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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.

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4 minutes ago, WhatTheBuck said:

Bibi doesn’t want a cease fire. He’s just playing Trump. 

He's exactly like trump.  Stay in office, or go to prison. 

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  • I don't post all that often, though don't mistake that for not enjoying this board's discourse, OUsucks/Texags point and laughs, and quality original content on a frequent basis. I haven't felt t

  • Clintonaldo
    Clintonaldo

    Just had an interesting conversation with wife. Her: Hey Wednesday I need you to pick our son up Me: ok but be home by 4 because I am going to Chili’s for some internet friends. Her: You are mee

  • Old Freak Nasty
    Old Freak Nasty

    I am an American Indian, born in rural Pennsylvania while my dad attended Penn State for graduate school in the 70s.  He was accepted by all on campus, but encountered plenty of racism when outside of

Posted Images

Someone explain this one to me …..

 

 

1 hour ago, hornmpa96 said:

Harris should offer him an Ambassador to Chad. That’s the final and best offer.

Dangling Chad.
 

45 minutes ago, Francisco 2.0 said:

 

 

 

Looks like a Matlock or Murder She Wrote watch party.
That should do it.

48 minutes ago, PenelopeWitherspoon said:

I posted this because I have absolutely been, in my professional career, the victim of both sexism/misogyny and the fucking glass ceiling.

It doesn't help when for years, people have used phrases like, "Cry like a girl" or "Throw like a girl" or "Hit like a girl" to insult male children. Honestly, enough is enough. Men have been in power for 200+ years here in the US. We have a country that is more than 50% female, and yet the makeup of Congress doesn't reflect that. Time to let us be in charge. 

This.  A billion times this.

I believe America will be better off with women in places requiring strong, ethical leadership.  Especially in national level political elected positions.  Progress is far too slow, but if we can stave off this GQP fever, I have hope that a tsunami will hit soon enough.

3 hours ago, Chopper said:

Project 2025 was going to be their agenda, until the whole "Weird" thing came along, people started reading about it, it polled horribly and they stopped talking about it and had the publisher delay the book's publishing. In its place they rushed out that one-pager.

Media Matters obtained an advance copy of Kevin Roberts’ book.

https://www.mediamatters.org/kevin-roberts/everything-you-need-know-about-kevin-roberts-delayed-book-dawns-early-light

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1 hour ago, Francisco 2.0 said:

 

 

 

Everything about this is pathetic and gross. My god. 

3 hours ago, Js1 said:

It’s going to be milked for a month. Also good there’s not herding

 

That's statistical bias. It'd be great if you would ask her about non-response bias and how she thinks that impacts the +/- of a poll. I'm not on twitter or I would. My understanding is it basically doubles the range of error: + or - 5 turns into = or minus 10. Non-response bias stems from the difficulty of getting a representative sample of people to answer a phone call or respond to a letter, i.e. to get 800 registered voters to respond we had to attempt to poll 1 million registered voters.  This is a recent academic study:  

https://www.gesis.org/fileadmin/admin/Dateikatalog/pdf/guidelines/nonresponse_bias_analysis_felderer_2024.pdf

I agree the vibe is with Harris. But I don't trust the polls.  

 

2 hours ago, Woland said:

They weren’t discussing Gaza. They were talking about whatever mob bosses talk about when they get together.

Peace is definitely not in either Drumpf's or Netanyahu's interest. You're right, that was 2 desperate criminals, scheming together.

edit to add: "the call took place a day before a crucial round of negotiations in Doha"

Edited by Chopper

1 minute ago, Chopper said:

My understanding is it basically doubles the range of error: + or - 5 turns into = or minus 10. Non

If that’s accurate, then most polls are worthless as constantly within the true moe. 

5 minutes ago, TexEx15 said:

 

Fantastic policy angle for the Harris/Walz campaign.

image.thumb.png.89f5da85ae4f78d7547acef66458f648.png

 

(graph courtesy of Robert Reich)

2 hours ago, austingirl said:

I know it's foolish, but part of me likes to pretend that a person with a decent shot at becoming the next president might have a person or two on his team at least going through some of the normal motions of running a presidential campaign.

Trump's campaign could have put together some amazing research material on Harris or Walz, they could come up with a beautiful speech with some feisty one-liners.

But then Trump walks up to the podium and everything his campaign has done to prepare him for that night goes out the window as he starts rambling about electricity, Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, how much dictators love him, and all the other greatest hits.

46 minutes ago, Old Freak Nasty said:

This.  A billion times this.

I believe America will be better off with women in places requiring strong, ethical leadership.  Especially in national level political elected positions.  Progress is far too slow, but if we can stave off this GQP fever, I have hope that a tsunami will hit soon enough.

