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Popular Content
Showing content with the highest reputation on 04/10/20 in all areas
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chart for your reference18 points
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Like the underlying insinuation of the Media Bias thread designed to shirk all responsibility for the state of the country and shift it elsewhere, markstanco characterizes himself as a "gurilla" warrior- the scrappy underdog, the oppressed, the resistance to The Marxist Powers That Be. Not on a forum filled with posters with histories of voting for GOP candidates. Not in a country stuck in the Overton Window set 4 decades ago by the Reagan Revolution. Not during a GOP administration that controlled both houses of Congress for its first 2 years. Not with a Supreme Court with a majority of GOP-appointed justices (acquired by ignoring the Constitution). Not in a country with a majority of state legislatures controlled by the GOP. Not in a country that gives just as many Senators to sparsely populated red states as it does to blue states. Not in a country whose #1 source for news is Fox News. Not in country that had its Fairness Doctrine repealed by the GOP. Not in country whose current president was given a platform by the media, whether it was his own reality show or full page ads calling for the execution of innocent Americans- and that gladly accepted payments from Trump for quashing negative stories. It wouldn't matter if the GOP had gotten EVERYTHING they wanted for decades instead of most, they still would be pointing elsewhere for what has happened to this country, and still be deluding themselves with fantasies they're "gurilla" warriors that are taking back a country they've largely controlled to avoid having to deal with accountability.18 points
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My dog is my best friend. It is not close. When she came into my life, I was going through some issues and she became my Best friend. Transparency- I’m and alcoholic and my dog would sleep with me, go for walks, go fishing, she is just amazing and helped me in ways I couldn’t have imagined. My precious (dog) girl can’t eat or walk anymore. I’ve been crying more than I thought was. possible for the last hour. Pets really are special. Taking my special girl to die tomorrow literally has made me throw up, but I will man up.16 points
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16 points
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Myron Rolle, former FSU safety, RHODES Scholar, and now a senior resident at Harvard medical school and a hospital in Boston was just on CNN. Dude is now on the front lines of the covid front at his hospital. Eventually will be a neurosurgeon. Dude is a fucking stud. Has worked 9 straight days and has a 24 hour shift tomorrow. Says he is exactly where he is supposed to be trying to fight this thing. more like him please.15 points
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14 points
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For all the great ads that are coming out of these press conferences the best is the simplest: He promised "I alone can fix it." He gave us "I don't take any responsibility at all."13 points
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13 points
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Here's the thing - JPMC has to put numbers out, but all these models are calibrated to a normal economic reality, which is very different from the new and unprecedented economic reality of right now. Disclaimer: I'm going to boil a couple of extremely complex and not wholly uncontroversial ideas down to something very simple. It's my opinion we're talking about, so please don't substitute this for broad based conventional economic thinking, which is what the JPMC model is fairly representative of. JP Morgan is basically saying that the the economy had good fundamentals when we stopped it, and because of the stimulus there's all this aggregate demand out there waiting to go someplace. Therefore when we all pour out of our homes we'll roar right back. And maybe that's true. We stopped the music and everyone froze in place so when the music starts again we will all be in our places and ready to resume dancing. So that's a deep V depression, but we pull out quickly. But I'm not sure that's true on either side, this is why. When we talk about "the economy" we're really talking about our progress and direction along two deeply connected but separate timelines that run in parallel. The first is economic time - that's people making things and doing things and working and generally it's the timeline that real economic productivity runs on. The second is financial time - that's the rate at which things are expected to be paid for. The rent, the mortgage, the groceries and the toilet paper and the food all run (at different speeds) on financial time. So you can imagine, those things run together, but you can actually stop economic time and restart it. Financial time never stops. And despite being a productivity metric, GDP is actually measured on financial time, because those things are usually deeply linked. Even in a war, financial activity paces to economic time, as consumption and productivity shift to other areas and grow and shrink together. But this is not a normal reality. In this reality, for the first time ever, we've but the brakes on a whole sectors without stopping financial time. And we're kind of using stimulus to make up the difference, but nobody really knows how well that will work, because the kind of stimulus we are applying is stimulus that mostly actions on the economic timeline, not