Jump to content

2018 - Elections and Trends

atomheartbevo

By atomheartbevo
in Cloak Room

 Share

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 6.5k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

Popular Days

Top Posters In This Topic

Popular Days

Popular Posts

Bozo_Casanova
Bozo_Casanova

You said it in the only way that matters: you voted for it. 

Gatorubet
Gatorubet

I told my friends at work today to get ready for some excuse destroying reality.   We are no longer going to be able to excuse the behavior of voters in this election as 'being foolish', 'hoping Trump

Brisketexan
Brisketexan

Fire protection. Police protection. Local road construction and maintenance. Interstate highway construction and maintenance. Airport operation, air traffic control, airline safety

horncyclist

horncyclist 1384

Posted
Posted
15 minutes ago, NBMisha said:

So the university is endorsing this candidate?  What do their student and faculty constituencies say?  Not in the normal playbook.

They're running against each other. One sang the national anthem, one did the coin toss. No endorsement of either.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
horncyclist

horncyclist 1384

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, Nice Guy Eddie said:

An under discussed consequence of this election are gerrymandering for 2020-2030.   In many states, the governor can veto the newly drawn district maps.   Many of the governors being elected Tuesday will have that power even if the state legislature is controlled by the other party. 

The close governor elections for these states include Georgia, Florida, Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin and Kansas. 

Im fairly optimistic we can make a lot of progress in ending gerrymandering in this next redistricting cycle. Obviously in states with split control this should happen  but even were Dems have the opportunity to gerrymandering, I think they'll be pushed to draw fair districts. There's a lot of overlap between the end gerrymandering crowd and Dems pushing other structural reforms like campaign finance reform. See Beto.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
retread

retread 2951

Posted
Posted (edited)
1 hour ago, cactusflinthead said:
Good summation of why a typical R voter is willing to split with their party and vote D until the Rs get straightened out. Link to Atlantic article at the end. 

If you're basing your vote on the last 10-15 years of political history, it comes down to voting for the party of tyranny and war versus the party that saw us out of a nasty recession and gave the US a health care law that works. A party that cares nothing about foreign involvement in our elections versus a party that says they will take it seriously if they have the majority.

Edited by retread
  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Pancho

Pancho 44181

Posted
Posted

TExt to Pancho yesterday: "Hi, we represent Don Huffines!  He's leading the fight to put corrput public officials behind bars.  Can he count on your support?"

Pancho's reply: "Oh, you texted the wrong nigga.  Here's a list of why you can politely go fuck yourself....  

 

Took me 10 minutes to reply.  They still haven't contacted me back. 

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites
longhornsftmfw

longhornsftmfw 129

Posted
Posted
TExt to Pancho yesterday: "Hi, we represent Don Huffines!  He's leading the fight to put corrput public officials behind bars.  Can he count on your support?"
Pancho's reply: "Oh, you texted the wrong nigga.  Here's a list of why you can politely go fuck yourself....  
 
Took me 10 minutes to reply.  They still haven't contacted me back. 


Nice, I was getting texts from the Beto campaign yesterday and was feeling pretty salty. One asked if I’d post my support on Facebook for my friends and family to see and I told her no, because Facebook is owned by greedy robots who exploit their users for ad revenue no matter the human cost, but I’ll tell them myself. She sent a few goofy emojis back and said “that works”. Told another one that I don’t vote for Canadian serial killers or people concerned with who’s using what bathroom. Her response: “you rock!!!”.
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Js1

Js1 84994

Posted
Posted
11 minutes ago, Pancho Negro said:

TExt to Pancho yesterday: "Hi, we represent Don Huffines!  He's leading the fight to put corrput public officials behind bars.  Can he count on your support?"

Pancho's reply: "Oh, you texted the wrong nigga.  Here's a list of why you can politely go fuck yourself....  

 

Took me 10 minutes to reply.  They still haven't contacted me back. 

“Great! When is Senator Huffines going to call for our AG Paxton to be behind bars?”

Link to comment
Share on other sites
berlinerbaer

berlinerbaer 670

Posted
Posted
3 hours ago, horncyclist said:

Im fairly optimistic we can make a lot of progress in ending gerrymandering in this next redistricting cycle. Obviously in states with split control this should happen  but even were Dems have the opportunity to gerrymandering, I think they'll be pushed to draw fair districts. There's a lot of overlap between the end gerrymandering crowd and Dems pushing other structural reforms like campaign finance reform. See Beto.

There are ballot measures meant to address redistricting in four states.

