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Posted

That's a very interesting chart.  We're near the nominal, which seems to mean we usually end up around where we're expected to pre-season.

A&M is surprising.  I assume that' Tulane lapping the field?  I'm laughing at Auburn and USCe.

  • Hook 'Em 2
Posted
9 hours ago, TrashMaster G said:

Interesting that we are the 6th least overrated of the 7 True Blues.

 

7 hours ago, Texas Wahoo said:

I think you mean 6th most or 2nd least overrated of the 7 True Blues.

There are 8. Ohio State bests the pack and y’all do not appear to be counting them. 

Posted (edited)
11 hours ago, SquishMitten said:

6 of 8. Blue Bloods don't change

They do.  It just takes a while.  

Or are Nebraska and Minnesota back?  Because that's a lot of old and currently irrelevant championships.

Edited by wablty
Posted (edited)
43 minutes ago, wablty said:

They do.  It just takes a while.  

Or are Nebraska and Minnesota back?  Because that's a lot of old and currently irrelevant championships.

Nebraska is still in the crew for now (the chart messed up our points total, obviously, the author apologized but didn't fix it). But they're getting their heels nipped by the Penn State / LSU / Florida / Georgia tier.

It'll take decades to lose the title though.

 

GupREsb.jpeg

Edited by texifornia
  • Like 1
Posted

we do this every couple of years....

the trueblue chart heading in to '25:

1        Michigan      1012        0.733
2        Ohio State    978        0.735
3        Alabama       974        0.733
4        Notre Dame 962        0.732
5        Texas             961        0.704
6        Oklahoma     950        0.723
7        Penn State     943        0.691
8        Nebraska       924        0.677
9        Georgia         892        0.667
10      USC               882        0.694
11      Tennessee      875        0.67


12      LSU                815        0.645

 

if there are only 8 then is it the 900-win mark, or that they are 30 games ahead of georgia?

parcells: until disproven the current trend is georgia is good for 12 wins this year, corn is good for 7

georgia breaks the 900 line and gains 5 on corn this year and catches them this decade

usc can get their 900th win next year, tennessee can notch 900 in 2028

 

Posted (edited)
1 hour ago, Hagbard Celine said:

we do this every couple of years....

the trueblue chart heading in to '25:

1        Michigan      1012        0.733
2        Ohio State    978        0.735
3        Alabama       974        0.733
4        Notre Dame 962        0.732
5        Texas             961        0.704
6        Oklahoma     950        0.723
7        Penn State     943        0.691
8        Nebraska       924        0.677
9        Georgia         892        0.667
10      USC               882        0.694
11      Tennessee      875        0.67


12      LSU                815        0.645

Pretty hard to argue with the top 6, not that they're necessarily in the right order (and yes, I understand they're ranked by games won).  After that it gets contested.

Edited by jimmyjazz
Posted
2 hours ago, texifornia said:

Nebraska is still in the crew for now (the chart messed up our points total, obviously, the author apologized but didn't fix it). But they're getting their heels nipped by the Penn State / LSU / Florida / Georgia tier.

It'll take decades to lose the title though.

 

GupREsb.jpeg

Got you.  I think Nebraska, unless they catch lightning in a bottle, are done as a powerhouse.   There will be good years, but they don't have a natural recruiting base.  If anything, Minnesota's more likely to have some strange resurgence... But they're both relics as far as I'm concerned.  There were advantages that don't exist anymore.  Maybe CHS or Cargill decide they wanna roll with the Gophers I guess?  I dunno.  This TD brought to you by Target?

I don't think you gotta wait for the data to catch up.  Once the reason it's over is apparent, it's pretty much over.

Posted
2 hours ago, Hagbard Celine said:

georgia breaks the 900 line and gains 5 on corn this year and catches them this decade

usc can get their 900th win next year, tennessee can notch 900 in 2028

But, the top teams also keep piling on the wins. By 2030, there may be 5 over the 1000 win mark. 

Posted (edited)
9 hours ago, Hagbard Celine said:

we do this every couple of years....

the trueblue chart heading in to '25:

1        Michigan      1012        0.733
2        Ohio State    978        0.735
3        Alabama       974        0.733
4        Notre Dame 962        0.732
5        Texas             961        0.704
6        Oklahoma     950        0.723
7        Penn State     943        0.691
8        Nebraska       924        0.677
9        Georgia         892        0.667
10      USC               882        0.694
11      Tennessee      875        0.67


12      LSU                815        0.645

 

if there are only 8 then is it the 900-win mark, or that they are 30 games ahead of georgia?

parcells: until disproven the current trend is georgia is good for 12 wins this year, corn is good for 7

georgia breaks the 900 line and gains 5 on corn this year and catches them this decade

usc can get their 900th win next year, tennessee can notch 900 in 2028

 

Is this just number of wins and winning percentage? The problem with raw wins is that you can end up with G5 powerhouses like Boise State for example rapidly catching up to P5 schools without ever sniffing the top 5.

Edited by texifornia
Posted

Nebraska has a joke of a schedule this year.  They likely will only lose two and then get absolutely wrecked in the playoffs.  I do like that Kentucky WR they signed.  Wished we would have gone after him.  

Posted
10 hours ago, texifornia said:

Aha, finally found a high res version of the better Y axis chart (top 5 instead of points)

 

XOJOmEu.jpeg

 

10 hours ago, satyanash said:

http://cfbcomparer.com/ap-poll-leaders

we passed Nebraska a while back in AP poll appearances, and we're nipping at USC's heels

with AP top 5 appearances it's the reverse

I think your chart is some years out of date @texifornia. We obviously added quite a few top 5 appearances in '23 and '24.

Pulling from this:

10 hours ago, satyanash said:

http://cfbcomparer.com/ap-poll-leaders

we passed Nebraska a while back in AP poll appearances, and we're nipping at USC's heels

with AP top 5 appearances it's the reverse

We are ahead of corn in total weeks and ahead of SC in weeks in top 5.

Posted
10 hours ago, texifornia said:

Nebraska is still in the crew for now (the chart messed up our points total, obviously, the author apologized but didn't fix it). But they're getting their heels nipped by the Penn State / LSU / Florida / Georgia tier.

It'll take decades to lose the title though.

 

GupREsb.jpeg

It’s weird to me that Rutgers is so bad at the game they helped invent.

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