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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.

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38 minutes ago, BrickHorn said:

“Hardly anybody in our party gives a shit about human suffering” is a weird flex. 


@Brisketexan : it’s about the cruelty 

Edited by tx 3 putt

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2 minutes ago, tx 3 putt said:

Polling numbers are very much bringing many states into play 

Down the ballot R’s are so fuuuuuucked 😂😂😂

What do you mean? Won't the National Committee simply deploy resources to the local level.  I mean, that's a basic function of theirs.

1 minute ago, TexasHooch said:

What do you mean? Won't the National Committee simply deploy resources to the local level.  I mean, that's a basic function of theirs.


not much left after Trump keeps his 99% 

how many candidates have you seen holding mar a lago fundraisers recently ?

maybe they just haven’t been promoting them 

Edited by tx 3 putt

1 minute ago, BurntOrange&White said:

Trump doing to the RNC what he has done to every business he's touched.....run it to the ground.

Shocked Futurama GIF

When is the last time Trump went to an event for a down the ballot R ?

2 hours ago, Blotto said:

Fuck off Steph. We all remember you willingly lying for that orange piece of shit. You own a part of the idiocy that is trump/maga. I hope she gets run over by a garbage truck. Cunt. 

Sorry but the more ex-Trumpers we can get on the side against Trump, the better.  Bolton, Kelly, all of them... 

Great Team Teamwork GIF

3 minutes ago, BurntOrange&White said:

Trump doing to the RNC what he has done to every business he's touched.....run it to the ground.

Almost like they should have guarded against handing the keys to a single individual who has only failed his entire life. And probably raped children. 

2 minutes ago, tx 3 putt said:


not much left after Trump keeps his 99% 

how many candidates have you seen holding mar a lago fundraisers recently ?

maybe they just haven’t been promoting them 

Simpsons Thats The Joke GIF

Perhaps my sarcasm was too veiled.  

I give you my 100% money back internet guarantee that Trump's 2pm announcement is some kind of swag/garbage he's selling with his face on it. 

2 minutes ago, tx 3 putt said:

When is the last time Trump went to an event for a down the ballot R ?

Trump doesn't go to events, Trump has events and they come to him and he calls them the wrong name, misidentifies the office they are running for or just ignores them/insults them. 

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3 hours ago, Red Five said:

That's like complaining that the team you were beating by 10 at halftime switched QBs and is now up three at the end of the third quarter. "It's so unfair!"

Oilers -vs- Bills 1993??  Too soon.

2 minutes ago, Bullneck said:

I give you my 100% money back internet guarantee that Trump's 2pm announcement is some kind of swag/garbage he's selling with his face on it. 

Ooh, I'm gonna go with him making it all about Biden being robbed of his rightful place as Dem nominee.

3 minutes ago, Bullneck said:

I give you my 100% money back internet guarantee that Trump's 2pm announcement is some kind of swag/garbage he's selling with his face on it. 

Do you think the air Maga IIs are dropping?

5 minutes ago, Pancho said:

 

Jesus christo! Nope, nope, nope, refuse to be fooled again.

2 minutes ago, Foosters said:

Ooh, I'm gonna go with him making it all about Biden being robbed of his rightful place as Dem nominee.

Every time he's talking about Biden, he's not talking about Kamala or Tim and nobody outside of MAGA believes Biden's nomination was stollen.  And 80% of voters think it was the right decision (87% among Dems)

10 minutes ago, Bullneck said:

I give you my 100% money back internet guarantee that Trump's 2pm announcement is some kind of swag/garbage he's selling with his face on it. 


new Trump crypto scam 

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5 minutes ago, Pancho said:

 

Bringing Trump down to 42%, RFK Jr. really is hurting Tangerine Palpatine.

As a reminder, these were the 2020 results:

image.png.6927b7368963e925ee1c3cfe1a34f68f.png

 

I know it doesn't really work this way, but if we shave five points off of Texas, similar to that national poll, we're getting closer.

image.png.4e925887be1469b4ef15d49373e3c357.png

1 minute ago, bolverk said:

Bringing Trump down to 42%, RFK Jr. really is hurting Tangerine Palpatine.

As a reminder, these were the 2020 results:

image.png.6927b7368963e925ee1c3cfe1a34f68f.png

 

I know it doesn't really work this way, but if we shave five points off of Texas, similar to that national poll, we're getting closer.

image.png.4e925887be1469b4ef15d49373e3c357.png

Which and how many counties would need to flip for Harris/Walz to win Texas?

If Texas flips, it’s going to be like Indiana/North Carolina 2008 where it just kind of happened because they got swept up in the wave. 

Edited by Js1

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1 minute ago, BurntOrange&White said:

Which and how many counties would need to flip for Harris/Walz to win Texas?

Harris, DFW, Austin, and SA have more than enough votes, they just need to show up 

How late will Trump be to his own press conference? I’m going 38 minutes. 

