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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.


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Posted
6 hours ago, TDunk said:

Tik tok seems to play more favorable trump shit for "some" reason. Social media is awesome and sucks. 

Almost as if it is being done on purpose by a foreign entity to sow discord? Tik Tok is doing for the young this cycle what Facebook did for the olds in 2016. 

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Posted
Almost as if it is being done on purpose by a foreign entity to sow discord? Tik Tok is doing for the young this cycle what Facebook did for the olds in 2016. 

And both groups are too stupid and stubborn to admit they’ve been played.
Posted
13 hours ago, SubliminalHorn said:

So at what point do we stop getting loaded on our supply of copium and realize Biden is heading for a loss?

How stupid. We control the voting process, the ballots and the software. On top of that, the biggest political donors are all Democrats, and that's not even close. Maga Moron doesn't have a chance in hell.

Posted

Trump isn’t winning the election.  Do I say that with 100% certainty? No. Only death, taxes and OU sucks is 100% guaranteed.  Come Election Day, those on the fence will come to their senses and vote Biden. 

Posted
54 minutes ago, Underdog said:

Trump isn’t winning the election.  Do I say that with 100% certainty? No. Only death, taxes and OU sucks is 100% guaranteed.  Come Election Day, those on the fence will come to their senses and vote Biden. 

Agreed.  But Trump does have Putin backing him.

 

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Posted (edited)

And how are these people getting through likely voter screens??? 

Edited by Js1
Posted (edited)

It's always fair to say that you are unhappy with the results of someone that you previously gave your vote but it's something else to throw the vote to the other candidate based on that disappointment. 

 

On another note, the S&P 500 is up 58% from the last election date. Anyone with money in the stock market is a fool to not continue with Biden. Why rock the boat.

Edited by Nice Guy Eddie
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Posted
1 minute ago, Dahobbs said:

I don't understand that chart at all. 

Biden leads with black voters 62-15. Rest didn’t state a preference, will vote third party or won’t vote. 

He’s winning 85% of his black voters from 2020 and Trump is only retaining 70% of his. Of those who voted third party in 2020, Biden is winning 32-8

The data says of those who didn’t vote in 2020, Biden would win them 38-20. Those 20% of non-2020 voters are what’s skewing the polling with Trump’s number with black voters. They are low propensity/unlikely to turn out (same with non-2020 young voters) so unsure why they are leaking into likely voter screen since usually the first Q is did you vote in 2020/2022

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Posted
1 hour ago, Js1 said:

And how are these people getting through likely voter screens??? 

Question 1: Are you planning or likely to vote in the 2024 presidential election?

then take all the yeses at their word. 

Posted
1 hour ago, Js1 said:

And how are these people getting through likely voter screens??? 

Am I misreading this chart or is it saying that 22% of black voters who voted Trump in 2020 are planning on voting Biden this year (compared to 4% of the inverse)?  That seems like quite the opposite of the national narrative?

Posted
1 minute ago, Chuckie Finster said:

Am I misreading this chart or is it saying that 22% of black voters who voted Trump in 2020 are planning on voting Biden this year (compared to 4% of the inverse)?  That seems like quite the opposite of the national narrative?

That’s what it says. Because the tiny samples in the polls are usually really bad and not accurate 

Posted
3 minutes ago, Js1 said:

That’s what it says. Because the tiny samples in the polls are usually really bad and not accurate 

So, to be clear, we are all being told that we need to believe polling that shows certain demographics slipping away from Biden towards Trump and yet THE POLLS DON'T EVEN SHOW THAT?!  What is happening?  

(And a minor quibble, but what the hell kind of poll offers "Not Sure" and "Don't Know" as two distinct options for "who do you plan to vote for?")

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Posted
2 minutes ago, Chuckie Finster said:

So, to be clear, we are all being told that we need to believe polling that shows certain demographics slipping away from Biden towards Trump and yet THE POLLS DON'T EVEN SHOW THAT?!  What is happening?  

