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Posted (edited)
13 minutes ago, Wulaw Horn said:

I mean, yeah it should be beyond obvious that going forward it’s likely that the SEC has 4 or 5 title contending type teams many/most years and the big 10 2 or 3. If the Domers are legit talent acquirers, which I see no reason to believe they aren’t that makes 6-9 teams every year right there that should feel like they have legit aspirations to a national title.

that leaves you needing 3-5 teams amongst the rest of D1 needing to be on an up roster cycle where they feel like “fuck it- our window is now” and you have a pretty solid 10 or 11 with a shot to win it all. Between Miami, FSU, Clemson, SMU, TCU, Tech, BYU and Pitt it feels like that’s more likely than not most years and you will have off seasons with 12-15 teams entering the portal cycle with money to burn and the idea of “why not us”. 
it’s going to be Major League Baseball. The dodgers and Yankees are always going to be good and spend a lot, but in the last 10 or 15 years you’ve also had titles won by the nationals, Royals, Astros, Giants, Cardinals and Rangers. Most of those teams aren’t in competition every year but there’s enough out there that some will always be. 
It’s not the dumbest take on this board in the last 2 or 3 weeks but it certainly isn’t well thought out or intelligent. 

Major League Baseball is a terrible example, if you want to talk about not well thought out or intelligent. MLB  has two leagues and there are big/smart spenders spread across divisions of equal size where they can get to the playoffs to begin with. Which is pretty fucking important. There’s not a wildcard spot reserved for the Savanah Bananas (G5 equivalent) or an autobid for the best AAA team (ACC this year). 

Turn this into two conferences with pods of equal size? Ok, I’ll buy the thesis. 

Edited by 956 Worldwide
Posted
12 minutes ago, The_Great_Hornsby said:

Depends on who #10 is, is it Big 12 #2 or SEC #5? SEC #5 has an infinitely better shot to get hot and win than some Mormon 2 and 3 stars. 

And yet, there’s a plenty good shot that BYU will be there. Or even just 3 SEC teams while four and five sit at home in favor of a ACC team with a gaudy record. 

Posted
12 minutes ago, 956 Worldwide said:

And yet, there’s a plenty good shot that BYU will be there. Or even just 3 SEC teams while four and five sit at home in favor of a ACC team with a gaudy record. 

Well yes, because the system is flawed and doesnt properly weigh conference strengths. The truth is that no system will be perfect but with ND, a G5, and an ACC school bid stealing every year, it leaves the SEC at a disadvantage. The new changes will help address this going forward (9 game schedule for more conf balance, more autobids for the SEC and BIG 10, getting rid of conf championship games).

Posted
1 minute ago, The_Great_Hornsby said:

Well yes, because the system is flawed and doesnt properly weigh conference strengths. The truth is that no system will be perfect but with ND, a G5, and an ACC school bid stealing every year, it leaves the SEC at a disadvantage. The new changes will help address this going forward (9 game schedule for more conf balance, more autobids for the SEC and BIG 10, getting rid of conf championship games).

lol aren’t we debating whether 4 or 5 SEC teams get in? I think the SEC is fine.

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Posted
12 minutes ago, The_Great_Hornsby said:

Well yes, because the system is flawed and doesnt properly weigh conference strengths. The truth is that no system will be perfect but with ND, a G5, and an ACC school bid stealing every year, it leaves the SEC at a disadvantage. The new changes will help address this going forward (9 game schedule for more conf balance, more autobids for the SEC and BIG 10, getting rid of conf championship games).

Yes, that’s the argument. There may be 15 teams with the roster to win. Three of them will be outside the top 12. No use mentioning them. One will be replaced by a G5 team. And that means you need to hope that the remaining two must navigate the autobid and committee process and be in the right league at the right time; that is far from automatic and thus far some of the better ones will be left out. And even THEN these teams are still playing as dogs in a four game series. 
 

And further to the silly MLB analogy, you cannot plug holes in a roster at the trade deadline or dip into the farm system for the playoffs. The injuries and deficiencies you own, and that’s often what derails even very good teams. 

10 minutes ago, Hank_Hill said:

lol aren’t we debating whether 4 or 5 SEC teams get in? I think the SEC is fine.

The SEC as a league is fine; individual teams for sure face a tougher row. Texas, OU, Oregon, and USC likely all looking much better for bids in the former conference format.