the financial timeline, which is where the delta is experienced. So lets say for grins that we are back in business in August or so. Most affluent people pick up spending where they left off. Did they spend that much less while economic time was stopped? How about the people in the middle? My guess is that even though they were unemployed they continued to spend because financial time never stops, and the essentials never stopped working because they couldn't afford to and weren't required to. So for me the bottom line is that we don't know. but I think that depending on how long this goes the less impacted parts of the economy are possibly more resilient than people think for all kinds of reasons, including the ability to work remotely. And as bad as income inequality and the gulf between the haves and have nots in our society has gotten, the result is an economic system where huge numbers of essential workers will continue to work no matter what, and the people at the top will work from home and get takeout and order things no matter what, and the bulk of this will be felt in service industry and retail employment that is somewhat on-demand in nature. That's horrible for the people in the middle but paints a somewhat less dire picture in terms of GDP decline, but also far less rosy in terms of recovery or at least the sustainability of recovery. Also, it should be mentioned that several things, especially new auto sales and other indicaters were already flashing red before this even started so we were probably heading into a cyclical recession anyway. All that is to say that I think we'll probably wind up closer to -30% GDP in 2Q, and closer to +15% for 3Q, and maybe 7% in 4Q, but that's just my extremely unscientific guess based on what I'm reading and how I think things will play out.12 points
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Got into an argument with my grandmother last night. She was trying to tell me he's doing a great job and I asked her when is it ever the president's concern to consider the ratings of a press conference when 6500 people died today? "I don't know what you're talking about, maybe we shouldn't talk about this." Yeah, I think too many of us were content to let sleeping dogs lie and we've let our elderly parents and grandparents get fully bought into this alternate reality. I'm now trying to come up with a path to start figuring out how to bring them out of it. Because we're going to have to fix this. This is going to kill us as a country if we can't get people out from under this massive propaganda influence they are under. We need to go back to the days when we disagreed on our approach to reality but we all agreed on the same reality. We're not even in the same reality any longer. That's going to be deadly.12 points
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They have really done a great job in stopping the spread (of information)11 points
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Oh stfu. You do the exact same to people.10 points
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My parents have gone from voting Trump in 2016 to hating his guts and supporting Biden in 2020. There is hope.9 points
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not so much cooked as constructed by the wife (she did make the rosemary sea salt crackers from our sourdough starter, however) and I, but still produced smiles as we two and the kiddos watch Rise of Skywalker...9 points
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I’ll just start suing everyone I know that spent $200k on food and alcohol at restaurants from their 20’s-40’s for making America obese and causing my insurance premiums to be so high.8 points
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So, flattening the curve is working in NYC. My role is no longer needed. I helped get some protocols for one field hospital set up, the other location is not gonna happen. Over staffed. They are sending me home after 3 days rather than the month I was supposed to be here. Good news is that they will pay me for 2 weeks of home quarantine. Now I have a little extra cash and a lot of free time to work on that sparkle bass build.....8 points
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8 points
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Take this shit to the anti-vaxxer thread.7 points
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So we create an application that tracks everyone and everyone they come in contact with, give it to the Government and expect that: a. It will be, and stay, anonymous; and b. the data will only ever be stored for 14 days; and c it will go away after the crisis is over; and d it's ok because the Government pinkie swears that it will never be used for nefarious purposes.7 points
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My collection of coffee cups from my daughter Sent from my Pixel 2 XL using Tapatalk7 points
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7 points
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The actual death toll here is, according to DeBlasio, probably 70 percent higher than the total reported. That is absolutely astounding and it is because of the amount of people who are dying at home here. Just using Monday as an example there were 280 home deaths in NYC. The average deaths at home on a normal day here is TWENTY-FIVE. This coward in Washington deserves the worst for what he allowed to transpire by treating this like it was a joke. His tiny little hands are covered in blood and there is nothing he can do to distance himself from this. He'll pay in this life and hopefully the next as well. I do not like to wish stuff upon people, but this is just different when innocent people are gone due to his indifference to people's lives being of zero importance. He is the absolute worst of what a human being can be.7 points
