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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.

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42 minutes ago, Pato del Muerto said:

I’m in what is supposedly one of the most expensive gas markets in the country and gas is around $3.80 right now at Costco.  Where milk is about the same and free range organic eggs are 2 dzn for $8. These things just don’t feel much more expensive than they were 4 years ago. 

$3.80.  That’s cute.

$4.16 at my Costco.

Point well taken on prices though.

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  • I don't post all that often, though don't mistake that for not enjoying this board's discourse, OUsucks/Texags point and laughs, and quality original content on a frequent basis. I haven't felt t

  • Clintonaldo
    Clintonaldo

    Just had an interesting conversation with wife. Her: Hey Wednesday I need you to pick our son up Me: ok but be home by 4 because I am going to Chili’s for some internet friends. Her: You are mee

  • Old Freak Nasty
    Old Freak Nasty

    I am an American Indian, born in rural Pennsylvania while my dad attended Penn State for graduate school in the 70s.  He was accepted by all on campus, but encountered plenty of racism when outside of

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Oh, and anyone that claims they want a deflationary price environment ought to have their head examined.  

  • Popular Post

this surely has been posted, but this thread moves way too fast, and i am 100% NSIAP:

 

5 minutes ago, bluto said:

Godspeed making sense of this bullsh either way

 

image.thumb.png.a510b714a9e3206e6d668dc24aecc718.png

Nevada is not pretty currently unless the rurals just all decided to vote early. Gonna be a steep uphill climb based on ralstons blog. 

This fucking McConnell article.  I mean, what a complete piece of shit.  

Let's start with the punchline: 

Quote

In a statement to CNN about his comments on the former president in the book, McConnell said, “Whatever I may have said about President Trump pales in comparison to what JD Vance, Lindsey Graham, and others have said about him, but we are all on the same team now.”

This is what he said into his "oral historian" that he turned over to someone writing a biography on McConnell. These are the statements made by a coward, wanting to be remembered as something else: 

Quote

the “MAGA movement is completely wrong” and that Ronald Reagan “wouldn’t recognize” the party today.

 

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“I think Trump was the biggest factor in changing the Republican Party from what Ronald Reagan viewed and he wouldn’t recognize today,”

Quote

“Unfortunately, about half the Republicans in the country believe whatever he says,” ..., “I think I’m pretty safe in saying it’s not just the Democrats who are counting the days until he leaves on January 20, but the Republicans as well.”

Quote

“I’m not at all conflicted about whether what the president did is an impeachable offense. I think it is. Urging an insurrection and people attacking the Capitol as a direct result … is about as close to an impeachable offense as you can imagine, with the possible exception of maybe being an agent for another country,” 

Quote

calling Trump a “sleazeball,” a “narcissist” and saying that the former president is “stupid as well as being ill-tempered.” He added that Trump is “not very smart, irascible, nasty, just about every quality you would not want somebody to have.”

Quote

In 2022, Trump referred to Chao as McConnell’s “China loving wife, Coco Chow” in a post on Truth Social. Tackett reports that Chao was “deeply disturbed” by the comments, and McConnell said that his wife is “not used to taking a punch.”

 

Edited by Tuco

8 hours ago, hornmpa96 said:

 Trump would never grope an underage girl.

Jeffrey Epstein Trump GIF
 

 

It’s incredible that this video alone didn’t sink him. 

6 hours ago, Valmy77 said:

I had a huge crush on her. ....Stacey Williams 

High Five Friends GIF by Amazon Freevee

17 minutes ago, Da Fino said:

It’s incredible that this video alone didn’t sink him. 

 

IMG_2171.jpeg

7 hours ago, Fudge Nuggets said:

Last thing I ever want to see is porn of any of your wives. 

Okay, then I'll keep it to myself.

Season 2 Arms Crossed GIF by Friends

 

6 hours ago, cactusflinthead said:

Is this gonna be one of those nights where the thread takes a strange turn?

6 hours ago, TeeDubya said:

Tonight would be different how?

It was taking a strange turn, but then I discovered several others who loved Stacey Williams as much as I did, so....

Bill Murray Reaction GIF

 

 

4 hours ago, Bateshorn said:

Wait. Hold fucking on. He groped Stacey Williams?!!! The connoisseur's SI model.  I’m actually not fucking around. While everyone one else was waxing poetic about Kathy Ireland or whatever, those of us who knew…knew. 