Counterpoint: Women Drivers

3 minutes ago, Pato del Muerto said:

If that’s accurate, then most polls are worthless as constantly within the true moe. 

image.png.b6dccdb54163dd67dc86f60ded9d7eb0.png

Yes, I've heard it put that, unless the spread between the candidates is greater than 2x the statistical bias, an individual poll isn't telling you which candidate would win an election at the point in time of the poll.

Per Real Clear Polling, "It is almost definitionally difficult to detect partisan non-response bias, since you can’t talk to people who didn’t respond to polls." They have a brief discussion about non-response bias at the end of this article. https://www.realclearpolling.com/stories/analysis/does-jesse-watters-know-how-polls-work

1 hour ago, BurntOrange&White said:

It's a good thing tiktok doesn't embed here but I'd allow an exception for this one. Clever 10 second ad for Harris by the Lincoln Project. Worth a click. 

3 hours ago, Hank Kingsley said:

Milked for a month? That poll will be forgotten by next week if things keep generally trending for Kamala. 

3 hours ago, Js1 said:

Milked by the Trump campaign. 

How long ago did some nutcase take a shot at Trump?

Trump and Vance are going to say something really fucking stupid, either in the next day or two at whatever shindig Trump has planned, or clips of them saying stupid shit will be surfaced.  Trump and Co. are lurching along from one self-inflicted crisis to the next.

9 minutes ago, Chopper said:

It's a good thing tiktok doesn't embed here but I'd allow an exception for this one. Clever 10 second ad for Harris by the Lincoln Project. Worth a click. 

Yeah it doesn’t have download enabled. I was disappointed with that but was too good not to post. 

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12 minutes ago, atomheartbevo said:

Trump and Co. are lurching along from one self-inflicted crisis to the next.

You could have posted this at any time from 2016 on and no one would know when you were referring to.

ETA:  God dammit, this is what just kills me.  These people have literally been a clown car of incompetency and dipshittery from day 1, which was almost 8 god damn years ago, and yet we are still sitting here worrying about them regaining power.  70+ million of our fellow VOTERS (let's not even talk about overall citizens) are so god damn fucking stupid that we are still concerned that we might have to deal with this band of grifting, lying, chucklefucks again.  I mean WHAT THE FUCK?!?!

Edited by Biff Tannen

2 hours ago, austingirl said:

I know it's foolish, but part of me likes to pretend that a person with a decent shot at becoming the next president might have a person or two on his team at least going through some of the normal motions of running a presidential campaign.

To give you a serious response - somebody at a fairly high level in his campaign, with some sway, is doing something along those lines..

1. He's not doing a bunch of campaign rallies, even though this is a time that he should be - Harris and Walz look positively energetic while he looks like a frail old man. Some have speculated that he's got some health issues, but I think somebody close to him realizes the more campaign rallies he does, the more chances there are of him continuing to say stupid shit and drive moderates away.

2. They are still doing ad buys, even bumping them up in some states.

3. They are trying to get free publicity by having Vance follow Harris/Walz - i.e. the reporters are already at their rallies, so have Couchfucker setup shop nearby and get some media attention.

Compared to 2020, his campaign feels like it's in maintenance mode - doing just enough to keep the MAGA core active and sending him money, but they are being extremely frugal with their spending (he should be able to fill out 5,0000 or 10,000 seat arenas, but they are going with cheaper, smaller venues).

2 hours ago, PenelopeWitherspoon said:

I posted this because I have absolutely been, in my professional career, the victim of both sexism/misogyny and the fucking glass ceiling.

It doesn't help when for years, people have used phrases like, "Cry like a girl" or "Throw like a girl" or "Hit like a girl" to insult male children. Honestly, enough is enough. Men have been in power for 200+ years here in the US. We have a country that is more than 50% female, and yet the makeup of Congress doesn't reflect that. Time to let us be in charge. 

I'll give you the executive, judicial, and legislative. But "throws like  a girl" gotta stay now that we're playing aggy every year.

2 hours ago, Dahobbs said:

Trump is going to take credit for a cease fire. 

The word you are looking for is Grease fire

18 minutes ago, Chopper said:

It's a good thing tiktok doesn't embed here but I'd allow an exception for this one. Clever 10 second ad for Harris by the Lincoln Project. Worth a click. 

news to me

 

5 minutes ago, Biff Tannen said:

You could have posted this at any time from 2016 on and no one would know when you were referring to.

ETA:  God dammit, this is what just kills me.  These people have literally been a clown car of incompetency and dipshittery from day 1, which was almost 8 god damn years ago, and yet we are still sitting here worrying about them regaining power.  70+ million of our fellow VOTERS (let's not even talk about overall citizens) are so god damn fucking stupid that we are still concerned that we might have to deal with this band of grifting, lying, chucklefucks again.  I mean WHAT THE FUCK?!?!