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Can’t/won’t read this thread. But the old and true: Don’t cry because it’s over, Smile because it happened. Both lucky to have each other.6 points
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6 points
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Yeah, that’s exactly what our overly litigious society needs, more lawsuits. You think the ambulance chasers are bad now, fuck me.6 points
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Fuck Pence and fuck them churches. Pay some fucking taxes and I’ll have some sympathy. Use your Jesus bootstraps.6 points
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Alright I have an update. Okay. It's not really an update but it's the post this thread needs and the one I deserve, apparently. There's been some hope and some disappointment. There was the gal whose occupation was as a foot model on a porn site. She never wrote back. Another one had monster titties but was in a wheel chair. I'm still working some leads...a crazy psych nurse (truly redundant statement) with some respectable hangers I'm trying to reel in but overall it's still not going well. As previously stated, my small town location is already a big problem to breaking the seal on 2020 but this flu business is emerging as darn near a deal-breaker. Pretty unreasonable of these women to not wanna go out with and cozy up to a stranger in the midst of a global pandemic. Patience plays here. Online dating is nothing more than a sales funnel and I'm not abandoning it yet. You look at 100, you message 5-10, get some interest from 1-2 and rinse repeat until something sticks. Every once in a while in life a woman will break the girl code and tell us men what we have already known about them our entire lives : women often don't even know exactly what it is they want. That's why despite what 100% of these ladies say... I'd say most actually DO want to get laid.. and sooner rather than later. When last I did this online thing...I pulled the wool on the first or second date on 4 out of 5 women I went out with. Some things may have changed in these years but I doubt this has. However, since this is taking a while I've come up with a 2-point plan that's going to fix everrrrything... I'm expanding my search for getting laid in 2020 from public sites to include the private sector ...which I'll detail at the end of this post. First, a few more observations about this online dating business: There are way more tattooed women than there were a decade ago. These tattooed women online remind me a lot of firefighters, anyone who ever played pro sports, crossfitters, pipeline welders, or the Plan 2 students when I was at UT. They cannot not tell you this thing. So, if they have tattoos they are absolutely going to make sure you know about it early and often. They have to tell you about it, apparently they're bound to a life-threatening obligation they've made. If the gal regularly exercises it's going to be the same with the addition that you'll need to see at least one gym bathroom selfie in case you're the dense type that wasn't initially awed. One thing that remains unchanged is if a woman has diva, goddess, or queen in her user name she's pushing or beating 200lbs. If she has more than one of these keywords in her name you can add 50lbs for each... so like..you can be confident an Austin_Diva_Queen72 type would be a 250lber. Or more. F'n for sure. Same as it ever was, the actual good looking women you'd really want to bang aren't browsing men. They're answering emails, screening dick pics, and modifying their profiles to chew out every man on the site while simultaneously renouncing their vaginas. If you want in on all that you're going to have to go them. Every site is going to have some lunkers, some long-time hoggers, that will rise like leviathans from the depths to potentially engulf every new guy that shows up. The big ones have to really work it and I get that... you'll get an email from at least one. Unlike 10 years ago there are way more fake accounts and bots. That super model looking account with one picture that messages you from Prague about how interesting you are... Yeah, that's not real. Let that create pause in adding real $ into any of these sites.. half or more of the 'likes' and other things you have to pay to see are going to be fictitious BS. I have also noticed a slight but consistent over representation of Gemini & Aquarius on these dating sites. I can only assume that these are the craziest signs of the zodiac and the ones most likely to still have you single in your 40's and beyond. Also, there are a fair amount of hair stylists. Why? Because of course there f'n are. Speaking of crazy, many profiles are a hot mess of roadblocks that leave me feeling almost like I just walked in unannounced while the gal was changing clothes or something. I'm not kidding, half of these bios make me feel like - I - , the gentle reader, was somehow responsible for their last fucked up relationship. In fact, if you're packing male equipment and reading any of what I'm saying here right now then you're fucking responsible and these women are mad at you too bro. Own it already you f'n bastard. Regarding photos... There seems to be about the same amount of duck face as there once was. It'll never go away I'm afraid. There are now photo filter things where women can not only have mouse noses or rainbows shooting out of their ears, they can also apparently doctor up their photos -significantly-. That's kind of a