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Posted

James Madison and Tulane still showing more heart than OU and A&M. Blowing a 17-0 lead at home and only scoring 3 points at home will probably go down as some of the worst CFP chokes in history

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Posted
4 minutes ago, Vanilla Strange Gato said:

They wouldn’t beat a P4 playoff team.  Any of them.  The size and speed differential in the athletes is too great. 

They would beat aggy.

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Posted

Hey a flag! Go get a TD with the remaining time. I just want JMU to have 33 points. Then maybe try an onside kick and get it, and score one last time to make the ducks look even dumber. 

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Posted
Just now, Vanilla Strange Gato said:

I don’t see a Sunbelt offensive line handling any P4 defensive line.  
 

it’s just different quality of players. 

Yet this has happened all season.

Keep coping aggy, your team might win the MAC championship. 

Posted
Just now, NBHorn7 said:

If they cover then they really are a rolling ball of butcher knives.

Maybe carving knives to carve up a duck or at least a duck defense.

Roasted duck is damn tasty. 

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Posted
Just now, Bateshorn said:

They’ve been on the field for 35 minutes already. 

We all saw that initial JMU drive to start the game before any excuse about getting tired would apply. I think there might be some fundamental weaknesses.

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Posted
11 minutes ago, Juke_Em said:

Blowing a 17-0 lead at home and only scoring 3 points at home will probably go down as some of the worst CFP chokes in history

You must be pretty young. 

Posted

This is my obligatory complaint about bad time management with a lead:

when Oregon was throwing the ball early in the third instead of just running the ball and snapping the ball on a running game clock with 20+ seconds left on the play clock, this game would be over right now.

 

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Posted
Just now, F250 said:

Texas would have carved up all of these first round teams.

Agreed. If the Texas team really showed up, they wouldn't have had a problem with any of the first-round teams.

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Posted (edited)
3 minutes ago, bolverk said:

The most points scored against the Tech defense this past year were 26 by Arizona State.

Tech is going to beat Oregon. People who haven’t watched tech don’t know they actually have a decent enough defense as well as a complimentary running game. Oregon’s defense sucks. 

Lanning gonna do a bunch of blow like Scarface now. If I’m tech I’m breaking apart this game for all their weaknesses on defense. Lanning is pissed but you can see he’s worried. Jmo. 

Edited by Nicole44
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Posted
Just now, Nicole44 said:

Tech is going to beat Oregon. People who haven’t watched tech don’t know they actually have a decent enough defense as well as a complimentary running game. Oregon’s defense sucks. 

My two biggest concerns about Tech are the O-line and Morton. If they hold up, Tech will win.

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Posted
9 minutes ago, Bateshorn said:

This is my obligatory complaint about bad time management with a lead:

when Oregon was throwing the ball early in the third instead of just running the ball and snapping the ball on a running game clock with 20+ seconds left on the play clock, this game would be over right now.

 

Agreed, for some reason it's hard for college coaches in the playoff era to understand that style points don't mean shit anymore. Win the game and move to next week.

I guess I shouldn't say "for some reason" considering we all realize it's because they're meatheads, but you know what I mean. Lanning was coaching tonight like he was trying to secure a playoff berth with more points. The bracket is set, dipshit. Just win.

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Posted
6 minutes ago, bolverk said:

My two biggest concerns about Tech are the O-line and Morton. If they hold up, Tech will win.

It's this. Tech defense will do its job. Morton has played really well when at least close to fully healthy this year and this is as good as it's gonna get for him.

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Posted
49 minutes ago, Vic Mackey said:

More like Oregon got bored and went on cruise control. Waste of a playoff spot, both teams had 0.0000% chance to even keep it competitive, much less win.

what she said yes GIF by TipsyElves.com

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Posted
5 minutes ago, Vic Mackey said:

JMU goes on a 99td drive to cover the spread. Exactly why I stay away from betting lol.

I once wrote a program to do statistical analysis/predictions based on the expected outcome of football games. The standard deviations, by mid season, were plus/minus 15-20 points. 

Betting on football is for suckers.

Posted
Just now, mchookem said:

has anybody mentioned that JMU scored 31 more points than aggy, on the road, against #6? 

No 😂 but that is like the best part of today. Tshirts need to be made. 

Posted
1 hour ago, Nicole44 said:

Tech is going to beat Oregon. People who haven’t watched tech don’t know they actually have a decent enough defense as well as a complimentary running game. Oregon’s defense sucks. 

Lanning gonna do a bunch of blow like Scarface now. If I’m tech I’m breaking apart this game for all their weaknesses on defense. Lanning is pissed but you can see he’s worried. Jmo. 

Nicole knows ball. Pos rep. Tech is going to steamroll Oregon.

