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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.


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Posted
3 minutes ago, Bozo_Casanova said:

Certainly more likely than the reverse 

The election is going to be one of 4 outcomes:

-Trump narrowly wins, aka, 2016 or 2000 (narrowly wins enough swing states to exceed 270 while losing the popular vote by 1-2+%) (expected EV total would be like 281-303 for Trump)
-Harris wins easily, aka, 2012 and all the polls showing a close race are stupidly wrong (wins 300+ EVs easily and the PV by 5+%) (expected EV total would be like 319-349 for Harris)
-Harris wins a squeaker, aka, reverse 2016 (narrowly wins enough swing states to just exceed 270 while winning the PV by 2-3%) (expected EV total would be like 276-292 for Harris)
-Harris wins a close one that isn't *that* close, but looks close, aka, 2020 (exceeds 300+ EVs while winning the PV by 3-4%)  (expected EV total would be 292-303 for Harris)

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Posted
Just now, Pancho said:

 

We (Blacks) are notorious for being on CP time.

We will come thru…just later.

Your people (no offense) and the youth aren't showing up on days 1 and 2 lol 

They never do. 

Posted
26 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Aaron Rupar two days ago was praising Trump’s stamina 

He’s now cancelled 2 interviews and an NRA event 

Rupar has this weird tendency to post some WTF commentary

Posted
5 minutes ago, Js1 said:

The election is going to be one of 4 outcomes:

-Trump narrowly wins, aka, 2016 or 2000 (narrowly wins enough swing states to exceed 270 while losing the popular vote by 1-2+%) (expected EV total would be like 281-303 for Trump)
-Harris wins easily, aka, 2012 and all the polls showing a close race are stupidly wrong (wins 300+ EVs easily and the PV by 5+%) (expected EV total would be like 319-349 for Harris)
-Harris wins a squeaker, aka, reverse 2016 (narrowly wins enough swing states to just exceed 270 while winning the PV by 2-3%) (expected EV total would be like 276-292 for Harris)
-Harris wins a close one that isn't *that* close, but looks close, aka, 2020 (exceeds 300+ EVs while winning the PV by 3-4%)  (expected EV total would be 292-303 for Harris)

Is this still your map? lrpZx.png

 

Posted
On 10/16/2024 at 1:31 AM, Jhawkmvp said:

This.  There are a lot of quiet racists out there. I grew up a white kid in lily white Kansas, but I grew up in a meat packing town so there were a lot of races there to take advantage of, at the time, well paying meat packing jobs for unskilled labor. A lot of immigrants would come for those jobs.  Growing up my siblings and I had Hispanic, black, and Asian friends in school and they would come over to play and stay overnight all the time, went on trips with us, etc. I never heard my parents use racial slanders. They always treated my friends well. In college, at 20 years old, I am dating a black coed. I come home during break and my father pulls me aside. He tells me it is okay to date a black woman, just don't marry one. I am pretty floored because I had never seen my father indicate he was racist in any way. I just looked him in the eye and told him if I did decide to marry a black woman he better get on board and treat her like a queen or else he'd never be a part of my life from the wedding day forward.  At least he raised me right and did not expose me to his racism as a child, even if in the end his view on this made me lose a lot of respect for him permanently, as an adult. My parents divorced the next year, Dad re-married and became a Southern Baptist like his bible thumping, new wife. My step-mom will drop bigoted/racist comments from time to time, mostly about whatever new immigrant group is working at the meat packing plant when I visit, but my father still doesn't. I just know he silently feels the same way as my step-mom.  Dad always votes straight R and will vote for Trump again this election for the 3rd time.  No Trump talk, no Trump flags, no Trump paraphernalia, no Trump signs, etc. His Trump support is silent.  Just like his racism. 

This fucking sucks and I'm so sorry you had to go through this.

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Posted
7 minutes ago, Texas Flood said:

Unloading but you don’t know what you’re talking about as usual

I didnt even watch.  But own an A400 and that makes it even more lol.  It’s an even simpler process.  But I’m sure as a guy who really used to burn up the 5 stand as he claims, was just having an off day. 

Posted
Just now, bolverk said:

Is this still your map? lrpZx.png

 

Yeah pretty much.  I stand by my prediction that NC flips because Robinson drags down Trump, AZ stays blue because of Lake being a drag and abortion on the ballot, but since Georgia has no Senate or Governor race or abortion referendum, it narrowly flips back. 

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Posted

Another 90k votes in Georgia as of mid-day

Another 200k day not off the table - could potentially hit 700k votes in 3 days. 

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Posted
2 hours ago, Js1 said:

None of that worries me yet. Souls to the Polls is a huge deal this weekend. It’s been 2 days 

Yeah, not too worried (actually enthused) but don't want to do nothing but sunshine pump.  

