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2022 Rain Thread


South Austin

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Posted (edited)
3 hours ago, Trey3216 said:

Houston doesn’t count 

Yeah we get 50+” a year. “It’s gonna rain” forecast is always in the cards, even when it’s not. 

Edited by UT_OB1
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1 hour ago, FirstTimeCaller said:

Austin might be the weirdest place on earth for rain. At the end of the year it's rained 35 inches, but it never seems like it fucking rains. We're nearly a month in the year and had 0.1" of rain? And today's 80% chance of rain has turned into... pffffft.

Because it comes in 2-4" dumps with a lot of nothing in-between.

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1 hour ago, FirstTimeCaller said:

And it seems to always rain in the middle of the night.

Especially the most severe stuff.  That was the case in Houston... the most screwed up flooding-type rain loved to arrive at night just to screw up your sleep.

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Guest Lobo

What the cuss happened to the rain chances on Friday in Austin?  For a week, long-term forecasts had it well above 50%, now it's 20% isolated AM showers.  Which don't make a shit.  

Will Monday at least pan out for us?  

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I wouldn't say you get nothing.  The NWS doesn't seem as bullish about the rain as some of the weather models, but they are usually pretty conservative until just a couple of days before the event.

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Good rain for Austin Monday.

Less but at least some rain for Austin Wednesday.

Wed. freezing precip gets close, but nah.

Then it gets cold for 3-4 days, like last week (40's-20's in ATX area).

The end.

Edited by phdhorn
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On 1/28/2022 at 10:07 AM, FirstTimeCaller said:

Any word on La Nina? Sticking around for a while?

Usually a late fall/winter thing, so the forecast for the rest of the winter is... it's starting to weaken as expected, but could last through April in some forms.  Here is ENSO's latest summary:

image.png.8fa0474cdf477dd7fd639ca02bf69e48.png

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I think most of the rain is past us now, however there could be another lighter wave as the atmosphere heats up this afternoon.  In any case should be all outta here for the rest of the evening.

Then we wait - for the Cold of Death.

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1 hour ago, South Austin said:

image.gif.e1332d221b4f9a28398a198d6eae984a.gif

Hmmm... Wrong on the amount but right on the time of day (quote the sentence before the one you did). Probably poor use of  preposition but you have to get to an evening in order to have the "rest of" it (I posted that just after noon).  Should have said something like "out of here by later this evening." In fact Zach Shields my man at channel 7 was the only weather guy I heard call it correctly. So I sort of us6e his forecast but called for less rain.

So I'll take half your money not the whole thing.

Edited by phdhorn
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