5 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Every time he's talking about Biden, he's not talking about Kamala or Tim and nobody outside of MAGA believes Biden's nomination was stollen.  And 80% of voters think it was the right decision (87% among Dems)

And, it takes like one tweet from Biden to completely destroy the attack.  Of course, there is no reason to dissuade Trump from fixating on it at this point.    

I'm not saying I believe it but there are credible people out there saying that Trump might be dropping out. 

I think he's just going to stand in front of invited media and bitch.

Tangerine Palpatine is fire.

32 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Not like the Trump campaign would have organizers there registering voters, getting contact info for voter contacts, etc. 

Of course not.  But if you want a MAGA hat or a t-shirt with Trump's mugshot, that'll be $75.

Just now, South Austin said:

Of course not.  But if you want a MAGA hat or a t-shirt with Trump's mugshot, that'll be $75.

With a recurring $9.95 donation per week after.  In the fine print. 

26 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Dem consultant Culvert did a Miami-Dade poll and Harris is winning it by 15.  Biden only won it by 8, while losing the state by 3.5

May not be enough to win FL, but that's a real good recovery in an area Dems have struggled with since Clinton won it by 30

I realize that the abortion and weed ballot measures are not going to get what they're polling at (both have been polling in the upper 60s). But if they end up anywhere near the 60% threshold for passage, there is a ton of room for growth by both Harris and whoever wins the Senate primary against Rick Scott, and a massive liability for Republicans downballot.

For comparison's sake, the Michigan abortion ballot won 56-44 and gutted the GOP at all levels.

isn't it too late to replace Trump? wasn't yesterday the registration deadline to get candidates on ballots in all 57 states?

Just now, Longhorn_Fan68 said:

isn't it too late to replace Trump? wasn't yesterday the registration deadline to get candidates on ballots in all 57 states?

Oh please, like Ohio and Alabama won’t suddenly make exceptions that they wouldn’t give Biden 

16 minutes ago, BurntOrange&White said:

Trump will grift at 2pm and repeat all the same false talking points that have been posted here from Twitter....then ramble on about Biden.

He’s gonna finally say the n word on camera, I can feel it, todays the day!

Just now, Longhorn_Fan68 said:

isn't it too late to replace Trump? wasn't yesterday the registration deadline to get candidates on ballots in all 57 states?

Yep.  Too late.  Tough shit.

He's the official nominee, even if he dies.

Just now, Js1 said:

Oh please, like Ohio and Alabama won’t suddenly make exceptions that they wouldn’t give Biden 

ok, what about the other 55?

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12 minutes ago, BurntOrange&White said:

Which and how many counties would need to flip for Harris/Walz to win Texas?

I laid it out in a previous post a few days ago:

  • Keep gaining ground in the 'burbs, especially North Texas (Collin County was close to flipping; Denton a little less so)
  • Flip Jefferson/Nueces (only need 1-2 percentage points in each to flip)
  • Hold South Texas, Tarrant, and Williamson.

I don't think it's simply a matter of flipping counties, though, unlike states because of the EC. The votes are out there to get if people turn out. LESS THAN HALF of adult Texans voted in the last presidential election, which is far, far lower than other states. Just a couple of percentage points better across the board would make a huge difference in tipping the state.

I will say that I'm extremely interested in what the real impact of all the new population in Collin County is actually going to do since all the speculation has been anecdotal so far.

 

 

Just now, 'stache said:

He’s gonna finally say the n word on camera, I can feel it, todays the day!

"I know he's spewing racial slurs but STUDENT LOANS!!!!"

1 minute ago, Longhorn_Fan68 said:

ok, what about the other 55?

Those were the 2 states that had the earlier deadlines. No other state had an issue with waiting until after the DNC, as I recall

The issue is going to be would the party coalesce around Vance? Because MAGA may not, and he’s been a disaster, and some others may smell blood in the couch cushions 

Edited by Js1

1 minute ago, 'stache said:

He’s gonna finally say the n word on camera, I can feel it, todays the day!

"No no, he didn't use a hard R!  Listen to this ultra-distorted slowmo clip!!!1" -MAGA

Just now, OU Sucks said:

"No no, he didn't use a hard R!  Listen to this ultra-distorted slowmo clip!!!1" -MAGA

“It’s cool, he has rappers on his side. He can say it”

2 hours ago, Bateshorn said:

Laura Bush killed someone with a car. 

Her ex-boyfriend to be precise.

Just now, Js1 said:

“It’s cool, he has rappers on his side. He can say it”

Kanye gave him permission!

I can't wait for Trump to drop the hard R and for the NY Times front page tomorrow to be covered with stories about how they talked to a hog baron in Iowa who didn't like Walz which is proof that he's not authentic. 

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30 minutes ago, immamac said:

A new treefiddy only feature (https://www.surlyhorns.com/board/subscriptions/) - Live threads. You don't have to F5 anymore, we'll do it for you :)

Testing it out on this thread since it's moving pretty quickly, but it'll make the most difference on game threads during the season. 

Can it automatically format pimphand posts into comic sans and change chainsaw’s periods into tiny versions of this?

image.jpeg.455aa15151b940ceecaf92daf577f619.jpeg

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