Vandy and 9-3 Texas would be a tough convo for the committee who seems to not care about H2H this year. 

#15 USC- A loss to Oregon tomorrow does the trick. If USC wins tomorrow then they will be the leader in the clubhouse over Texas. 

#16 Georgia Tech- With an almost certain loss to Georgia they will need to win the ACC to get in. 

 

I feel we will move a minimum of 2 spots with the Vandy H2H and a likely loss for USC this weekend. Miami and OU could easily lose one more. Utah should win out but they have been middling most weeks. 

Posted
26 minutes ago, Sir Ulrich said:

Texas' path to the 10th spot and playoff birth

Needs: 

  • Finish 9-3 with wins over Arky and Aggy
  • Move up 7 spots and get to the 10th seed to avoid ACC and G5 champs

Teams that can still drop enough for Texas to jump. 

#8 Oklahoma- Games vs Mizzou and LSU. Need 1 loss here

#9 Notre Dame- Syracuse is the only game left they could lose. 

#10 Alabama- A loss in the iron bowl to Auburn is always a possibility. A SECCG loss does nothing for us unless it is a major blowout.  

#11 BYU- Cincinnati is their final test this weekend. Would need this or a Tech blowout in the Big 12 championship. 

#12 Utah- Finishes with the Kansas schools who are both down this year. Need 1 of 2. 

#13 Miami- Pitt in the final week is the final hope. Likely out of the ACC championship so would be an at large competitor to ND if both finish 10-2

#14 Vandy- Tennessee in the final week looms large. A 10-2 Vandy and 9-3 Texas would be a tough convo for the committee who seems to not care about H2H this year. 

#15 USC- A loss to Oregon tomorrow does the trick. If USC wins tomorrow then they will be the leader in the clubhouse over Texas. 

#16 Georgia Tech- With an almost certain loss to Georgia they will need to win the ACC to get in. 

 

I feel we will move a minimum of 2 spots with the Vandy H2H and a likely loss for USC this weekend. Miami and OU could easily lose one more. Utah should win out but they have been middling most weeks. 

Now do what it takes if we go to 8-4

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Posted
12 hours ago, bluto said:

There’s delusion and then there’s thinking anm isn’t a lock for cfp. Good lord a reg season one loss sec team isn’t missing the cfp. 

This entire thread is wishcasting. 

@Sir Ulrich has summarized how UT could still sneak into the CFB Playoff and, yes, it would take aggy getting blown out by UT and their SECCG opponent. Both outcomes are highly unlikely. 

Posted
1 hour ago, DFW Horn said:

This entire thread is wishcasting. 

@Sir Ulrich has summarized how UT could still sneak into the CFB Playoff and, yes, it would take aggy getting blown out by UT and their SECCG opponent. Both outcomes are highly unlikely. 

They wont be in the seccg with a loss to Texas so they are locked in unless they lost tomorrow. I did this exercise and it would take some 2007 level insanity to happen for the next 10 days for this to even get close to happening. 

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