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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.


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Posted
4 hours ago, SydneyCarton said:

 

This is stupid fucking advice. Considering the post office is still a shit show and is expected to have issues, and the whole conspiracy aspect in no way disappears with the “going to bed red waking up blue” aspect because of how different states voting rules are laid out, the correct answer is: don’t vote by mail, vote in person early. Your “vote by mail now” actually exacerbates the problem. 
 

Which is what I’m going to do. That way my vote is counted the second the polls close. There’s no post office ballot to get lost or misplaced. 
 

Maybe don’t speak so definitely about stupid shit. Of course I realize who I’m talking to on the Internet, I’ve seen your posting for decades. But try, please. 

Voting by mail or voting early in person accomplishes the exact same thing, avoiding logjams on election day.

Posted
2 minutes ago, linux said:

Voting by mail or voting early in person accomplishes the exact same thing, avoiding logjams on election day.

Except one is prone to fuckery at the post office, and depending on the state in question, the mail-in votes won't start to be tallied until after the polls close, not before, and after electronic returns as well. Which is why we spent days and days counting various fucking states last election with counts and recounts. 

All of which are factors I addressed in my first response to you, which as usual, you characteristically ingored while doggedly sticking to your initial stupid fucking opinion. 

Posted
2 minutes ago, SydneyCarton said:

Except one is prone to fuckery at the post office, and depending on the state in question, the mail-in votes won't start to be tallied until after the polls close, not before, and after electronic returns as well. Which is why we spent days and days counting various fucking states last election with counts and recounts. 

All of which are factors I addressed in my first response to you, which as usual, you characteristically ingored while doggedly sticking to your initial stupid fucking opinion. 

There was no evidence of mail in voting being tampered with in the previous elections. You can also track your mail in vote if you are that paranoid about the postal service

https://www.fox9.com/news/track-absentee-ballot-2022-midterm-elections-state-by-state-guide
 

If you can vote today vote today, by mail or in person.

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Posted
10 minutes ago, linux said:

Voting by mail or voting early in person accomplishes the exact same thing, avoiding logjams on election day.

I vote in the very red-friendly area of S. Collin Co.; Farmersville to be specific.  There will be no logjams. 

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Posted
52 minutes ago, heso said:

It’s infuriating that none of the rubes even question his nonsense about cutting energy bills in half in 12 months. 

They’re too dumb to even wonder how it could be possible to cut energy prices to 1980s rates. 

And it’s that way with every absurd claim he ever makes. It’s not even questioned. 

But Kamala hasn't released a 1000 page thesis on each policy position!!!!

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Posted
13 minutes ago, Zonahorn said:

When Trump loses Vance’s career is over

He finds it "creepy" that women, particularly black women, can decide to get an abortion despite white men of Ohio have deciding that she should have that child. 

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Posted
1 minute ago, SimonBolivar said:

Well that seems good

Trump cannot win without Pennsylvania (and help from other states he won't win). 

I think we've heard the last of hurr durr the race is a coin flip.

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Posted
46 minutes ago, linux said:

There was no evidence of mail in voting being tampered with in the previous elections. You can also track your mail in vote if you are that paranoid about the postal service

https://www.fox9.com/news/track-absentee-ballot-2022-midterm-elections-state-by-state-guide
 

If you can vote today vote today, by mail or in person.

Because roughly 1%-3% of mail goes missing. We mail hundred of items a week, a shitload of it never gets where it's going. Voting in person is much safer.

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Posted
3 minutes ago, SimonBolivar said:

Well that seems good

Anytime you see a candidate above 50%, fucking fuck yeah!  You'd rather be 51-45 than Hillary's 48-42.  Means you can easily have all the undecideds go against you and lose. 

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Posted
Just now, G650 said:

Because roughly 1%-3% of mail goes missing. We mail hundred of items a week, a shitload of it never gets where it's going. Voting in person is much safer.

Very bigly good news that SCOWI re-approved drop boxes then.  Best part of voting in CO - ballot shows up at my mailbox, check off all my options and then I'd drop it in a drop box on my way to work. 

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Posted
2 minutes ago, Macanudo said:

That Vance audio is not new.  It's been around for several weeks.

Consistent reminders in the run-up through election day won't hurt.

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Posted
44 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Virginia and Minnesota start early voting on Friday! 

wayward pines GIF

1 minute ago, Js1 said:

Very bigly good news that SCOWI re-approved drop boxes then.  Best part of voting in CO - ballot shows up at my mailbox, check off all my options and then I'd drop it in a drop box on my way to work. 

Yeah, I mean that's what I do in Va. Get my mail in ballot and then drop it off. No fuss, no muss.

