Jump to content

Recommended Posts

Posted

'25 name are it it seems. Karen, gonna bring the lulz

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/weather/2025/03/11/hurricane-names-list-for-2025-atlantic-season/81924597007/

CSU hurricane forecast hasn't officially come out but word is, it's going to be normal.

https://www.pnj.com/story/weather/hurricanes/2025/03/10/early-2025-hurricane-season-predictions-forecast/82227720007/

"Normal" seems to track with the neutral phase (El Nino,/La Nina) we be predominantly in during the season as well. 

 

  • Hook 'Em 1
Posted
38 minutes ago, Chopper said:

Without accurate data insurers will assume the worst

 

The insurance lobby likely approves of the cuts as cover to raise rates. 

Posted
On 3/11/2025 at 3:07 PM, Mother mopar said:

'25 name are it it seems. Karen, gonna bring the lulz

Calling it right now: Jerry (which immediately precedes Karen) is going to be one of those just messin' around in sweatpants storms but Karen is going to come onshore with severe speak to the manager energy.

  • Like 1
  • Haha 2
Posted
2 hours ago, MissingInAction said:

,,I predict hurricanes that stay at cat 10 as they cut swaths of destruction from coast to coast.

 

We’re getting Jupiters red spot ? 

  • Haha 1
Posted

Due to the nice wind today - our power is out (west Houston - 99 south of 1093). Nice little trial run for the storms this year. Generator is running. OTA works well. We need to up date our pantry and get some new bottled water. Other wise, we are ready for the shit show.

  • Like 1
  • 2 weeks later...
  • 1 month later...
Posted

Here are the “comp” years to 2025 where the environment is “neutral”, meaning neither La Niña or El Niño. 
 

 

IMG_2902.jpeg

  • Rage+1 1
  • Fuck Around and Find Out 3
Posted
41 minutes ago, NorthLoop said:

Looks like a Tool album cover. 

Looks like a deranged turtle about to take a bite out of Brownsville.

  • Hook 'Em 3
  • Like 1
  • Haha 4
Posted
7 minutes ago, miguelito said:

Don't turn your back on the Pacific, either.  It will not be ignored.

 

QJLA6VKWHNCTJAKU564X4PTMHU.jpg?_a=DAJHqp

Can I draw a sharpie to lots of rain in Central Texas, plz?

  • Hook 'Em 1
  • Haha 2
Posted
11 hours ago, miguelito said:

Don't turn your back on the Pacific, either.  It will not be ignored.

 

QJLA6VKWHNCTJAKU564X4PTMHU.jpg?_a=DAJHqp

I would think the odds of a right turn would be strong with this one...

Posted
2 hours ago, SurlyGator said:

I would think the odds of a right turn would be strong with this one...

Yeah but you know it’ll be a hard right followed by all kinds of fuckery. Pass. 
 

 

IMG_8759.jpeg

  • Hook 'Em 1
  • Haha 5
Posted

^^^ He's posting what NOAA has come up with.  Once he says what he believes to be true I'll pay more attention.  We'll all find out together in a few days.  Ready or not, June 1st is here.

  • Hook 'Em 1
  • 3 weeks later...
Posted

AI Summary in 10 Bullet points:

Here are 10 key points from the Severe Weather Europe article about the emerging Atlantic Niña and its broader impacts:

  • A rare Atlantic Niña (cold anomaly) has formed in the tropical Atlantic, currently suppressing hurricane activity by reducing convection in the Main Development Region (MDR) severe-weather.eu+4severe-weather.eu+4severe-weather.eu+4.

  • This Niña phase is expected to last through July, suppressing cyclone development and likely lowering storm counts and U.S. landfalls during the early part of the season severe-weather.eu.

  • By July, a rapid reversal is forecast, with trade winds weakening—paving the way for an Atlantic Niño (warm phase) around the peak of hurricane season severe-weather.eu+7severe-weather.eu+7severe-weather.eu+7.

  • An Atlantic Niño tends to double tropical cyclone activity and increase U.S. hurricane landfall risk by boosting convection and lowering pressure in the MDR severe-weather.eu+1en.wikipedia.org+1.

  • Despite possibly fewer overall storms, the Niño phase fosters conditions conducive to fewer but stronger hurricanes, raising the odds of at least one major landfall .

  • A study cited indicates Atlantic Niño enhances African easterly waves and low-level vorticity, aiding Cape Verde hurricane development and greater impact risk across the Caribbean and U.S. severe-weather.eu.

  • The Pacific ENSO state is currently neutral but leaning toward a weak La Niña by late year, as trade wind patterns evolve severe-weather.eu.

  • Historical data show that a summer Atlantic Niño often correlates with a winter pressure dip over Canada/northern U.S., leading to an amplified jet stream and colder U.S. temperatures severe-weather.eu+2severe-weather.eu+2severe-weather.eu+2.

  • Following Atlantic Niño summers, winters typically feature below-normal temperatures in western Canada/northern U.S. and increased snowfall in the Pacific Northwest and Midwest severe-weather.eu+2severe-weather.eu+2severe-weather.eu+2.

  • Forecasts will be closely monitored in the coming weeks, as the flip from Niña to Niño critically shapes both the fall hurricane season and Winter 2025–2026 weather patterns across North America

5 point summary of the summary:

 

  • A rare Atlantic Niña is currently suppressing early hurricane activity, but this is expected to reverse by mid-summer.

  • A transition to an Atlantic Niño around peak hurricane season could lead to fewer but more intense hurricanes and a higher risk of U.S. landfalls.

  • Atlantic Niño conditions enhance storm formation in the Main Development Region by increasing convection and aiding African easterly waves.

  • A weak Pacific La Niña is also developing, influencing broader weather patterns later in the year.

  • This setup may lead to a colder, snowier Winter 2025–2026 in parts of the U.S. and Canada due to jet stream shifts linked to Atlantic Niño conditions.

 
  • Hook 'Em 6
  • Like 1
  • Fuck Around and Find Out 1
Posted

Cool, cool.  Halfway through summer, the chances of big fucking mean hurricanes goes up, and this winter, the chances of a cold and snowy winter goes up.

Looking forward to the year of Harvey II, Fuck You Boogaloo, and Snowpocalypse the Second: the Return of Freezing Your Balls Off in Your House.

  • Hook 'Em 2
  • Fuck Around and Find Out 1
Posted
4 minutes ago, Brisketexan said:

Cool, cool.  Halfway through summer, the chances of big fucking mean hurricanes goes up, and this winter, the chances of a cold and snowy winter goes up.

Looking forward to the year of Harvey II, Fuck You Boogaloo, and Snowpocalypse the Second: the Return of Freezing Your Balls Off in Your House.

“It could’ve been worse.”

  • Hook 'Em 3
  • Like 1
  • Fuck Around and Find Out 2
Posted

We already had Snowpocalypse II, Winter Strikes Back.

Do I hear a bid for number three?  Going once, going twice, sold to the power-challenged gentlemen in Austin.

  • Haha 2
  • Rage+1 1
Posted
3 hours ago, Bert Orange said:

Jesus TLDR Batman

Maybe you missed my cliffs

"Trade winds are stonger than normal making SST cooler. Therefore reducing the possibly of stronger waves in the ITZ."

Posted
20 hours ago, utee94 said:

We already had Snowpocalypse II, Winter Strikes Back.

Do I hear a bid for number three?  Going once, going twice, sold to the power-challenged gentlemen in Austin.

tropic-thunder.gif.81f697dabb3e46863e0af74c9ff11871.gif

  • Like 2
  • Haha 1

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.



×
×
  • Create New...