(And a minor quibble, but what the hell kind of poll offers "Not Sure" and "Don't Know" as two distinct options for "who do you plan to vote for?")

  1. Biden
  2. Trump
  3. Not Sure
  4. Don't Know
  5. Eh, ask me again in November.
  6. Dotard
  7. Biden haha just kidding
  8. Still Not Sure
  9. The Old Guy
  10. Gary Johnson For Old Times Sake
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Posted
11 minutes ago, Chuckie Finster said:

So, to be clear, we are all being told that we need to believe polling that shows certain demographics slipping away from Biden towards Trump and yet THE POLLS DON'T EVEN SHOW THAT?!  What is happening?  

(And a minor quibble, but what the hell kind of poll offers "Not Sure" and "Don't Know" as two distinct options for "who do you plan to vote for?")

hey man, don't discount this motherfucker.
nawc5pihg5p81.png

 

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Posted
1 hour ago, Nice Guy Eddie said:

It's always fair to say that you are unhappy with the results of someone that you previously gave your vote but it's something else to throw the vote to the other candidate based on that disappointment. 

 

On another note, the S&P 500 is up 58% from the last election date. Another with money in the stock market is a fool to not continue with Biden. Why rock the boat.

 

 

The stock market is up because of Trump not Biden.  Everything good that happens is because of Trump and everything bad is because we didn't let Trump make it good.  Now if the stock market were down then that would be Biden's fault.  

Trading Places Meme.gif

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Posted
2 minutes ago, Beantown Express 2.0 said:

 

 

The stock market is up because of Trump not Biden.  Everything good that happens is because of Trump and everything bad is because we didn't let Trump make it good.  Now if the stock market were down then that would be Biden's fault.  

Trading Places Meme.gif

and idiots hear/read that and go, "Yup."

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Posted
6 minutes ago, Longhorn_Fan68 said:

and idiots hear/read that and go, "Yup."

Idiots have finally become the dominant and most empowered constituency in American politics.  Once that happened, it was all over.

e19463c0-c7ec-4730-9902-9268b06c7a8d_tex

And you never could.  The idea that we could was an illusion, and it always was.  A lie we told ourselves so we could sleep at night.

Posted
4 minutes ago, Red Five said:

Trump +6 nationally, huh. Dead heat if he's a convicted felon, huh. Yeah I'm not buying this. 

I’m not sure why these keep getting posted. It’s fucking ridiculous. 

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Posted
Just now, Biff Tannen said:

To be fair, Arizona is really far away. 

HiLlArY dID nOt vIsIt WiScOnSiN

 

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Posted
38 minutes ago, Js1 said:

Very serious campaign 

36 minutes ago, Biff Tannen said:

To be fair, Arizona is really far away. 

Or he (or some of this people) are afraid of being served papers there. 

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Posted
38 minutes ago, Biff Tannen said:

I’m not sure why these keep getting posted. It’s fucking ridiculous. 

We have 161 million registered voters in the US, so a poll of 1,600 people who have the time and are dumb enough to answer unknown phone calls (or emails) to base the whole country's political future on makes perfect sense these days.

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Posted

What a piece of shit. In a normal world this should end the election. But our dumb fucking electoral college is keeping his hopes alive. Has there ever been a more clear need to scrap the EC.

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Posted

This is what he wants, mass love for dear leader. Everyone stands when he stands …..

IMG_0383.jpeg.8a08ff68615db27fc1004f36a7e9d263.jpeg

 

Don’t feel like loving dear leader, life in prison or being shot will cheer you up !

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Posted
4 hours ago, Js1 said:

Very serious campaign 

It’s people who really aren’t all that serious that keep pumping Trump in these polls.  Those people usually don’t vote.  Of course I’m not as happy as I should be because there’s still a nonzero chance orange shitstain wins.  

