Jump to content

Recommended Posts

Posted (edited)
5 hours ago, BurntOrange&White said:

I cannot for the life of me understand why every team isn’t putting together a tush push package. 

Maybe because for all the glory it brings to the Eagles, you see other NFL teams struggle to consistently execute it.  A lot don't even try at all.   Part of it is how well the Eagles O-line does what they do (a bunch of our guys just went straight to the ground on Sunday with no forward drive), but also don't forget Jalen Hurts is a super freak when it comes to leg strength for a QB...believe he squats 600+ when he cares to max out.  

Edited by Surly Bevo
Posted
1 minute ago, Surly Bevo said:

Maybe because for all the glory it brings to the Eagles, you see other NFL teams struggle to consistently execute it.  A lot don't even try at all.   Part of it is how well the Eagles O-line does what they do (a bunch of our guys just went straight to the ground on Sunday with no forward drive), but also don't forget Jalen Hurts is a super freak when it comes to leg strength for a QB...believe he squats 600+ when he cares to max out.  

but it doesn't even need to be a QB, just practice it and sell out on it. Everyone knows it's coming so it doesn't matter if it's Arch, Endries, whomever is your strongest lower body guy 

Posted
image.thumb.png.14181d44349de00daa0643325379bd40.png
helmet communication was still active at the snap...

The way everyone lined up was wild. OSU lined up offsides, the middle of the line leaned in like it was a fg, there wasn’t gonna be a hole there anyway. I wanted to see the snap between the legs.
Posted
5 hours ago, Pam Cummings said:

The QB sneak wasn't even the worst call. It was the multiple QB draw plays out of shotgun right before that I didn't like. You should be able to get a TD on a QB sneak from the 1.

 

Google says that a QB sneak on the 1 yard line has an 80-90% success rate fwiw.

I will say the one draw if Arch cuts it outside instead of inside he might score.  I like those, though I think more of a zone read/RPO is a better call.  He probably didn't trust Arch to make a throw so we ran it 4 times.

bottom line is we get stuffed a lot by better teams.  Sark needs more creativity inside the 10 to 15 if we are going to take the next step.

Posted
3 minutes ago, dcar00 said:

I will say the one draw if Arch cuts it outside instead of inside he might score.  I like those, though I think more of a zone read/RPO is a better call.  He probably didn't trust Arch to make a throw so we ran it 4 times.

bottom line is we get stuffed a lot by better teams.  Sark needs more creativity inside the 10 to 15 if we are going to take the next step.

 

 

Posted
12 hours ago, Im_smarter_then_you said:

Guy is 50 years old and has the best job in football.  What makes you think he’s eager and willing to change.  

Is this a real question? I don’t know if he eager or willing. But pretty sure history says he’s capable of making changes. 

  • Hook 'Em 1
Posted (edited)

Down a Rabbit Hole | Opening Drive Results + Ball 1st or 2nd? - Vogel

Spoiler

CJ Vogel

By CJ Vogel

  • 4 minutes ago
 

Interesting Numbers Around Texas' Opening Offensive Possessions

In the preparation for big matchups, you will often hear folks like myself say it is imperative for the Longhorns to get out to a strong start offensively and get ahead to set the tone. I have even pushed for Sarkisian to take the ball first in key rivalry games to silence the crowd as a result of leaning on the reputable opening script that we often hear about with Steve Sarkisian.

But that will no longer be the case.

Nope.

Won't hear that sentiment from me ahead of these top-25 meetings or prime SEC games. In fact, I have shifted my tone, fully supported by the numbers, which leave no room for second-guessing.

***

But to those numbers. I went back to the beginning of 2023, since Sarkisian has been surrounded by "College Football Playoff" talent for the conclusions ahead.

Since week one of 2023, there have been 31 games for the Texas Longhorns. Meaning, there have been 31 first drives of the game for the Texas offense.

Here is the breakdown for how those 31 drives have ended.