Posted
29 minutes ago, DixonHur said:

I don't care what the polls say, I 💯 believe this election will be a blowout victory for Harris.

Book it.

That's where my head is, but I've been let down by white women before.

 

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Posted
4 hours ago, DigglerontheHoof said:

I think the plan is IF dotard gets elected, Vance and his backers will have Donny 25th'd out of office.  And Vance WOULD do this and all the other Project 25 bullshit. 

right, and i heard we're hiring nick saban too.

i said "it won't be a problem" at the end, because he will lose. but if by some freak occurrence, he ever became president again, he would need to be dragged from that office with his teethmarks still on it. even money he would try to have vance killed before he agreed to some succession plan.

or maybe hugo is right and he'll just resign.

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Posted
31 minutes ago, DixonHur said:

I don't care what the polls say, I 💯 believe this election will be a blowout victory for Harris.

Book it.

god I hope you're right. I can't help but be nervous. I just wish the election was already over, it's hell on my mental life. I legitimately don't know what I'm going to do if Trump wins. Being 100% serious contemplating leaving the country type of scenario. I don't trust America to ever come back down from the edge if he's elected. I honestly believe it'll be the end of America as we know it.

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Posted
9 minutes ago, YChang said:

Figure this place is as good as any to post it. @Pancho Curious what your thoughts are about this professor's finding from his book about the differences in black churches: https://www.texasstandard.org/stories/the-contemporary-black-church-book-african-american-religious-affiliation-presidential-election-shelton/

 

I *sort of* agree with this. 

Blacks who are Jehovah’s Witness and part of the Holiness churches have always been more right leaning. The more middle class nondenominational Blacks are also some of the ones who don’t want to be known as being “those Blacks” and can lean to the right but mostly stay Dem. 

I still see that more Blacks who go right/far right do it because they have been shunned culturally by the “in-group” Blacks in their community whether that be because of the way they talk, dress, or act. 

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Posted
17 minutes ago, fattyflattie said:

I didnt even watch.  But own an A400 and that makes it even more lol.  It’s an even simpler process.  But I’m sure as a guy who really used to burn up the 5 stand as he claims, was just having an off day. 

Of course not.

Posted
20 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Your people (no offense) and the youth aren't showing up on days 1 and 2 lol 

They never do. 

Wasn't a state posted after day one that 74% of the new voters that weren't registered in 2020 were between ages 18-39?

Posted
Just now, SydneyCarton said:

Wasn't a state posted after day one that 74% of the new voters that weren't registered in 2020 were between ages 18-39?

I posted it, yes. But the overall % of voters in that age group got absolutely dwarfed by the olds. Of course the younger demo would be a higher % of new voters - the 18-21 group was 14-17 in 2020 lol. Plus young voters are notoriously under-registered to vote. 

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Posted
34 minutes ago, fattyflattie said:

As long as you remember our grandkids will be having this debate, I’m fine.  

Well, the ones that survive grade school. 

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Posted
7 minutes ago, Pancho said:

 

I *sort of* agree with this. 

Blacks who are Jehovah’s Witness and part of the Holiness churches have always been more right leaning. The more middle class nondenominational Blacks are also some of the ones who don’t want to be known as being “those Blacks” and can lean to the right but mostly stay Dem. 

I still see that more Blacks who go right/far right do it because they have been shunned culturally by the “in-group” Blacks in their community whether that be because of the way they talk, dress, or act. 

 

IMG_0261.gif

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Posted
2 hours ago, BamaATL said:

3.  By age - 291k of cast votes are from those 65 and older.  (Not fretting this, the older typically vote early)

There have been numerous reports that the really old olds are moving more blue - maybe having their social security threatened and being told to die in order to save the economy isn't a great campaign strategy?  It's the "younger" boomers and older Gen-X that are the real shitheels.

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Posted
Just now, G650 said:

My man Snoop

Snoop in January:

“Donald Trump?” Snoop Dogg said. “He ain’t done nothing wrong to me. He has done only great things for me. He pardoned Michael Harris.”

Knight, alongside Harris and Dr. Dre, co-founded the Death Row Records record label in the 1990s, which signed Snoop Dogg early in his career. Harris was convicted of conspiracy to commit first-degree murder but was pardoned by Trump in 2021 after serving 30 years of a 25-year-to-life sentence, according to USA Today. Before leaving office, Trump pardoned Harris, along with 69 others.

“I have nothing but love and respect for Donald Trump,” Snoop added.

