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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.


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Posted
10 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Until I see otherwise re: Florida/Texas, I agree.

Polling-wise, Arizona is the one that looks most in danger, but it's been a while since we've had a high quality poll.  MI, WI, NV, NC look the best.  GA/AZ/PA look like the toss-ups and NC has had the most favorable of polling for Harris among Trump 2020 states.

The Democrat's Senate campaign arm seems to see something in FL and TX, but that could be ticket splitting against Cruz/Scott and not anything for Harris, as of yet. I'd have to actually see a poll that has Harris within the MOE in TX/FL to even laughably entertain them flipping.

Easy to send Doug to The Villages and Walz to raise some cash in Dallas, but for now, Harris doesn't need to be in TX/FL until and unless polling says otherwise.  NV, AZ, MI, WI, PA, GA, NC are where Harris needs to set up temporary residences until November.  Even if the Trump campaign appears to have written off MI, WI, NV. 

It's going to be entertaining on election night when Dotard is screaming "There was massive election fraud in Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, and North Carolina!!". Because all of the fraud is somehow only located in the states he loses by the closest margins (although I think he actually said at one point that he won California in 2020. JFC). 

 

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Posted
3 hours ago, InkaUtexas said:

J 6 was not about body count. It was about mass hysteria and taking over the government. How many died in the Reichstag fire? Even if the Berlin FD has put it out, saving the building, etc, the action alone created what the Nazi asswipes needed to continue their propaganda rule. Every extreme group needs a date. I do not think they were going to hang all of congress, etc. I think they wanted to show that they could. Michigan is another story. There they were going to end up killing the Governor if they got away with it.

I think if they had managed to catch AOC or Pelosi, we might have had a Congress death on our hands. And I think that's what Trump wanted, TBH.

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Posted
8 minutes ago, Chewbacca said:

I think if they had managed to catch AOC or Pelosi, we might have had a Congress death on our hands. And I think that's what Trump wanted, TBH.

Perhaps. And Pence since he was seen as a traitor. The others are enemies of the under-represented masses just trying to live the merican dream.

5 minutes ago, Js1 said:


 

DO NOT POST HIS GOLF PLANS.....

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Posted
3 minutes ago, Hugo Stiglitz said:

I have some ancestors from Haiti but they had to flee for some reason to Jamaica and New Orleans sometime in the mid 1790s. 

So residents of St. Dominique.

Posted
1 hour ago, Satchel said:

On a more serious note, I’ve thought about this quite a bit over the last couple of days. If my candidate took to social to tell the world that he  hates a private citizen who has done nothing to him, knowing that he could cause said citizen harm, I don’t think I could in good conscience vote for that candidate.

That’s cute. 

Posted

Here's why Obama and Reagan didn't have a problem with potential assassins when they went golfing.

It boils down to Trump is selfish, doesn't gaf about anyone but himself, reckless and lazy. Shocking stuff.

image.png.ee315ef257afdd8f9db19baf5b825ecb.png

 

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Posted
40 minutes ago, Hugo Stiglitz said:

That’s what the records say

They say what? If they left before 1804 it was St. Dominique. It became Haiti then. So they were slave owners or Petit Blancs who got their asses kicked and ran to the protection of the Brits (Jamaica) or the French (New Orleans). Interesting......... 

Posted
4 minutes ago, Chopper said:

Fuck worrying about the public polls, of which almost all lack quality or relevance. Instead, watch the money and where the candidates spend their time.

image.png.a8b86fc2c77d5675a1b2f25a2445bce0.png

https://www.politico.com/newsletters/inside-congress/2024/09/16/house-dems-sleeper-seats-suddenly-in-sight-00179407

Yeah I was about to post that. The district polling in 2016/2020 sort of foretold of something happening at the top. In 2016, it was the warning signs in rural district polling showing Clinton just bombing and in 2020, it was that the down ballot races were much closer than the top of the ticket polling. 

Dems seeing tightening margins for GOP incumbents in WI, MI, IA tracks with polling. That Trump +4 poll in IA could mean a lot as to why Dems are going to drop money into IA-01/03. And probably send Walz out there. 

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Posted
28 minutes ago, Chopper said:

Here's why Obama and Reagan didn't have a problem with potential assassins when they went golfing.

It boils down to Trump is selfish, doesn't gaf about anyone but himself, reckless and lazy. Shocking stuff.

image.png.ee315ef257afdd8f9db19baf5b825ecb.png

 

Duh.  Selfish narcissism is Trump's entire being.  There literally is no room inside his narcissist brain for anything else.

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Posted
Just now, TexEx15 said:

It won’t happen considering he will be in Alabama but good lord how great would it be if this backfires.

I mean, the two shooters so far were Republicans, so ...

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Posted
1 minute ago, Pescado_Rojo said:

C'mon meteor!

images?q=tbn:ANd9GcS1ORnUTQaXLRw4f0eBpjq

I’m almost to the point I think we need dotard to stick around. The damage he is causing to the GQP is marvelous. Once the election is over I give zero fucks what happens to his fat, stupid ass. 

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Posted
2 minutes ago, Fudge Nuggets said:

I’m almost to the point I think we need dotard to stick around. The damage he is causing to the GQP is marvelous. Once the election is over I give zero fucks what happens to his fat, stupid ass. 

That, and an assassin or meteor would really dampen my celebration of his death.  I am looking forward to that day and I don't want anything to mitigate that joy. 