  • 31 Drives
  • 12 punts (38.71%)
  • 9 touchdowns (29.03%)
  • 5 interceptions (16.13%)
  • 3 turnover on downs (9.68%)
  • 2 field goal attempts ... both missed (6.45%)

Now there is quite a bit of data here. Plenty to break down and I will try to do just that in as simple terms as possible.

First, there is not a readily available statistic to provide averages of opening drives in college football. But, I did run down some of the more notable teams in 2024 to find both the success rate on touchdowns on opening drives and points in general.

  • Oregon: 64.3% touchdowns ... 78.5% points
  • Notre Dame: 56.3 touchdowns ... 62.5% points
  • Ohio State: 50.0% touchdowns ... 62.5% points
  • Penn State: 31.3% touchdowns ... 50.0% points
  • Texas: 31.3% touchdowns ... 31.3% points
  • Alabama: 30.8% touchdowns ... 46.2% points
  • LSU: 30.8% touchdowns ... 30.8% points
  • Georgia: 28.6% touchdowns... 28.6% points

Again, I don't have nation-wide statistics for opening drive results, but just a small sample size of teams with comparable talent to Texas and how they fared in this part of the game.

But while doing my research here, there was a pretty significant discrepancy in result on opening drives for whether or not the drive itself was the first of the actual game.

***
Opening Drive of Game vs. 2nd Drive of Game

In those 31 games for Texas, the Longhorns received the opening kickoff 19 times and kicked off 12 times. Here are the TD numbers for each.

  • TD on Opening Drive After Receiving Opening Kickoff: 2/19 (10.53%)
  • TD on Opening Drive After Kicking Off First: 7/12 ... (58.33%)

Now that certainly feels like a noteworthy statistic.

*** 
In Big Games

Doing a deeper dive at the Longhorns biggest games of the last three years, I came up with this grouping:

  • 2023 Alabama
  • 2023 Oklahoma
  • 2023 Kansas State
  • 2023 OK State
  • 2023 Washington
  • 2024 Michigan
  • 2024 Oklahoma
  • 2024 Georgia
  • 2024 Texas A&M
  • 2024 Georgia Pt. 2
  • 2024 Clemson
  • 2024 Arizona State
  • 2024 Ohio State
  • 2025 Ohio State

That is a 14-game grouping of the biggest games Texas has played over the last three years. Completely subjective. But the numbers remain on opening possessions.

  • 14 Drives
  • 5 punts (35.71%)
  • 3 touchdowns (21.43%)
  • 3 interceptions (21.43%)
  • 2 turnover on downs (14.28%)
  • 1 field goal attempts ... missed (7.14%)

In those 14 games, Texas received the opening kickoff nine times and promptly putting up zero points and turning the ball over five times with a missed field goal also in the mix.

In the five possessions seeing the ball 2nd in those games, the Longhorns have converted 60% of those drives into touchdowns.

***

Kick the Ball Off Every Time 

That is the suggestion. If given the choice, put your defense on the field.

The numbers are overwhelmingly favorable for the Texas offense when the defense starts the game on the field. 

We will see how the remainder of the season plays out and what type of identity the Texas Longhorn offense adopts, but the numbers are clearly in favor of the defense getting on the field first if Texas is looking to start their first possession with points. 

 

Edited by MuellerHorn
Posted

In the Sark era, our defense has improved and is championship quality, our offense has stagnated and is top 25/nice bowl game quality.  hopefully our D can pitch a shutout or give up fewer that 10 points.

we don't have a Blue or Worthy/Golden this year.  gonna be a bit rough going.

  • Rage+1 1
Posted
13 hours ago, JOSEYWALES66 said:

Hopefully if we are in the same situation again we use the exact same formation (even with Arch setting up with the offset legs) and we pass. 

A guy can hope can’t he?

RnsV81.gif

Posted
13 hours ago, Chad said:

image.png.8c8a7edd617a2ad31d626ea024757ee8.png

He needs to think a little harder on his daily walks. 
 

What’s most discouraging to me from a QB guru is repeatedly having QBs with awful mechanics. Seems like something that would a focal point. 

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.



×
×
  • Create New...