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Posted

Back to the racist shit, did anyone else have a parent that cheered for sports teams based on the "BYU rule"? The more white kids on the team the more they liked them. It was meant in a half joke half serious way. Boomers from the South are much better than their parents or grandparents, but they're still a transitional generation on race relations.

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Posted
2 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Snoop in January:

 

“Donald Trump?” Snoop Dogg said. “He ain’t done nothing wrong to me. He has done only great things for me. He pardoned Michael Harris.”

Knight, alongside Harris and Dr. Dre, co-founded the Death Row Records record label in the 1990s, which signed Snoop Dogg early in his career. Harris was convicted of conspiracy to commit first-degree murder but was pardoned by Trump in 2021 after serving 30 years of a 25-year-to-life sentence, according to USA Today. Before leaving office, Trump pardoned Harris, along with 69 others.

“I have nothing but love and respect for Donald Trump,” Snoop added.

I know. I'm glad he turned that around.

1 minute ago, Brisketexan said:

Sounds to me like Snoop has opened his fucking eyes over the past 9 months.  I'll take it.

Ed Zachary

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Posted
5 minutes ago, Brisketexan said:

 

Sounds to me like Snoop has opened his fucking eyes over the past 9 months.  I'll take it.

The quoted radio interview was from 2018

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Posted
2 hours ago, Pato del Muerto said:

My ballot gets mailed to me today. Still unsure if ballots are staged at post offices and that means the carriers deliver them today, or if they hit the mail today from some other locations, the state website is not clear on that.  Either way I expect to be able to mark it up this weekend and toss it in a drop box on Monday.   So I got that going for me, which is nice. 

Must be nice.  Here, if someone mails something it takes at least a full week to receive it even if it's only across town.

Posted

Republicans got smart in 2020 and realized how stupid and easily influenced most rappers are. Got in their ear with right ring talking points and money. You seriously will not find 1 mainstream rapper that supports Harris. Snoop, Ice Cube, Kanye, are all pretty vocal Trump supporters. Eminem ironically is not. 

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Posted
11 minutes ago, SimonBolivar said:

Back to the racist shit, did anyone else have a parent that cheered for sports teams based on the "BYU rule"? The more white kids on the team the more they liked them. It was meant in a half joke half serious way. Boomers from the South are much better than their parents or grandparents, but they're still a transitional generation on race relations.

Me personally, no. Parents cheered for their school teams when they were still the segregated teams of their childhoods, then kept on cheering for the same teams when they were integrated.

Dad also cheered for the Packers because he played high school ball with Bart Starr. Don't remember any commentary about race of players.

BUT down the street there were a couple of twangy families who no doubt did so. I remember one of their moms saying a little rhyme to the effect that Auburn's team was white and Alabama wasn't. But they were country.

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Posted (edited)
4 minutes ago, HenryJames said:

Is Ice Cube still considered a rapper?

I was going to say, all that post tells me is that Helobious is now an old. None of those guys are mainstream rappers. Snoop is famous for being himself, Ice Cube is an actor you see sometimes, and Kanye is that crazy guy who married Kim Kardashian and interrupted Taylor Swift. This isn't 2006.

Edited by Huckleberry
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Posted
22 minutes ago, SimonBolivar said:

Back to the racist shit, did anyone else have a parent that cheered for sports teams based on the "BYU rule"? The more white kids on the team the more they liked them. It was meant in a half joke half serious way. Boomers from the South are much better than their parents or grandparents, but they're still a transitional generation on race relations.

Nope, because my parents were actually, literally not racist. I grew up with Hakeem Olajuwon posters in my bedroom, the Rockets were our favorite sports team, and not because of Scott Brooks. My mom's favorite Texas Longhorn is Vince Young. My dad's favorite Astros coach is Dusty Baker.

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Posted
24 minutes ago, SimonBolivar said:

Back to the racist shit, did anyone else have a parent that cheered for sports teams based on the "BYU rule"? The more white kids on the team the more they liked them. It was meant in a half joke half serious way. Boomers from the South are much better than their parents or grandparents, but they're still a transitional generation on race relations.

Back in my Jr. High / HS days, the racist kids rooted for the Celtics while those of us that were cool rooted for the Lakers.

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Posted

2023

https://www.yahoo.com/entertainment/kamala-harris-holds-star-studded-151946714.html

Quote

Vice President Kamala Harris celebrated Hip-Hop’s 50th anniversary on Saturday (Sept. 9). Harris threw the star-studded event at her D.C. home, inviting over 400 guests. Rap royalty including Common, Lil Wayne, Slick Rick, D-Nice, Doug E. Fresh, Jeezy, MC Lyte, Roxanne Shante, and more popped out for the house party.

A few older guys might be dumb enough to support Trump but the hip hop world is not likely to be friendly territory for him or other MAGAts

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