problem. Women have their own promo posters now too. It's nice to see a picture of a duck faced gal in a forced and bossy pose with a bunch of inspirational quotes about paying her own bills and not needing a man. With butterflies. There's also some kind of 'live' feature where women interact on video or some shit. I haven't looked into it and have written it off as attention seeking that is both gay as fuck and regarded. I guess they don't realize that in under a minute I can be watching a woman live stream a sex act with a Strudel while I smartly wear the clown shoes in the comfort and privacy of my own home . Top that shit. Lastly, many women will have at least one group photo where it's your job to figure out which one she is. This is painless and easy if you use a system. Know that there will usually be at least one hot one your eyes will go to first in the picture. Yeah, that's not her. Your gal is going to be the second to least or least attractive one in the picture. If there is more than one hot friend then whichever one in the picture you'd bang last.. Yep, that's her. Oh, and she's older and heavier than in that picture now too. Salud. Summing up online dating? Alright... so where to go from here? Current options in the private sector: At the time of this writing, these represent the most intriguing options outside of online dating for getting my dick off the sidelines and into the fight in 2020. a) The recent ex-girlfriend We talk regularly and maintain a great friendship. With the time and space we've now had apart she -might- remember that she, too, has not been laid in 2020 or that she likes it in the pooper while getting her hair pulled. I have to get some more stuff from her house in a few days anyways. Not going to push the issue but I am going to hope just a little. Odds of banging ex-gf : 25-35% b) The cleaning lady Natalie Pros: sufficiently flirty, older... but still within SAM range for tracking and targeting, big ol' butt, probably not been laid in a good while Cons: I'm no genius but I'm guessing there's a few things that could go wrong, maybe even really wrong, with banging the cleaning lady. The bigger problem here, though, is it's a mushy butt. I had the chance to get a fair accounting of Natalie's ass in tight white pants on her walk to the car the other day and while it has a nice shake it's pretty lumpy. Odds of banging Natalie while sober: 10-15% Odds of banging Natalie while not sober : 30-50% c) The girl at the vet clinic Pros: younger, cute, friendly, nice big ass, decent tits, strong legs and great f'n hips. Cons: Insufficient conversations / connection. Some chatting but unless I ran into her in town somewhere, I don't really have a valid reason to go back to the vet clinic to lay more groundwork. Odds of banging the vet clinic girl: 0-5% Odds of banging the vet girl after introducing a plague level infestation of fleas into the house thus requiring several more visits to the clinic : 5-10% d) Ex-ex former drug addict girlfriend Pros: bi-sexual, likes porn, PhD level blowjobs, seriously one of the most fantastically corrupted and talented women I've met who's up for just about anything Cons: crazy as fuck (of course) , may not be single, is most likely broke, would have to fly her in from out of state or travel , I don't want to risk running into anyone I know while she's with me so if I hosted I'd have to pick a town sufficiently far from home, weed is her thing so would have to stock provisions enough to keep her stoned 24/7, not the sharpest knife in the drawer.. for example.. she thought the moon was a star until I explained to her what a star was and what a planet was. Basically nothing in common whatsoever except sex. Odds of banging crazy ex-ex GF if available and she still remembers I started dating ex-gf the day after we broke up : 50-75% Odds of banging crazy ex-ex GF if available and she does not remember all that : 95-100% TLDR: I now pass the torch back to you assholes who are actually getting laid 🤘6 points
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6 points
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In the Biden campaign ad, throw up all of these tweets where he's actually bragging about the ratings of his global pandemic updates. Over and over again. Make that one ad by itself.6 points
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The number 7 seems pretty realistic. Whereas I've always been leery of the number 5.6 points
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You think that's the only reason Trump is divisive. Yeah bud Here's a newsflash, there's many of us who have served and can't stand his sorry fucking ass. Also I got no more time to debate or be reasonable with motherfuckers who insist on supporting that sack of shit.6 points
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Well my value add starts with the fact that I’m not just a lawyer. I’m an investor in private business currently holding several positions that have an advisory or active role. I sit on 5-6 boards from for profit start ups to for profit and non profit organizations with significant FTE head counts and monthly payrolls. I’ve been on calls making decisions and modeling the forgiveness piece as we make decisions and I’ve seen the lack of understanding and the crisis management process here up close. I have very little to offer those businesses that are getting a loan and not making any personnel changes. But for those who need to figure out how to survive for 3-6-9 months with little or no revenue or a significant down turn and large payrolls, then I bring a level headed outside perspective that seems to be needed. And as a part of what I’m calling “augmented decision making” services we were also able to move some clients early in the process to more receptive banks. Our clients are getting between low $100k and just over $1m in assistance so it’s enough money to pay attention to for most of them. Our fees are fixed and paid after funding, inclusive of all of these services and extend from before the application through the forgiveness piece. The application itself is only a very small portion of what we are doing for these particular clients.6 points
