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Posted
10 minutes ago, InkaUtexas said:

I blame Californians.

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I happened to catch the tip of this cock and balls. 2" last night and another 1" tonight.

I'm appreciative. 

 

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Posted

Could be a bumpy ride today, NWS has us at a Level 3 (enhanced) risk for severe weather, not all that common even for us in the spring. Most likely concern will be large hail and winds (tornadoes maybe just a quick bit at first, but as the cells merge they'll form a line which knocks out most tornadic development. Could be a ROFLBOX bonanza as I think there is a pretty good chance of 3-4 areas of damaging hail at a given point in the region. Storms might move slow, which wouldn't help (but usually storms with big winds move fast, we'll see). Keep in mind that even with severe weather, it usually affects a relatively small portion of the area, so we're all not gonna die today (probably, maybe, well I dunno).

Big Boom storms will form/go by mid afternoon to maybe dinnertime, then (hopefully) "just" moderate, even rain over most of the area.

Keep an eye on your favorite weather honk after lunch, and have a plan to get your car outta harm's way. I'll come back and post if we have van-sized hailstones or something like that (something worth posting about). I'll keep peeking at the radar after lunch but these things as you know can flare up outta nothing.

 

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Posted

Lindner Latest

Severe Weather Threat

A higher end severe weather threat will evolve over the region today into this evening. 

 

Have multiple ways to receive warnings!

 

An active day of weather is on tap for the region as a weak cold front move into an increasingly unstable air mass. Widespread thunderstorms will erupt as surface heating removes weak capping in place by late morning into the early afternoon hours with then large clusters or lines moving southward across the region into the late afternoon and evening hours. Activity should reach the coast and push offshore around midnight. 

 

There is a pronounced severe weather threat this afternoon given high levels of instability in the atmosphere and increasing shear. All severe modes will be possible with damaging winds to 70mph and large hail up to 1-2 inches in diameter being the main threats. SPC has upgraded much of the region into an enhanced (level 3 out of 5) risk for severe weather. While the tornado threat is low, it is not zero and low level boundary mergers could result in local enhanced low level shear and a brief tornado. This is a day you want to be paying attention to the weather!

 

Given the slow moving nature of the frontal boundary along with the potential for storms and storm clusters to repeatedly move over the same areas the flash flood threat will be increased this afternoon and evening. Areas north of I-10 have now experienced at least two rounds of storms in the last 48 hours with grounds becoming increasingly saturated while much of the metro area and points south have seen little rainfall. Given the moisture in place, good low level feed off the western Gulf, and potential for training thunderstorms flash flooding and urban flooding could quickly develop. Widespread rainfall amounts of 1-3 inches will be likely with isolated higher totals upwards of 4-5 inches in a few hours.  

 

Storm clusters or a large complex will make its way across the region early this eveningand offshore by late evening with a drier air mass filtering in early Saturday and left over showers ending by sunrise. 

 

Timing: Storms look to begin to develop as early as noon-100pm north of I-10 with more significant development and coverage in the 100-300pm timeframe with activity lasting well into the late evening hours especially for locations south of I-10. 

 

Dry air and weak ridging will result in a fair and somewhat cooler weekend, but southerly flow quickly returns by late Sunday and Gulf moisture comes rushing back northward ahead of what looks to be a slow moving storm system for the mid to late part of next week. Overall pattern will support several rounds of severe thunderstorms and heavy/flooding rainfall across the state. This looks to be an increasingly classic May severe and flash flood scenario, but the fine details on timing, rainfall amounts, and the severe weather will have to be worked out in the coming days.

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Posted (edited)
1 hour ago, phdhorn said:

Could be a bumpy ride today, NWS has us at a Level 3 (enhanced) risk for severe weather, not all that common even for us in the spring. Most likely concern will be large hail and winds (tornadoes maybe just a quick bit at first, but as the cells merge they'll form a line which knocks out most tornadic development. Could be a ROFLBOX bonanza as I think there is a pretty good chance of 3-4 areas of damaging hail at a given point in the region. Storms might move slow, which wouldn't help (but usually storms with big winds move fast, we'll see). Keep in mind that even with severe weather, it usually affects a relatively small portion of the area, so we're all not gonna die today (probably, maybe, well I dunno).

Big Boom storms will form/go by mid afternoon to maybe dinnertime, then (hopefully) "just" moderate, even rain over most of the area.

Keep an eye on your favorite weather honk after lunch, and have a plan to get your car outta harm's way. I'll come back and post if we have van-sized hailstones or something like that (something worth posting about). I'll keep peeking at the radar after lunch but these things as you know can flare up outta nothing.

 

Ain't gonna do shit imo, too cloudy down here. I bet Collie Station gets 25" of rain though.

Austin and SA will probably get 0.1-0.25" and the local mets (transplants) will say "good news everyone no more rain to ruin your weekend plans" while Canyon Lake continues to make an all-time low every day.