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Posted
2 minutes ago, Fudge Nuggets said:

I’m almost to the point I think we need dotard to stick around. The damage he is causing to the GQP is marvelous. Once the election is over I give zero fucks what happens to his fat, stupid ass. 

I am in this camp. These crazies need to stop shooting at the dem savior. 

I kinda feel bad for how crazy the ss job is protecting him. He creates so many safety issues for them and they get dragged for not doing the impossible. 

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Posted
8 hours ago, chainsaw said:

There's fuckery afoot in Arizona. Maybe there's truth to the rumor about Charlie Kirk bussing "volunteers" into AZ who registered to vote.

No question about it happening. Question is to what scale can it happen. I'll do my own research and get back to you.

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Posted
2 minutes ago, Chuckie Finster said:


Aside from a UFC fight or NASCAR race, this is probably the friendliest environment imaginable for him.

Yep. He won Tuscaloosa County like 57-42. Sadly no precinct level data to see if he won the Bama campus 

He went in 2019 and Bama lost 

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Posted
15 minutes ago, TexEx15 said:

It won’t happen considering he will be in Alabama but good lord how great would it be if this backfires.

4 minutes ago, Chuckie Finster said:

Aside from a UFC fight or NASCAR race, this is probably the friendliest environment imaginable for him.

If he's in Alabama, he's going to say something pro-Alabama because he can't help himself when in front of crowds, trying to get them to cheer him on.

And if Georgia loses while Trump is there to root on Alabama....I'm sure that will play well in Georgia.

Philly GIF by Philadelphia Flyers

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Posted
6 hours ago, Pato del Muerto said:

And they picked on a group that cannot defend themselves at the ballot box. 

4 hours ago, Chad Fuck said:

This is worth repeating as it's a key facet of authoritarians.  Pick an out group and punch down on them.

I have a few MAGA relatives on the Cherokee side of my family and I've pointed out that Trump thinks of foreigners the way others like Andrew Jackson thought of their ancestors.

What really pisses me off is how many of these motherfuckers have Irish ancestry.

qtuqzy10r8g61.jpg.thumb.webp.6276d12e76e1ca5186fa4f66b2787283.webp

 

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Posted
4 minutes ago, atomheartbevo said:

If he's in Alabama, he's going to say something pro-Alabama because he can't help himself when in front of crowds, trying to get them to cheer him on.

And if Georgia loses while Trump is there to root on Alabama....I'm sure that will play well in Georgia.

Philly GIF by Philadelphia Flyers

Bama will lose bc all the players were staring at him in the luxury box, with tears in their eyes

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Posted
15 minutes ago, Fudge Nuggets said:

I’m almost to the point I think we need dotard to stick around. The damage he is causing to the GQP is marvelous. Once the election is over I give zero fucks what happens to his fat, stupid ass. 

I wasn't talking about Trump...

Posted
9 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Yep. He won Tuscaloosa County like 57-42. Sadly no precinct level data to see if he won the Bama campus 

He went in 2019 and Bama lost 

Georgia fans praying he gets Ted Cruz to join him. 

Posted

My high school senior and i were talking politics on the way home from church- strictly due to 25 or so giant Maga signs we must negotiate on the 5 mile trip back.  He was surprised to hear Trump has a very solid chance at losing, and admitted that many of his peers would vote of Trump if they were old enough.

The entire convo was frightening. He's admittedly disconnected from politics; doesn't know much about the candidates, and more than a few of his buddies are Aggy legacies but still. Clearly Aisd is failing at grooming and whatever social media he consumes is polluted by nonsense. Very discouraging. I've kept an open dialogue about various issues over the years too. Maybe part of it is my wife being a very liberal Californian and typical teen rejection of step moms; but still.

Posted
32 minutes ago, Fudge Nuggets said:

I’m almost to the point I think we need dotard to stick around. The damage he is causing to the GQP is marvelous. Once the election is over I give zero fucks what happens to his fat, stupid ass. 

That's what I thought after 2020 and here we are, 4 years later...

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Posted
24 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Yep. He won Tuscaloosa County like 57-42. Sadly no precinct level data to see if he won the Bama campus 

He went in 2019 and Bama lost 

He won't get a friendly reaction from the student section, but the power brokers of the state will be there, and he will get love from them.  That having been said, if he's wasting time in Alabama, a state he has in the bag, that means he's not campaigning in a place he needs.  What we could all be pulling for is a medical emergency and Alabama's shitty health care system to really shine.  

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Posted
4 minutes ago, Chewbacca said:

That's what I thought after 2020 and here we are, 4 years later...

Yep. That fat stupid lunatic won't be out of our lives until he's dead. In this simulation he will probably live to 120.

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Posted
2 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Well the eff you NYT for not including it in your cool map from 2020

"U of A Student Rec Ctr" went 651 votes for Biden, 552 votes for Trump

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Posted
7 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Well the eff you NYT for not including it in your cool map from 2020

Walt Maddox, former Dem candidate for governor, got his political start in Tuscaloosa as mayor.  Like a lot of places the city is pretty liberal (by Alabama standards), the county not so much.  

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Posted
1 hour ago, Rimbo said:

i want a 1984 style blowout, but with the Republicans on the receiving end this time

We're a lot closer to getting 1984 the book than Harris winning 49 states. 

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Posted
Just now, Chuckie Finster said:


Nate in shambles

Supposed to be another one this week from an in-state pollster (F&M or Susquehanna) so if there’s another one showing her ahead, he might be on suicide watch lol 



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