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Posted

We need to cancel the Michigan game and Notre Dame series this afternoon. Too late to cancel tOSU. I know we said we weren’t cancelling Michigan, but it should be done. 

Posted
Just now, mdleast said:

Interesting that at least two shows on ESPN today have mentioned that Bama has been “leaking oil”

Bama in is apparently already leaked.

Posted
Just now, Pancho said:

If there’s one phrase college football needs to get rid of it’s “eye test.”

 

It’s wrapped in bias.

The entire sport is wrapped in bias. It's a joke that human beings are choosing who plays for a national championship.

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Posted

Fart smelling motherfuckers.

We've heard your tired-ass bullshit for 8 weeks.

STFU and reveal the bracket.  take a gotdam clue from basketball's show.

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Posted

I asked ChatGPT to create this for me in keeping with the zeitgeist of making college football as shitty as possible. 
 

I’ve been thinking a lot about how we choose college football playoff teams, and honestly, we’re overdue for a smarter, fairer, more transparent system. Here’s my pitch: use AI to process end-of-season data and run massive simulations in which every team plays every other team thousands of times under varied conditions. Then select playoff teams based on the statistically strongest performers across those simulated matchups.

Why is this better?

1. It removes human bias.
Committee members—no matter how qualified—are still human. They carry regional preferences, conference assumptions, and subconscious leanings. With large-scale simulations, teams are evaluated solely on measurable performance. No human bias or controversy—just data.

2. It’s far more comprehensive than polls or committee debates.
Right now, we use a small sample of actual games to infer who’s best. But football schedules are uneven, conferences vary dramatically, and season-long narratives often overshadow the numbers. Simulations allow us to explore every hypothetical matchup, not just the handful that happened in real life.

3. It gives us probabilistic truth, not guesswork.
Instead of “eye tests” and résumé comparisons, we’d know how often a team would beat each of its contenders across thousands of scenarios. That makes playoff selection not only more accurate, but more defendable.

4. It makes strength of schedule and injuries more realistic.
Simulations can weight for missing players, venue effects, weather, and late-season improvement. The result: a nuanced picture of a team’s true quality—something that the current system struggles to capture.

5. Transparency becomes a feature, not a problem.
Publish the simulation model, publish the inputs, publish the results. Fans can argue about model parameters, sure—but at least the process is consistent and openly documented.

We already use analytics and machine learning in recruiting, game planning, and sports betting. It’s time the playoff selection process caught up. Let the games be decided on the field—but let simulation-backed evidence decide who reaches that field.

I know it’s unconventional, but so was expanding the playoff—and look how that turned out.

Curious what others think: is it time to take the biggest decision in college football out of the committee room and into the data lab?

Posted
1 minute ago, cabowabo said:

We need to cancel the Michigan game and Notre Dame series this afternoon. Too late to cancel tOSU. I know we said we weren’t cancelling Michigan, but it should be done. 

Or we could beat them

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Posted (edited)
10 minutes ago, LTbear said:

So to be clear, you're now flipping your prior stance and saying that, objectively, Florida is in fact a worse loss than Louisville.

 

Got it, thanks. 

Nope. I think losing as 10.5 favorite at home is objectively worse than losing as a 4.5 favorite on the road, but I see the other side. My point is that even if you want to argue the Florida loss is worse, it's only slightly worse. And when you compare the rest of the resumes, it's not close. 

Edited by CurlyDumps
Posted
5 minutes ago, jTower said:

BYU and Alabama dropped one place after getting drubbed at neutral site.  We lost to UGA between the hedges and dropped seven.  Doesn't make sense.

it makes sense if you say that CCG's dont mean anything.  BYU was out already and lost.  Bama was in already and lost.

Posted
56 minutes ago, Hondo said:

The loss to Florida is what's keeping us out of the CFP, not the loss to Ohio State.

Step 1 is properly identifying the problem/cause.  Many on this board can't seem to do that.

This situation is nobody else's fault but our own because we failed to win a game we should have won.  Continuing to rely on "help" or "luck" to succeed is a fool's errand.  

Elite programs do their job and win the games they're supposed to win.  They don't step on their own dicks and then beg for mercy.

That's too simplistic.  If we're going to be penalized for losing at Florida, then Alabama should be equally punished for losing at FSU.  Quality of wins and losses should matter, too, and that goes in our favor against most if not all of these CFP contenders.

Posted
25 minutes ago, Iceman said:

Keep ignoring that ASU loss was with Tech's 2nd Team QB; while Sam Leavitt played out of his mind and ASU still only won by 4 at home.  Dillingham is...um...better than average under the headset as well.  It's the perfect illustration of what the playoffs are for.  You have a blemish, OK, but how's the rest of your season?

Ain't nobody clamoring to play that Tech defense.

 

You're never gonna discuss Tech objectively, because you keep spouting this bullshit.  That's cool though... I guess.  Keep saying it till it's true... 

But Texas can't say Florida played out of their mind at home when they still had a coach and hopes of having good season? Nobody would deny that Florida had talent and was capable of playing great at home.

Posted
Just now, Nueces River Rat said:

LOL.   They have a reporterette at Duke and not in Austin.    If Duke gets in, the playoffs are finished as we know it.    

 

Why would there be a reporter in Austin?

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Posted
2 minutes ago, JOSEYWALES66 said:

Why chance it?  Current data from the committee is Texas should play the easiest schedule possible. 

Or beat a shitty FL team and be in with 2 losses. TOSU has very little to being shutout. 

Posted
Just now, Nueces River Rat said:

Why would anyone be at Duke?   

Because the committee could do something crazy like place Duke over JMU. 

Posted
Just now, Nueces River Rat said:

Why would anyone be at Duke?   

 

Because duke won a major conference championship.

 

How are some of you this idiotic? 

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Posted
Just now, jimmyjazz said:

That's too simplistic.  If we're going to be penalized for losing at Florida, then Alabama should be equally punished for losing at FSU.  Quality of wins and losses should matter, too, and that goes in our favor against most if not all of these CFP contenders.

Florida FPI is similar to Louisville and even SMU but people just look at the loss column.

we'd be out even if we lost to Vandy or OU or aggy.  we can't even get in with one loss to a top 30ish FPI team and 3 top 15 wins.

Posted
Just now, SarksJuggs said:

If the committee was really using these “selection principles” Texas would be comfortably in btw 

But we lost three of the twelve games we played.

And that's that.

It's not a surprise.

Posted
3 minutes ago, UTEE97 said:

But Texas can't say Florida played out of their mind at home when they still had a coach and hopes of having good season? Nobody would deny that Florida had talent and was capable of playing great at home.

if not for ref fuckery they could have beat Georgia.

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  • Like 1
Posted
1 minute ago, Captainant said:

They have five losses. If you can win a conference with five losses, that's a dogshit conference 

I don't disagree.

But they still won the conference which means they still have a chance at making the field.

Posted (edited)
5 minutes ago, cabowabo said:

Why is JMU even an option?  Tulane is the Group of 5 sacrificial lamb, no?

JMU is likely the fifth highest ranked conference champ and will get an auto bid. (If not them, Duke)

Tulane is in as the fourth highest.

Edited by LonghornSean
Posted
3 minutes ago, UTEE97 said:

But Texas can't say Florida played out of their mind at home when they still had a coach and hopes of having good season? Nobody would deny that Florida had talent and was capable of playing great at home.

I've said since last weekend Texas had a case. I wouldn't be upset if they were in or left out. 

Posted
1 minute ago, David Dennison said:

But we lost three of the twelve games we played.

And that's that.

It's not a surprise.

Except that's not in the selection criteria that was just shown. Texas would be in

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