Posted
On 11/9/2025 at 11:09 AM, BigOrange1 said:

here is my guess for Tuesday's rankings:

 

1 Ohio State 9-0
2 Texas A&M 9-0
3 Indiana 10-0
4 Alabama 8-1
5 Georgia 8-1
6 Ole Miss 9-1
7 Texas Tech 9-1
8 Oregon 8-1
9 Notre Dame 7-2
10 Texas 7-2
11 Oklahoma 7-2
12 BYU 8-1
13 Utah 7-2
14 Vanderbilt 8-2
15 Georgia Tech 8-1
16 Miami 7-2
17 USC 7-2
18 Michigan 7-2
19 Virginia 8-2
20 Louisville 7-2
21 Pitt 7-2
22 Tennessee 6-3
23 SMU 7-3
24 Iowa 6-3
25 Missouri 6-3

 

22-25 are whatever, but i bet i'm pretty close on 1-21.

pretty damn close

1 Ohio State 9-0  
2 Texas A&M 9-0 -1
3 Indiana 10-0 1
4 Alabama 8-1  
5 Georgia 8-1  
6 Ole Miss 9-1 -1
7 Texas Tech 9-1 1
8 Oregon 8-1  
9 Notre Dame 7-2  
10 Texas 7-2  
11 Oklahoma 7-2  
12 BYU 8-1  
13 Utah 7-2  
14 Vanderbilt 8-2  
15 Georgia Tech 8-1 -1
16 Miami 7-2 1
17 USC 7-2  
18 Michigan 7-2  
19 Virginia 8-2  
20 Louisville 7-2  
21 Pitt 7-2 -1
22 Tennessee 6-3 -1
23 SMU 7-3 NR
24 Iowa 6-3 -3
25 Missouri 6-3 NR
Posted
1 minute ago, BigOrange1 said:

pretty damn close

 

1 Ohio State 9-0  
2 Texas A&M 9-0 -1
3 Indiana 10-0 1
4 Alabama 8-1  
5 Georgia 8-1  
6 Ole Miss 9-1 -1
7 Texas Tech 9-1 1
8 Oregon 8-1  
9 Notre Dame 7-2  
10 Texas 7-2  
11 Oklahoma 7-2  
12 BYU 8-1  
13 Utah 7-2  
14 Vanderbilt 8-2  
15 Georgia Tech 8-1 -1
16 Miami 7-2 1
17 USC 7-2  
18 Michigan 7-2  
19 Virginia 8-2  
20 Louisville 7-2  
21 Pitt 7-2 -1
22 Tennessee 6-3 -1
23 SMU 7-3 NR
24 Iowa 6-3 -3
25 Missouri 6-3 NR

What did you get wrong? 

Posted
2 minutes ago, Sgt Hulk said:

I’d take this all day. We’d beat Ole Miss. tech beats aggy. We beat tech 

Watching tech beat aggy would be glorious. Gap kid and Mike Leach would approve

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Posted
32 minutes ago, Hank_Hill said:

IMG_6615.thumb.jpeg.815dbaa56f5c2c99f2ab9e553a0cba70.jpeg

Pretty much what I’d expect and I’d take this draw. 

21 minutes ago, Sgt Hulk said:

I’d take this all day. We’d beat Ole Miss. tech beats aggy. We beat tech 

Aggy wouldn’t be 3 when we’re done 😤 

so I’d take this draw anyways. 

17 minutes ago, Grande Mart said:

Watching tech beat aggy would be glorious. Gap kid and Mike Leach would approve

After we beat them then tech. They’ll explode worse than when Schloss left. lol 

Posted
8 hours ago, 956 Worldwide said:

I’ve had a real arc with Pavia. At first I thought he was just a super COVID player being shoved down my throat to gin up interest in Vandy. The I begrudgingly admitted I’d love him if he was on my team. Now he’s just really punchable.

Needed to knock off a really good team again to earn his mouthiness. 

You have way too many rational posts to be an Aggie.  Could you explain in 100 words or less why you went to the cult?

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Posted
21 minutes ago, Jimbob said:

You have way too many rational posts to be an Aggie.  Could you explain in 100 words or less why you went to the cult?

I went because I didn't know how important culture was when I was 16. I graduated at 19 and did the majority of my student life at Texas in West Campus to be fair. 

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Posted
5 hours ago, 956 Worldwide said:

Major League Baseball is a terrible example, if you want to talk about not well thought out or intelligent. MLB  has two leagues and there are big/smart spenders spread across divisions of equal size where they can get to the playoffs to begin with. Which is pretty fucking important. There’s not a wildcard spot reserved for the Savanah Bananas (G5 equivalent) or an autobid for the best AAA team (ACC this year). 