I'd say it's ramped up in the last month, and that maybe why Trump is even battier than normal - because he picked Ole Couchfucker, and now he's stuck with him and can't ditch him and that has to be driving him crazy.

A month ago yesterday, Trump was wounded by shrapnel/glass from a would-be assassin.  He should have been able to ride that to victory in November.  Instead, we've collectively forgotten that, Dems have coalesced around Harris in record time and record numbers, a lot of Republicans are openly bailing on Trump, and he's stuck with a guy who wears eyeliner and used to dress in drag and who is called a couchfucker.

5 minutes ago, Blotto said:

But "throws like  a girl" gotta stay now that we're playing aggy every year.

Well, and paraphrased for The Sandlot.  I mean, come on, it's a classic.

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Did a match up to a million. Some OU and UT track guys.  Dad’s bday. Maxed the million so 1 on me.  LFG.  #kamala

3 minutes ago, atomheartbevo said:

A month ago yesterday, Trump was wounded by shrapnel/glass from a would-be assassin.  He should have been able to ride that to victory in November.

If you are talking about every candidate pre-dotard, sure.  But when you spend 8 years denigrating, insulting, fucking with, and putting almost everyone in harm's way, including your own supporters, I'm not surprised someone taking a pot shot at him didn't rile up the populace.  Pretty much got this reaction and I don't blame anyone with a logical brain for having it:

200w.gif?cid=6c09b952zkhqqydg24csi0z4dnr

12 minutes ago, Gil Bang said:

WTF?   

giphy.webp

 

Yo VEEP isn’t a Dem?

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On 8/13/2024 at 5:12 PM, Loch Ness Monster said:

Love how Kamala HQ just trolls MAGA and Trump all day every day. Seems like a fun job.

From this CNN article

The group that runs the @KamalaHQ TikTok is very young. Run by Parker Butler, 24, with Lauren Kapp, 25, the five-person Gen Z team has been given training and ground rules — and then “empowered to cook online. ”The team “consists of a lot of young people who just get the internet instinctually,” Butler said in a Friday interview with CNN.

So, Parker and Lauren would have been 16 and 17 when Trump was sworn in.  And, now, to save the planet, they have to troll his ass on a daily basis.  I bet they love their jobs. 

 

 

9 minutes ago, atomheartbevo said:

To give you a serious response - somebody at a fairly high level in his campaign, with some sway, is doing something along those lines..

1. He's not doing a bunch of campaign rallies, even though this is a time that he should be - Harris and Walz look positively energetic while he looks like a frail old man. Some have speculated that he's got some health issues, but I think somebody close to him realizes the more campaign rallies he does, the more chances there are of him continuing to say stupid shit and drive moderates away.

2. They are still doing ad buys, even bumping them up in some states.

3. They are trying to get free publicity by having Vance follow Harris/Walz - i.e. the reporters are already at their rallies, so have Couchfucker setup shop nearby and get some media attention.

Compared to 2020, his campaign feels like it's in maintenance mode - doing just enough to keep the MAGA core active and sending him money, but they are being extremely frugal with their spending (he should be able to fill out 5,0000 or 10,000 seat arenas, but they are going with cheaper, smaller venues).

He's terrified of empty seats.  He is only going to play venues that he knows he can fill.  The optics of empty seats, compared to Kamala's crowds, are something he can't risk.  

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1 hour ago, Biff Tannen said:

You could have posted this at any time from 2016 on and no one would know when you were referring to.

ETA:  God dammit, this is what just kills me.  These people have literally been a clown car of incompetency and dipshittery from day 1, which was almost 8 god damn years ago, and yet we are still sitting here worrying about them regaining power.  70+ million of our fellow VOTERS (let's not even talk about overall citizens) are so god damn fucking stupid that we are still concerned that we might have to deal with this band of grifting, lying, chucklefucks again.  I mean WHAT THE FUCK?!?!

200.webp

Having to coexist with a family of Trumpists in a red state, I often feel like I am going insane. And it's in those moments I thank sweet baby Jesus for you assholes and this fucking board. If it weren't for Surly, I think I might lose my goddamn mind.

Edited by Art Vandelay

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Easily, most energy since Obama.  I actually blew way more money than I wanted but obviously for a good cause.  Also, the camraderie is priceless.  Imagine growing up in Africa or India and being poor by even those standards and today you stand proud on the richest country in earths history.  Insane.  

Edited by ChiTownDoc
Dad’s POV

3 hours ago, Old Freak Nasty said:

This.  A billion times this.