Fuck that piece of shit. Fuck him to hell

IMG_5219.webp.0174bf6a3054a87e0420822b00c0424f.webp

 

 

 

High Five Best Friends GIF by Saturday Night Live

 

Kathy Ireland was a poor man's Stacey Williams.

Really happy to see the candidate I voted for being like lol build the wall

Can't shake the bad feeling about this election no matter what I do

1 hour ago, Tuco said:

This fucking McConnell article.  I mean, what a complete piece of shit.  

Let's start with the punchline: 

This is what he said into his "oral historian" that he turned over to someone writing a biography on McConnell. These are the statements made by a coward, wanting to be remembered as something else: 

yep, just another obvious example of the gop ditching him. wait…

2 hours ago, bluto said:

Nevada is not pretty currently unless the rurals just all decided to vote early. Gonna be a steep uphill climb based on ralstons blog. 

Even Ralston did say everyone needs to chill because you can’t compare this year to 2020. He said GOP are 100% all in on early voting this time around

7 hours ago, TexArcher said:

 

Jesus.

I feel like we're a year or two away from them wearing little fake gold Trump medallions around their necks and building actual altars to him, probably where they've burned down synagogues and mosques.

He's a Con Man wizard
There has got to be a twist
A Con Man wizard
S'got such a little wrist

1 minute ago, Underdog said:

He's a Con Man wizard
There has got to be a twist
A Con Man wizard
S'got such a little wrist

happy season 4 GIF

6 hours ago, gmr548 said:

Has anyone ever seen @Helobious and Clay Travis in the same room?

Would you want to? 

5 hours ago, bluto said:

Godspeed making sense of this bullsh either way

 

Fucking PA.

5 hours ago, The Dog said:

image.thumb.png.a510b714a9e3206e6d668dc24aecc718.png

There’s a POS restaurant near us that always posts right wing messaging on their marquee. They’ve had this other before. 

4 hours ago, Brian Fantana said:

Really happy to see the candidate I voted for being like lol build the wall

Can't shake the bad feeling about this election no matter what I do

spacer.png

Graveyard Shift was feeling pedantic last night, huh?

2 hours ago, Underdog said:

Would you want to? 

Im Not No Way GIF

Good Morning!

 

 

 

Edited by Bullneck

  • Popular Post

Rise and Shine, time for some hopium.  

Georgia over night data takeaways:

1.  2.16 million ballots cast (2020 early voting was 2.3 million, with a week to go, we are going to fly past that number).  

2.  Females have now cast 240k more votes than men.  55.4% to 44.1%

3.  Day of election voters from 2020 represent 128k votes or 6% (likely Republican bump, but certainly doesn't explain turnout)

4.  2020 Non voters represent 344k, 18-29 103k, 65+ 75k

5.  Fortress Atlanta Update:

Clayton County - 48k or 23%

Cobb County - 163k or 28%

Dekalb County - 157k or 27%

Fulton County - 250k or 28%

Gwinnett County - 162k or 25%

 

Very strong numbers, the likely bump in Republican early voting is pretty muted in comparison to other turnout, which is pretty much all favorable to Democrats.  Yesterday both my wife and I got calls to get people to the polls (first time it's happened for either of us, we thought it'd be more, but we got them there).  

 

50 minutes ago, G650 said:

Im Not No Way GIF

It would mean you died and went to Hell. 

9 hours ago, TwiceHorn said:

Well, according to bozo, and this sounds pretty rational, in highly competitive industries like groceries, they are in a fairly constant price war and eventually that will cause prices to return to "normal."

Fast food is going through this right now. It's sad when you can go to a Chili's, Applebees, etc and get a better quality meal for the price some of these fast food joints are pricing themselves to. 

10 hours ago, Biff Tannen said:

Excuse me, she has to be PERFECT.  Otherwise, I just don't know who to vote for.

Listen, she should have thought about all that before making so much melanin and not growing a cock in the womb.

10 hours ago, Nice Guy Eddie said:

And companies can’t really lower prices now because their employees have all received wage increases that won’t come down. And they also have suppliers who won’t drop their prices. We had craziness for a couple of years but prices have now stabilized.

 

 There is a lot more to it... namely shareholders & stock buy backs

9 hours ago, Bullneck said:

Hold onto your hats.  We have dodged a baguette ullet:

 

 

 

9 hours ago, TeeDubya said:

200.gif

  1. I can hear this gif
  2. He's Swedish and you know it!
1 minute ago, BurntOrange&White said:

Fast food is going through this right now. It's sad when you can go to a Chili's, Applebees, etc and get a better quality meal for the price some of these fast food joints are pricing themselves to. 