Posted
8 hours ago, Nicole44 said:

Tech is going to beat Oregon. People who haven’t watched tech don’t know they actually have a decent enough defense as well as a complimentary running game. Oregon’s defense sucks. 

Lanning gonna do a bunch of blow like Scarface now. If I’m tech I’m breaking apart this game for all their weaknesses on defense. Lanning is pissed but you can see he’s worried. Jmo. 

Well, JMU scored the most points of any team on Oregon all season. The majority of those points by JMU were in the second half when Oregon had a 4 TD lead. There is a reason Lanning brought the team back out on the field 5 minutes before the end of the half time break. It's extremely easy for 18-20 something year olds to start "we got this" syndrome and Lanning knew it. I find it interesting that you were critiquing Oregon for being very aggressive in the second half when we (and others) criticize the shit out of Sark for going to conservative and letting teams back in. 

The 2nd half points by JMU were more a bunch of young men letting "we got this" brain kick in than anything, but JMU made some good adjustments. JMU was top 10 in total D too, for the record.

As for Tech, both Tech and Oregon are top 10 total defenses and top 10 offenses. They have one common opponent in Okie State.  Oregon beat them 69-3, Tech won 42-0. Oregon got 631 yards and allowed 211. Tech got 370 and allowed 182. 

This is, IMO, far and away the most interesting game next week. One is an SEC rematch and the other 2 are going to be equal measures beat downs of the G5 schools.  

Given Lanning and the Oregon players are more experienced in the playoff and I think Lannning a better HC I like Oregon to win, but at the end of the day neither of them is beating Indiana who they will face post. 

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Posted
11 hours ago, Juke_Em said:

James Madison and Tulane still showing more heart than OU and A&M. Blowing a 17-0 lead at home and only scoring 3 points at home will probably go down as some of the worst CFP chokes in history

will ferrell omg GIF

Posted
2 hours ago, BurntEyes said:

Well, JMU scored the most points of any team on Oregon all season. The majority of those points by JMU were in the second half when Oregon had a 4 TD lead. There is a reason Lanning brought the team back out on the field 5 minutes before the end of the half time break. It's extremely easy for 18-20 something year olds to start "we got this" syndrome and Lanning knew it. I find it interesting that you were critiquing Oregon for being very aggressive in the second half when we (and others) criticize the shit out of Sark for going to conservative and letting teams back in. 

The 2nd half points by JMU were more a bunch of young men letting "we got this" brain kick in than anything, but JMU made some good adjustments. JMU was top 10 in total D too, for the record.

As for Tech, both Tech and Oregon are top 10 total defenses and top 10 offenses. They have one common opponent in Okie State.  Oregon beat them 69-3, Tech won 42-0. Oregon got 631 yards and allowed 211. Tech got 370 and allowed 182. 

This is, IMO, far and away the most interesting game next week. One is an SEC rematch and the other 2 are going to be equal measures beat downs of the G5 schools.  

Given Lanning and the Oregon players are more experienced in the playoff and I think Lannning a better HC I like Oregon to win, but at the end of the day neither of them is beating Indiana who they will face post. 

I'm not really confident in either defense, but I'm far less confident in Tech on both sides of the ball.  There's nothing they could do better about it, they played the teams that they did.  It's just not clear at all how they'll look against competition.

Oregon's offense is the most tested unit, but has faded against good competition.  I think Tech is a top defense, but has shown vulnerabilities - ASU obviously, but also KSU (Avery Johnson), and pass defense was rough early on.  They are also the least tested unit in the entire playoff, so seeing vulnerabilities against their slate is not great.

When Tech has the ball, we will be watching two pretty consistent but untested units.  The Oregon defense has not shown vulnerabilities even against moderately better, but not great, competition.  The Tech offense has taken care of business all year, but is basically as untested as their defense is.  So whichever unit rises to the occasion.

Model says Tech -5.5, but all the numbers surrounding that figure scream low confidence.

Posted

Hey @JBJ , can you model JMU against aggy if you get bored?  It seems like that kind of triple-option would give that undisciplined defense fits.  

Posted
30 minutes ago, TOR said:

Hey @JBJ , can you model JMU against aggy if you get bored?  It seems like that kind of triple-option would give that undisciplined defense fits.  

A&M 35-22.   JMU is still JMU, which is why it's silly to have them in the CFP.

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Posted (edited)
48 minutes ago, Brian Fantana said:

You're joking, right. They absolutely have.

It's all relative, right?  You can say Maiava went 25-43 for 303 against Oregon but what a lot of people would consider a top 10 QB and is not exactly comparable to Maalik going 25-44 and 281 against Tech. 

So, no, they've held up against good competition and dominated bad competition.

Edited by JBJ

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