I believe America will be better off with women in places requiring strong, ethical leadership.  Especially in national level political elected positions.  Progress is far too slow, but if we can stave off this GQP fever, I have hope that a tsunami will hit soon enough.

image.jpeg.f098e73c38586aaf35fa95763c45c9a3.jpeg

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2 hours ago, ChiTownDoc said:

Did a match up to a million. Some OU and UT track guys.  Dad’s bday. Maxed the million so 1 on me.  LFG.  #kamala

cheers-sam-waterson.gif

 

10 hours ago, Red Five said:

Imagine hearing that and not being clued in that he is a moron conman.

"This stock market is up! It's because of me! No wait it's down. That's because of Biden. Or Harris. Or both. Wait it's back up, because of me!" 

I literally have had this come across social media from MAGA people I know. Along with AI. Tim Walz puts tampons in boys bathrooms. MAGA will literally believe everything coming out this mans mouth, and regurgitate it. No fact checking. No common sense. No logic.

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3 hours ago, ChiTownDoc said:

Did a match up to a million. Some OU and UT track guys.  Dad’s bday. Maxed the million so 1 on me.  LFG.  #kamala

Your fathers bday party may have resulted in $2mil generated for a campaign but I woke up this Monday morning with 13 different venmo requests from various friends from a friends bachelor party this weekend. Including multiple of single digit nature. My squads built different 😤

Edited by Hank_Hill

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7 hours ago, Js1 said:

Oh

 

This girl chewing people up in the comments. Enjoy your brown babies.....🤣😂

 

1(2).thumb.png.0e8c4c63520dffe9e2614208e0c8af1f.png

 

 

2(2).thumb.png.060ba28b7d7115bb2fe0d7867c707bee.png

 

3.thumb.png.56abd3c65a88e86c1d8e845f59f6742a.png

6 hours ago, WBT said:

he should start booking doubleheaders with the midget rasslin'

Same crowd so.....

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4 hours ago, Biff Tannen said:

You could have posted this at any time from 2016 on and no one would know when you were referring to.

ETA:  God dammit, this is what just kills me.  These people have literally been a clown car of incompetency and dipshittery from day 1, which was almost 8 god damn years ago, and yet we are still sitting here worrying about them regaining power.  70+ million of our fellow VOTERS (let's not even talk about overall citizens) are so god damn fucking stupid that we are still concerned that we might have to deal with this band of grifting, lying, chucklefucks again.  I mean WHAT THE FUCK?!?!

You seem confused. Let me help. There are a lot of fucking racists in this country. They are everywhere and have been pretending to hide behind the GOP policies but because Trump has no policies they are just running around trying to find something, anything to hide behind. This grasping on to anything is rightly seen by us as weird, stupid, and nonsensical. You just need to make peace with the fact that a large chunk of this country doesn't want other demographics to infringe upon what they have, and as long as a certain party is dog-whistling against that they will always vote for them. You think these southern, suburban, white women don't want women's rights? . Let their Susan get pregnant and they will be the first one sneaking over the border to get an abortion. More importantly, they don't want little Susan bringing home a Tyrone or Edgar.

It's always been and will always be about keeping other people where they belong, and the sooner you accept that's what it is about, the better your mental health will be. Every election cycle, for as long as we've been alive, there has been fear-mongering about some type of brown people. It's the reason Canadians could cross the border with a simple ID but no Mexicans are allowed. It's the reason that in 2024 Mississippi, the southern state with the highest population of black people, is STILL the poorest state in the union. I know, it's hard to accept that our friends and family are racists. It's even harder when some of your friends and family hate their own race.

I actually know you already know this, but it helps to get a reminder every once and awhile to hit the reset button. Just remember, these idiots truly want to be democrats, but we stole the party from them by allowing ethnic people equal rights. So they are forced to vote against their own interests for the protection of their schools, neighborhoods, and daughters' vaginas. 

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1 hour ago, Hank_Hill said:

Your fathers bday party may have resulted in $2mil generated for a campaign but I woke up this Monday morning with 13 different venmo requests from various friends from a friends bachelor party this weekend. Including multiple of single digit nature. My squads built different 😤

Haha, well a lot of these amazing people are techs in CNA school making $15 an hr but we guarantee a lot more after finishing…Trust me,  this was NOT an upper crust party lol.  
Again, $5 to $100 etc, a LOT of dough raised.  A beautiful thing.  

7 hours ago, Pancho said:

 

Did they donate money or their first born daughter?

7 hours ago, TexEx15 said:

 

My biggest beef with Dotard.  He’s made voting for one side so repugnant that you have to vote for the other side regardless of policy.  Now we’ve gotta act excited about price controls. 

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