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The restaurant, hospitality, and entertainment industries are going to be decimated. They basically already are. Restaurants can't survive on take-out, if they could, that would already have been the standard business model. Those are all real jobs lost, a huge chunk of them won't be returning even if we lifted restrictions today. So I think the "real" loss is going to be huge. Not recoverable in the next 9 months, for sure. But in 18 months? Yeah, probably. But the real problem we're facing is not damage to "The Economy." The Economy isn't a real thing, I'm not sure why people insist on talking about it in the abstract. The real problem is the massive job loss, which leads directly to hunger and starvation, and potentially to violence, as the hungry masses see others who still have jobs, going to grocery stores and buying food. I'm really worried about those people. @Brisketexan mentioned in the COVID Good Deeds threat that we need to be donating to food banks that are running critically low, and he's right. Our friends and neighbors are already going hungry, and we need to do everything we can to help them.6 points
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6 points
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No. What it’s going to take to beat trump is to do an end around on the rule of law, and ruthless and relentless attacks against him and his allies. Lies, disinformation, corruption, assistance from any source, no matter how crooked. Trump and the GOP have set the rules - there are none. So we have to be fucking meaner, colder, and even crueler to our enemies. Fuck off. You picked your game and rules. Live by them, die by them.6 points
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6 points
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6 points
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6 points
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The dog knows you are doing right by her. She's probably stayed extra time to look after you.5 points
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Nice little tidbit to throw back when the Trumpkins start bloviating about this all being the fault of the WHO.5 points
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5 points
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Just as he wanted to play Monday morning twitter qb during the Obama administration, as president he doesn't want to leave his cushy spot on the bench to call audibles at the line of scrimmage.5 points
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To be fair, my parents were predisposed to dislike Trump. But they both dislike the Democrats, so there was some work to be done. The keys were persistence and focusing on Trump’s traits that most bothered my parents. For example, the fact that he’s a draft-dodger who badmouthed war heroes (and GOP legends, to boot) really bothered my dad. So I sent him quotes and Trump tweets and videos of Trump in which he badmouthed the military. If I saw something Trump did that pissed me off, I didn’t assume they saw it too. I sent it. So much of Trump support is enabled by blindness, willful or not. I also emphasized that the GOP under Trump is NOT the GOP they knew and loved. The key was casting Trump as an enemy of their Us group without saying “...of course, your old cult of wealth and wedge issues was bullshit too.” Highlighting that, in the politics of the old order, I’m still in the Them group would undermine my point. Success comes from emphasizing the new alignment: Trump stands against every reason you used to be a fervent Republican and also against our shared principles. They’re good people with good heads on their shoulders. We have different perspectives on a ton of things. But there was enough commonality there that I could note (“That’s not what We stand for”) and identify instances of Trump violating their principles that I don’t necessarily share without being too judgmental (“That’s not what You and Your Party stand for”). And it also helped that the Dems nominated a likable centrist from the old order. In many ways, Biden is the more conservative candidate, as he represents a return to the political order of the Boomers’ glory days.5 points
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I'm not an anti-vaxxer and don't know any, but I don't want major tech firms and the government freely exchanging constant information about my whereabouts. "They already know everything". Maybe, but I would prefer to keep my illusions. I don't actually think they do "know" everything anyway, and I don't want to hand out more access than they already quietly have.5 points
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5 points
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I think Iran was actually past it's peak when they lost to the Greeks in Xerxes second invasion attempt, but that's just me.5 points
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5 points
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You're not touching that money for 25 years. Take the bond portion and allocate towards S&P and look at it in 20255 points
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