I'm a bit concerned about you, tbh.  You used the word quality positively in the same sentence as Chili's and Applebees.  

2 minutes ago, BamaATL said:

I'm a bit concerned about you, tbh.  You used the word quality positively in the same sentence as Chili's and Applebees.  

The new Chili’s smash burger is fucking great. And at $10.99!

1 hour ago, Bullneck said:

Good Morning!

 

 

 

If he wins and she’s nominated, at least she will get grilled by the Dems in the senate.

5 minutes ago, BamaATL said:

I'm a bit concerned about you, tbh.  You used the word quality positively in the same sentence as Chili's and Applebees.  

When you're comparing the burger you can get at Applebees and Chili's to that of McDonalds and etc it is far better quality.

Allan Lichtman predicts Kamala win

 

Quote

WASHINGTON - With less than two weeks to go until the election, voters are paying close attention to the multitude of polls coming out across the political landscape. 

Many of the national polls show Vice President Kamala Harris with a narrow lead over former President Donald Trump. But polling in key battleground states shows Trump moving ahead or locked in a dead heat with Harris. 

With Trump and Harris seemingly neck-and-neck in the race, some are starting to look at early voting data to determine which direction the election will swing. 

One of those people is expert historian and American University professor Allan Lichtman. He has called the winner of nearly every presidential election since the 1980s and made his final prediction saying Vice President Kamala Harris will win the 2024 election back in September.

Lichtman bases his predictions on what he calls the 13 Keys to the White House. After Harris secured a majority of his keys, Litchman announced she was the candidate most likely to win the race just days before the presidential debate. 

Two weeks out, he says he stands by the decision.

Allan Lichtman shares his prediction in the 2024 presidential election

In a NYT Opinion video released Thursday morning, Lichtman says he believes Vice President Kamala Harris will win the race for the White House this November.

In weekly livestreams on YouTube, Litchman has covered a variety of topics related to the election and recently, including the recent polls.  

"Polls give this idea of drama, that candidates are sprinting ahead and falling behind every day based on the events of the campaigns and the pollsters keep score," he said. 

Litchman says he notoriously doesn’t rely on polls to make predictions and that the current numbers are too far within the margin of error to be useful. 

"Anyone who’s followed me knows the margin of error ain’t +/-3% — that’s pure statistical error. Add on all the non-statistical error — non-response, people lying, people changing their minds, not getting likely voters right — and it’s at least double," Lichtman said. "So the real error is at least +/- 6%. So you need a gap of 12 points before it’s not noise." 

Lichtman says when it comes to polls and surveys, he estimates "at least a 10% falloff from those who claim they are going to vote on Election Day."

In some of his recent livestreams, Lichtman has instead been looking at new early voting data provided through an NBC News dashboard. He says this data provides a more tangible look at the direction the race is headed in. 

"These are real votes. These are votes in the bank," Lichtman said. "These votes are much more valuable than those who say ‘oh yeah, I’m going to vote on Election Day.’ Well, they may or may not." 

FILE - Official absentee ballot issued in Washington, D.C. on Tuesday, October 11, 2022. (Bill Clark/CQ-Roll Call, Inc via Getty Images)

As of Oct. 23, NBC tallied over 23.6 million votes cast in-person and by mail nationally. Their data shows that 44% of these votes were cast by registered Democrats, 38% cast by registered Republicans and 18% by others. 

Lichtman notes that while the data shows the party affiliation of the voters, there’s no way to know if they voted in line with their party. However, he says this data can provide some early insights into each candidate's favorability by state.

Here’s which way early in-person and mail-in voters appear to be leaning in each battleground state: 

Georgia- Leaning Republican

Michigan- Leaning Democratic

North Carolina- Split nearly evenly

Pennsylvania- Leaning Democratic

Arizona- Leaning Republican

Wisconsin- Leaning Democratic

Nevada- Leaning Republican

Litchman says of these states, he believes Republicans will need to secure Georgia and North Carolina if they expect to win. 

"Georgia is very much a state that’s up for grabs in this election," Lichtman said. "The truth is Republicans have to win Georgia. Democrats win Georgia the odds are overwhelming that they’re going to win the election because they are stronger than the Republicans in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan. Republicans really need North Carolina and Georgia — two states that are very much up in the air." 