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Posted (edited)
6 minutes ago, ChiTownDoc said:

It’s people who really aren’t all that serious that keep pumping Trump in these polls.  Those people usually don’t vote.  Of course I’m not as happy as I should be because there’s still a nonzero chance orange shitstain wins.  


his whole plan is to contest every lost state and hopes the house steps in

zero reason to spend money now 

Edited by tx 3 putt
Posted
4 hours ago, BehoId, The Underminer! said:

Somebody finally trying to measure the effect of crime.  Says it goes D gains six points with conviction of a Georgia related crime in Georgia.   
 

 

 

LOL

Posted
17 minutes ago, cactusflinthead said:

I saw him the first time on the Denton subreddit. He was at the square. Same sign.

He made r/Texas today and several people have seen him around N. Texas.

 

He’s shown up in Sherman a few times, basically pops up all over the North Texas region. I call him Anarchist Grandpa.

 

this-guy-keeps-popping-up-at-random-intersections-all-over-v0-paplhzpmoj1d1.jpg


he’s risking his life acting like that in north DFW / southern okie 

they love dear leader up there 

Posted
1 minute ago, tx 3 putt said:


he’s risking his life acting like that in north DFW / southern okie 

they love dear leader up there 

Well he knows his target audience 

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Posted
1 hour ago, StassneyHorn said:

 This will not be an all time high participation event like 2020. 

That's pretty clear from the lack of public enthusiasm from Trump supporters - in 2020, they were like fucking Crossfitters or Navy SEALs - they would tell you their life story without you asking and they wouldn't shut the fuck up about it, or in the case of MAGA, they had to have a sign or a sticker or that fucking hat displayed somewhere in their vehicle or on their property.

Now it's odd to see MAGA signs.

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Posted
That's pretty clear from the lack of public enthusiasm from Trump supporters - in 2020, they were like fucking Crossfitters or Navy SEALs - they would tell you their life story without you asking and they wouldn't shut the fuck up about it, or in the case of MAGA, they had to have a sign or a sticker or that fucking hat displayed somewhere in their vehicle or on their property.
Now it's odd to see MAGA signs.

“This lack of public enthusiasm is exactly what will attract the historic amount of Trump support shown in our polls from people who have never voted before” - Nate Silver, probably
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Posted
10 hours ago, tx 3 putt said:


he’s risking his life acting like that in north DFW / southern okie 

they love dear leader up there 

Fucking Boss.  Good for him.  

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Posted (edited)
10 hours ago, tx 3 putt said:


he’s risking his life acting like that in north DFW / southern okie 

they love dear leader up there 

He’s proving that they are all bark by themselves or in small groups. They need the dynamics of a large group to feel empowered. 
 

the-big.gif

Edited by Pato del Muerto
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Posted
10 hours ago, atomheartbevo said:

That's pretty clear from the lack of public enthusiasm from Trump supporters - in 2020, they were like fucking Crossfitters or Navy SEALs - they would tell you their life story without you asking and they wouldn't shut the fuck up about it, or in the case of MAGA, they had to have a sign or a sticker or that fucking hat displayed somewhere in their vehicle or on their property.

Now it's odd to see MAGA signs.

Saw two dumbasses at Meanwhile Brewing this past weekend in Austin... one wearing her blue Trump 2024 shirt and a MAGA hat with flair.  The other one wearing a MAGA hat.  Looked like dumbasses.  

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Posted

i'm becoming a bit sanguine about this election season.  i've decided there is no such thing as information that will give any insight into the 2% margin either direction that this will end up being, so no use continually mining for it.  my next six months just really opened up.

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Posted
14 minutes ago, BehoId, The Underminer! said:

i'm becoming a bit sanguine about this election season.  i've decided there is no such thing as information that will give any insight into the 2% margin either direction that this will end up being, so no use continually mining for it.  my next six months just really opened up.

Pretty much where I’m at too. I live in Texas. I’m going to vote. I’m not going to phone bank or volunteer because you know what?  If people can’t see this for what it is, we deserve everything coming to us. 
 

This isn’t some devious, well-disguised nemesis that is infiltrating us. They are doing it right out in the open. They are telling us. Fuck us all if we make the wrong choice. 



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