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Posted

Maybe Florida isn't a sleeping giant that is just waiting for us to give them a little bit of hope to unlock the 5-star, Top 15 talent that they have all over the field but couldn't unlock themselves without the generous help of By Gawd UT. 

Maybe we play a bit conservative, Arch throws for one and runs for one, has a solid, if unspectacular game, and the defense strangles their ass and makes them execute play after play as they try to slog their way to 3 points each drive. I trust Taaffe in center field if they want to go deep. I trust Pete K will be just fine taking away the deep ball and insisting they try to nickel and dime their way down the field. It's kinda what our Defense excels at. 

 

20-13 Texas. Leave Florida with a win and prepare for a better matchup with a healthier WR and RB room ready to unleash some wrinkles. 

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Posted
6 minutes ago, BurdineBandit said:

Maybe we play a bit conservative, Arch throws for one and runs for one, has a solid, if unspectacular game, and the defense strangles their ass and makes them execute play after play as they try to slog their way to 3 points each drive. I trust Taaffe in center field if they want to go deep. I trust Pete K will be just fine taking away the deep ball and insisting they try to nickel and dime their way down the field. It's kinda what our Defense excels at. 

 

20-13 Texas. Leave Florida with a win and prepare for a better matchup with a healthier WR and RB room ready to unleash some wrinkles. 

This is pretty much where I am. I would imagine Texas is going to play super conservatively on offense with Florida's relative defensive strength, offensive woes, turnover proclivity, a tough road environment, Arch's inconsistency/yips, and Texas having a strong punting and special teams game. This is your win by playing, "complementary football" game plan if there ever was one. I'm predicting lots of brakes and not a ton of gas. It's probably going to be ugly but winning ugly is a good thing. Just get the W however we can. And god forbid we kick a fucking field goal on fourth down.

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Posted

I think the Texas offense will move the ball more than fine on a play by play basis, just need Arch to not shit his pants on 3rd/4th downs and score when they get inside the five. Need Arch to not fuck up the initial couple of scripted drives due to being too amped up or whatever, and need him to settle in at some like he did vs SHSU after he got hit running up the middle. It'll be interesting to see if they junk up their defense and throw something new at us after a bye week; this has slowed down Sark offenses in the past, but leads to defenses being susceptible to mistakes 

Florida's offense is a train wreck but they'll probably still put together a couple of sustained drives. Similar to in the paragraph above, the Texas defense will just need to keep them out of the endzone when they do have longer successful drives

Keep in mind Billy Napier will try to lose this game with game management decisions. Mario Cristobal thinks Billy Napier is an idiot game manager

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Posted
1 minute ago, Fud said:

I think the Texas offense will move the ball more than fine on a play by play basis, just need Arch to not shit his pants on 3rd/4th downs and score when they get inside the five. Need Arch to not fuck up the initial couple of scripted drives due to being too amped up or whatever, and need him to settle in at some like he did vs SHSU after he got hit running up the middle. It'll be interesting to see if they junk up their defense and throw something new at us after a bye week; this has slowed down Sark offenses in the past, but leads to defenses being susceptible to mistakes 

Florida's offense is a train wreck but they'll probably still put together a couple of sustained drives. Similar to in the paragraph above, the Texas defense will just need to keep them out of the endzone when they do have longer successful drives

Keep in mind Billy Napier will try to lose this game with game management decisions. Mario Cristobal thinks Billy Napier is an idiot game manager

I don't think their injury situation on defense is going to allow them to junk up their defense without it being a disaster for them.

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Posted

It's going to be ugly no matter what as both defenses are elite and the offenses are dogshit.  I do think our defense can create more turnovers with Lagway.
 

I would welcome conservative play calling and taking the points or punting on 4 down. I doubt Sark does this so I expect Florida to stay in the game.

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Posted
1 minute ago, HtownHorn said:

I don't think their injury situation on defense is going to allow them to junk up their defense without it being a disaster for them.

I think they can try it. Go with a three deep safety look and spam sim pressures, and hope that the Texas run game isn't too efficient or explosive. Hope for some redzone stops. Won't stop us every time, but probably will lead to some OL busts and Arch mistakes

If they just do what they've been doing all season (sitting in match quarters), Sark will probably have a conveyor belt of quarters beaters queued up, assuming Arch/skill players don't fuck them up or the OL doesn't allow too many quick pressures 

Posted
11 hours ago, Hagbard Celine said:

i pray to all gods that cdc has told sark TAKE THE FUCKING POINTS

 

10 hours ago, billfromlaketravis said:

This. Take the points. Make our field goals and we’ll be fine. 