MI and CO - independent commission for congressional and state leg (all likely to pass)

UT - semi-independent commission (likely to pass)

MO - independent demographer draws state leg maps, requires 70% of leg to overrule, also imposes campaign contribution limits

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/forget-about-the-candidates-what-else-is-on-the-ballot-this-week/

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Biff Tannen

Biff Tannen 45439

Posted
Posted
9 minutes ago, berlinerbaer said:

There are ballot measures meant to address redistricting in four states.

MI and CO - independent commission for congressional and state leg (all likely to pass)

UT - semi-independent commission (likely to pass)

MO - independent demographer draws state leg maps, requires 70% of leg to overrule, also imposes campaign contribution limits

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/forget-about-the-candidates-what-else-is-on-the-ballot-this-week/

Good.  How the fuck do we get this on the Texas ballot in 2020?

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
berlinerbaer

berlinerbaer 670

Posted
Posted (edited)

Aaaannnd Jon Ralston predicts Jacky Rosen to win in NV on Tuesday.

https://thenevadaindependent.com/article/predictions-for-tuesday

Quote

Prediction: Rosen, 48 percent; Heller, 46 percent; others and None of these candidates, 6 percent.

Spoiler

Even though the Democratic machine has not built as big of a firewall as in 2012 – 47,000 in Clark County and 23,000 statewide – this is a midterm, and it will be enough. I think.

This has been a strange fortnight of early voting, with turnout much higher than usual for a non-presidential year and with momentum seeming to build for the Democrats and culminating with a Friday wave of votes. (You can read all of the dynamics here on my blog.)

But what’s clear is that younger people are voting in higher numbers, that while the president has animated the right as no other Republican can, Trump Fatigue is beginning to settle in the saner corners of the political universe and anger is rising. What’s also quite evident is that Washoe County, which saved Heller in 2012 when he won by 20,000 votes, has changed a lot. Democrats lead there after early voting by almost 2,000 votes. Heller may win Washoe, where Hillary Clinton also won, but not by a lot more than she did (3,000 votes).

 

Edited by berlinerbaer
Jon not John
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Message Board User

Message Board User 12388

Posted
Posted
54 minutes ago, Nice Guy Eddie said:

Anyone want to take a bet that after the governor race is over, Kemp quietly announces there wasn’t any democrat hacking of the voter database?   Well he won’t personally make the announcement, there will be a short press release late on a Friday afternoon.

I don’t even live In Georgia but that’s the one race where I will be very upset if the person I want to see win doesn’t win.

The rest of the races?  Life goes on (at least for me anyway).  But Kemp seems like a truly loathesome human being.

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Voldemort86

Voldemort86 2259

Posted
Posted
6 hours ago, Nice Guy Eddie said:

An under discussed consequence of this election are gerrymandering for 2020-2030.   In many states, the governor can veto the newly drawn district maps.   Many of the governors being elected Tuesday will have that power even if the state legislature is controlled by the other party. 

The close governor elections for these states include Georgia, Florida, Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin and Kansas. 

All of the experts expect the democrats to do well in the governor races.

the democrats only have 16 out of 50 governorships right now. After the election, they should have between 22-24

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Voldemort86

Voldemort86 2259

Posted
Posted
55 minutes ago, Message Board User said:

I don’t even live In Georgia but that’s the one race where I will be very upset if the person I want to see win doesn’t win.

The rest of the races?  Life goes on (at least for me anyway).  But Kemp seems like a truly loathesome human being.

Another beatdown at the hands of republicans in Florida would piss me off no matter how the rest of the election goes.

The democrats haven’t had control of the governors mansion in Florida since the late 1990’s. I want the prohibition of weed to crumble and I know Gillum would legalize it in Florida. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites
sushihorn

sushihorn 3233

Posted
Posted

With EV mostly over I know some of you political junkies are going into withdrawal waiting for Tuesday.  So here's a little taste. This guy has compiled all sorts of detailed data from North Carolina.  It covers the waterfront from age, party affiliation, percentage of high-prob voters who have and haven't cast their vote, geographic breakdown by county type.  If you sip slowly it might get you through the next 36 hours.  Enjoy.

https://www.oldnorthstatepolitics.com/2018/11/nc-early-votes-11-4-18.html#more

Link to comment
Share on other sites
cactusflinthead

cactusflinthead 27588

Posted
Posted
7 minutes ago, sushihorn said:

With EV mostly over I know some of you political junkies are going into withdrawal waiting for Tuesday.  So here's a little taste. This guy has compiled all sorts of detailed data from North Carolina.  It covers the waterfront from age, party affiliation, percentage of high-prob voters who have and haven't cast their vote, geographic breakdown by county type.  If you sip slowly it might get you through the next 36 hours.  Enjoy.

https://www.oldnorthstatepolitics.com/2018/11/nc-early-votes-11-4-18.html#more

Thanks, but I am not going to count the stack until it's done. If you haven't noticed the game is still at play. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites
GSU&UT

GSU&UT 1798

Posted
Posted (edited)

I'll protest, but what the fuck legal recourse is there? I'm sure suits will be filed if Kemp wins, but what can ultimately be done? I feel so fucking helpless and just boiling over with anger.