Turn this into two conferences with pods of equal size? Ok, I’ll buy the thesis. 

It’s fine for how I said it. You have a permanent class of halves and then you have other teams that will push all in when their roster cycle gives them a chance to compete. The G5 team will always suck but there will be 10 or 15 teams every year that think with some strategic spending they have a chance. 

Posted
59 minutes ago, TrashMaster G said:

My post was aimed at the genius last week claiming we should start scheduling like pussies because the loss to OSU kept us out of last week's bracket.

It depends on if we can make it at 9-3 or not. Schedule Rice instead of OSU and split the aggy and GA games and Texas is assuredly in. If we get left out bc of the loss column then it’s an incentive to schedule like pussies. I mean- the idea that you have e to go X-1 in the SEC to make it if you lose by 1 score at the #1 team in the country is beyond dumb. That’s why I think if it’s a close loss to aggy or Georgia and a clean win against the other the committee almost has to put us in. 

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Posted

If they earn it, yes.  

IDGAF about what happened ilast year.

15 minutes ago, surlyujest said:

Who is the -1 on their schedule, don't say we lose to sand aggie!

You lost to Florida.  Is there really anyone off the table?

Posted
19 minutes ago, Wulaw Horn said:

It’s fine for how I said it. You have a permanent class of halves and then you have other teams that will push all in when their roster cycle gives them a chance to compete. The G5 team will always suck but there will be 10 or 15 teams every year that think with some strategic spending they have a chance. 

Not really. Weren’t you earlier posting about how it was actually good for Texas that Georgia and A&M won this weekend based on how you were playing with the ESPN predictor tool? If you care to go look again the playoff chances for both those teams went up and the chances for Texas went down after your preferred outcome (which I said would happen). That’s because the math just works that way. My argument here also needs just a bit of math combined understanding of the playoff and selection format. Which is not at all like MLB.
 

 It’s pretty boring to keep explaining it, though. I have no doubt you’ll tell me I am wrong about the playoff chances math, too. 
 

(FWIW the FPI formula they used is not awesome and Texas’ chances are still pretty good, likely higher than shown. But the basic math— that it’s better for teams ahead of you and on your schedule to lose than win because it helps your chances to knock them out— remains stubbornly factual). 

Posted
31 minutes ago, Satchel said:

You want them to get a bye. All four teams earning byes last year, lost.

No way, remember that the bracket wasn’t balanced last year. 
 

1. Boise and ASU both got byes. Under this years’ format the teams that beat them (PSU and UT) would have gotten the byes.

2. The chalk bracket wasn’t balanced for the top seeds. Oregon actually had the toughest and not easiest path to the NC. Ohio State was 6 in the actual rankings but dropped to 8 because of the seeding format. Oregon would have gotten the winner of IU vs Boise; and UGA the winner of Tennessee-ASU if they used this year’s format. 
 

The bye advantage is huge. 50 percent of teams that don’t get a bye will be eliminated before the second round. Zero percent of teams with a bye will be eliminated before the second round. Rest vs. rust and the likelihood of injuries, and momentum vs stagnation can come into play and will be a factor for coaches but you take the bye every single time. 

Posted
21 minutes ago, Pato del Muerto said:

I’d think if what they just put out was to be the definitive ranking, they’d swap ole miss and tech to make Texas at tech happen. 

I want Tech to destroy aggy for the epic TexAgs meltdown.

I mean, it will be just fine if we beat aggy (and we will have our chance to do it anyways), but I think getting beat by Tech would hurt the aggy inferiority complex so much more and probably end up with them firing their head coach.

Posted
2 hours ago, billfromlaketravis said:

Couldn’t get into UT.
 

Why take 100 words to say the same thing in 4? 

 

2 hours ago, Jimbob said:

You have way too many rational posts to be an Aggie.  Could you explain in 100 words or less why you went to the cult?

They gave me the most money and I liked having it. It’s fun on the inside. No regrets. 
 

 

Posted
22 minutes ago, Zepol87 said:

The problem is this team has not shown shit that it can handle Georgia or aggy. The cockiness is dumb 

Omg this website is down a Debbie downer. Can we have like 5 minutes of fun? 

Posted
6 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Omg this website is down a Debbie downer. Can we have like 5 minutes of fun? 

No laughing at any positive Texas memes. OL, Sark, Ewers shit talk only. 

Posted
4 hours ago, TrashMaster G said:

Huh, will you look at that? We lost to Ohio State and yet we are in the bracket.

Imagine that.

I guess we just need one more quality loss and then maybe we could jump Notre Dame. 

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