You want our AD to tell our Head Coach to bet on Florida?    Not the way I would do it, but okay.

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Posted
22 hours ago, Davis Lane said:

His body language and demeanor is that of a man that thinks he's about to get shit canned.

 

Not many gigs in the world right now better than fired P4 HC with a buyout. Sign me up!! 

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Posted (edited)
6 minutes ago, Fud said:

I think they can try it. Go with a three deep safety look and spam sim pressures, and hope that the Texas run game isn't too efficient or explosive. Hope for some redzone stops. Won't stop us every time, but probably will lead to some OL busts and Arch mistakes

If they just do what they've been doing all season (sitting in match quarters), Sark will probably have a conveyor belt of quarters beaters queued up, assuming Arch/skill players don't fuck them up or the OL doesn't allow too many quick pressures 

They will leave the CBs on island though. You can get deep shots down the sideline, which Arch throws well. Florida is missing their best CB for this game. It will be up to the WRs to get open. Florida LBers play fast, sometimes too fast. Using some misdirection in the run game could yield some explosives. 

Edited by Codaxx
Posted
3 minutes ago, Fud said:

I think they can try it. Go with a three deep safety look and spam sim pressures, and hope that the Texas run game isn't too efficient or explosive. Hope for some redzone stops. Won't stop us every time, but probably will lead to some OL busts and Arch mistakes

If they just do what they've been doing all season (sitting in match quarters), Sark will probably have a conveyor belt of quarters beaters queued up, assuming Arch/skill players don't fuck them up or the OL doesn't allow too many quick pressures 

I think it has been mentioned that Sark has a pretty good track record against Ron Roberts. I can't remember if Roberts pulled out any of the three deep safety looks in 2021 or 2022 at Baylor.

Posted
1 hour ago, UTGrad98 said:

Defenses smell blood in the water with Arch.

Probably a matter of semantics, but if Arch was a sack/turnover machine, this might be true.

Currently, all defenses have to do is commit to defending the run and dare Arch to throw.  And our run game hasn't been up to that task, really.

But if Arch can hit a few, that all goes down the toilet for the d.

Posted (edited)
7 minutes ago, TwiceHorn said:

Probably a matter of semantics, but if Arch was a sack/turnover machine, this might be true.

Currently, all defenses have to do is commit to defending the run and dare Arch to throw.  And our run game hasn't been up to that task, really.

But if Arch can hit a few, that all goes down the toilet for the d.

Defenses have done the opposite. They have defended the pass and dared Texas to beat them with the run . I would guess Florida will do something similar. Sit back in their 2 deep shell and see it Texas can force them out of it by executing in the run game and short passing game. 

Edited by Codaxx
Posted

Listening to some of the talk shows like Pate and Pickell pick the Florida game this week has been really entertaining. It is clear that the lasting impression of both of them is the UTEP game. Pate picked Florida to win, and Pickell clearly thinks Arch sucks. I look forward to Arch coming out and playing a quality game and then watching all of these guys talk about how they knew Arch would bounce back and that this score was inevitable. 

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Posted
12 hours ago, Hookem2147 said:

Florida On3 posted this a few hours ago:


Handing over the call sheet wasn’t something Napier considered during the bye, he said. However, Gators Onlinel earned — and Napier confirmed — that he asked staff members to send him their suggestions on what Florida could do better offensively

Some staff suggestions included which players should be targeted more, ways to run the ball better and how to get Lagway going in the passing game. One of them was taking shots down the field, and Napier acknowledged that he needs to call more deep balls.

This is clearly an offensive play caller with a feel for his team.. 

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Posted (edited)
3 hours ago, immamac said:

None unless lightning. This isn't some slap-dick school its Florida at the swamp. Some of you need to pull your heads out of your asses. DKR at peak bad was still 80%+ full and we have the most fairweather fans imaginable. 

I Beg To Differ GIFs | Tenor

 

Edited by Thetexashammer
Posted
56 minutes ago, Hookem2147 said:

I think it has been mentioned that Sark has a pretty good track record against Ron Roberts. I can't remember if Roberts pulled out any of the three deep safety looks in 2021 or 2022 at Baylor.

watched the Ian and Homer break down. They said Roberts defense is pretty predictable. Sark struggles vs DCs that throw together junk defenses, like Ark and UTEP (meanign Dcs that will throw completely different defenses out there based on the opponent). He is much better vs DCs that stick to what they do, so he can learn the rules of the defense and exploit them. 