 

10 minutes ago, Nice Guy Eddie said:

If he wins and she’s nominated, at least she will get grilled by the Dems in the senate.

I think it’s adorable that you don't think the Robert’s Court will waive away the Speech and Debate Clause and let him lock up lawmakers. 

9 hours ago, TwiceHorn said:

Well, according to bozo, and this sounds pretty rational, in highly competitive industries like groceries, they are in a fairly constant price war and eventually that will cause prices to return to "normal."

Well, no. At most basic level market clearing price of a commodity represents equilibrium between the money seeking to be exchanged for apples/diapers/cheerios whatever and the amount of those things available. But as consumers we don't interacts directly with that. We work with middlemen who aggregate goods we want, dress them up, merchandise them with other things that we may want but don't know about yet, along with substitutional goods, invest in staff and physical plant close to where we are, and branding to make us feel good about paying a tiny markup for working with them instead of the other middlemen. The more competitive it is, the tinier it gets, and the strongest competitors are often the ones who can charge the highest mark-up (which is one way to measure the value of the brand)  but choose to sell undifferentiated commodities at wholesale or even below wholesale cost to atract customers. 

None of that means prices will do gown. The only think that forces prices down is either less money chasing a thing or more things relative to the money chasing them

8 hours ago, royiv said:

Don’t tariff my French wines! Texas wines are shit!

Texas Cab Franc, Viognier, Albarinho and Mouvedre are all excellent. 

7 hours ago, bluto said:

Godspeed making sense of this bullsh either way

 

I suspect those LV screens are coming from the delta between Trump voters who say they voted for Trump in 2020 vs Harris voters who say they didn't vote in 2020.  Zero concern about that. Put it on the pile.

6 hours ago, bluto said:

Nevada is not pretty currently unless the rurals just all decided to vote early. Gonna be a steep uphill climb based on ralstons blog. 

Dems have more room to grow

 

1 minute ago, Pancho said:

Dems have more room to grow

 

I like Ralston, but it’s clear Clark is updating overnight after he does his blog. And the reporting issues in both Clark and Washoe are annoying.

NPA having more votes than the GOP isn’t great for Trump, since the NPA voters are more likely to be younger or POCs

26 minutes ago, Yev Kassem said:

The new Chili’s smash burger is fucking great. And at $10.99!

Better than Sonic's?

21 minutes ago, BurntOrange&White said:

Allan Lichtman predicts Kamala win

The guy from Die Hard?

 

11 minutes ago, Bozo_Casanova said:

Texas Cab Franc, Viognier, Albarinho and Mouvedre are all excellent. 

Also Rioja.

  • Popular Post
28 minutes ago, Yev Kassem said:

The new Chili’s smash burger is fucking great. And at $10.99!

Ok Chili's bot settle down.

3 minutes ago, HenryJames said:

Better than Sonic's?

My only complaint about Sonic's is that it doesn't get crispy enough or at least the two Sonic's I tried it from didn't get it that way.

4 minutes ago, HenryJames said:

Better than Sonic's?

I'll take ways to give yourself diarrhea for 200, Alex

On 10/21/2024 at 4:28 PM, Gatorubet said:

IMG_0435.jpeg.b678a11fb1adf877cc92001b4b8c9f25.jpeg

Your detailed treatise on your complex political thoughts was breathtaking. 

fucked up lol GIF by What We Do in the Shadows

17 minutes ago, Bozo_Casanova said:

 

Texas Cab Franc, Viognier, Albarinho and Mouvedre are all excellent. 

No Idea Idk GIF by First We Feast

  • Popular Post

Also it may have been missed last night - 

The Republican mayor of Waukesha, Wisconsin endorsed Kamala.  Kind of a big deal, as Waukesha is in one of the WOW suburbs of Milwaukee that are stubbornly red.  Waukesha County went to Trump by 20 points, but Biden did win most of Waukesha, the city.

But if he can help push Waukesha a little bluer, that will help Harris a lot 

image.png.ef1cf527dd6d9f67592f3d0ece76f1ea.png

19 minutes ago, HenryJames said:

Better than Sonic's?

Yes, because I prefer grilled onions instead of raw. YMMV

14 minutes ago, Bateshorn said:

No Idea Idk GIF by First We Feast

The good ones don't use Texas grown grapes. 

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