 

4 minutes ago, Nice Guy Eddie said:

how does everyone want to run the threads on Tuesday?  One big free for all thread or break it into areas of interest.  Like Beto-Cruz gameday, Other Texas, Senate, House, All Other?

I prefer a big thread honestly because we're all going to be watching races all over the country.

Edited by GSU&UT
  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
sushihorn

sushihorn 3233

Posted
Posted
24 minutes ago, cactusflinthead said:

Thanks, but I am not going to count the stack until it's done. If you haven't noticed the game is still at play. 

Won't argue with that sentiment.  Just thought it might be an entertaining way to pass today and tomorrow.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Hugo Stiglitz

Hugo Stiglitz 23355

Posted
Posted
8 minutes ago, Nice Guy Eddie said:

how does everyone want to run the threads on Tuesday?  One big free for all thread or break it into areas of interest.  Like Beto-Cruz gameday, Other Texas, Senate, House, All Other?

I’d like to have a “Hungry for Power Games - Faces of the Fallen” thread for GOP guys that lost their jobs.

E6DA55C0-1CC9-4D3C-9150-87DE06D39059_zps

 

 We can already start it with Paul Ryan, Gowdy, Flake, and Corker.

 

  • Like 2
  • Haha 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
cactusflinthead

cactusflinthead 27588

Posted
Posted

A midterm election is like a pointillist painting, each individual race a dot that by Wednesday morning will add up to an image that will provide some answer to the question of the moment: the identity of America as it is today, its aspirations and values, the tone and tenor of the debate.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/this-midterm-election-is-like-no-other-in-a-generation/2018/11/04/dd92e236-df9d-11e8-85df-7a6b4d25cfbb_story.html?utm_term=.8143b74d8894

Quote was chosen for pointillist. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
RomaVicta

RomaVicta 29704

Posted
Posted
32 minutes ago, Nice Guy Eddie said:

how does everyone want to run the threads on Tuesday?  One big free for all thread or break it into areas of interest.  Like Beto-Cruz gameday, Other Texas, Senate, House, All Other?

Please break it down into digestible bits for the non-junkies like me. Maybe have a general overview thread separate from those?

Beto-Cruz

Non Senate Texas Congress Races

Texas State races

Governors Races

State Trend

National Trend

FOX News/Trump response

Other News and Response

Big Picture Surly Observations

Crazy, Funny Shit

A thread with a link to find results easily.

Just my two cents. You guys who follow this closely name names in other states that I don't recognize by either party or office. Congrats to y'all for keeping up and shame on me not knowing shit, but election night will be made easier if I can cruise among the Surly, local, state and national news.

The night will probably go like the West Virginia or Oklahoma games. Or both at the same time. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Francisco 2.0

Francisco 2.0 32290

Posted
Posted

https://wwa.gop/pw18

 

Quote

Election season is almost over, but we need a strong finish on Tuesday to ensure an honest and fair election occurs here in Texas! Up and down the ballot, Republican victories are at stake and we cannot let critical polls go ‘un-watched’.

As a poll watcher you will be trained and equipped with the knowledge you need to work a poll location near you. In exchange for your time, you will be 1099 compensated with a payment for $150 for the day...Tuesday 7a-7p. Ideally you can work the entire day, but if you can work at least half of the day, that would work too.

Spots are limited, so complete the form below now to get on the team! Use this opportunity to match purpose with pay and ensure that we don’t let this election slip away due to foul play. 

Once the form below is completed you will receive an email with details on how to join our training conference call to discuss details and get you on board! Thank you!!

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites
 Share
Go to topic listing


Football ... Basketball ... Baseball ... Other Sports ... Futbol ... 🤫995🤫 ... Gambling ... Movies & TV ... Music ... Hobbies ... Lulz ... Food & Travel ... Daily Texan ... Business and Markets ... Cloak Room ... Help ... For Sale ... Board Discussion ... Subscribe!... Donate!... Advertise... COOKIE MONSTER!

×
×
  • Create New...