Posted

This is a game we win running away with Ewers, but with Arch's inconsistent footwork and accuracy it could go either way.

Add in stupid personnel decisions on the OL, this game will be decided late in the 4th quarter. An untimely late pick by Arch could give the game to Florida.

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Posted
9 minutes ago, 6th Street said:

This is a game we win running away with Ewers, but with Arch's inconsistent footwork and accuracy it could go either way.

Add in stupid personnel decisions on the OL, this game will be decided late in the 4th quarter. An untimely late pick by Arch could give the game to Florida.

So Arch has the same issues as Ewers, so Ewers would blow out a defense that has been very solid. Sounds 100% accurate. 

Posted

Because of course, Texas players never ever improve over the course of a season and with a bye week to drill fundamentals into Arch 

Posted
2 hours ago, Codaxx said:

Their Right tackle is a worn-down speed bump. Florida would trade Bryce Lovett for Connor Stroh on the wire. 

Overall: 39.1

Run Blocking: 62.8

Pass Blocking: 27.1

(from AI, so might not have the last game in those numbers)

That is where you attack on pass rush situations. Overload the right side. 

 

Bryce Lovett had a drastically inconsistent 2025 season according to PFF data, starting with a 0.0 pass block grade against Miami and a 27.1 in a subsequent game.. I honestly did not know you could get a 0 from PFF

 

 

Vs Miami

For starters, none of the Gators’ offensive linemen had a PFF grade above 70. The closest to that number was Knijeah Harris, who received a 64.5 offensive grade. 

The numbers get even worse when focusing on pass and run blocking situations in isolation. There were just two Gators to have a 70-grade or better pass blocking grade, and only one of them was an offensive lineman in starting center Jake Slaughter (70.6). Outside of him, every offensive lineman who saw the field had a PFF pass blocking grade below 35. 

Can we stop posting AI answers on PFF grades? It’s taking an already meaningless (but fun) metric and making it inaccurate

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Posted
2 hours ago, BurdineBandit said:

Maybe Florida isn't a sleeping giant that is just waiting for us to give them a little bit of hope to unlock the 5-star, Top 15 talent that they have all over the field but couldn't unlock themselves without the generous help of By Gawd UT. 

Maybe we play a bit conservative, Arch throws for one and runs for one, has a solid, if unspectacular game, and the defense strangles their ass and makes them execute play after play as they try to slog their way to 3 points each drive. I trust Taaffe in center field if they want to go deep. I trust Pete K will be just fine taking away the deep ball and insisting they try to nickel and dime their way down the field. It's kinda what our Defense excels at. 

 

20-13 Texas. Leave Florida with a win and prepare for a better matchup with a healthier WR and RB room ready to unleash some wrinkles. 

The 2024 Arkansas game comes to mind.  Ugly af but our defense had us winning from start to finish. 

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Posted

Steve Spagnuolo on PFF grades: ''I just, I don't know how you grade, put a grade on somebody when you don't know actually what their assignment was, or what they were being told.''

Easy to reference when they actually back up whatever your point is, but otherwise....
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Posted
14 hours ago, BigOrange1 said:

so what are the chances the swamp is only 60-70% full due to bad weather and pure apathy?

Beginning of the 4th maybe.  I hope it's rowdy (in a fun way) for you guys.  But the vibe is not there this year and the Gata O is a beating to watch.

Scattered T-storms predicted.   You might get lucky and it's fucking beautiful or you might get unlucky and need an Ark. #rainesville

https://www.wunderground.com/forecast/us/fl/gainesville/KFLGAINE83

Posted
24 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Steve Spagnuolo on PFF grades: ''I just, I don't know how you grade, put a grade on somebody when you don't know actually what their assignment was, or what they were being told.''

Easy to reference when they actually back up whatever your point is, but otherwise....

Spagnuolo has a good point here.

PFF is just assuming what each OL is supposed to be doing each play. Did he engage with a defender effectively? 

Posted
33 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Steve Spagnuolo on PFF grades: ''I just, I don't know how you grade, put a grade on somebody when you don't know actually what their assignment was, or what they were being told.''

Easy to reference when they actually back up whatever your point is, but otherwise....

It is just a grade from someone. I always love when people get upset about things like this. You take it as a data point, not gospel. Yours eyes should tell you that the RT for Florida has struggled, PFF backs it up. People just like to bitch about anything. 