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Posted (edited)
4 minutes ago, G650 said:

Because roughly 1%-3% of mail goes missing. We mail hundred of items a week, a shitload of it never gets where it's going. Voting in person is much safer.

Again verify that your ballot made it, there are state tools to track your ballot, if it got lost then vote in person.

I never said vote and forget, vote verify and if you need to head out in person. The goal is to avoid logjams on election day, seeing long lines voting in urban centers depress the vote at much greater rates than 1-3% the obvious solution would have been to prevent Republican interference on closing voting centers but it is too late for that.

If you can vote early in person then it is preferable to the above.

Edited by linux
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Posted
2 minutes ago, Zonahorn said:

Consistent reminders in the run-up through election day won't hurt.

Oh, I don't disagree.   But in the 24 hour news cycle, it gets lost.

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Posted
1 minute ago, linux said:

Again verify that your ballot made it, there are state tools to track your ballot, if it got lost then vote in person.

Why would you do that when you can just drop it off? Other than to have a pointless internet argument obviously.

Posted (edited)
2 minutes ago, G650 said:

Why would you do that when you can just drop it off? Other than to have a pointless internet argument obviously.

I honestly have no idea why the bickering over minutiae but it does not matter, dunk on me if you want, drop it off or vote in person now and claim you kicked my ass. I will agree.

Edited by linux
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Posted
2 minutes ago, Js1 said:

All the Q-Pacs:

PENNSYLVANIA: Harris 51%, Trump 45%, Stein 1%, Oliver 1%

MICHIGAN: Harris 50%, Trump 45%, Stein 2%

WISCONSIN: Harris 48%, Trump 47%, Stein 1%

Wisconsin as the closest and the reddest of the three. Finally, some good fucking polling

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Posted
6 minutes ago, Zonahorn said:

Wisconsin as the closest and the reddest of the three. Finally, some good fucking polling

Not sure why they didn't poll with RFK - he is on the ballot there

The Fabrizio one I posted earlier was Harris +3 with RFK included.  It's kind of polling malpractice not to include him where he is on the ballot? 

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Posted
11 minutes ago, Js1 said:

All the Q-Pacs:

PENNSYLVANIA: Harris 51%, Trump 45%, Stein 1%, Oliver 1%

MICHIGAN: Harris 50%, Trump 45%, Stein 2%

WISCONSIN: Harris 48%, Trump 47%, Stein 1%

Harris being at or above 50 is what to look out for. If she can consistently poll there then she should be in great shape. Keep in mind the polling errors the last two elections have been exclusively in determining Trump's support rather than his opponents. 

6 minutes ago, Zonahorn said:

Wisconsin as the closest and the reddest of the three. Finally, some good fucking polling

It's also notoriously difficult to poll. However, the same rules apply - pretty accurate for the Democrat and difficult for determining Trump support.

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Posted

 

11 minutes ago, Js1 said:

All the Q-Pacs:

PENNSYLVANIA: Harris 51%, Trump 45%, Stein 1%, Oliver 1%

MICHIGAN: Harris 50%, Trump 45%, Stein 2%

WISCONSIN: Harris 48%, Trump 47%, Stein 1%

Crossing those 50% marks are huge, It means in theory (GOTV and voter rolls increasing notwistanding) that convincing Stein voters is less vital. One of the goals to get RFK jr out is to make this a referendum. Trump has his nationwide 45% ceiling (on battleground states it is a 49% ceiling on average) and this is the final blow.

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Posted
4 minutes ago, Red Five said:

Is Trump even campaigning in Wisconsin?

No, but Wisconsin is the most rightward-leaning of the three by partisan lean. 

 

1 minute ago, Js1 said:

Not sure why they didn't poll with RFK - he is on the ballot there

The Fabrizio one I posted earlier was Harris +3 with RFK included.  It's kind of polling malpractice not to include him where he is on the ballot? 

I completely forgot about that, and he's still on the Michigan ballot. I was wondering why Michigan wasn't the bluest of the three.

Posted
5 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Not sure why they didn't poll with RFK - he is on the ballot there

The Fabrizio one I posted earlier was Harris +3 with RFK included.  It's kind of polling malpractice not to include him where he is on the ballot? 

 

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Posted
16 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Very bigly good news that SCOWI re-approved drop boxes then.  Best part of voting in CO - ballot shows up at my mailbox, check off all my options and then I'd drop it in a drop box on my way to work. 

Counter point.  I did that exact same thing in 2020.  I checked the status on the local supervisor of elections website.  Guess what?   Our first ballots were never received/counted and I had to get replacements sent out.  The second ballots showed received the day after we dropped them off.  I don't know what went wrong with the first set, but this year I'm just going to vote in person @ during early voting. 

TL/DR Vote, but if you do vote on an absentee ballot check your status



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