Edited by Wilcox Cummingtonite
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Posted

Stuck here on tarmac in BNA-DFW for ground stop. Weather at DFW right now and weather coming into BNA. 
 

Maybe get to DFW in time for my Monday flight to Portland. 😩

Posted
22 minutes ago, Shaddie said:

Stuck here on tarmac in BNA-DFW for ground stop. Weather at DFW right now and weather coming into BNA. 
 

Maybe get to DFW in time for my Monday flight to Portland. 😩

It’s going to be a long day for you. Sucks when severe weather hits on a Friday afternoon.

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Posted
1 hour ago, Shaddie said:

Stuck here on tarmac in BNA-DFW for ground stop. Weather at DFW right now and weather coming into BNA. 
 

Maybe get to DFW in time for my Monday flight to Portland. 😩

10e7.gif

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Posted
3 hours ago, Rip76 said:

Lindner Latest

Severe Weather Threat

A higher end severe weather threat will evolve over the region today into this evening. 

 

Have multiple ways to receive warnings!

 

An active day of weather is on tap for the region as a weak cold front move into an increasingly unstable air mass. Widespread thunderstorms will erupt as surface heating removes weak capping in place by late morning into the early afternoon hours with then large clusters or lines moving southward across the region into the late afternoon and evening hours. Activity should reach the coast and push offshore around midnight. 

 

There is a pronounced severe weather threat this afternoon given high levels of instability in the atmosphere and increasing shear. All severe modes will be possible with damaging winds to 70mph and large hail up to 1-2 inches in diameter being the main threats. SPC has upgraded much of the region into an enhanced (level 3 out of 5) risk for severe weather. While the tornado threat is low, it is not zero and low level boundary mergers could result in local enhanced low level shear and a brief tornado. This is a day you want to be paying attention to the weather!

 

Given the slow moving nature of the frontal boundary along with the potential for storms and storm clusters to repeatedly move over the same areas the flash flood threat will be increased this afternoon and evening. Areas north of I-10 have now experienced at least two rounds of storms in the last 48 hours with grounds becoming increasingly saturated while much of the metro area and points south have seen little rainfall. Given the moisture in place, good low level feed off the western Gulf, and potential for training thunderstorms flash flooding and urban flooding could quickly develop. Widespread rainfall amounts of 1-3 inches will be likely with isolated higher totals upwards of 4-5 inches in a few hours.  

 

Storm clusters or a large complex will make its way across the region early this eveningand offshore by late evening with a drier air mass filtering in early Saturday and left over showers ending by sunrise. 

 

Timing: Storms look to begin to develop as early as noon-100pm north of I-10 with more significant development and coverage in the 100-300pm timeframe with activity lasting well into the late evening hours especially for locations south of I-10. 

 

Dry air and weak ridging will result in a fair and somewhat cooler weekend, but southerly flow quickly returns by late Sunday and Gulf moisture comes rushing back northward ahead of what looks to be a slow moving storm system for the mid to late part of next week. Overall pattern will support several rounds of severe thunderstorms and heavy/flooding rainfall across the state. This looks to be an increasingly classic May severe and flash flood scenario, but the fine details on timing, rainfall amounts, and the severe weather will have to be worked out in the coming days.

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Can we even trust noaa right now?

Posted
2 minutes ago, NorthLoop said:

100% of nothing is still nothing. 

Season 3 Ugh GIF by Parks and Recreation

2 minutes ago, GhostOfTomJoad said:

Rumbling and spitting a bit here in 78613. My zoysia sod that was put down on Tuesday is begging for every drop. C'mon, Mother Nature. Be a squirter tonight.

it's piss?

Posted (edited)
7 minutes ago, SquishMitten said:

I don’t get it. What am I missing here? 

Daytime heating leads to the “cap” being busted which means storm can tap into upper atmospheric energy. 
 

 

Edited by Hate
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Posted

Fuck, this screws some stuff up - this gal I'm banging, her daughter has some dance recital thing at her middle school that was tonight, and I guess tomorrow, and if they canceled tonight, everything will be crazy tomorrow.

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Posted (edited)
2 minutes ago, atomheartbevo said:

Fuck, this screws some stuff up - this gal I'm banging, her daughter has some dance recital thing at her middle school that was tonight, and I guess tomorrow, and if they canceled tonight, everything will be crazy tomorrow.

Yeah, fuck helping relieve the drought. I gotta get some.

 

:)

 

Dammit, just saw the post you were referencing. Well done Sir. 

 

 

 

Edited by InkaUtexas
I fucked up and did not read rightly
Posted
6 minutes ago, Wilcox Cummingtonite said:

Big hailer moving east down 46 toward Bulverde/Smithson Valley. There goes my roof- that's what I get for being snarky asshole.

Send it my way. I need a new roof. 

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