Posted
10 minutes ago, Codaxx said:

It is just a grade from someone. I always love when people get upset about things like this. You take it as a data point, not gospel. Yours eyes should tell you that the RT for Florida has struggled, PFF backs it up. People just like to bitch about anything. 

Kind of like how people get absolutely pissed off by some random podcaster’s opinion of Texas? That nobody has ever heard of 

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Posted
Just now, Js1 said:

Kind of like how people get absolutely pissed off by some random podcaster’s opinion of Texas? That nobody has ever heard of 

I would not equate PFF with guys on youtube looking for clicks. Once you understand they are in the business of clicks, it is on you if you get pissed about it. 

Posted (edited)
11 minutes ago, Codaxx said:

I would not equate PFF with guys on youtube looking for clicks. Once you understand they are in the business of clicks, it is on you if you get pissed about it. 

They're so pissed they're gonna give them some more clicks

Edited by texastough
Posted (edited)
11 minutes ago, East Mall said:

Texas will lose this game and it won’t be because of the defensive effort/performance. I predict more INTs than completions. 
 

Gata 13, Texas 10

@Js1 It is like this post. He is clearly some dipshit troll trying to rile people up. If he succeeds, that is on posters here for being dumbasses. 

Edited by Codaxx
Posted

 

55 minutes ago, Codaxx said:

It is just a grade from someone. I always love when people get upset about things like this. You take it as a data point, not gospel. Yours eyes should tell you that the RT for Florida has struggled, PFF backs it up. People just like to bitch about anything. 

I dont have an issue with PFF grades as a data point, but asking a word prediction machine for them and posting the response here seems like a great way to fuck up the otherwise pristine and wise commentary that I come to surly for 

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Posted (edited)
15 minutes ago, Codaxx said:

@Js1 It is like this post. He is clearly some dipshit troll trying to rile people up. If he succeeds, that is on posters here for being dumbasses. 

He's eurotrash lol go read the ryder cup thread

That said Florida 69 - Texas 0

Just kidding, I took Texas to win but Florida to cover in a close game in the office pool.

Texas 21 - Florida 17

Edited by Brian Fantana
Posted
15 minutes ago, Codaxx said:

@Js1 It is like this post. He is clearly some dipshit troll trying to rile people up. If he succeeds, that is on posters here for being dumbasses. 

Fatwa would be particularly easy, in this case.

Posted (edited)
7 minutes ago, Bodacious Bevo said:

 

I dont have an issue with PFF grades as a data point, but asking a word prediction machine for them and posting the response here seems like a great way to fuck up the otherwise pristine and wise commentary that I come to surly for 

AI just searches the internet and usually finds the grades. I am too cheap to pay for PFF, so just use AI to find them for free. 

Edited by Codaxx
Posted
26 minutes ago, Fud said:

What time to the SEC Wednesday injury practice reports typically come out? 

expected 7:10 pm CT on Wednesday, Oct. 1

Posted
2 hours ago, BurgleBro said:

The 2024 Arkansas game comes to mind.  Ugly af but our defense had us winning from start to finish. 

I've had that same thought about this game all week long.

Posted
1 hour ago, East Mall said:

Texas will lose this game and it won’t be because of the defensive effort/performance. I predict more INTs than completions. 
 

Gata 13, Texas 10

If you’re this confident, I will bet you $100 straight up. I take Texas, you take Florida. What do you say?

Posted
1 hour ago, Brian Fantana said:

He's eurotrash lol go read the ryder cup thread

That said Florida 69 - Texas 0

Just kidding, I took Texas to win but Florida to cover in a close game in the office pool.

Texas 21 - Florida 17

Eurotrash? You Americans don’t have anything more clever than that? 
 

Well, Donald Trump is your elected president so I’m not surprised.

  • Fuck You 15
Posted
5 hours ago, perfectchaos007 said:

Hopefully our DLine pressures Lagway so quickly that there’s not enough time for their WRs to run a deep route 

Will Lagway still be wearing his boot?  Hope so.

Posted

The poster who said we’re gonna see a ton of brakes and not much gas is probably spot on for this game.

I suspect this is going to look a lot like the games down the stretch last year where Sark didn’t try to do anything more than what was necessary to win, while also stubbornly trying to prove the OL can get us that one yard on 4th downs instead of taking points.

All gas when you might not need it scares you to death, you know?

Posted
11 minutes ago, East Mall said:

Eurotrash? You Americans don’t have anything more clever than that? 
 

Well, Donald Trump is your elected president so I’m not surprised.

Not wrong, but negged

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