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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.

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19 minutes ago, Brisketexan said:

And for clarity, this timeline produced the following fact: that psychotic hellbeast "pastor" who speaks in tongues and shit.....does the nasty with this dude:

hq720.jpg?sqp=-oaymwEhCK4FEIIDSFryq4qpAx

And some of y'all still don't believe we're living in a simulation.

5 minutes ago, tx 3 putt said:

 

eddie money’s little brother ?

I think he’s the lost member of Spinal Tap. You know, sort of their Stewart Sutcliffe.

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14 minutes ago, Hugo Stiglitz said:

The christian nationalists scare me as much as the nazis, probably because there’s not much difference…. 

I mean, Nazi's follow an ideology and a leader. Christian Nationalists think they're following the will of God. They're much scarier to me. 

1 minute ago, The Dog said:

 

If it's what you say it is, I love it. 

33 minutes ago, SydneyCarton said:

When the fuck did you work?

My father lived on a condo (with a cart) on the fourth Fairway. In the summer it was light to 9:00 PM, so after dinner we’d play at least 18  - and I played 36 each day on the weekend.   From a 42 to an 8.  lol

“He had a joke calling [Vice President Kamala] Harris a cunt,” a campaign insider involved in the discussions about the event told The Bulwark. “Let’s say it was a red flag.”
Four Trump campaign sources confirmed Trump's campaigned edited Tony Hinchcliffe's routine, “It could have been even worse.”
https://www.thebulwark.com/p/trumps-shock-comic-was-set-to-call?utm_campaign=post&triedRedirect=true
 

So the campaign reviewed the Puerto Rico joke and gave the thumbs up. Same with the Latino immigrant jokes. Maybe the watermelon joke was ad libbed.

Honestly, if Trump wanted to sue these dipshits for malpractice, gross incompetence, whatever, it might be one of the few cases his attorneys could win.
5 minutes ago, The Dog said:

 

Trump won Kansas in 2020 by almost 15 points. I wonder a) why he'd use the word weird to describe what they're seeing and b) why that pollster doesn't put out more fucking polls. 

Just now, SydneyCarton said:

Trump won Kansas in 2020 by almost 15 points. I wonder a) why he'd use the word weird to describe what they're seeing and b) why that pollster doesn't put out more fucking polls. 

Your first sentence answers your last. 

Edited by Huckleberry

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Michelle Obama launched Dotard into the sun the other day.

"I hope you’ll forgive me if I’m a little frustrated that some of us are choosing to ignore Donald Trump’s gross incompetence while asking Kamala to dazzle us at every turn," Obama said. "We expect her to be intelligent and articulate, to have a clear set of policies, to never show too much anger, to prove time and a time again that she belongs. But for Trump, we expect nothing at all, no understanding of policy, no ability to put together a coherent argument, no honesty, no decency, no morals."

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It's starting to smell like Kamala's going to drop an asswhipping on Trump on election night.

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1 minute ago, Red Five said:

Michelle Obama launched Dotard into the sun the other day.

"I hope you’ll forgive me if I’m a little frustrated that some of us are choosing to ignore Donald Trump’s gross incompetence while asking Kamala to dazzle us at every turn," Obama said. "We expect her to be intelligent and articulate, to have a clear set of policies, to never show too much anger, to prove time and a time again that she belongs. But for Trump, we expect nothing at all, no understanding of policy, no ability to put together a coherent argument, no honesty, no decency, no morals."

That isn't a shot at Dotard. It's a shot at his voters, really. 

5 minutes ago, SydneyCarton said:

Trump won Kansas in 2020 by almost 15 points. I wonder a) why he'd use the word weird to describe what they're seeing and b) why that pollster doesn't put out more fucking polls. 

Well if you put out too many polls, you can't tell everyone you're batting 1.000

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not sure why he said "weird", when "unexpected" or "surprising" might fit better. he's a dem, so he didn't mean weird as in shitty or suspect.

separately, my nephew is a senior at michigan and wanted to go to kamala's rally tonight, but didn't feel like waiting in line for several hours. so according to my group text, there is currently a pledge in a folding chair with his laptop near the front of the line.

this kid's got a future.

Edited by henrygandorf
typo

Just now, kevwun said:

It's starting to smell like Kamala's going to drop an asswhipping on Trump on election night.

I dont know about that. But I can tell you 45% of this country is going to be completely fucking shocked and at a complete loss thanks to the fucking media and polling companies. 

It will be more than that.  I have Dem friends who think Kamala is going to lose.

Just now, kevwun said:

It will be more than that.  I have Dem friends who think Kamala is going to lose.

For a long time now we've had one side saying "We're the underdog" while the other side is saying "We're gonna win in a landslide". Add in the fucked up polling and betting markets and voila. 

American Greatness (oh these fuckers are back) still can only find PA a 47-47 tie.  Partisan R pollsters can't even buy Trump a lead

Insider Advantage, another partisan R pollster, can only cook up a 1 point lead for Trump in Michigan.

More flooding the zone!

Now, for real polls:

University of Arizona for AZ:

Harris 46, Trump 45

16 minutes ago, The Dog said:

 

What is he implying ?

2 minutes ago, Clintonaldo said:

What is he implying ?

Trump is only up 5 this time in a state he won by 14 in 2020. He has an enthusiasm gap this go round even in a conservative state like Kansas. He must be losing some Republican voters to be -9. 

Edited by mdmost

1 minute ago, Clintonaldo said:

What is he implying ?

If a 10 point shift from 2020 is detectable in KS,  don't be surprised at wildly different results in 2024 from 2020 at a bunch of places.

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After deleting and reporting as junk so many trump texts, I finally responded “I’ll give you a hundred bucks if you drop out.”

Just now, mdmost said:

Trump is only up 5 this time in a state he won by 14 in 2020. He has an enthusiasm gap this go round even in a conservative state like Kansas. He must be losing some Republican votes to be -9. 

I’m almost there. 

if trump wins kansas by 5, it's all over but the crying.

Not digging the Journey disrespect, but given the circumstances I'll allow it.

1 minute ago, Clintonaldo said:

I’m almost there. 

If he's down almost 10 in Kansas, he could be down a lot in places he barely won or barely lost last time. Or shit is crazy and who the f knows. 

Edited by mdmost

8 minutes ago, SydneyCarton said:

That isn't a shot at Dotard. It's a shot at his voters, really. 

And the media who just shrug their shoulders.

If you give Kamala plus 10 from 2020, there are a few more swing states.

7 minutes ago, kevwun said:

It will be more than that.  I have Dem friends who think Kamala is going to lose.

so did this board like 6 hours ago...and then 28 hours before that....and 49 hours before that . . . and so on.

1 hour ago, Bozo_Casanova said:

That’s a wild place to go in this thread, however.  I wonder if Udo Kier ever met Donald Trump. Probably, right?

I wondered if you'd actually caught the post before I struck it. I can't imagine they didn't cross paths. It was great to see Udo in Ace Ventura. That was such a wild time for movies (seventies).

Just now, Foosters said:

so did this board like 6 hours ago...and then 28 hours before that....and 49 hours before that . . . and so on.

Not me, JS convinced me several weeks ago that Kamala was going to win.

Edited by kevwun

Just now, kevwun said:

If you give Kamala plus 10 from 2020, there are a few more swing states.

it would also be treating one poll out of 10,000 as the god poll

1 minute ago, Foosters said:

so did this board like 6 hours ago...and then 28 hours before that....and 49 hours before that . . . and so on.

fibonacci defeatists, imo

26 minutes ago, The Dog said:

 

What’s weird about the dotard winning Kansas?

4 minutes ago, BehoId, The Underminer! said:

it would also be treating one poll out of 10,000 as the god poll

Behold, The Wet Blanket!

7 minutes ago, henrygandorf said:

if trump wins kansas by 5, it's all over but the crying.

Kansas was called in 2020 by 10 pm Eastern. 

4 minutes ago, BehoId, The Underminer! said:

it would also be treating one poll out of 10,000 as the god poll

Yeah, probably an outlier.  If Kansas shifted 10 points left, you're getting into 400+ electoral vote territory - Florida, Ohio, Alaska, Texas, Iowa, ME-02 are all flipping. 

But hey, the first rule of good polling - publish, don't hide, outliers.  It increases your credibility that you stand by your methods enough to publish Trump +5 in Kansas. 

2 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Yeah, probably an outlier.  If Kansas shifted 10 points left, you're getting into 400+ electoral vote territory - Florida, Ohio, Alaska, Texas, Iowa, ME-02 are all flipping. 

But hey, the first rule of good polling - publish, don't hide, outliers.  It increases your credibility that you stand by your methods enough to publish Trump +5 in Kansas. 

Even shifting that 5 to the right, it would still signal deep deep trouble for Trump. 

Puerto Ricans are 3.6% of the population of Pennsylvania, beautiful.

It would have been nice if he could have also insulted Cubans. 

7 minutes ago, Fudge Nuggets said:

What’s weird about the dotard winning Kansas?

Nothing.  What would be weird is if his margin of victory were to drop from +15 (2020) to +5 (2024).

Girl I went to HS and UT with posted this on FB earlier. Not her yard or sign. I think a friend of hers in San Marcos posted it.

bef4c4b2dc2c5586a94f4ae904b26b6b.jpg

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The Tarrant County GOP Chair

tarrant-county-gop-chair-has-a-message-for-us-v0-vuydxqo67jxd1.jpeg

Edited by cactusflinthead

22 minutes ago, kevwun said:

It will be more than that.  I have Dem friends who think Kamala is going to lose.

 

14 minutes ago, Foosters said:

so did this board like 6 hours ago...and then 28 hours before that....and 49 hours before that . . . and so on.

Such is the curse of not being stupid: you don't get to have their irrational, unwavering overconfidence about damn near everything.

4 minutes ago, kevwun said:

It would have been nice if he could have also insulted Cubans. 

They'll never waver.

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